Re:California governor issues statewide 'stay at home' order
by tomerico on Thursday March 19, 2020 @10:48PM
(#22634139)
There is a reason vaccines take a long time to approve - if you are getting the general population vaccinated, you want to make sure the side effects a year down the road don't negate the benefit (if any, vaccines are not 100% effective)
Re:California governor issues statewide 'stay at home' order
by forkexec on Thursday March 19, 2020 @10:32PM
(#22634004)
There is no working vaccine. Multiple candidates will take a year and a half if everything works perfectly. It's possible that a vaccine will not be found.
Re:California governor issues statewide 'stay at home' order
by auspex on Friday March 20, 2020 @07:57AM
(#22636826)
They already have a corona virus vaccine for many live stock animals so at least that is promising
Re:California governor issues statewide 'stay at home' order
by arkitaip on Thursday March 19, 2020 @10:37PM
(#22634050)
Historically, a reasonably safe vaccine has taken many years to develop. Rushing a vaccine through the system so it only takes months? Yeah, I not going to stand in line to get vaccinated.
Re:California governor issues statewide 'stay at home' order
by James_Henry on Thursday March 19, 2020 @10:41PM
(#22634076)
There are promising treatments though, and these should show results within weeks or months.
Re:California governor issues statewide 'stay at home' order
by wy3yebdudu on Thursday March 19, 2020 @10:47PM
(#22634129)
Failure is a result that can be displayed, number of candidate treatments isn't a real metric for making predictions.
Re:California governor issues statewide 'stay at home' order
by James_Henry on Thursday March 19, 2020 @11:43PM
(#22634607)
I think I don't fully understand what you are saying, but there have been preliminary trials suggesting that some of these candidate treatments are helpful in treating the disease.
Re:California governor issues statewide 'stay at home' order
by brokensegue on Thursday March 19, 2020 @10:46PM
(#22634116)
even just vaccinating the people in the high risk groups would be a huge win. and those people are much more likely to get in line.
Re:California governor issues statewide 'stay at home' order
by hilbertseries on Friday March 20, 2020 @04:25AM
(#22635967)
The vaccine candidate didn't take very long, because researchers were able to re-use the initial work done for making a SARS vaccine. But it will still take 12-18 months to test the vaccine candidates.
Re:California governor issues statewide 'stay at home' order
by capkutay on Thursday March 19, 2020 @10:48PM
(#22634143)
Historically, we've never seen the world's top researchers, governments, and pharmaceutical companies all racing to come up with a vaccine and treatment at once while sharing data at unprecedented scale.
I understand allowing reasonable time to complete trials, but let's not act like this is just a routine drug approval.
Re:California governor issues statewide 'stay at home' order
by andrewingram on Thursday March 19, 2020 @11:06PM
(#22634305)
There are already vaccine trials underway, the 12-18 months is the minimum amount of time we allow for making sure the cure isn't worse than the disease. We're basically talking about giving this vaccine to every at-risk person in the world. If it's not safe, that would be a really bad outcome.
The unprecedented scale will allow more parallel efforts, to the point that the odds of a viable vaccine being available next year are much greater, but it won't speed up the minimum time.
The US doesn't have even close to the necessary number of testing kits or infrastructure to test 300 million people. They're working on ramping up production and availability of tests.