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A comment on Hold That Recession: U.S. Indicators Are Trouncing Forecasts. Parent comment

Re:Hold That Recession: U.S. Indicators Are Trouncing Forecasts by blackflame7000 on Saturday September 21, 2019 @08:05PM (#21038736)
Most recessions are preceded by yield inversion, but a yield inversion may or may not lead to a recession. That’s where are the misleading information is coming from.

Edit: Idk why the downvotes. Yield inversions occur much more often than recessions therefore by necessity some yield inversions are preceded by another yield inversion instead of a recession.

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Re:Hold That Recession: U.S. Indicators Are Trouncing Forecasts by remarkEon on Saturday September 21, 2019 @10:03PM (#21039171)
"All recessions have been preceded by an inversion of the 2-10 year, but not all inversions of the 2-10 year have preceded a recession" is the phrasiology you're looking for.
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Re:Hold That Recession: U.S. Indicators Are Trouncing Forecasts by blackflame7000 on Saturday September 21, 2019 @10:09PM (#21039198)
“not all inversions of the 2-10 year have preceded a recession”

Since recessions are cyclical all inversions eventually lead to a recession. There haven’t been enough cycles to draw any sort of meaningful conclusions based on temporal proximity of the inversions to the recessions.

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Re:Hold That Recession: U.S. Indicators Are Trouncing Forecasts by the_narrator on Saturday September 21, 2019 @10:51PM (#21039337)
you seem to be contradicting yourself

> a yield inversion may or may not lead to a recession

> all inversions eventually lead to a recession

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