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Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by chrisco255 on Tuesday November 05, 2019 @10:36PM (#21459537)
From my perspective, watching the markets since 2013, the 2017 boom was caused by Ethereum. Before Bitcoin shot up, Ethereum had shot up from $8 in December 2016 to nearly $50 a couple months later.

Now, Ethereum is a novel innovation on blockchain tech. The smart contract hype was very real at the time. (For the record, I still think smart contracts have tremendous potential) ETH had navigated a fork, secured corporate alliances, setup several foundations to promote work and was starting to generate a lot excitement around projects like Augur, Ox, etc. Then on top of that, the ICO boom happened when several projects raised tens of millions of dollars. That caused a run on ETH.

ETH boomed and then BTC followed, at least for the 2017 boom. And then the speculators danced between altcoins, Tether, Bitcoin and ETH, trying to maximize their returns while paying little attention to fundamental adoption.

I think we've seen certain technologies take over markets very quickly in the past couple decades, like desktops and wifi and mobile and then smart phones and social media...that we've gotten used to rapid disruption in tech. However, with financial tech like blockchain and crypto, it necessitates slow adoption. Why is this? Because it's real money on the line. It's cool to move fast and break things when it's an app or a fitness tracker, but when it's significant amounts of money on the line, maturity, trust, and security are tantamount.

I still think blockchain will win in the long run against legacy tech. But it will be a slow disruption.

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by grubles on Tuesday November 05, 2019 @10:47PM (#21459573)
Bitcoin has smart contracts, and has for many years now. Ethereum's marketing for the phrase is kind of misleading.

Why the downvoting? Apparently a number of people haven't heard of Bitcoin Script, or are upset I pointed out this very factual item about Bitcoin? Seems somewhat odd.

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by bitcoinbutter on Tuesday November 05, 2019 @10:57PM (#21459608)
Ethereum's smart contracts are obviously more developer friendly and easier to implement. Ethereum smart contracts are the go-to for dapps, despite having a significantly smaller userbase and market cap than bitcoin.

To say Bitcoin smart contracts are equal to Ethereum smart contracts would be akin to comparing Myspace to Facebook.

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by sterlind on Tuesday November 05, 2019 @11:03PM (#21459630)
Bitcoin originated smart contracts, but they were severely limited due to a filter that was imposed. Arbitrary scrypt execution was seen as a security risk (despite not being Turing-complete), so a set of scrypt templates were whitelisted. I think all clients would accept blocks with any scrypt in them, but most pools would only accept transactions with the fixed templates.

Bitcoin does have enough flexibility to do trustless cross-chain trading though, so it's possible to do dapp logic in Eth and manipulate BTC funds indirectly. (IIRC)

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by jimmaswell on Tuesday November 05, 2019 @11:29PM (#21459712)
And MySpace was better all around in objective terms, but facebook was dumbed down for mass appeal so it won out?
Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by ethbro on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @03:52AM (#21460767)
This is a false narrative.

Facebook better optimized for the fact that most people are too stupid to avoid using full-page background images and auto-playing music.

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by jimmaswell on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @12:48PM (#21464960)
I thought it was a lot cooler back then. People got their own customized little places about themselves, maybe with some fun media playing. Now it's all boring and sterilized.
Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by ethbro on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @08:04PM (#21469426)
It was a blessing and a curse.

The internet in general is probably "better designed" now, but also way more homogenized and boring.

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by wnevets on Tuesday November 05, 2019 @11:36PM (#21459739)
>was dumbed down for mass appeal so it won out?

thats usually how it works

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by jimmaswell on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @12:26AM (#21459953)
Yes, I just don't think the analogy worked very well.
Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by AlexCoventry on Tuesday November 05, 2019 @11:46PM (#21459786)
Discreet-log contracts are a miracle, but in the same way that a dancing bear is a miracle. There's no way they can compete with smart contracts on a platform designed with smart contracts in mind, at least on a technical level. (Maybe we'll all end up using discrete-log contracts and their descendants due to network effects, but I doubt it. Or maybe some richer zero-knowledge contract-enforcement scheme can be devised on bitcoin... Maybe.)
Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by grubles on Tuesday November 05, 2019 @11:58PM (#21459830)
Ethereum as a platform has made many bad design decisions. It's not really suitable for a lot of things; including, well, things it was marketed for (unstoppable, uncensorable, scalable applications).
Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by AlexCoventry on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @12:31AM (#21459972)
I'm sure something better for those design goals than Ethereum will come along, but I seriously doubt it's going to be Bitcoin.
Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by robcohen on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @04:06AM (#21460833)
Cardano, although still not ready for primetime, seems like a likely candidate. EDIT : I do work for IOHK and I am biased.
Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by grubles on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @09:32PM (#21469870)
Surely you haven't heard of Simplicity then. A potential replacement for Bitcoin's current scripting language.

https://blockstream.com/2018/11/28/en-simplicity-github/

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by keymone on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @05:12AM (#21461164)
Bitcoin was literally designed with contracts (programs deciding transactions) in mind from its inception. Ethereum is just script kiddies piling JavaScript onto blockchain and calling it the greatest invention in human history.
Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by AlexCoventry on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @04:21PM (#21467470)
They're an afterthought in Bitcoin. Its main goal was to be a decentralized payments system.
Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by grubles on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @09:29PM (#21469855)
They're absolutely not an afterthought in Bitcoin, and in fact some of the functionality of Bitcoin Script was disabled to prevent some of the disasters that have occurred due to poor engineering decisions in Ethereum.

https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Script

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by zelly on Tuesday November 05, 2019 @11:41PM (#21459762)
Ethereum was responsible for the 2017 bubble, but not because it is useful or smart contracts are useful or blockchain is useful. It was ICOs/scams running on Ethereum. Everyone saw their friends getting rich from Bitcoin and wanted in on one of the supposedly Next Bitcoins.

Blockchain is just a database, a slow and expensive one at that. “Legacy” tech (like a RDBMS) is much more efficient, reliable, and cutting-edge than blockchain. The only benefit of a blockchain is censorship-resistance—not needing to rely on government or centralized third-parties because a swarm maintains consensus (the longest Merkle tree). Financial markets operate in broad daylight with real identities enforced by judges and men with guns. There is absolutely no use case for censorship-resistance in that space. It is a lose/lose. How is it even supposed to work? Bankers pay miners to secure a log of their transactions? Ok, say someone robs a bank. A banker calls in to report the loss; a block gets mined showing that money is lost. Why did you need a blockchain? Why not just trust the banker to update a RDBMS cluster since you're trusting the banker's word anyway? Blockchain only works for purely digital things...like Bitcoin.

Smart contracts also do not need censorship resistance. People get along fine with the current legal system at least for civil lawsuits.

You need a blockchain iff:

- The data you are representing are other data in the same tree, not entities outside the data structure (much less entities irl).

- You need censorship-resistance because you're Silk Road or Wikileaks or trying to overthrow your government.

- The data is publicly/www world accessible by parties who do not trust each other.

TL;DR A blockchain is a domain-specific data structure internal to the Bitcoin project circa 2009.

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by Acrobatic_Road on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @12:58AM (#21460067)
>Smart contracts also do not need censorship resistance. People get along fine with the current legal system at least for civil lawsuits.

Really? How can a financially censored person access financial services? If you aren't allowed a bank account then you are immediately cut off from services which smart contracts could substitute for.

A coinbase account can be closed but an exchange built out of smart contracts like UniSwap can't censor its users.

You may not be able to access credit without a bank but you can get a loan on a smart contract money market like compound. You can even use a smart contract to lend money to yourself (Maker).

You may not have a bank account but you can use a smart contract wallet to give yourself bank-like protections such as withdrawal limits.

And so on.

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by 0beah on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @12:23AM (#21459936)
I created an account just to respond to you.

You're too focused on the trees, you can't see the forest.

https://thedefiant.substack.com/p/ether-is-the-best-model-fo...

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by zelly on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @01:58AM (#21460327)
> I created an account just to respond to you.

Honored. Thank you.

I read the article. It seems Ethereum 2.0 will double down on its wildly successful model of collecting rent from all the ponzis that live on it. Good strategy. It's still not useful though.

The litany of already-existing financial services the Ethereum community aims to replicate just proves my point--these use cases for crypto are already solved problems. It would be one thing if it's 10x better than the incumbent, but it's not even 1x better. A version of something that already exists "but with crypto" is actually a worse, slower, more expensive version of that thing. There has to be some hurdle uniquely overcome by decentralization that would justify the increased costs of this horrible implementation…like censorship by armed thugs. Who is censoring your ability to open a CD? A retirement account is the most boring thing in the world.

I feel for the people in Iran and Venezuela who cannot (easily) access foreign banks, but these people are better served by using cryptography in other ways (e.g. TOR; E2E encryption/DHKE) to access back channels to funnel money overseas to a free country's financial services. People living under totalitarian states sanctioned by the U.S. will always be a superminority (let alone of the population with real money to invest). The answer to their problems isn't to blanket adopt a new currency with performance characteristics so poor they would only be feasible if we in fact lived under a totalitarian state also.

Product-market-fit for Ethereum is designed for a dystopia where banking services are illegal; lending is illegal (and borrowers are required to over-collateralize their loans (?!!)); financial markets are inaccessible (stocks and businesses do not exist in this world, only lone wandering merchants with Trezors); every other currency is defunct or so volatile that somehow ETHEREUM is the best choice as a stable settlement layer; and you can't move because every country in the world is like this (yet somehow Ethereum coexists with global totalitarianism).

Reimplementing financial services "but with ETH" is also very certainly not innovation.

> You're too focused on the trees, you can't see the forest.

Don't get me wrong--buy Ethereum. It is completely useless, but the price has nothing to do with its usefulness or anything I said above. It could be worth $100k without any use case because humans.

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by onefuncman on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @03:01AM (#21460572)
You've clearly never tried to use "a free country's financial services" in this context. Even as a US citizen it is prohibitively difficult to open even the simplest of checking accounts from overseas.

There is no global, trans-national solution for financial services better suited for solving these issues than crypto. Your position of privilege in a first world country blinds you to the disruption available to bringing financial services to the 2nd/3rd worlds, though you are right -- it is the slowest moving gold rush we've seen from tech.

You also drastically underestimate the utility the global economy associates with tax avoidance -- disregarding the moral and legal implications, because that's what rich people do.

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by lightedman on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @12:57AM (#21460063)
Blockchain is raw garbage. The bitcoin network ALONE undid every single bit of good we achieved in terrestrial-used solar energy over 40 years, literally every gain from that wiped straight out in less than two years. Ethereum was #2 as far as energy usage goes.

We had this back in the 70s, FWIW. It failed as a miserable hunk of garbage then, it's failing as a miserable hunk of garbage now by all metrics except how efficiently it parts fools from their money.

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by Joeboy on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @02:46AM (#21460513)
> We had this back in the 70s, FWIW

Sorry, what?

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by lightedman on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @10:28AM (#21463461)
We had permissionless distributed databases (that's all blockchain is) in the 70s. They failed because they are hugely inefficient and extremely resource intensive with each added node.

What's old is new again. I'm old enough to have used one of these in the early 80s, learned about from a BBS I was frequenting.

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by bildung on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @08:38AM (#21462369)
I suppose that referred to Merkle trees? Those are from 1979.
Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by Joeboy on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @09:29AM (#21462901)
I guess. "Merkle trees are a miserable hunk of garbage" seems like a slightly extreme view to me.
Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by onion2k on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @01:56AM (#21460323)
Blockchain is raw garbage.

That's the problem though - blockchains aren't garbage. They're useful.

The actual problem is that currency speculation is garbage. If people were using BTC for its intended purpose (transferring money to and from people they don't trust) it'd be brilliant and it'd have a much more minimal environmental impact.

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by briatx on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @08:32AM (#21462295)
> blockchains aren't garbage. They're useful.

If they were useful, all these corporate pilot programs would be raging successes by now. Instead they quietly fizzle.

I personally haven't seen an application that isn't better implemented with pre-existing technologies.

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by lightedman on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @10:39AM (#21463568)
They are not useful at all, or else when we first had permissionless distributed databases in the 70s we'd freaking keep using them to this day. Regular databases like we have now are more robust and reliable, don't eat up a ton of energy like distributed permissionless databases (Bitcoin eats up an estimated 34TWh per year and growing as of 2017, there's no other database on the planet that consumes so much yet does so little) and regular databases don't need fucktons of environmentally-wasteful hardware to operate.

We figured this out in the 70s. That some idiot resurrected the idea in the '00s and got a bunch of people to buy into it tells much about the state of "technology enthusiasts" on the internet.

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by simonh on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @03:00AM (#21460569)
The thing is transferring money with guarantees is a solved problem. All you need is banks and laws and judges and police. We have those. Also transferring funds isn't enough to make a viable currency, it has to also act as a store of value.
Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by onefuncman on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @03:19AM (#21460630)
Microlending ventures clearly demonstrate the existence of under served markets.

Also, I think instead of "solved problem" you mean "solved for white people in rich countries"

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by easymodex on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @06:37AM (#21461549)
>All you need is banks and laws and judges and police.

Wow that's all? Seems so much easier than just having a crypto wallet and sending anything to anyone at any time.

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by tuesdayrain on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @08:00AM (#21462044)
Oh yeah, why don't I just sue the scammer from a third world country who charged back his PayPal payment instead of using cryptocurrency that makes it impossible. I'm sure small claims court will be happy to get me my money back.
Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by SAI_Peregrinus on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @11:21AM (#21464039)
The problem is that cryptocurrencies still require laws and judges and police. The only thing they replace is banks, and they do that bit pretty poorly.
Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by zelly on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @01:42PM (#21465580)
> If people were using BTC for its intended purpose (transferring money to and from people they don't trust) it'd be brilliant and it'd have a much more minimal environmental impact.

Making BTC transactions is the very thing that costs electricity in the BTC network. If no one made any BTC transactions today, then no blocks would be added and every miner and node would be idle.

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by TheOtherHobbes on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @06:04AM (#21461401)
BTC doesn't scam people. People scam people.

Maybe the scamming is the problem - and you're not going to solve that with technology.

Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by enterx on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @03:49AM (#21460752)
Cat videos have impact quite bigger than Bitcoin. Prove me wrong. :)
Re:One Tether Trader Didn't Cause the Bitcoin Bubble by onion2k on Wednesday November 06, 2019 @03:53AM (#21460776)
Cat videos provide more value. Prove me wrong.