Hold That Recession: U.S. Indicators Are Trouncing Forecasts

Re:Hold That Recession: U.S. Indicators Are Trouncing Forecasts by blackflame7000 on Saturday September 21, 2019 @10:09PM (#21039198)

“not all inversions of the 2-10 year have preceded a recession”

Since recessions are cyclical all inversions eventually lead to a recession. There haven’t been enough cycles to draw any sort of meaningful conclusions based on temporal proximity of the inversions to the recessions.

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Re:Hold That Recession: U.S. Indicators Are Trouncing Forecasts by the_narrator on Saturday September 21, 2019 @10:51PM (#21039337)

you seem to be contradicting yourself

> a yield inversion may or may not lead to a recession

> all inversions eventually lead to a recession

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