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Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by pm215 on Sunday September 01, 2019 @04:59AM (#20851250)
A lot of the headline grabbing stuff wasn't the grid's fault though:

* the railways didn't have traction power disconnected -- but one type of (new) train saw the within-specification frequency drop, shut down, and in many cases needed a fitter to go out and restart it. Everything else behind a dead train was stuck. I imagine the train company are discussing this with their supplier...

* Ipswich hospital had a power outage, but that was because their own systems disconnected from the grid when they saw the frequency drop, and then they had a problem with one of their generators.

*One regional airport seems to have been accidentally not on the list of key sites not to disconnect -- sounds like an admin snafu, and has now been fixed.

None of these seem like "bad management" -- they are a collection of relatively minor, entirely unrelated, problems of the sort you're likely to run into if you have to activate an emergency procedure you haven't needed to use in a decade.

Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by topspin on Sunday September 01, 2019 @07:15AM (#20851645)
I read your list and see a bunch of 'technical debt.' Trains put into operation without the ability to survive a power transient without intervention. Life critical backup power system failures. The set of critical sites is not being maintained properly. In my mind these failures are are not entirely unrelated; reliable power is taken for granted and the testing and maintenance necessary to cope with power outages is neglected.
Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by mytailorisrich on Sunday September 01, 2019 @11:45AM (#20852863)
This is not technical debt. These are signs of oversights or potential poor management. Indeed that's what neglecting these procedures is.

This is why a comprehensive investigation is needed to ensure the details are known and all lessons learned or, unfortunately, re-learned.

Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by walshemj on Sunday September 01, 2019 @04:20PM (#20854619)
Its shockly poor procurement - those new trains are not fit for purpose.
Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by growse on Sunday September 01, 2019 @05:52PM (#20855219)
Do you mean that they don't meet the requirements of the tender spec ("not fit for purpose") or that the spec in the tender process was deficient ("shockingly poor procurement")?
Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by walshemj on Sunday September 01, 2019 @08:17PM (#20855836)
Both the older electrostars where far better
Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by growse on Sunday September 01, 2019 @12:03PM (#20852957)
> Trains put into operation without the ability to survive a power transient without intervention.

The trains were built to a environmental tolerance spec, and shutting down when that spec is exceeded seems like a reasonable thing to do. Having an expert test that all the safety systems are still working properly after they've been exposed to conditions they weren't designed for also seems prudent.

Do you think people should pay higher ticket prices / more tax to fund trains that can tolerate a wider range of input frequencies, given how rarely these sorts of events happen?

Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by topspin on Sunday September 15, 2019 @04:21AM (#20976172)
> The trains were built to a environmental tolerance spec and shutting down when that spec is exceeded seems like a reasonable thing to do.

Yes, they were built to a spec. According to the official technical report[1] these trains DID NOT experience anything outside that spec. The shut down was not supposed to occur. The trains are simply defective and both manufacturer and operator testing failed to reveal these defects. There is no other reasonable conclusion. Defective, inadequately tested trains.

> Having an expert test that all the safety systems are still working properly after they've been exposed to conditions they weren't designed for also seems prudent.

This bit of guesswork is also contradicted in the official report as the manufacturer has committed to providing a system update to permit operation to resume WITHOUT any of your supposed 'prudence.' Resuming operation on power recovery without intervention by technicians is the specified, expected behavior. This is a separate defect that also survived whatever obviously inadequate testing regime was supposedly in effect.

> Do you think people should pay higher ticket prices / more tax to fund trains that can tolerate a wider range of input frequencies, given how rarely these sorts of events happen?

Since the official conclusion and subsequent response by the manufacturer both show the trains were specified to tolerate these conditions the extraordinary costs you imagine are a fiction; the cost has already been paid. No higher ticket prices required. And since these conditions were specified we also know they were indeed anticipated despite their infrequency.

Both the manufacturer and the operator failed here. They got caught with their pants down. You may not like hearing that for whatever reason but that's the bottom line and inventing excuses won't change it.

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20973513

Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by caf on Sunday September 01, 2019 @09:25PM (#20856103)
The GP says that the frequency drop was within-specification, not exceeding spec.
Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by growse on Monday September 02, 2019 @05:24AM (#20857841)
Which specification though? At the time they were being designed and procured, I think the specified tolerance for frequency change rate on the grid was 0.125Hz/s, but this was relaxed in 2014 to 1Hz/s (see https://www.nationalgrideso.com/document/10771/download). How much the effects of relaxing this on existing equipment was considered, it's not clear.

Similarly, the grid's license gives them a ±1% variation around 50Hz (so ±0.5Hz from https://www.nationalgrideso.com/balancing-services/frequency...).

So we have a power anomaly where the frequency moved >0.125Hz/s and dropped well below the 49.5Hz license threshold. I don't know what the procurement spec was, but I'd be very surprised if this event was "in-spec" for the trains, so in the absence if this it's probably reasonable to say that GP is incorrect.

Transformers get quite unhappily melty if you drop the frequency too much, so if your cooling system isn't designed to cope with this, it's probably better to shut down than have an exciting fire.

Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by makomk on Monday September 02, 2019 @12:19PM (#20860024)
The grid's license only requires them to be within ±0.5Hz of the nominal 50Hz for at least 95% of the time. Anyone designing a system which needs to operate reliably ideally ought to design it to operate over the full 47.5-52Hz range, or at least not fail so completely it cannot be restarted. Low frequency demand disconnect only starts at 48.8 Hz, ao any system that can't handle that is effectively setting itself up to be the first thing to fail when there's a power shortfall. This is utterly inexcusable for a train given the amount of disruption caused by multiple lines being clogged by failed trains in multiple places.
Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by growse on Tuesday September 03, 2019 @05:15AM (#20864849)
I don't disagree that a train that can tolerate a wider range is desirable, but lots of things are desirable. It's also desirable to give everyone their own carriage, or have a free bar on every train. But at what cost?

* Wider tolerance means heavier electrical and cooling systems, increasing both capital outlay and operating cost for both track wear and maintenance.

* The trains procured were essentially "off the shelf" from Siemens and would have been designed and manufactured for other operators before the DfT put the tender together. A wider operating tolerance would have therefore either ruled out the Siemens trains, or at least significantly upped the cost as they would have had to redesign them.

An annual season ticket from St Albans to London is about £3,600. How much more should that passenger (as well as the taxpayer) be paying so that they can travel on trains that work when this type of event happens? How often does this type of event happen?

> This is utterly inexcusable for a train given the amount of disruption caused by multiple lines being clogged by failed trains in multiple places.

People being stuck on trains for a few hours is pretty far down the severity list of "things that could go wrong" when the power goes out. That said, what I do think the outcome will be here is they'll figure out if/how the driver can self-reset this type of issue rather than requiring a fitter to travel out.

Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by pedrocr on Sunday September 01, 2019 @05:34AM (#20851359)
In a way these events become a blessing in disguise because of those things. We've had to deal with similar crisis situations in our supply chain. It really helps to test your procedures and operations fixing stuff along the way. The team also gains experience and becomes much more prepared for worse events should they come.
Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by toyg on Sunday September 01, 2019 @07:10AM (#20851631)
I would go as far as suggesting that these things should be routinely tested. In the UK most public buildings test fire alarms once a week; a programmed plan of localised, managed blackouts, to be carried out once every few years, would probably help in the long run - particularly as the grid is rapidly changing as described at the end of the post.
Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by mytailorisrich on Sunday September 01, 2019 @11:58AM (#20852926)
Of course they should be routinely tested. This is not a new idea and is an established best practice.

This is why I am very surprised when I read that hospitals generators failing to take over is just "one of those things".

It's like the 'old' saying that you don't have backups until you test recovery from backups...

Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by andygates on Tuesday September 03, 2019 @07:51AM (#20865627)
We didn't hear about all the other hospitals that easily switched over to generators, just the one that failed. There's room for investigation there, but it's on the site, not the system.
Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by pedrocr on Sunday September 01, 2019 @08:41AM (#20851957)
Definitely. We use seasonal demand peaks to learn how to cope with extremes. But if we didn't have those plus strikes I'd definitely be planning a few test runs.
Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by mytailorisrich on Sunday September 01, 2019 @05:01AM (#20851256)
I did mention the railways and indeed the importance of making sure the whole system can cope, which means what you list in addition to the grid in isolation.

> None of these seem like "bad management"

They do seem like bad management because to me it looks like these issues were not taken seriously.

> problems of the sort you're likely to run into if you have to activate an emergency procedure you haven't needed to use in a decade.

That's bad management right there if an organisation's emergency procedure has been collecting dust for a decade.

Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by DanBC on Sunday September 01, 2019 @05:03AM (#20851260)
> They do seem like bad management.

But not bad management by the Grid.

Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by mytailorisrich on Sunday September 01, 2019 @05:11AM (#20851282)
Including by the grid because key infrastructures did lose power.

But in general a worrying aspect of what happened is that there seems to have been oversights all over the place (grid, hospitals, railways, etc).

Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by DanBC on Sunday September 01, 2019 @05:19AM (#20851310)
How many 9s do you want from the grid?

There are lots of reasons why hospitals lose power, which is why they all have backup generators.

Ipswich's backup generator had a faulty battery. This is nothing to do with the grid. This is entirely the fault of the hospital trust. Most of the hospital's backups worked.

https://www.ipswichstar.co.uk/news/ipswich-hospital-blackout...

> A spokeswoman said: "Our initial investigation has shown that at 4.52pm on Friday, August 9, we lost our electricity supply until 5pm. We have 11 generators at Ipswich Hospital and all of them worked immediately.

> "What we have found is that the battery which automatically operates one of the switch over systems from mains power to generator power was faulty despite being within its recommended life.

Here's the trust document talking about the new installation when it was put in.

http://www.ipswichhospital.nhs.uk/aboutourhospital/Documents...

> Electrical High Voltage Infrastructure was a critically important project to the Trust in providing a resilient high voltage electrical network to the hospital. Through a range of electrical projects, including the replacement and upgrading of outpatients generator ‘C’, the maternity generator project and the upgrading of the high voltage switchgear for the forthcoming biofuels project, this represented a total overall investment in excess of £2m. Virtually all the Trust’s electrical switchgear has now been improved and modernised. Along with the new backup generators the hospital is protected for years to come and a major significant risk to hospital has been dealt with.

Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by mytailorisrich on Sunday September 01, 2019 @05:32AM (#20851351)
It's clear that there were issues at hospitals (as expected cynical me thinks, knowing British healthcare...) but the fact that key infrastructure lost power does points to issues at the grid level as well (because sites that lost power did so based on grid procedures).
Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by Zenst on Sunday September 01, 2019 @05:46AM (#20851398)
When they cut the power to an area, they can't selectively keep isolated locations active unless they are isolated in that they operate upon their own spur. That is why Hospitals would be deemed critical and important not to cut out, they are handled by onsight failover power supply in the form of backup generators.

In this case, it was like asking somebody to be able to catch a ball, they say they are ready and yet fail to catch that ball when you thru it to them. Is that the fault of the person who throws the ball or the person that was not prepared to catch the ball when they said they could.

In this instance it falls into the infortunate situation, and from what I can tell, you can't lay blame onto anybody or party for the failure and it is just one of those things. Sure leasons will be learned, but from the grid procedure in this hospital case, there will be no change I can see that would be learned. However the Hospital will be learning from this and may have more frequent testing and checks of their failover, may make changes. So if blame is to be leveraged upon anybody - you could say it would be from the party that had to make changes. But in this instance, would that be fair. Hence I would call this unfortunate and whilst lessons will be learned, you can not lay blame out of those lessons all the time. However - if it happens again and those same mistakes transpire - then, maybe you have some grounds to lay some blame.

Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by trebligdivad on Sunday September 01, 2019 @08:01AM (#20851816)
The actual report says that Ipswich hospital wasn't part of the load shedding; so it's not clear why the generators had to cut in in the first place yet.
Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by generatorguy on Sunday September 01, 2019 @12:13PM (#20853027)
When the frequency is nosediving and below some threshold it is a good sign that you want to switch to your back up power immediately. Even if there isn’t ultimately a cut, it is bad quality power and a sign of system instability
Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by mytailorisrich on Sunday September 01, 2019 @06:03AM (#20851443)
I'm sure that they will learn lessons that railways, hospitals, airports should perhaps not be the first to lose power, that trains should be able to restart quickly, and that generators should be comprehensively tested to respond to real situations, and it will be no-one's fault.

I fully agree with you that this is the likely outcome.

Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by mellosouls on Sunday September 01, 2019 @09:41AM (#20852209)
Reading this exchange as a third party, both sides make fair points, but one side is being excessively downvoted, which is either unfortunate or possibly a regrettable sign of emotional over intellectual engagement in the discussion somewhere.
Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by mytailorisrich on Sunday September 01, 2019 @11:39AM (#20852822)
It is rather odd, indeed, but usual. Their often seems to be an "incorrect" opinion.

It seems that one of the commenters work for the National Grid or related so might be a bit partial...

Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by baxtr on Sunday September 01, 2019 @05:17AM (#20851299)
Sounds like a good chance to test the systems
Re:What Happened in the UK Blackouts? by walshemj on Sunday September 01, 2019 @04:19PM (#20854608)
Ah I wondered why the ST Pancras line was in such a mess hours later