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Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by tareqak on Thursday September 26, 2019 @08:50PM (#21087388)
I think if law enforcement uses these DNA databases then their entire department should be required to submit each officer’s DNA and that of their immediate family members too. If prosecutors or defending attorneys want to use these databases, then the same should go for them. If a judge admits the use of DNA evidence for a case, then the same goes for them. Politicians by virtue passing these laws should get that same treatment.

Maybe the way to solve this issue is for law enforcement to be required to mail a letter to everyone who is in the database that they are a suspect in whatever crime being investigated each time law enforcement executed or delegates the execution of a search query. I mean that is how search works: you search everything or you compute hash functions on everything to avoid searching everything, but you’ve effectively tested whether or not everyone in the database is the suspect.

On a slightly different topic, how well are these DNA databases secured and maintained? A person’s DNA might not change, but the corresponding entry in the DNA database is subject to theft, manipulation, and data corruption. What’s stopping the presumption of innocence until proven guilty becoming the presumption of innocence until the DNA database reports a match? Arguably, people should treat DNA databases with the same level of suspicion and concern as some view electronic voting: absolutely vulnerable and absolutely abusable until repeatedly proven to be not sufficiently many times.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by blotter_paper on Thursday September 26, 2019 @09:13PM (#21087519)
Resampling DNA before conviction would fix the specific issue of the digital record being subject to tampering, I kind of assume this is done already.

The real nightmare is that we might be right around the corner from DNA being writable to the extent that you could make mock DNA to plant at a crime-scene/evidence-locker, and there might be a couple awkward decades where the courts believe the FBI when they claim to have found DNA matches (just like that time they systematically pretended they could identify hairs, and convicted people of murder based on hairs that were literally from dogs in some cases). We'll catch on eventually if they try it, but it would suck for those of us convicted on falsified evidence. I wouldn't be so paranoid about that possibility if they hadn't lied about the dog hairs for decades.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by Terr_ on Thursday September 26, 2019 @09:31PM (#21087587)
> right around the corner from DNA being writable

Why bother when it's trivial to copy existing DNA? The evildoer just needs to get a tiny sample from someone who'd made a decent frame.

Sure, then you've got the problem of how to create a DNA-bearing artifact that'll fool forensics -- a spilled puddle of pure chromosomes would be weird -- but that'd be true in either case.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by rtkwe on Thursday September 26, 2019 @11:10PM (#21088055)
I've read a couple books where the opposite was done. Intentionally dump huge amounts of DNA into the area to make any tracing pointless. One amusing and gross way was vacuuming bus seats for the material.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by runarb on Friday September 27, 2019 @06:14AM (#21090238)
The Unabomber retrieved pubic hair from a public restroom to plant as a false clue in one of his bombs[0].

0: https://www.chicagotribune.com/news/ct-xpm-1998-05-05-980505...

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by Nadge on Friday September 27, 2019 @04:49AM (#21089792)
Reminds me of a scene in The Town - they were going to rob a bank, and they collected whole bags of hair from a barbershop floor, and spread it during the robbery.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by michjedi on Friday September 27, 2019 @05:51AM (#21090106)
Wouldn't that be quite useful for police?

They may be able to pinpoint a location - the barber where all the DNA matches go to have a haircut, and a time - soon after all those with majority DNA in the pile of hair went to the Barber's. Then they can analyse who was in the area around the time and find a person involved.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by jdironman on Friday September 27, 2019 @07:45AM (#21090783)
My thoughts exactly. The only true way is to appear to have never been there forensically, leave no sort of evidence. Security through obscurity only works in some instances.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by greedo on Friday September 27, 2019 @08:50AM (#21091315)
There was a murder in Nebraska where crime scene was liberally cleaned with bleach to obliterate DNA evidence. Still no conviction despite a lot of circumstantial evidence. This was partially compounded by older DNA technology that destroyed the sample while processing it.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by inetknght on Friday September 27, 2019 @10:20AM (#21092272)
> This was partially compounded by older DNA technology that destroyed the sample while processing it.

Can you point to current DNA tech which doesn't destroy the sample while processing it?

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by brokenmachine on Monday September 30, 2019 @12:01AM (#21111684)
For PCR you only need a super-tiny bit, then you can amplify it as much as you want. I guess you're still technically destroying that tiny bit, but it hardly makes a difference when you only need a few molecules.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by rtkwe on Friday September 27, 2019 @10:47AM (#21092572)
That wouldn't actually do anything for DNA, cut hair doesn't actually contain any DNA at all the only way to get DNA from hair is if the follicle is still attached which wouldn't be true generally in a barber shop.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by mullen on Friday September 27, 2019 @02:53PM (#21095131)
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by jacquesm on Friday September 27, 2019 @02:26AM (#21089026)
Keyboards are a great source of material. They accumulate no end of crap over time.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by pimmen on Friday September 27, 2019 @03:39AM (#21089438)
I wonder how often public library keyboards are cleaned, or the ones in university computer labs. When I was in college pulling all nighters in the computer lab I regularly saw the lab being cleaned, but I can't remember ever seeing the keyboards getting dusted off, let alone wiped off with disinfectants.

Go to two or three libraries in different corners of town, get what you want from the keyboards, and you should have quite the collection of DNA.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by bluGill on Friday September 27, 2019 @07:52AM (#21090838)
With the ease of travel I'd suggest go to libraries in different states or countries. Libraries close to major airports so that many people are likely to travel between them. (ie don't pick a city in the middle of nowhere just large enough to have a private airport)
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by logfromblammo on Friday September 27, 2019 @10:41AM (#21092500)
Fun activity: turn the keyboard upside down over a sheet of newsprint or butcher paper, and tap the front corner gently on a hard surface.

The word for this type of accumulation of mixed biological material, crumbs, dandruff, eyelashes, and such is "kroonch".

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by m-p-3 on Friday September 27, 2019 @12:56PM (#21093904)
Sometimes the best way to hide is in plain sight.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by haihaibye on Sunday September 29, 2019 @08:03PM (#21110515)
Because if you make an oligo from someone's digital data it's harder to link you - you may never have been on the same continent together.

It's like snatching handbags vs online credit card fraud - the reach of criminals to victims got a lot bigger.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by SEJeff on Friday September 27, 2019 @06:20AM (#21090273)
Indeed! We did Polymerase Chain Reaction experiments when I was in senior biology in high school almost 20 years ago.

$150 for 10 groups: Edvotek 330 Amplification of DNA by PCR, For 10 Lab Groups https://www.amazon.com/dp/B004W7ZAYI

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by chopin on Friday September 27, 2019 @02:01AM (#21088905)
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by jliptzin on Friday September 27, 2019 @10:45AM (#21092540)
Another nightmare, it's already possible to create convincing audio samples of someone else's voice that can be used for framing. I'm sure believable, fake video footage is around the corner too. Then what? You can create fake audio/video of anyone committing crimes. Or it can be used to fabricate an alibi for someone who is actually guilty. Not sure where we go after that. Maybe back to the time before audio/video technology was invented and rely solely on witness testimony.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by cr0sh on Friday September 27, 2019 @01:13PM (#21094056)
> rely solely on witness testimony.

Bad part about that - even today - is that we know for a fact that what people remember/recall isn't necessarily what actually occurred. Also, as time goes on, those recollections can become more unreliable.

We know that the mind confabulates, making things up to fill in gaps - both at the time something occurs, and after the fact to "fill in the story".

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4183265/

https://faculty.sites.uci.edu/starklab/false-memory-eyewitne...

Unfortunately, the legal system has been slow in acknowledging this - on top of so many other things found and/or known to be false or bias - two big ones are so-called "lie detector" systems, and "blood spatter analysis".

Fortunately, lie detector "evidence" is generally not admissible in the United States (at least I think for criminal cases?) - but blood spatter analysis is still considered to be a "real science", when it may be anything but:

https://features.propublica.org/blood-spatter/blood-spatter-...

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by blotter_paper on Friday September 27, 2019 @11:23AM (#21092957)
Deepfaked videos are here already, I could see one passing as believable evidence (especially if it's shrunk down to a lower resolution, as in a high quality deepfake pretending to be a cellphone video).

We had this brief period of history where good records of actual events were cheap to capture and expensive/impossible to fake (governments have been airbrushing photos for most of this period, but videos seem to have been tougher). We're at the end of that now, but the public hasn't quite caught on. I think it'll take at least one high profile case getting overturned before society at large stops believing in videos. Then we're essentially back to trusting people at their word/digital-signature, and we'll probably have "trusted" security camera companies that install tamper-proof cameras at multiple angles that cryptographically sign videos while streaming them to remote servers. Before that, and probably after it as well, some of us will rot behind bars based on state-forged evidence.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by mmcru on Friday September 27, 2019 @02:49PM (#21095070)
People said the same thing when photo-editing software was new. How is this any different?
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by bayesian_horse on Friday September 27, 2019 @03:36AM (#21089416)
DNA has long lost its aura of invincibility.

A partial or even complete match is not enough to convict anyone.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by m-p-3 on Friday September 27, 2019 @12:59PM (#21093938)
And with technology like CRISPR, you kinda wonder how that will impact forensic science.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by bayesian_horse on Saturday September 28, 2019 @10:24AM (#21100427)
Not at all, probably.

From what I know about CRISPR, and forensic DNA testing, it should be extremely difficult or impossible to, for example, change your "genetic fingerprint" as it is called.

If I remember correctly, those methods primarily use repetitive patterns, which should be hard to modify with CRISPR. And you'd need to modify hundreds of them, and in billions of cells of your body (even if you try to only get white blood cells and their progenitors).

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by conjectures on Friday September 27, 2019 @04:50AM (#21089794)
That sounds like something nation states would be able to do well before it's acknowledged.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by bayesian_horse on Friday September 27, 2019 @03:33AM (#21089398)
I know that members of the military already have been entered into DNA databases, and there are reasons to do this with police officers and firefighters. Mostly to identify them postmortem.

I don't subscribe to DNA information being a secret. It tends to be "secret" in the sense that it is non-trivial to obtain. But you leave behind a trail of DNA everywhere. Ultimately, it cannot be held secret.

Therefor it is more important to regulate the use of such information, for example to prevent discrimination.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by nyolfen on Friday September 27, 2019 @05:39AM (#21090046)
i suspect the military/leo databases are not the ones being searched in criminal cases
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by Bedon292 on Friday September 27, 2019 @10:18AM (#21092258)
In fact when your DNA is taken for the military database it is explicitly stated that it will not be used for criminal cases. If anyone managed to search the database, that would certainly get thrown out by a court.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by vageli on Friday September 27, 2019 @11:53AM (#21093298)
> In fact when your DNA is taken for the military database it is explicitly stated that it will not be used for criminal cases. If anyone managed to search the database, that would certainly get thrown out by a court.

I wouldn't be so sure. Evidence observed during the execution of a warrant against the incorrect property is still valid and admissable, for example. Not saying this kind of thing applies in this specific case but thought the idea worth mentioning.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by bayesian_horse on Saturday September 28, 2019 @10:25AM (#21100436)
Aren't there exceptions when there is a reasonable cause to suspect a member of the military?
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by hugh4life on Friday September 27, 2019 @12:12AM (#21088334)
Law enforcement in the US could build a pretty powerful genetic genealogy database just using their own DNA.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by foota on Thursday September 26, 2019 @09:05PM (#21087483)
I don't think these are typically used (or could be used) to convict someone, I think it's mostly used to guide investigations.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by monocasa on Thursday September 26, 2019 @10:47PM (#21087962)
Why wouldn't they be allowed to be used? Anything that guides an investigation is supposed to be admissable evidence or else you get into fruit of the poisonous tree territory, which is illegal. Not saying it wouldn't happen still, but they wouldn't be talking about using it in that case. It'd be like with stingrays where they publicly claim that they got a tip from a confidential informant and drop cases on anyone who gets close to the truth so the never actually get a judge to tell them they can't do it.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by brownbat on Thursday September 26, 2019 @11:31PM (#21088151)
> Anything that guides an investigation is supposed to be admissable evidence or else you get into fruit of the poisonous tree territory, which is illegal.

Slight correction here.

The FPT doctrine makes it so most[0] evidence obtained illegally cannot be admitted. It doesn't work in reverse, it does not imply that all inadmissible evidence is illegal.

For example, the first half of many investigations is full of inadmissible hearsay, before you narrow in on what happened and find the people who actually saw something and can testify. There's nothing wrong with talking to people to figure out who knows things, and see how stories changed when they were told to different people, so you can more fully understand what happened.

How this applies to your main question --

It might be very difficult to use a DNA database company results in a US court because you might have to involve a ton of witnesses to vouch for every part of the process. Suppose the defense asked, "But how do we know the post office didn't mix up different samples that day!?" You would be forced to either (a) have the USPS provide testimony establishing a full chain of custody, or (b) just test the defendant now to verify the match. It will always be easier to do (b), so I'd guess[1] everyone just skips to that step.

[0] Even FPT has exceptions...

[1] Maybe there are other procedural ways to approach this that are more common now, I haven't been involved in cases like these or researched it specifically, my criminal procedure knowledge is getting really dated so I might be wrong here.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by vageli on Friday September 27, 2019 @11:56AM (#21093325)
> > Anything that guides an investigation is supposed to be admissable evidence or else you get into fruit of the poisonous tree territory, which is illegal.

> Slight correction here.

> The FPT doctrine makes it so most[0] evidence obtained illegally cannot be admitted. It doesn't work in reverse, it does not imply that all inadmissible evidence is illegal.

> For example, the first half of many investigations is full of inadmissible hearsay, before you narrow in on what happened and find the people who actually saw something and can testify. There's nothing wrong with talking to people to figure out who knows things, and see how stories changed when they were told to different people, so you can more fully understand what happened.

> How this applies to your main question --

> It might be very difficult to use a DNA database company results in a US court because you might have to involve a ton of witnesses to vouch for every part of the process. Suppose the defense asked, "But how do we know the post office didn't mix up different samples that day!?" You would be forced to either (a) have the USPS provide testimony establishing a full chain of custody, or (b) just test the defendant now to verify the match. It will always be easier to do (b), so I'd guess[1] everyone just skips to that step.

I never thought of this but it would be surprising if the USPS _didn't_ maintain some sort of chain of custody of mail items, at least at the bag level or whatever unit they use.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by brownbat on Saturday September 28, 2019 @03:02PM (#21102216)
> I never thought of this but it would be surprising if the USPS _didn't_ maintain some sort of chain of custody of mail items, at least at the bag level or whatever unit they use.

Probably so. And in civil contract law we almost presume the USPS works more or less like a black box and always functions correctly. I mean, more specifically here, you might not have to question the USPS but might have to question the lab techs, or some company representative, and open up debates about what safeguards they use to prevent samples from getting mixed up. Lots of openings you could avoid by just testing on site, so that will always be easier. You generally just do whatever you can to remove extraneous witnesses to simplify your argument.

The subtle trick with US criminal law is that it is still a "testimonial" system. You have to have someone vouch for every piece of evidence. If you take photos of the crime scene you technically have to ask someone questions like, "do these represent the scene of the crime?" ("How would you even know? What makes you an expert on what this place looks like?") Some of this stuff can get waived but in contentious cases you dot your is and cross your ts.

Physical evidence is a bit like a hacked on extension of an old oral only court system. You originally just asked a bunch of villagers what happened and hoped they were sufficiently scared of swearing oaths to not lie.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by Vrondi on Friday September 27, 2019 @02:41PM (#21094968)
USPS has been scanning all mail going through sorting facilities with cameras for years now. All mail is photographed, image goes into a database, image is OCR processed, etc. This is only in recent years, but still. Interesting stuff: https://www.newsweek.com/postal-service-photographs-every-pi...
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by foota on Friday September 27, 2019 @02:01PM (#21094525)
I would be super surprised if they _did_ that seems like a massive amount of work for not much gain.

Maybe something like logistics (i.e., bag went out for delivery on truck FOO) but I doubt they track everyone that has had access to it.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by cortesoft on Friday September 27, 2019 @12:25AM (#21088412)
Unless they use parallel construction after the fact...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parallel_construction

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by monocasa on Friday September 27, 2019 @01:07AM (#21088623)
Which is the illegal part.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by jacquesm on Friday September 27, 2019 @02:28AM (#21089031)
That does not seem to be enough to stop it from happening.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by monocasa on Friday September 27, 2019 @11:23AM (#21092960)
The whole second half of my original comment is on how even if it was illegal, we still wouldn't be seeing them talking about it so publicly, comparing it to their use of stingrays which is pretty much veiled in secrecy.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by tareqak on Friday September 27, 2019 @01:27AM (#21088714)
But also a hard to discover part and a hard to fight part.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by astura on Thursday September 26, 2019 @09:47PM (#21087648)
This is correct, it's used to find suspects, not to convict anyone.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by geggam on Thursday September 26, 2019 @10:50PM (#21087977)
AKA fishing
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by gbrown on Thursday September 26, 2019 @11:02PM (#21088032)
If done right, spear fishing.

I'm a privacy guy, but the science really is there to use DNA to narrow a list of suspects. You can't say the same for much of forensic science, or for that matter mass surveillance technologies.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by tareqak on Friday September 27, 2019 @01:30AM (#21088733)
However, the list of suspects can still lack the actual criminal(s), but still contain an innocent with poor, but true alibi.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by tbyehl on Friday September 27, 2019 @02:04AM (#21088926)
Here's an actual case of an innocent person who faced charges and a high probability of losing their freedom due to DNA transference:

https://www.wired.com/story/dna-transfer-framed-murder/

The take-away is that shed skin cells containing DNA can migrate and a DNA match from that type of evidence shouldn't be relied on as proof of anything.

To my view, the combination of DNA transference, advancing DNA collection / analysis techniques, the mere existence of DNA databases, and familial searches are absolutely terrifying.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by gbrown on Friday September 27, 2019 @08:21AM (#21091057)
Good counterpoint, definitely an issue. When the police find macroscopic quantities of bodily fluids, however, it would seem to be madness not to use the evidence.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by tbyehl on Friday September 27, 2019 @09:46AM (#21091894)
Absolutely.

I do question if society is better off catching a few more criminals through these databases and familial matching vs the potential for innocents to be imprisoned based on nothing more than a DNA match against skin cells.

I'm also not too fond of the idea of my relatives' DNA being used to draw suspicion to another relative just because someone's DNA wound up in a database. To me it's just another one of those things (ALPRs, all the compilations of "it's just metadata") that erode our privacy and give the state a great deal of power for relatively little benefit to the people.

All crimes don't get solved, all criminals don't get caught, and in a society where everyone's a law-breaker because there are too many laws to know them all and so many of them are dumb, that's how things should be.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by BurningFrog on Thursday September 26, 2019 @11:24PM (#21088124)
"Fishing" in police work is kinda the opposite:

You investigate someone, hoping to find some law they might have broken.

This is trying to find out who committed an already known serious crime. That's just "police work", in my view.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by jacquesm on Friday September 27, 2019 @02:29AM (#21089043)
Except of course that possibly the only link between the suspects and the crime is the DNA, they may not have committed anything.

But once such a suspect is lined up the search is over and all that will happen is to look for confirmation rather than exculpation.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by BurningFrog on Friday September 27, 2019 @04:20PM (#21095894)
Any suspect can always be innocent.

There is nothing special about DNA evidence that makes it worse or better in that regard.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by geggam on Friday September 27, 2019 @10:57AM (#21092683)
You dont have a warrant to find those peoples things.

Get a warrant before searching for each persons DNA, not search each persons DNA then get a warrant

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by 2rsf on Friday September 27, 2019 @02:54AM (#21089173)
"unbelievable" on Netflix is a good example of such leads- family tree DNA leads to two brothers
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by detail-oriented on Thursday September 26, 2019 @11:45PM (#21088222)
It seems like any competent defense attorney would insist on resampling, or alternatively insist this evidence thrown out duebto lack of chain of custody.

Signed, not a lawyer.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by jacquesm on Friday September 27, 2019 @02:53AM (#21089168)
Insisting on resampling would be stupid, it will match twice that is not the problem. But if you insist on resampling then you are giving the evidence more weight than it can bear, much better to show that statistically it does not have much weight at all even if it matches (once, twice or more is not relevant).

The cold cases broken open are the ones that are left after all the other methods have already been exhausted. Sure, some of those might have remained unsolved if not for this method. But that does nothing to show the method by itself works better than all the other police work, for that to be concluded you'd have to compare with all the cases that were solved with ordinary police work and then to conclude that if all of them were first attempted to be solved with this method that the total outcome would be an improvement.

That seems unlikely. So for a very small fraction of extra cases solved a very large change in evidence gathering methods and dragnet style fishing for suspects does not seem to be worth it to me.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by detail-oriented on Friday September 27, 2019 @04:25PM (#21095934)
Stupid if your client is guilty and you trust the database, not so stupid if your client insists they are innocent and the database governance processes are suspect.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by jacquesm on Friday September 27, 2019 @04:31PM (#21095991)
That test will run the same way twice unless it has been tampered with, you'd have to be pretty sure before taking a gamble on that. The chances of a false positive are >> the chances of database tampering, why attack the harder target?
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by SamReidHughes on Thursday September 26, 2019 @09:08PM (#21087494)
If you have somebody in custody, you can double-check the DNA record with a new cheek swab.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by vkou on Thursday September 26, 2019 @09:16PM (#21087532)
The problem with fishing expeditions on DNA databases is that when you run a 'one in a million false positive' test against a database of 300,000,000 people, you're going to get 300 false positives.

More than one of those suckers just might not have an alibi.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by smnrchrds on Thursday September 26, 2019 @09:31PM (#21087585)
I am curious about the actual false positive rate and how they compound. To use your hypothetical number, if the false positive rate is one in a million per test, if law enforcement tests your DNA sample against 700,000 samples from crime scenes, there is a 50% chance at least one of them will be a match due to false positive [1]. That is much scarier than what one in a million suggests.

[1] (1 - 1e-6) ^ 700,000 = 49.6 % chance of no false positive match

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by dmckeon on Thursday September 26, 2019 @09:43PM (#21087633)
Or you now have 299,999,700 probable negatives, and 300 possible positives to review for motive, method, and opportunity before you start looking at/for alibis.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by jessaustin on Thursday September 26, 2019 @11:09PM (#21088051)
Oh yeah, lots of American police want to work this hard; there's probably five or six of them at least. What most police will do instead is arrest the first name on the list. When she or he documents an alibi, they'll arrest the second name on the list. Eventually, some poor bastard who lives in the same state will have gone hiking alone the day of the crime, or stayed home and slept after a week of overtime, or whatever. Unless there is a statistician on the jury, that person is going to prison.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by Simon_says on Friday September 27, 2019 @12:20AM (#21088385)
Statisticians probably get excluded in jury selection, along with anybody else whose profession indicates they have a clue.

https://www.quora.com/Are-engineers-usually-excused-from-jur...

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by nothal on Thursday September 26, 2019 @09:57PM (#21087702)
Unless you've got a cold case, that seems like more potential suspects than a general person may reasonably have.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by astura on Thursday September 26, 2019 @10:32PM (#21087894)
That's like saying police shouldn't be allowed to use Google's "similar image" search because there could be false positives among the similar images.

These genetic databases are tools used for investigation to identify suspects. Once the suspect is identified, the investigators still have to build a case against them, including obtaining their DNA directly for testing against the crime scene DNA. Since all the cases I've read about the police got the suspect's DNA samples from the garbage, it doesn't seem like the genetic research itself is even enough to get a warrant for the suspect's DNA.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by jessaustin on Thursday September 26, 2019 @11:01PM (#21088029)
The hypothesis of this example is that the unfortunate suspect's DNA "matches" the crime scene DNA. Of course it's going to "match" when they test it again. The point is that when the original match is against a huge population, you're going to find a bunch of matches, most or all of whom are innocent. Picking one out of that set and then confirming that one is really in that set doesn't prove anything.
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by bloak on Friday September 27, 2019 @02:49AM (#21089146)
I'm not an expert, but I would guess it would be possible to have an exact match on the genetic fingerprinting, but then do a full genome sequencing to confirm that the two samples are from different people.

The funny thing is that although I have often heard about the police finding an exact DNA match with someone who was provably not at the crime scene, I've never heard about anyone doing a different DNA test afterwards to investigate what happened: did a fragment of skin get carried in the wind from one city to another, did samples get mixed up in a laboratory, or was the match a false one, akin to a hash collision?

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by jacquesm on Friday September 27, 2019 @02:54AM (#21089177)
These DNA tests do not use full genome sequencing, they use SNPs.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SNP_genotyping

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by cortesoft on Friday September 27, 2019 @12:28AM (#21088428)
I agree with your conclusion in general, but you add in some very basic secondary checks and you won't get that many false positives... do they live anywhere near the crime? Do they have any motive or opportunity to commit the crime? Were they in the area at the time?
Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by jacquesm on Friday September 27, 2019 @02:32AM (#21089049)
So now you are fishing with a net with smaller holes. You're going to catch suspects that look bad because you've selected for that but that still may not have anything to do with the crime you are investigating.

God forbid any of them are minorities and the victim a white person, you're 95% on the road to a conviction.

Re:New federal rules limit police searches of family tree DN... by raverbashing on Friday September 27, 2019 @04:47AM (#21089781)
But if you're testing 300Mi most of those are probably not even in you jurisdiction or have no ties to the case