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Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by jonathanstrange on Monday March 23, 2020 @06:38AM (#22662662)
This is irresponsible. This drug has severe side effects, it makes absolutely no sense to prescribe it for a completely different disease without first confirming in clinical trials that it has positive effects.

> if there's no suscipicion this drug could cause new problems, we should have people massively use it

That's not how evidence-based medicine works. The drug is known to cause new problems because of the side effects. Clinical trials are needed to determine whether these are outweighed in patients by positive health effects.

You do not prescribe medicine on the basis of hunches.

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by ekianjo on Monday March 23, 2020 @06:49AM (#22662731)
> This is irresponsible. This drug has severe side effects

What are you talking about? The severe side effects are known and are usually associated with chronic usage of that drug. Chloroquine is taken for prophylaxis against malaria (daily) in many places in the southern hemisphere. Usual regimen is at least for 8 continuous weeks!

EDIT: Toxicity here: as you can see it's very well tolerated. https://eyewiki.aao.org/Hydroxychloroquine_toxicity

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by tyingq on Monday March 23, 2020 @07:35AM (#22662997)
Worth noting the chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine have very different side effects and risks. Both have been debated as Covid-19 treatments.
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by jonathanstrange on Monday March 23, 2020 @07:05AM (#22662830)
The suggestion on the table is to give this drug to extremely ill patients who suffer from a new viral disease on the basis of anecdotal evidence and without clinical trials. The suggestion was to massively prescribe it.

What health authorities want to do is to allow physicians to use the drug if the patient agrees, but only in a controlled setting in which data is collected and there is a control group. So at least afterwards we could draw conclusions about whether it killed more people or helped saving people. Does that not make sense to you?

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by chasil on Monday March 23, 2020 @07:40AM (#22663034)
There are actually several suggestions, which were repeatedly discussed a decade ago in multiple SARS studies (see my post below).

First is prophylaxis for front line health care workers, who are suffering grave infections likely exacerbated by long hours and low morale. Long term use of chloroquine or alternatives is a concern for this audience. There were fatalities last time, just like this time.

The second is for the patients themselves, who will otherwise endure uncontrolled viral replication for up to two weeks until the adaptive immune response recognizes the pathogen. Reducing transmission requires an earlier end to this stage.

Is the data from the previous studies worthless for these goals?

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by pbreit on Monday March 23, 2020 @04:35PM (#22668469)
"The suggestion on the table is to give this drug to extremely ill patients"

No. Likely needs to be given closer to onset of symptoms.

"The suggestion was to massively prescribe it."

No. The suggestion is to generate more evidence as fast as possible since it looks promising.

Cannot wait for full clinical trials. 1500+ deaths per day in the mean time.

Why are you fighting it so hard? If this is a useful treatment, don't you want us to find out? Let the doctors do their thing.

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by jdhn on Monday March 23, 2020 @05:08PM (#22668768)
I feel like this thread and the arguments contained in it are a microcosm of what's going on in the world at large right now, and also explains why people were so slow to respond. Perfect is the enemy of good, after all.
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by akiselev on Monday March 23, 2020 @07:20PM (#22669945)
In medicine, bad is the enemy of good. Improperly studied medicine rushed into a clinical setting can make things worse and are perfectly capable of making things worse on a grand scale, regardless of how terrible people's understanding of statistics and variance are.

Doctors have the authority in many countries to prescribe it off label based on their own review of the evidence and their patient's consent. That's the best we can do right now without risking something much worse.

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by bluecalm on Monday March 23, 2020 @08:08AM (#22663212)
As noted in the original post you replied to we don't really need a control group because we already have a lot of experience with people who didn't get any drugs. Quoting that post: "all that is needed is a proper categorization".

The goal here is to get enough evidence the treatment works or doesn't work. Conducting double blind studies is not the most efficient and fastest way to do that when you already have a lot of preexisting knowledge about both the patients not receiving any drugs and the safety profile of the drug in question.

This is again a situation where statisticians should be asked for help as medical professionals very often operate on very simplistic model (double blind or gtfo) which we just don't have time for this time around.

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by lonelappde on Monday March 23, 2020 @11:32AM (#22665029)
Past cases not a great control group because there's are different biases in "everyone who was sick" vs "people who asked for chloronique".
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by IAmEveryone on Monday March 23, 2020 @04:54PM (#22668632)
We have far more experience with AIDS, or heart attacks, or hair loss, or really any disease.

And yet trials for new medication against these diseases always include a control group.

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by bluecalm on Tuesday March 24, 2020 @11:06AM (#22675196)
Yeah because it's not urgent and it's a clean understood protocol. It's absolutely not optimal if your goal is to get to enough confidence fast.
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by ignoramous on Monday March 23, 2020 @07:28AM (#22662954)
> Does that not make sense to you?

It does, but why can't one can have the control groups at the same as blanket prescribtion? In times like this when the health care apparatus is overwhelmed, is it a good alternative to do that, since side effects are well-known and given the fact that the drug might be ineffective if used late in the infection cycle [0]?

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22662849

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by bsaul on Monday March 23, 2020 @08:07AM (#22663198)
i absolutely don't see the need for a control group. We just need to monitor which patient had the treament and which didn't, globally. But if a doctor wants to prescribe all its patient with it, he should be allowed to, as long as it doesn't go against the traditional counter-indication for this very well known and very widely used on a global scale drug.
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by mbreese on Monday March 23, 2020 @10:00AM (#22664157)
> We just need to monitor which patient had the treament and which didn't, globally

And you just described the reason for a control group. We simply do not have that information. Things are moving too fast and treatments have not been standardized yet, not to mention the built in variability between locations. If you want to know if a treatment is effective, you must have to comparable groups. The point of the control group is to gather that information. Just because there are many, many, global cases doesn’t mean you actually have been able to capture the data for a control. Things are moving that fast.

> But if a doctor wants to prescribe all its patient with it, he should be allowed to

And what about the supply of these drugs? There are people who do need these drugs for other conditions (I’ve read Lupus patients sometimes need it). These patients need the drug and the supply is getting scooped up by people who don’t know (a) if they have the virus and (b) if the treatment is effective. And if it is effective, is it effective for treatment of infection or prophylactically? Just because a drug is widely used does not mean that there is enough supply to distribute it to anyone who wants to try it.

These are major issues that can be answered with proper clinical trials. We know how to do this and they can (and are) being done as fast as possible.

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by hinkley on Monday March 23, 2020 @02:25PM (#22667036)
I saw a retweet the other day by a Lupus patient who couldn't get their prescription refilled. That's going to make a crappy situation much worse for a whole class of people.
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by mrfusion on Monday March 23, 2020 @08:49AM (#22663549)
Your idea sounds great. I don’t think anyone in the thread knows what’s being proposed.

I’d suggest we need to get it to people before they end up in the hospital to try to keep the resources available.

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by mcguire on Monday March 23, 2020 @07:19PM (#22669942)
[dead]
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by [deleted] on Monday March 23, 2020 @02:28PM (#22667074)
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by gchamonlive on Monday March 23, 2020 @09:04AM (#22663699)
That is a fallacy right there, discredit the source of the argument instead of the argument itself. People should have the right to discuss things openly, even without credentials. They should not, however, actively act upon it causing actual harm. This is the realm of the specialists. As long as we have these distinctions, let people discuss.
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by sbuk on Monday March 23, 2020 @09:25AM (#22663877)
Trouble is opinions can take on a life of their own. Not everyone is sensible enough to read opinions as just that. A lot of these articles are written with a tone of authority; espessially the ones from data scienctists. Discussion is fine, but bear in mind that its adding to a lot of unecessary noise.
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by gchamonlive on Monday March 23, 2020 @07:38PM (#22670115)
You imply there is a necessary noise in the conversation. Who are we to define what credentials should be used to define what is noisy and what is not? I think the best way is to attack the argument itself, not where it is coming from.

If the discourse become authoritative and biased, we shut it, disregard it pointing out the flaws. But we have to be careful not to be authoritative ourselves when we don't even give the chance for the writer to be wrong because he lacks the right credentials.

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by sbuk on Sunday March 29, 2020 @04:04AM (#22717220)
Easy, in a pandemic like this only listen to medical professionals. Like I said, the time for amateur to examine and draw conclusions is after the pandemic is over.
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by pnako on Tuesday March 24, 2020 @02:59AM (#22672656)
I guess I should have articulated an argument instead of venting and using sarcasm.

Basically, I've seen my share of unqualified people (not that I'm qualified myself) building ridiculous models of exponential growth and predicting catastrophes, commenting on drug research protocols without necessarily understanding the details and so on.

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by lonelappde on Monday March 23, 2020 @11:33AM (#22665044)
What's the point of pollution the conversation with useless ill informed fake-authoritative opinions that no one should act upon? This isn't "I tried Python and had a lot of problems with dynamic types", it's uninformed specualtion on an arbitrary sample of information the they haven't trained to understand.
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by gchamonlive on Monday March 23, 2020 @07:34PM (#22670083)
then use that against the argument. Break it for what it is not worth, but don't attack the person itself and the right to free speech. Where would you draw the line for defining what is polluting the conversation and what is not? Can you see the danger there? This trend of checking someones credentials before hearing the argument can become elitist real fast. Careful to not become the censorship we condemn
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by jcrubino on Monday March 23, 2020 @09:09AM (#22663731)
The problem is even for hydroxychloroquine the most at risk patients for serious COVID-19 illness (People with Diabetes and Heart issues) are under the well established precautions in using the hydroxychloroquine. To build publics faith in the idea that one medication is going to really come through is haphazard at best.
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by taylodl on Monday March 23, 2020 @09:04AM (#22663698)
Exactly! The world needs fewer armchair doctors during this pandemic.
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by jcrubino on Monday March 23, 2020 @09:13AM (#22663768)
Then don't settle for any advice who can tell you to pop a pill.
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by Cthulhu_ on Monday March 23, 2020 @07:23AM (#22662927)
> You do not prescribe medicine on the basis of hunches.

Nor on the basis of panic; we should be able to manage this pandemic as long as people stick to the measures in place. Stay at home, limit your shopping, don't take the piss. I mean panic right now is causing more problems - e.g. hoarding and people trying to make a quick buck.

This thing is mainly a big problem because people can't keep calm and rational. Or they think they're rational, as in, "I should buy enough toilet paper because I should stay indoors for a while".

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by deelowe on Monday March 23, 2020 @10:29AM (#22664412)
How long is a while? What happens if our supply chain is impacted? Grocery stores are open now, but isn't it possible for there to be outbreaks in the stores? What will become of the economy if this continues?

These are very real concerns for which no one has answers. People are stockpiling because of the uncertainty, which could be seen as a very rational stance in hindsight if this goes on for quite some time.

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by jansan on Monday March 23, 2020 @07:29AM (#22662959)
This was done with Lopinavir-Ritonavir, which is an HIV drug. Unfortunately it turned out to be ineffective:

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32187464

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by sendben2 on Monday March 23, 2020 @07:23AM (#22662931)
> This drug has severe side effects

To clarify, hydroxychloroquine has far fewer side effects than chloroquine.

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by ping_pong on Monday March 23, 2020 @05:08PM (#22668767)
Stop spreading misinformation.

Hydroxycholoquine is very safe and is prescribed to lupus patients daily. The Korean recommended dose (400mg/day) is the same as what is prescribed to lupus patients. Chloroquine is a bit more dangerous, but only in high doses and over long periods of time. Patients would be on either for 10-20 days maximum which is much less than what it takes to be dangerous.

Both are less toxic than Tylenol.

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by pbreit on Monday March 23, 2020 @04:32PM (#22668438)
I'm not sure if any of what you wrote is accurate.

The drug is 90 years old, has been used by millions, has relatively modest side effects, is relatively well-understood, has shown efficacy against coronavirus in vitro.

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by Erlich_Bachman on Monday March 23, 2020 @07:17AM (#22662896)
If it was so severe, why isn't it protected by a prescription requirement everywhere around the world?
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by throwaway2048 on Monday March 23, 2020 @10:14AM (#22664271)
Because they need to be as widely available as possible for malaria prophylaxis, because Malaria is a disease with a devastatingly high mortality.
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by snowwrestler on Monday March 23, 2020 @11:01AM (#22664740)
Yes--in plain English, the trade-offs are different in different places. It's not a recreational drug so there is (usually) little risk it will get taken or abused unless it is really needed. That does not mean the drug has no risks and can be taken as a free-for-all.

And it's not just for drugs. It's also why DDT continues used in some countries but is illegal in others.

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by Madmallard on Monday March 23, 2020 @08:52AM (#22663578)
Tons of dangerous drugs aren't.
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by biolurker1 on Monday March 23, 2020 @01:29PM (#22666348)
The drug is used for ages in Africa without severe side effect and people are dying.
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by jetcata on Monday March 23, 2020 @09:34AM (#22663947)
I would be worried about the ocular toxicity and ototoxicity side effects.

I would only want this drug given to me if there was no hope of recovery.

Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by skellington on Monday March 23, 2020 @02:26PM (#22667062)
Those side effects are RARE in people who take hydroxychloroquine for DECADES. We're only talking about taking it for 5-10 days here.

Advil has probably killed more people than hydroxychloroquine.

[dead]
Re:About that Hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 trial by JoeAltmaier on Monday March 23, 2020 @06:49AM (#22662732)
Maybe a bit of strawman there. With more information (hopefully coming) we should be able to make more nuanced decisions.