Re:Hold That Recession: U.S. Indicators Are Trouncing Forecasts
by remarkEon on Saturday September 21, 2019 @10:03PM
(#21039171)
"All recessions have been preceded by an inversion of the 2-10 year, but not all inversions of the 2-10 year have preceded a recession" is the phrasiology you're looking for.
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Re:Hold That Recession: U.S. Indicators Are Trouncing Forecasts
by blackflame7000 on Saturday September 21, 2019 @10:09PM
(#21039198)
“not all inversions of the 2-10 year have preceded a recession”
Since recessions are cyclical all inversions eventually lead to a recession. There haven’t been enough cycles to draw any sort of meaningful conclusions based on temporal proximity of the inversions to the recessions.
Re:Hold That Recession: U.S. Indicators Are Trouncing Forecasts
by the_narrator on Saturday September 21, 2019 @10:51PM
(#21039337)
you seem to be contradicting yourself
> a yield inversion may or may not lead to a recession
> all inversions eventually lead to a recession