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Re:The rise of solar is ‘jeopardising the grid’ and it's a l... by jjeaff on Sunday December 01, 2019 @08:28PM (#21679182)
How does a lower baseline estimate factor in when you have a particularly cloudy day or week?
Re:The rise of solar is ‘jeopardising the grid’ and it's a l... by adrianN on Monday December 02, 2019 @02:52AM (#21680647)
Traditional power plants are perfectly able to adapt to weather patterns. Weather forecasts on a time scale of 12 hours or a day are very accurate. For very shorts fluctuations you can always buffer into batteries.

The real problem is that fossil fuel plants are designed to be profitable at high load factors. Building a coal plant and only running it at 50% load is not profitable.

Re:The rise of solar is ‘jeopardising the grid’ and it's a l... by jjeaff on Monday December 02, 2019 @02:22PM (#21685837)
Traditional power plants have never had to deal with weather patterns that can significantly increase or decrease output, no?
Re:The rise of solar is ‘jeopardising the grid’ and it's a l... by technofiend on Sunday December 01, 2019 @08:52PM (#21679272)
Exactly as I described above - by assuming fluctuations will first be buffered by battery or other storage and only addressed if required by gas peakers and increased coal-based energy production in extended periods of lower light.
Re:The rise of solar is ‘jeopardising the grid’ and it's a l... by buzzkillington on Monday December 02, 2019 @02:06AM (#21680460)
The largest installation in the world is in South Australia and it can run the state for 15 minutes.

It cost $100 million to build.

Batteries energy density puts them so far past green washing that in the current day and age they are Potemkin villages.

Re:The rise of solar is ‘jeopardising the grid’ and it's a l... by nicksantamaria on Monday December 02, 2019 @05:08AM (#21681206)
The purpose of the battery isn’t to power the entire state for 15 minutes.

It can respond to market demand within milliseconds, and after coming online was responsible for dropping the average wholesale price of electricity by 90%.

Re:The rise of solar is ‘jeopardising the grid’ and it's a l... by buzzkillington on Monday December 02, 2019 @08:30AM (#21682119)
In the fcas market, the total electricity price has increased by over 30% in the last three years.
Re:The rise of solar is ‘jeopardising the grid’ and it's a l... by ceejayoz on Sunday December 01, 2019 @08:35PM (#21679209)
That's a particularly easy fix in Australia - site your solar plants in the readily available 90% of the country that's largely desert.
Re:The rise of solar is ‘jeopardising the grid’ and it's a l... by buzzkillington on Monday December 02, 2019 @02:10AM (#21680477)
Slight problem that the dessert will get to around 50C on sunny days. No infrastructure on earth is designed to operate at those temperatures. That's on top of distances like those between Huston to New York between the main sun light areas and the population centers.
Re:The rise of solar is ‘jeopardising the grid’ and it's a l... by int_19h on Monday December 02, 2019 @03:43AM (#21680859)
What is the problem with operating the power delivery infrastructure at those temps, exactly?

And as for distances - power grids have been built at similar scale, and even longer. When there's essentially free power for the taking, why wouldn't you invest into delivering it where it needs to go?

Re:The rise of solar is ‘jeopardising the grid’ and it's a l... by buzzkillington on Monday December 02, 2019 @08:37AM (#21682159)
>What is the problem with operating the power delivery infrastructure at those temps, exactly?

It costs three or more times as much since you need to use uncommon materials and design from scratch.

>And as for distances - power grids have been built at similar scale, and even longer.

There is no country in the world as large and as sparsely populated as Australia. The distance between Perth and Brisbane is the same as that between NY and SF with no one living between them. When I worked in finance here it was always fun explaining to Americans why their algos will fail regardless of what we do, the speed of light matters.

Hilariously enough, even the US doesn't have one grid continent wide, and it's ten times as densely populated as Australia.

Re:The rise of solar is ‘jeopardising the grid’ and it's a l... by int_19h on Monday December 02, 2019 @05:10PM (#21687596)
Russia is an example of a country that is much larger, and also sparsely populated.

And I'm still confused - what kind of "uncommon materials" are we talking about? What exactly is the problem with normal power delivery infrastructure that precludes it from operating at high temps?

Re:The rise of solar is ‘jeopardising the grid’ and it's a l... by ceejayoz on Tuesday December 03, 2019 @10:02AM (#21692796)
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/11/1...

> Elevated air temperatures can reduce the rated capacity of electric transmission lines, meaning that their ability to transmit power will be diminished during peak hours.

That said, it looks like it's just a couple percent, so maybe you just overbuild a little.

Re:The rise of solar is ‘jeopardising the grid’ and it's a l... by int_19h on Tuesday December 03, 2019 @08:28PM (#21698793)
Solar panels are also less efficient when it's hot, but these are all just losses that can be overcome by throwing more panels at it. If you have a giant desert, it's basically free energy for the taking - you just need to make that initial investment. And unlike e.g. Sahara, there's well-developed infrastructure around the desert, nor are there issues with political instability.
Re:The rise of solar is ‘jeopardising the grid’ and it's a l... by paranoidrobot on Monday December 02, 2019 @09:01AM (#21682310)
> main sun light areas

You say this like it doesn't get sunny in Sydney, Melbourne or Brisbane (the top three largest cities)

Plenty of room for solar on existing buildings and structures. No need to transport it long distances.