Versus 705 TM3 registrations in May, 424 so far in June.
YTD is ~8,000 TM3 vs 3,700 Leaf.
Of course there’s nothing stopping Nissan from introducing a new upgraded Leaf in 2019. Maybe they did?
Yes they did. And it starts shipping to european customers this summer as per <1>. So you’re comparing preorder shipment numbers for tesla model 3 with previous gen leafs when a model refresh is coming and the new model can actually already be preordered. And the leaf still is not far behind in May.
<1> https://europe.nissannews.com/en-GB/releases/release-90b1ce8...
For May, the Volkswagen e-Golf outsold the TM3 by 25%.
Arguably a reasonable approach might be to throw away the month that Tesla had its highest deliveries but still use the sum of all other months.
Obviously the first quarter will be a rush of deliveries in each market as the backlog clears. Then there will be a trough where everyone who was an early adopter has got theirs and the late majority starts to consider all these TM3s they see scooting around.
How quickly Tesla recovers from the trough and how high the long term market share will go is absolutely the Billion dollar question.
Reportedly strong demand this quarter in North America points to the TM3 potentially having broad appeal beyond the EV zealots, but it’s very much too early to tell.
If you know the answer to this question, it’s the difference between TSLA at $10 and TSLA at $500. I have my own opinion, and I put some money on it. But I’m a TM3 owner, I absolutely adore the machine, and I think it’s 5 years ahead of any competition and is going to absolutely clean up as people realize it’s sensational to drive, it doesn’t actually cost $80k (can’t tell you how many people I’ve talk to that think that) and in particular the long term TCO is actually downright economical.
Look at the trends in the absolute numbers over time:
Is there a YTD Total EV vs Total ICE?
This is definitely your opinion.
Experts agree that Tesla is a low quality luxury vehicle.
Fans love it, but this is a known phenomenon with Jeep owners too. Jeep owners will forgive problems where other users would not.
The WSJ review I read last year on the TM3 does not consider it “low quality”. I believe their words were “rainbow farting unicorn”.
For a more recent example, the TM3 beat out the M3 in, of all places, Top Gear.
Polarizing, to be sure. “Low quality” is, erm, highly opinionated. I would say it’s strictly better than my previous car (an Infinit) in every conceivable way. And yet, there are some people who say the panel gaps are a millimeter too wide.
My wife’s GL450 does ride smoother, and it certainly is cozy (heated, ventilated, and massager seats?!) but then again, at 40k miles and a few months out of warranty I’m bringing her car to the shop tomorrow because the air suspension is indicating a “Malfunction”. Any guess on how much that’s going to run? Probably the GL450 is simply not a car you can reasonably own outside of warranty.
I do have a bit of a similar concern about if the TM3 could fail in some unexpected and highly expensive fashion, as it’s a brand new platform, but only time will tell and so far it’s been flawless. The expensive parts also have excellent warranty coverage.
Teslas are fun to drive but awful to sit in.
I’ve spent a plenty of time in all of them, the Tesla interior feels more like a Toyota than the German manufacturers.
> In 2018, Norway’s fully electric car sales rose to a record 31.2 percent market share from 20.8 percent in 2017, far ahead of any other nation, and buyers had to wait as producers struggled to keep up with demand.
> The surge of electric cars to a 58.4 percent market share in March came as Tesla ramped up delivery of its mid-sized Model 3...
30% -> 60% is no small feat, and is due to the Model 3 availability, and the more widely accessible price point of TM3.
IMO the Leaf is a compromise car you choose in order to get an EV, whereas the TM3 is a better car in almost every way than anything else on the market, which also happens to be EV.
Although many of its advantages are made possible by being EV, they are not inherent advantages of being EV. That is to say, being EV is necessary but not sufficient to built a car with the myriad advances of the TM3.