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Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by retSava on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @09:15AM (#19980804)
The MCAS will likely be fixed in a way that makes it reliable and dependable. Boeing wouldn't dare anything else since there are a lot of eyes on them and how they handle this now.

What worries me is not the MCAS (now), but what else might be lurking under the surface that Boeing pretends is not a problem.

I don't feel confident that Boeing would accept the cost of grounding the fleet the next time something serious-but-not-yet-crashing shows up. It's clear that to Boeing, their numbers are more important than lives.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by CaptainZapp on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @09:44AM (#19981060)
I don't feel confident that Boeing would accept the cost of grounding the fleet the next time something serious-but-not-yet-crashing shows up.

They wouldn't even ground the fleet if death and destruction occurs. Like they didn't do after the Lion Air crash.

Even after the Ethiopian plane they tried hell and high water, including a call to the president, to not have the plane grounded.

It's clear that to Boeing, their numbers are more important than lives.

Absolutely. Nicely demonstrated by lies, deflections, omissions and still smearing everybody else but themselves after killing more than 300 people by bad design and greed.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by yodsanklai on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @12:46PM (#19982984)
> It's clear that to Boeing, their numbers are more important than lives.

Isn't it the case by design for any corporation?

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by atoav on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @01:57PM (#19983675)
Not necessarily. IMO it highly depends whether a company’s goal is short or long term gain.

If you have a hard time competing and every day is a fight anyways, why would you act in a way that is sustainable in the long term?

If you listened to the NYT’s the Daily podcast where they interview a former Boeing quality manager/whistleblower this is clearly the picture that is painted here: Managment doesn’t give a shit if they use potentially broken or dangerous parts, they leave metal debree and garbage inside the wmhull right next to important control lines, in one case they forgot a whole ladder inside.

The 737 Max is not the illness, it is just the first visible symptom.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by munk-a on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @02:25PM (#19983983)
> IMO it highly depends whether a company’s goal is short or long term gain.

It has been the case, recently, that a company that is traded publicly cannot have a long term goal - any such goal is held in place solely by the ephemeral existence of an autocratic executive and will dissipate once they are removed or retire, instead corporations seek constantly to maximize short term gain since incentive systems like stock options and our current form of performance evaluations reinforce this strategy.

Most of the companies that have had long term clout or tried to invest in long term research have been acquired and butchered by venture capitalists for a quick payday.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by wahern on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @02:36PM (#19984098)
Costco (NASDAQ:COST) has a policy of not hiring MBAs and generally only hiring internally. That means the managers are personally invested in the long-term viability of the company.

Such a conservative culture may one day be their downfall, but it won't hasten it as is so often the case of management culture elsewhere.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by FabHK on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @03:03PM (#19984369)
> a company that is traded publicly cannot have a long term goal

You think Apple or Berkshire Hathaway have no long term goals? Why make such sweeping statements that are easily shown to be wrong, when you can make a more nuanced and possibly true statement easily?

> Most of the companies that have had long term clout or tried to invest in long term research have been acquired and butchered by venture capitalists for a quick payday.

See, this might well be true and point to a real problem.

Though I think the notion that public markets are dumb and impatient and private markets are wise and long-term is a caricature itself.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by gumby on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @03:10PM (#19984440)
Companies are run by people and their objectives are not and need not be entirely economic. I often hear people say "well companies are legally required to maximise return for their shareholders" but that is not at all the case.

Sure, some company management may be spurred to be good actors because they feel it will cause long term vale creation.

But then again you could just do the right thing because by and large people are not assholes.

That's why when I hear of exploitative predation by companies I get so mad: because it's ultimately exploitative predation by people. Even if the person on the phone to you / writing that code may not have enough context to understand the evil they might be doing, someone set the context that way, and in many cases it was deliberate.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by anoncake on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @03:30PM (#19984611)
> I often hear people say "well companies are legally required to maximise return for their shareholders" but that is not at all the case.

They are required to do what the shareholders want, which is usually maximizing returns.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by gumby on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @11:18PM (#19988084)
> They are required to do what the shareholders want, which is usually maximizing returns.

I know of no such law. In which country is the the law?

In fact there is some concern by some economists that the management of public firms have too much discretion as unhappy shareholders can simply sell their shares and invest elsewhere rather than provide any direct feedback. Even when direct feedback is provided, management can and usually does ignore it, as can be seen from this week's Amazon AGM.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by anoncake on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @11:50PM (#19988260)
> In which country is the the law?

All that respect private property. The shareholders own the company, the management is essentially their employees.

The shareholders may not micromanage their company, but still management's job is to further the aims of the shareholders just as the job of elected politicians in a representative democracy is to further the aims of the people. Otherwise they get fired.

While this may not be working as well as it should, you wouldn't say a law is not the law because enforcement is spotty either.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by gumby on Thursday May 23, 2019 @02:23AM (#19989021)
Can you point to any law or regulation in, say, the USA that requires this, regardless of whether it is enforced or not?
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by anoncake on Thursday May 23, 2019 @02:34AM (#19989080)
Probably, if I spent the time. But then again, the fact that the owners of a company choose its management might be so obvious no lawmaker ever bothered to write it down.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by spockz on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @01:07PM (#19983177)
The problem is in the short term numbers vs long term. In the short term taking shortcuts was beneficial because it preventing recertifications etc, but in the long term the grounding and reputation damage cost more. Moreover, everyone has to be retrained now anyway.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by bshacklett on Saturday May 25, 2019 @06:35PM (#20011905)
This is one of the biggest problems I've seen amongst corporate culture throughout my career. There was a time when companies were run with the intention of building a legacy. Now, it's all about the next quarter's earnings report, if not the next month's.

It's a shameful state of affairs, but the entire system is set up to reward this kind of behavior now.

I'd love to hear someone who understands the problem explain how we got here.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by spockz on Sunday May 26, 2019 @06:08PM (#20017874)
I see this trend as well. Maybe it is about growing up and seeing past things now.

I would be more interested in how we can move to more long term thinking. (Long term thinking includes the short term because otherwise the organisation might not survive. But nowadays it appears to solely be about the short term.)

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by ArcanianArcher on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @12:53PM (#19983050)
Therein lies a problem that many people don't want to address
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by jacquesm on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @01:22PM (#19983302)
Many people don't want to address it because it isn't true. There are plenty of corporations that would not put lives on the line balanced against their bottom line. Yes, there are quite a few that do, it just does not extend to all of them, and I'd wager the larger the company the further insulated the management is and so the more likely for stuff like that to occur.

But to categorically say this about any corporation is nonsense.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by munk-a on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @02:28PM (#19984022)
These corporations are young and still have an autocratic leader that is forcing them to work against their natural value... as they age they will age like all the other corporations and come to value short term gain above everything else. This construct human beings have made has proven again and again that in the long term there is no outcome but degeneration to short term profit seeking that is what we currently deem "maximally efficient".
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by wahern on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @02:49PM (#19984231)
The emphasis on short-term shareholder value is a relatively recent trend in business culture and specifically American business culture. It's not intrinsic to the concept of the firm. However, it has become deeply entrenched not only in our business culture but also our political culture, so it would be quite difficult to extirpate.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by pfortuny on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @02:22PM (#19983951)
No: this is a meme which I do not know from where comes. The aim of a corporation is to do its business, not to make money. The first is before the second.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by FabHK on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @03:28PM (#19984589)
I can tell you where it comes from.

It is basically a result of agency theory (principal agent problem) in the typical setting of economic theory (no transaction costs, bla bla bla).

The question is what a corporation should do, which aims it should strive for. That's an extremely difficult question, in particular if there are many owners ("principals", shareholders) who have different utility functions (goals), who are furthermore distinct from the CEO and managers actually running the business ("agents"), who might have their own interests (enlarging their fiefdom, job security, what have you).

The theoretical solution is to say: maximise the net present value of the firm (which goes to the shareholders, after paying debt), and then they can decide what to do with it, and pursue their own goals. Now, this makes some sense in a no-transaction cost world - if shareholders care about workers and peace and the sick, they can use the shareholder value created, and put some of it in, dunno, charity and health insurances, and what have you.

Thus, goal should be shareholder value maximisation, and to get the agents on board, you "align their interests" by incentives, specifically by giving the CEO options.

(Note that shareholder value maximisation is not the same as profit maximisation, and definitely not the same as short-term profit maximisation - the value of the shares is theoretically the sum of discounted cashflows in all eternity).

The other argument, of course, is that shareholders care only about maximisation of the value of their share, and thus a firm which does not pursue shareholder value maximisation will lose shareholders and go out of business.

Both arguments are not all bad, but of course the real world is much more complicated. Shareholders might have more goals than maximising the value of their shares (not in Econ 101, of course). A company might be in a much better position to achieve some of those aims directly, rather than via the circuitous route of handing it to the shareholder and them pouring it back into the game.

At any rate, the notion of shareholder value maximisation is not some God-given absolute truth, but one proposed solution for specific problems within a specific theoretic framework, and it's not clear at all that it's always optimal, and should not be reflexively trotted out when talking about corporations, and not serve as a defense for corporations acting badly.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by dragonwriter on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @02:24PM (#19983976)
The aim of a corporation is to serve the common interests of it's shareholders (you might add “as understood by it's management”); most commonly, with a widely held corporation, those common interests are limited to making money.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by pfortuny on Thursday May 23, 2019 @05:11AM (#19989881)
No: I understand it as "by its definition as corporation" (i.e. Boeing might make a lot more money if they just turned into a collection of car factories, for example -just for example-) but then it would not be Boeing.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by dragonwriter on Friday May 24, 2019 @04:20AM (#19999539)
Corporations can and do pivot their lines of business like that, and retain their identity. (Though at times they also find it useful to rebrand with a pivot.)
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by munk-a on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @02:26PM (#19984004)
The poster above was half right that the incentive isn't necessarily to maximize profits, but you're more correct that our current societal rules make money the singular goal of these entities.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by munk-a on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @02:21PM (#19983936)
Why do we allow this. Why have we allowed an entity to exist that is driven so fully by greed to the disregard of all other pursuits - and understand, corporations aren't a natural existence, they are a thing constructed wholly by our societies.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by FabHK on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @02:59PM (#19984335)
No, of course not. Corporations must act within the law, and even the notion of shareholder value maximisation above all is contingent (based on specific economic theory), not necessary.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by JudgeWapner on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @05:51PM (#19985942)
> still smearing everybody else but themselves

a news alert popped up on my phone today about "bird strike possible in ethiopian crash...". I didn't bother reading it, but I thought seriously ? What media outlet did they pay off to even think of trying to divert attention and who in their right mind would think propaganda like that would be effective ?

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by burfog on Thursday May 23, 2019 @03:58AM (#19989521)
Well, how else did the sensor come to be broken?

Aside from a bird strike the possibilities are just as unlikely. There could be sabotage. There could have been an impact with the passenger boarding equipment. Somebody cleaning or painting the plane could have smashed it.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by atonse on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @10:04AM (#19981266)
Unless you start putting Boeing executives in jail, there is literally ZERO incentive for them not to repeat all this. In fact, the CEO and senior executives have probably already received their massive bonuses for the MAX sales. It's not like they're going to be asked to return those bonuses now with all this fiasco.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by evanagon on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @11:45AM (#19982410)
There are financial incentives if their customers choose competing products because of safety concerns.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by munk-a on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @02:32PM (#19984061)
I don't even know how I'd do that - even if I tried to book a flight that specifically didn't use a boeing plane in the US domestic airlines will swap out planes for different ones all the time due to maintenance requirements.

Choosing to use a competing product as an end consumer would require an immense sacrifice (like refusing to board your flight if it happened to be a Boeing, which you might get a rebate for?). Only if a significant amount of end consumers protested would the actual plane consumers (the airlines themselves) take notice - or if public opinion shifted to the point where there was a significant externality attached to purchasing a Boeing plane, but that certainly isn't the case now and I'd bet that Boeing has found some way to compensate airlines for the cost of having their planes grounded.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by mcny on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @04:47PM (#19985323)
If airlines have to pay more in insurance premiums or they have to pay millions of US dollars a pop for each dead passenger, they'll demand a safer plane.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by munk-a on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @05:48PM (#19985908)
To my knowledge neither of these conditions have occurred in response to the 737 Max technical issues. Corporations listen to customer complaints that are backed up by losing revenue - as was shown with the issue where a passenger was beaten up on a United flight, people are extremely price sensitive when it comes to flying - there is math that can make the 737 unprofitable, but I think it's unlikely that the math will turn in that direction, it would take an extremely negative PR issue to start this.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by dstola on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @12:17PM (#19982739)
I dont think people will all of a sudden start ditching cheap flights just to avoid the max or Boeing. Airline industry is extremely price sensitive from a consumer perspective, and for people to potentially sacrifice hundreds of dollars of savings would be a non sequitur.

For example, if airline A flies MAX and has a ticket for 200 and another airline B has the same route for 400 on A320, most people I know would still fly the MAX because they cant afford to be picky.

I think talking with your wallet works only when the price is relatively inelastic

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by polotics on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @01:53PM (#19983639)
Here is one data point for you: no matter the price of alternatives, I will not step on a 737. Ever.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by munk-a on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @02:34PM (#19984077)
If you purchase a plane ticket for a flight that appears to be carried by a bombardier model, would you refuse to board the plane at the gate if the bombardier plane ended up requiring maintenance and they swapped it out for a 737?

How many vacation days would you sacrifice out of your week in Cancun to stand by that belief?

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by FabHK on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @03:36PM (#19984677)
The 737s are the most common airliner in the world, more than 10000 have been built, and more than 1000 are in the air right now. The pre-MAX 737s are just fine (though it had some issues with the rudder in the 90s, and, well, nearly 2% of all 737s built have been lost (184 hull losses) with nearly 5000 fatalities. Goes to show how much they fly.)
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by metanoia on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @02:06PM (#19983767)
You have already, probably multiple times. The 737 model is proven over 50 years of service.

The Max has issues, for sure, and I will be weary of that as well as the upcoming 777X, but I wouldn't hesitate to get on any prior 737 or other Boeing model.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by c0nfused on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @01:22PM (#19983312)
The assumption here is that the risk is equal. Given that prior to the grounding travel Sites were implementing "don't fly with Max" features, the perception is that the rusk is much higher.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by ReptileMan on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @11:15AM (#19982085)
Boing executives and their friends and families also fly on their planes.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by simongr3dal on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @11:23AM (#19982192)
Or maybe they just fly Learjet.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by bdamm on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @12:38PM (#19982917)
GP has a point. Flying on Boeing airplanes is something basically everyone does. Even if the executives themselves don't, they have parents, children, aunts, uncles, best men, grand-children, friends, children of friends, lawyers, and government contacts who do.

It's not like they're sitting by the gate sucking the blood of passengers. They're still delivering the safest method of transportation around, not only by distance, but also by time. I know some Boeing employees, they want to deliver great airplanes.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by wahern on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @03:02PM (#19984354)
> They're still delivering the safest method of transportation around, not only by distance, but also by time.

It's safe by distance and time because most accidents will occur on take-off or landing. For example, the two recent MAX incidents. It's the nature of flying, not the technology per se, that makes it relatively safe as compared to other modes of transportation. Once you're cruising at altitude the components have already passed maximum load, and you usually have lots of time to remediate issues when they do occur. You get distance & time largely for free rather than as a consequence of engineering.

If you look at risk for just the distance and time spent on take-off and landing, flying is roughly comparable with driving. Of course, the machines are vastly more complex so it's still a testament to the amazing technology and safety standards. But at the same time there's so much more that could be done, not only from an engineering standpoint but especially from a process standpoint.

One might even be able to make the case that Toyota has better quality control and safety engineering processes than Boeing. I mean, many of the most critical components in a plane, such as the engines, aren't even designed or manufactured by Boeing. I think Boeing executives know this and have increasingly tried to offload performance and safety engineering burdens to suppliers, maximizing Boeings profits. Engine manufacturers and other suppliers have begun to take notice, I think. And for areas where Boeing can't offload the burden, they've faltered.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by FabHK on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @03:42PM (#19984717)
Yes, the statistics per distance look much better for airlines than for cars, but per time it's already less so (planes go faster), and per journey even less so (typical plane ride is much longer than typical car journey).

Last time I looked, planes were 200x as safe per pax mile, but 3x as safe per pax journey.

(EDIT: "Kx safer" -> "Kx as safe", though the uncertainty is so big that it doesn't really matter)

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by wahern on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @05:16PM (#19985598)
Yep, that's about what I calculated, too, recently. And considering that so many car accidents are caused by drunk drivers, nighttime driving, etc--that is, situations that one can actively avoid--a conscientious drive could likely even the odds or better, at least on a per journey basis. I bet the car accident rate for pilots is significantly below average.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by skookumchuck on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @01:27PM (#19983365)
So do Boeing engineers, mechanics, and everyone who works there.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by bennybob on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @04:56PM (#19985398)
I'm not against them going to jail. However there is another incentive, it's generally bad for business if your product kills people.
[dead]
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by AnimalMuppet on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @01:37PM (#19983473)
> Especially since this isn’t the first time Boeing’s malfeasance killed people.

What are you referring to here?

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by FabHK on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @03:30PM (#19984615)
Might be referring to the rudder problem on the 737 in the 90s.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_737_rudder_issues

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by acqq on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @05:49PM (#19985928)
From Wikipedia:

"A total of 157 people aboard the two aircraft were killed."

"The National Transportation Safety Board ultimately determined that the accidents and incidents were the result of a design flaw that could result in an uncommanded movement of the aircraft's rudder."

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by pfortuny on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @02:23PM (#19983961)
The MAX line being pushed on to “not requiring specific training”.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by AnimalMuppet on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @03:39PM (#19984695)
That is this time - the time we're discussing. So what's the other time that makes this not the first time?
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by pfortuny on Thursday May 23, 2019 @05:09AM (#19989870)
Yes, sorry, it was late and I misunderstood your question.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by skookumchuck on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @01:26PM (#19983352)
> there is literally ZERO incentive for them not to repeat all this

You're assuming they have no stock or stock options in Boeing.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by chr1 on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @01:05PM (#19983162)
> It's clear that to Boeing, their numbers are more important than lives.

That would not be bad by itself. It is only important that regulators and customers make sure that this leaves really big dent in their numbers.

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by Causality1 on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @02:49PM (#19984227)
MCAS relied on a single AoA sensor for a plane that holds 300 people. Military cargo planes a tenth the capacity have three of them. Boeing's design philosophy is terrifying.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by oreo83 on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @05:48PM (#19985907)
This is completely false.
Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by Causality1 on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @06:17PM (#19986150)
Two are physically present but MCAS only takes input from one of them.

https://www.seattletimes.com/business/boeing-aerospace/inves...

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by badpun on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @03:00PM (#19984338)
> It's clear that to Boeing, their numbers are more important than lives.

BTW (I'm not folowing this very closely) is there already, or will there be a criminal investigation?

Re:Europe says 737 Max won't fly until it completes it own d... by yeahitslikethat on Wednesday May 22, 2019 @04:51PM (#19985355)
I take away that they do NOT put lives above numbers. Revisit the ford pinto case.

They knew there were problems with the design and flew the planes any way.