CBD, present in cannabis, is known to be antipsychotic, so the self-medication hypothesis is pretty strong. It's the same case as nicotine, schizophrenics have way higher rates of smoking, only because nicotine has a mild antipsychotic effect, not because smoking turns people crazy.
In reality, the effect is probably not just one, but some mixture of all three. It is extremely likely that people are self-medicating against psychosis with cannabis, that cannabis can increase the risk of psychosis in some people, and that the risk of psychosis is usually co-morbid with other mental health issues for which people also self medicating.
A study like this does nothing to help us understand the link, but yet the Authors seem willing to make strong claims about that link:
> The researchers suggested that if high potency cannabis was no longer available, the incidence of psychosis in Amsterdam would be expected to halve from 37.9 to 18.8 per 100,000 people per year, while in London, it would fall from 45.7 to 31.9 per 100,000 people per year.
That is irresponsible and bad science. It should be called out as such.
And cannabis is a pretty good tool to help alleviate the symptoms of (though not cure) trauma.
In order to get at that, you'd need to identify people with and without psychosis, and then follow them for many years. See who was more likely to use cannabis. And see whether using cannabis worsened psychosis. Not an easy thing.
The sort of study you describe can distinguish to some extent between "A causes B" and "B causes A" but can't tell them apart from "C causes A and B"
I arrived in London with nothing from post Soviet block country.
I was burned out within 6 months.
Then I started partying and one friend introduced me to Cannabis, I started doing it every weekend and made it a point to stay away from it during the week, so it doesn't affect my work in anyway
I managed do lot better, make better connection, climb the corporate ladder faster and make a lot of money
Now, I've my own startup
Not all my friends have been this lucky with their Cannabis use
What I believe is that Cannabis has potential to unlock some capabilities of your mind. Wether it unlocks positives or negatives depends entirely on the person and can't be generalized.
My interpretation of their findings is that it doesn't provide safe assertions that Cannabis is the cause or the effect.
Or in other words, does Cannabis usage create psychosis or do people with psychosis choose to use Cannabis?
Similarly, there are unknowns with mental illness and tobacco smoking. Some think that those with mental illness are more likely to smoke as self-medication.
http://ash.org.uk/download/smoking-and-mental-health-2/