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Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by Animats on Friday March 08, 2019 @03:11AM (#19335956)
Where are they getting the engine?

You can get model aircraft jet engines with enough power for this.[1] Various human-carrying craft have been built that way, such as the Zapata Flyboard.[2] But the engines have a lifespan measured in hours and not enough reliability for carrying humans. That's why all the demo videos of these things are over water, or tethered.

People have been trying to build small, cheap jet engines for decades. "Small" has been done. Cheap, no. Below bizjet size, the price doesn't go down much. Which is why general aviation is still running mostly on pistons. The 1960s Williams jetpack (not the Bell rocket belt) used an engine intended for cruise missiles.

If they've cracked the small jet engine problem, there's a big market for those, without trying to package them as jetpacks or motorcycles. Otherwise, it's just another demo rig.

The video is a bit suspicious. It's very quiet. You can hear the boats over it. It doesn't blow stuff around. It doesn't move his clothing. It doesn't ripple the water even at low altitude. Other videos of small jet engines are very noisy and have lots of jet blast.

[1] http://www.jetcat.de/jetcat/Kataloge/JetCat%20ENGINES.pdf

[2] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7feIt5PRvUw

Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by dmurray on Friday March 08, 2019 @04:56AM (#19336336)
Agreed, this seems like a huge problem and this

> The startup’s most pertinent problem is creating the autonomous stabilization technologies that will make flying the Speeder effortless and safe.

looks like a smokescreen for marketing to the tech crowd. Everyone is going to believe they can solve the stabilisation problem: that's "just software" and we see demos of robots solving stabilisation problems all the time. Building a jet engine that's an order of magnitude better (cheaper, more reliable) than the industry has managed in 50 years, but with more or less the same tech? That's the kind of problem you can't just solve with machine learning.

Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by dalbasal on Friday March 08, 2019 @06:37AM (#19336696)
If that "most pertinent problem" is tech savvy investor/journalist bait... it's genius. I read that and thought "well that's probably solveable."

OTOH... In the context of a moonshot, maybe the non-existence of an affordable & appropriate engine is ok. Tesla started with an unaffordable battery, and built a really expensive car with it. The car was good though, compared to other cars in the sheiks & princes price range. It was an important step on the way and proved that the real pertinent problem was affordable batteries. Not an easy problem, but still.

There's probably some demand for flying motorcycles, even if they cost >€1m and are only good for 10 minutes of hovering over a lake.

From there... who knows. I'm not sure flying cars a mass market idea even if they cost the same as rolling ones.

Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by darkpuma on Friday March 08, 2019 @08:09AM (#19337159)
The military market for tiny turbine engines has been serious for decades; cruise missiles use them. I really do not believe that a plucky SV attitude towards engineering and VC funding is going to waltz into this domain and shock the world. But I definitely believe that SV self-confident arrogance would lead some to convince themselves otherwise.
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by farisjarrah on Friday March 08, 2019 @11:19AM (#19338917)
Ah this point piqued my interest. Before I thought this was a waste of time for YC to be throw $150,000 at this company, but with the military aspect it makes it a lot more of a feasible business model. The military doesn't need something with many hours of flight time for all scenarios. They might just need to get medical supplies delivered to the field really quick and this could more then accomplish that potentially.
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by darkpuma on Friday March 08, 2019 @11:24AM (#19338970)
Yes, very small turbines have a variety of military applications beyond just cruise missiles. Small turbine driven reusable drones are one possible application.

I'm not sure if you're trying to imply it, but YC funding defense tech under the guise of funding toys for the ultra-wealthy would be interesting, but I don't honestly think that's what's going on here. I don't think they're likely to develop novel turbine technology, and the concept of a one-person turbine flying device left the US military unimpressed decades ago. There doesn't really seem to be a tactical niche for it on the battlefield.

Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by dmayman on Friday March 08, 2019 @01:26PM (#19340454)
We’re actively working with army, navy and marines in US. Why put a Blackhawk and crew at risk where one it a swarm of autonomous cargo Speeders can do same work. 400-600lbs cargo of equip, blood supplies etc. Not to be used for insertion of operators in covert mission but in overt ops our noise signature isn’t a factor.
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by darkpuma on Friday March 08, 2019 @01:32PM (#19340530)
For unmanned for cargo delivery it makes a lot of sense and could be revolutionary. But putting a man on it doesn't make so much sense; whoever was standing on top would be a very noisy obvious target and even if that weren't the case the case, the system would probably create a ton of casualties anyway just from people getting too excited and crashing it.
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by dalbasal on Friday March 08, 2019 @09:02AM (#19337513)
The premise of a longshot is that it doesn't seem (and isn't) likely that any given plucky startup is likely to succeed, but the rewards are worth the risk.

Anyway... the military isn't always the ideal market force for driving down costs.

Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by darkpuma on Friday March 08, 2019 @09:27AM (#19337701)
The military isn't necessarily interested in driving costs down, but they and their numerous well funded, technically competent and experienced contractors are highly motivated when it comes to improving size, reliability, fuel efficiency, etc.
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by dmayman on Friday March 08, 2019 @12:48PM (#19340016)
Every minute saved in reaching a stroke or heart attack victim reduces mortality by approx 10%. Worth fighting for?
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by dmayman on Friday March 08, 2019 @12:46PM (#19339992)
If we can fly quickly AND safely and land within feet of an injured person and that makes a difference of them living or dying, isn’t that worth a shot?
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by abock1 on Friday March 08, 2019 @12:19PM (#19339601)
Yes, you are completely correct! It is much more than software to solve this issue. It is so much different than self-leveling robots on a surface because we are floating in the air with no hard attachment point. We are currently going through multiple iterations on our 1:3 scale prototype so that we can dial in the stabilization systems so that we have the correct flight characteristics.
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by dmayman on Friday March 08, 2019 @12:43PM (#19339947)
We 100% agree and base level stablization is what we spend most of our engineering time on - both software and mech. We are learning a heck of a lot from our 1/3rd scale model
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by blueboo on Friday March 08, 2019 @06:10AM (#19336590)
> ... effortless and safe

also the most pertinent problem with a thousand similarly idiotic ideas, from edible knives to jetpacks

Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by SilasX on Friday March 08, 2019 @09:38AM (#19337797)
Whenever a hip startup dismisses the problem as “just software”, I worry that it will randomly crash (in both senses) because someone took down an npm library.
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by abock1 on Friday March 08, 2019 @12:15PM (#19339557)
We have actually teamed up with a company called AMT Netherlands to build our custom engines. The engines are not cheap because most of the companies are making them in very very small batches. We are currently increasing our numbers so the numbers are coming down considerably. We are actually currently working on a small thrust class turbofan which would solve a lot of issues that turbojets present. If you check out our videos we have flown all over the world for different companies like RedBull. We have also flown at many over land events like the Austrian F1 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AZpMLyAOFiQ)as well as at The Festival of Speed at Goodwood (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LvELzB7jY_0?).
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by designtofly on Friday March 08, 2019 @01:39PM (#19340620)
What bypass ratio are your turbofans? Your argument seems to be that because it's a turbofan (bypass > 0), you've "solved" all of the issues with turbojets. But at this size, you've still got a bypass ratio that's much closer to a turbojet than a modern commercial airline engine.
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by dmayman on Friday March 08, 2019 @03:57PM (#19342093)
We use turbojets but are working on a 4:1 bypass ratio TF
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by hwillis on Friday March 08, 2019 @08:40AM (#19337360)
> You can get model aircraft jet engines with enough power for this.[1] Various human-carrying craft have been built that way, such as the Zapata Flyboard.[2] But the engines have a lifespan measured in hours and not enough reliability for carrying humans. That's why all the demo videos of these things are over water, or tethered.

All engines have lifespans measured in hours. Jetcat engines have service intervals of 25-50 hours, which usually involves bearing replacements, inspection, cleaning etc.

Non-RC small engines have very normal service intervals of 1000s of hours, right on par with large jet engines and as long or longer than piston engines. The JFS100[1] is slightly more powerful than a JetCat 550, and is a bona fide helicopter engine. Helicopters[2] have used small <100 hp turbojet engines for decades. They're cheap and incredibly reliable. Those JFS 100s go for <$4,000.

They don't have the same power/weight ratio as jetcats because they're used to drive props- there is no demand for tiny jet engines because props are more efficient and jets require too much reduction for slow speed personal aircraft.

> The video is a bit suspicious. It's very quiet. You can hear the boats over it. It doesn't blow stuff around. It doesn't move his clothing. It doesn't ripple the water even at low altitude. Other videos of small jet engines are very noisy and have lots of jet blast.

This is excessively incredulous. The flyboard is well documented and perfectly reasonable. These people balance on jets of water without computers and jet engines are built to be trimmed in to match each other closely. Otherwise you'd have planes going in to flat spins when they pushed the throttle too hard.

He never goes near the water in that video, it's loud as hell, the only boat you can hear is a cigarette boat (which is basically a drag car), and he's wearing full leathers. Of course they aren't rippling. How would they fake a video like this[3]?

[1]: http://nyethermodynamics.com/jfs100/index.html

[2]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_VxwRo9jzwg

[3]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WQzLrvz4DKQ

Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by asdfasgasdgasdg on Friday March 08, 2019 @07:51AM (#19337070)
> But the engines have a lifespan measured in hours

I think it's slightly more correct to say that they have a service interval measured in hours. The jetcat ones require service every 25h of use, but there are other companies that require service less frequently, although the highest interval I found is 100h.

Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by abock1 on Friday March 08, 2019 @11:32AM (#19339069)
For common hobby grade engines that is correct. We actually have working one on one with a manufacturer for over 8 years. Over this time we have gone through many iterations to make the engines rated for manned flight. So we own the special internal components that make these much much better than hobby grade engines.
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by tim333 on Friday March 08, 2019 @07:13AM (#19336855)
Those Jetcat engines are listed for sale here http://www.zedjet.com/jetcat-turbines.html with prices from £1700 to £5000 which doesn't seem so crazy expensive. Not sure about the reliability.
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by dwild on Friday March 08, 2019 @11:02AM (#19338699)
I don't know if he updated his comment since then, but that's exactly the one he talked about. It's his first link.
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by mpweiher on Friday March 08, 2019 @06:04AM (#19336579)
> [small jet engines, price, piston engines for GA]

Another important reason is fuel consumption. Jet engines in general are extremely thirsty, AFAIK the only reason they became (unexpectedly!) competitive with piston engines is that they allow the planes to fly so much higher where the air is thinner.

In addition, small turbines are even less efficient than big ones.

Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by rplnt on Friday March 08, 2019 @06:47AM (#19336751)
And all GA jet engines now are turbofans with high bypass ratios. Not something you can do at small scale. Would have guessed the relative speed they operate at also plays a role. And wouldn't this require quick changes in thrust? Not sure that heavy big diameter fans could do that.
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by darkpuma on Friday March 08, 2019 @08:19AM (#19337220)
Are GA turbofans really more common than GA turboprops?
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by rplnt on Friday March 08, 2019 @10:06AM (#19338093)
Oh, my bad. I did not mean GA, but commercial passenger airplanes. As opposed to military jets.
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by mannykannot on Friday March 08, 2019 @07:45AM (#19337027)
The sound, I think, is coming from a large headset like the ones prominently worn by the ground crew. I don't think it's the pilot's headset, as it does diminish a bit at the greatest range, and I would expect some radio talk between the pilot and the crew. I suspect they are noise-canceling headsets, as there is something about how it sounds that reminds me of vacuuming with a noise-canceling headset on.

Small has been done and cheaper is always possible, but significantly reducing the noise of jetpacks would require an amendment to the laws of fluid dynamics.

As for visible effects of the jet: at liftoff, the tether, that was detached by one of the crew just before, blows around a bit. I am trying to decide if you can see the jet as a distortion of the background, or whether that is an artifact of video decompression. The best opportunity for seeing it appears to be just after liftoff, when the right engine nozzle is seen with the cruise ship behind it, but there doesn't seem to be much of an effect there. As he approaches for landing, the netting around the pad appears to be blown around.

Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by darkpuma on Friday March 08, 2019 @08:15AM (#19337196)
I'm a bit suspicious of the camera shake when it's zoomed in before takeoff. I don't have video editing software available to me at this moment, but it would be interesting to track a few points and see if the path they trace out is actually random or if it looks artificial. Artificial camera shake is easy to spot this way if the VFX specialist was careless.
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by abock1 on Friday March 08, 2019 @11:28AM (#19339023)
We wish we could fake these videos! Check out our youtube channel to see all the flights we have done all over the world!https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC68MUrNZtEgn9wHyZhcnJjw
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by mannykannot on Friday March 08, 2019 @12:22PM (#19339652)
While you are here, can you discuss the noise level?
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by dmayman on Friday March 08, 2019 @12:40PM (#19339891)
Depends on which aircraft but the JB11 is approx 110dba at 25ft
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by lnsru on Friday March 08, 2019 @08:15AM (#19337197)
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by Cactus2018 on Friday March 08, 2019 @08:56AM (#19337471)
> That's why all the demo videos of these things are over water....

I thought they were over water due to FAA regulations. From an article about Larry Page's Kitty Hawk Flyer. [1]

> > In the US, the Flyer falls under the FAA's rules for ultralight aircraft, meaning no pilot's license is needed so long as it's flown over water or "uncongested areas."

[1] https://www.cnet.com/roadshow/news/kitty-hawk-flyer-electric...

Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by ameister14 on Friday March 08, 2019 @10:20AM (#19338240)
The demo video of his jetpack was shot in Monaco, not the US.
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by abock1 on Friday March 08, 2019 @11:26AM (#19338995)
Yes, we actually do demos all over the world. We are not limited to over water from the FAA as our JetPacks are in the experimental category.
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by scottlocklin on Friday March 08, 2019 @01:56PM (#19340856)
In previous flying car type things, people have attempted to use Wankel engines, which I guess have a decent power to weight ratio.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moller_M400_Skycar

FWIIW Moller's project is a great example of why this is hard.

Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by dmayman on Friday March 08, 2019 @12:37PM (#19339864)
We are working also on micro turbo fans (<250lb thrust class). Current TBOs >250 hrs
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by tyingq on Friday March 08, 2019 @07:59AM (#19337108)
> It doesn't move his clothing

It doesn't even seem to move the clothing of the guy that ducks behind him around 2:30.

There are a few paint flakes that come off and blow around a bit at 2:50 or so.

Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by votingprawn on Friday March 08, 2019 @12:40PM (#19339893)
Based on the spec I'm guessing it is an AMT Nike

Five engines in the render, assume 1 is redundant:

705lbs to metric: 3134N. Divide by 4 = 784N which is _exactly_ the max thrust of a Nike.

Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by votingprawn on Friday March 08, 2019 @01:02PM (#19340179)
Doing some bistromaths on the stated hover performance.

With a 231lb empty weight, 180lb rider, and 5 gallons of kerosene (ultra light version) you get

104kg + 81kg + 15 kg = 200kg

sfc of a Nike is 40 grams / (kN second) (Should have gone with Hawk ;) )

Lets say hover thrust on a nice still day will be around ~ 1.9kN -> 76.7grams per second of flight.

Assuming I've not made any mistakes that gives roughly 3.5 minutes of hovering flight on that 15kg of fuel (ignoring the fact the vehicle gets slightly lighter as the fuel burns off).

That sort of matches up with the spec, assuming the 10-22 minutes stated is for a lighter human on the experimentally licensed version of the vehicle.

Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by dmayman on Friday March 08, 2019 @12:50PM (#19340044)
Yes you are correct. We are also working on our turbofan. Way better sfc, quieter and cooler exhaust.
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by razorbladeknife on Friday March 08, 2019 @08:41AM (#19337371)
I wonder if it's legal to use Jet turbine in my car to produce extra acceleration for overtaking during commute.
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by 83 on Friday March 08, 2019 @09:18AM (#19337634)
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by alexhutcheson on Friday March 08, 2019 @11:04AM (#19338727)
That's so wild. Made my day.
Re:YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “f... by auiya on Friday March 08, 2019 @12:09PM (#19339488)
There's a jet powered minivan that shows up every now and then to this Cars & Coffee - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xEZ6zqeRXiw They also have a smaller jet engine powered mini bike similar to this one - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0ybX25MjTsw