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Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by apatters on Saturday December 29, 2018 @01:55AM (#18782366)
If you're currently an employee, start thinking by your 40s about how you could become your own boss.

By 50, if you've played your cards right, you have a lot of connections, a lot of expertise, and you've become rather expensive to employ.

So you do attract attention from the cost cutters wherever you work. But it also means that you might deliver more business value as a consultant than as a full-time employee anyway.

I've seen people who got ahead of this trend, they planned for it, and made it work. They prepared for a long time and then they left. Instead of treading water in the same job for another decade, they semi-retired into consulting.

You do it when you're prepared, you've done your homework, and you can name a couple of companies where you have contacts that would probably be interested in retaining you. Often, your first customer is your former employer. Because if you were doing an essential job, they probably won't be well prepared for it, and they'll want to re-hire you on a consulting basis to oversee the transition.

You end up getting less total compensation from them, but you get paid at a higher rate per unit of your time. Then you string together a few other gigs. If you can't get as much work as you want you at least have some flexibility, maybe you end up spending the winters in a low cost country or something.

The key is in the preparation and paying attention to the right details while you're still in corporate. If you do it right, it can actually help your interests stay aligned with your employer's throughout your entire career. If they have cost pressures your switch to consulting can be a win for them too.

Like a lot of things in life, the key is to know when to quit.

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by scarface74 on Saturday December 29, 2018 @09:14AM (#18783623)
I don’t get why people think “starting your own company” is less risky than working for someone.

I’m in my mid 40s and don’t spend a single minute worried about being laid off or my company folding.

I do however spend a lot of time keeping my network of local recruiters warm and making sure my skillset is marketable.

I have a group of friends we are all in our 40s and we all change jobs at the drop of a dime. None of us have any desire to be in management but we make sure we keep up with industry trends.

In fact, our former manager is in his late 50s and self demoted to a developer after his kids graduated and he is a full stack .Net/JavaScript/Azure Developer.

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by thatoneuser on Saturday December 29, 2018 @01:42PM (#18785029)
Man you’re not wrong, but imho it’s a pretty bleak world where you have to have the competence as an independent consultant to survive the last 20ish years of your career. No doubt many of us can attain that, but I’d venture to say that the majority of people can’t. Whether mental defficiency, physical limitations, etc, there are a lot of curveballs in life that don’t set most people up to fit this role.
Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by lotsofpulp on Saturday December 29, 2018 @02:08PM (#18785166)
One option is to raise children that will grow up to support you in older age and live together to cut down on babysitting and housing costs. That’s the norm everywhere people can’t afford to live individually.
Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by scarface74 on Saturday December 29, 2018 @03:18PM (#18785475)
If you have a mental deficiency you’re kind of out of luck anyway when it comes to being gainfully employed. On the other hand, one reason I would think about being a consultant is because it would be a lot easier physically than typing on a keyboard all day and risk RSI.
Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by thatoneuser on Saturday December 29, 2018 @05:19PM (#18786053)
I guess I should have been better at that statement. I’m not talking mentally disabled in the low iq sense, but more on a relativistic sense. I would wildly guess that consultants make up 25% or less of the workforce (really that’s an intuitive guess so it’s probably a lot more or less). Which would imply only around the top % to match that number (whatever it is) are even capable of being a consultant. And then you have to have the social/network skills, the ability to plan around uncertainty, the ability to shift industries if yours becomes automated or your knowledge falls too far from modern practices, etc.

Don’t get me wrong I’ve worked as a consultant and really enjoyed it. But I’m also young and I can take risks like that. I honestly fear for anyone who doesn’t have a severely privileged background attempting to make this a viable career alternative to traditional work. There are so so many gotchas.

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by scarface74 on Saturday December 29, 2018 @06:02PM (#18786226)
Ideally, I would prefer to work for a consulting company as an overpriced “implementation consultant”, “digital transformation consultant”, etc.

I’ve been recruited (ie lunch with hiring managers who wanted to talk to me) for such a role because of my experience based on my resume but I knew that I needed to take some time to get more real world experience in a few areas - cloud and front end and the $cool_kids JavaScript stack.

That being said, I am in my mid 40s and consider myself competitive in the local market as a back end developer/architect with the Microsoft stack and fairly competitive with AWS.

As far as being “privileged”, I found the industry to be mostly merit based over my 20+ year career. I’m a minority, below average height, went to a no name state college and I have a slight disability - not the model of someone with any “privilege”. I’ve never been rejected for a job that I thought I was qualified for - I also only use recruiters. I don’t waste my time blindly submitting resumes.

That may change in three or four years when I am looking for my next job. There are relatively few local companies that do the type of consulting that I’m focusing on compared to standard “full stack” developer/architect roles.

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by AndyMcConachie on Saturday December 29, 2018 @06:19AM (#18783115)
I hate this attitude among Americans. Like there is some strategy you can play that will make sure you won't get screwed over in life, and that if you do get screwed over in life it's because your strategy was wrong.

It has so much more to do with luck than I think people like you are willing to admit. Where is the compassion in your writing? This story is about people losing their jobs simply because they're old and used up by a society that doesn't give a shit. And here you are talking about strategies for success. It's gross.

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by dang on Saturday December 29, 2018 @01:21PM (#18784911)
Please keep nationalistic slurs far away from Hacker News, regardless of who you have a problem with.

In addition, please review https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and follow all the rules when posting here. They include:

"Please respond to the strongest plausible interpretation of what someone says, not a weaker one that's easier to criticize. Assume good faith."

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by apatters on Saturday December 29, 2018 @08:51AM (#18783533)
What you've done here is create multiple strawmen, attribute them to me, and then rationalize this fictional version of me as a "typical American." It's very insulting.

Nowhere did I say luck doesn't play a part. Nowhere did I say I lack compassion for the people in the article. Nowhere did I say that I think things are fine as they are.

The reality of the business world today is that employment is at-will. There's nothing stopping employers doing the things described in this article. So I offered up a way that people I know have managed to improve their career outcomes. Having several consulting clients is often a lower-risk approach to the later stages of your career than depending on one employer for all of your income. This is a forum dedicated to entrepreneurship so I think my comments are appropriate here.

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by bad-joke on Saturday December 29, 2018 @11:47AM (#18784385)
> The reality of the business world today is that employment is at-will. There's nothing stopping employers doing the things described in this article. So I offered up a way that people I know have managed to improve their career outcomes.

Here's a way to improve career outcomes: roll back at-will employment laws and give labor more leverage in negotiations with management.

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by achillesheels on Saturday December 29, 2018 @12:02PM (#18784477)
>> I hate this attitude among Americans. Like there is some strategy you can play that will make sure you won't get screwed over in life, and that if you do get screwed over in life it's because your strategy was wrong.

That’s called life? You make it sound as though the existence of risk in life is an evil, rather than a plain fact.

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by yayana on Saturday December 29, 2018 @08:03AM (#18783387)
I also think it is counterproductive for each to try to think the way proposed. The market gets cheap expert consultants without the higher medical costs that come with the time it took to create them and still bringing down the wages of new workers. The workers are collectively screwed because they competed on strategies rather than collectively bargaining.

If I end up a well paid consultant in my retirement, then I just sold even more of my life away for the garbage the market produces to justify endless competition. I really only need my portion of the basics, like every other worker.

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by unixhero on Saturday December 29, 2018 @08:15AM (#18783425)
Yeah it's gross. It doesn't apply in all tiers of corporate/company life, but it certainly does in the upper (Fortune500) ones and so on. That is what I've seen so far. Very Machiavellian. To be honest, I'm about to take my hat and run, myself.
Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by ThrowMeDown01 on Saturday December 29, 2018 @06:40AM (#18783191)
Also, another confusion of "anyone" vs. "everyone". The English language has those two distinct words, unlike my own native language, so English speakers should actually be at an advantage here. Any time someone comes up with an example that (in an idealized universe, but let's grant them the unrealistic assumption because it does not even affect the final result) would work for anyone, make a check if it works for everyone, meaning what would happen if everyone actually did just that.

I think such huge levels of new "entrepreneurs" just means you get something like "Uber jobs". All the risk of being on your own but none of the benefits of being part of a large organization. Even if every single new entrepreneur were to cure one kind of cancer - how many such people are needed before the ROI on a cure for a cancer form is down to pennies? Just to use an extreme example where every single person actually is a genius. Now imagine what happens when most people are ordinary. Not to mention that actual monetization of cures for forms of cancer can only be handled by - large companies! It seems to me to be quite clear, given the complexity of what needs to be done in today's world economy (vs. shoe makers or smiths or XYZ makers in centuries past who could happily work alone or with just family) that most people in the economy should be employed and part of large(r) organizations. If everybody is an individual (entrepreneur) this would not fit into how modern society works, solving complex tasks in a tight network of people.

To me it's like propagating a mostly bacteria world because multicellular organisms, where individuals give up most of their autonomy and prefer to be part of a big organization, are somehow "bad" (and cancer cells, breaking out of the organization to follow their own path, are somehow rebels fighting for freedom?). To me, people giving up many of their freedoms to work in a higher-level form of organization is something positive, and I think we actually need more of it. The problem is that, following the multicellular organism analogy, today's organisms (firms) are quite hostile towards their own cells (workers). Too narrow-minded. They could (allowed to) be that way - if the parent organization, the state, would jump in and provide the safety instead, on the (even) higher level. For the unbelievable wealth (in tools, knowledge, infrastructure, processes, networks) that at least part of humanity has accumulated and achieved I think we have waaayyyyy too much risk completely unnecessarily put on individuals, for no good reason. We could easily give everyone food and shelter and some basics. To me, much of that pressure on people is completely artificial. "Sure, we could feed you, but we won't because you are unworthy."

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by achillesheels on Saturday December 29, 2018 @12:10PM (#18784530)
1) most ordinary entrepreneurs can find plenty of work handling finished goods, e.g. FBA. It’s the capital that is needed for them to start which is a problem for those who would rather buy a mortgage, vacation, etc. than build a business.

2) I find your opinion of a corporate social contract terrifying. If anything, entrepreneurialism is necessary for the ex nihilo creation of labor demand to keep society stable.

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by ThrowMeDown01 on Saturday December 29, 2018 @12:42PM (#18784707)
What a strange reply.

Your 1) Please read again, this does not fit to anything I wrote. Especially the main point, that inconvenient "anybody" vs. "everybody" thing that you completely ignore.

Your 2) This too has nothing at all to do with what I wrote. You respond to whatever strange visions appear in your own mind. I'm very sorry for you if you find the idea that people who are down and/or out are getting help so frightening, that non-rich people don't have to live in fear. And if you want to point to the "overachievers" - again see my main point and answer those points (first you have to actually notice and acknowledge them, of which there is no sign even though it was the main point of my post, "anybody" vs. "everybody").

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by dang on Saturday December 29, 2018 @01:25PM (#18784941)
We've banned this account for repeatedly breaking the site guidelines and ignoring our many requests to stop.

Could you please not create accounts to do that with?

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by achillesheels on Saturday December 29, 2018 @01:38PM (#18785008)
Sorry, the quotes I address for better context:

1) “Just to use an extreme example where every single person actually is a genius. Now imagine what happens when most people are ordinary.”

My capitalization caveat for ordinary entrepreneurs was to preempt the response that ordinary people can’t afford to quit their day jobs.

2) “To me, people giving up many of their freedoms to work in a higher-level form of organization is something positive, and I think we actually need more of it.”

I disagreed. We need more disagreeableness in society and less conformity. Anyone can but not everyone will ;).

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by chrisbennet on Saturday December 29, 2018 @07:06AM (#18783250)
This is what I did. Mid fifties and earning more than I ever did before. The wife with equal experience plus a masters in CS hasn’t been able to find work. Employers are enthusiastic about her skills but once they figure out her age, crickets.
Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by achillesheels on Saturday December 29, 2018 @12:12PM (#18784544)
I don’t understand your wife’s treatment. Is it because of fear of salary requirements, underemployment, or health insurance premiums? I only see reason in my last guess.
Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by chrisbennet on Saturday December 29, 2018 @03:02PM (#18785400)
I don’t know, I would be guessing. Ageism is a thing and because it is illegal, you can’t find out why.
Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by Animats on Saturday December 29, 2018 @03:17AM (#18782616)
Yeah, right. Take on the risks of a startup as you approach retirement.
Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by Zanni on Saturday December 29, 2018 @05:47AM (#18783035)
Alternative take on the parent comment: take on some risk as a consultant to avoid the risk of getting laid off, and do it well in advance of retirement.
Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by apatters on Saturday December 29, 2018 @08:58AM (#18783557)
Someone gets it, thank you.

Startups are high-risk, high-reward ventures which make less sense to attempt as you age. It's normally a good idea to start moving your assets into fixed income and other low risk investments as you approach retirement, the same risk aversion applies to your income source(s).

Making the shift to consulting, if done properly, actually lowers your income risk because you can't lose your entire income in one go. If you have 3-4 regular clients, the most any one of them can do is force you to take a partial pay hit.

That's why it's a good idea to consider this path and start laying foundations that could make it possible long before you turn 50. Even though many HN users seem to misunderstand it, this isn't a novel idea by any means.

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by scarface74 on Saturday December 29, 2018 @09:20AM (#18783654)
In my mid 40s, my first alternative would be working for a consulting company. Secondarily going out on my own.
Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by cft on Saturday December 29, 2018 @03:46AM (#18782697)
Consulting is definitely not a start-up. It's not scalable. Separately, the average age of founders of successful tech startups is in the late forties.
Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by randomacct3847 on Saturday December 29, 2018 @07:16AM (#18783280)
The idea of retirement is a joke, as if it’s this formalized thing that everyone is entitled to. I’m not saying it shouldn’t be, but we act like everyone is supposed to just sit on a golf course once they turn a magic age and live happily ever after without needing to earn a dime for the rest of their lives.

Personally I find the classical “retirement” you see in TV ads to be a sham sold by baby boomers.

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by coldtea on Saturday December 29, 2018 @08:33AM (#18783480)
>The idea of retirement is a joke, as if it’s this formalized thing that everyone is entitled to.

There's nothing funny about it.

It's a great concept invented by a civilization better than ours in labor concerns, that we have failed to maintain because we allowed greed to overturn everything after the 70s.

Retirement is as great an a civilized invention as universal healthcare, schools, legal system, etc.

It's just that our societies are not worthy of it. Compared to a society that can, we're like primitives that throw disabled kids or elderly to the wolves.

>but we act like everyone is supposed to just sit on a golf course once they turn a magic age and live happily ever after without needing to earn a dime for the rest of their lives

Doesn't have to involve a golf course, but yeah, what's so strange about the situation you describe? For one, people pay all kinds of taxes throughout their lives for that. Second, it's not a "magic age" but a median age (which can change over time) when people no longer cannot realistically work (strength, health problems, etc).

I'd like to see you at 65+ with no retirement money and no job prospects, how that would change your tune...

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by achillesheels on Saturday December 29, 2018 @12:25PM (#18784614)
The concept of retirement was conceived of when, as you suggest, the working class could not afford savings while being destined for incapacitation from decades of hard labor. What was normally a family upkeep of tending to an elderly loved on was converted to a social cost.

Now, hoewever, most people work sedentary jobs with plenty of opportunity to aim for a life of retirement if they do please. Most do not. Is this society’s fault that employees don’t contribute to their 401(k)s until they are in their thirties?

To counter your point, a truly civilized society leads to greater individual responsibility for the self and for others. That doesn’t happen when things like healthcare and social security are planned for you using 80-year old blueprints.

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by coldtea on Saturday December 29, 2018 @08:43PM (#18786834)
>Is this society’s fault that employees don’t contribute to their 401(k)s until they are in their thirties?

Obviously yes.

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by prolikewh0a on Saturday December 29, 2018 @01:21PM (#18784906)
>Is this society’s fault that employees don’t contribute to their 401(k)s until they are in their thirties?

I didn't have the opportunity or even know what a 401k was except at a high level until I was 26 in my first 'big job'. I'm 28 and still haven't put any money into it because I cannot afford to in a corporate IT position. I'm still trying to pay down my health insurance deductible so I can get my medications. How can I ever retire? At this point, I'm going to work until I die.

Not sure how this is my fault when I'm educated and work 45 hours per week and am away from home for 60 when adding in my commute.

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by achillesheels on Monday December 31, 2018 @03:38PM (#18796847)
Duly noted. I’m not trying to be snide, but from your brief history you indicate you were ignorant of any sort of retirement actionable strategies. Frankly you are growing up in the most information abdunant age in world history with copious information on wealth management. Irrespective of personal upbringings which no doubt create wealth discrepancies, you clearly were not taking long-term decisions in your twenties. How else can we explain your lack of active pursuit of financial education? The buck has to stop somewhere.
Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by xanipher on Saturday December 29, 2018 @11:44AM (#18784376)
It's the reality in most western countries.
Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by ryandrake on Sunday December 30, 2018 @12:33AM (#18787613)
I like your comment, but I wish you (and other similar commenters) would reveal more details of the secret sauce!

Whenever people on here advocate "going into consulting" they do so with vague advice like: Lay the right foundation! and Play your cards right! and Do your homework! These things sound great but aren't specific or actionable. If I want to quit my job in, say, a year and become a consultant, what specific steps do I need to take? How do these companies "retain" me? How do you know they have "cost pressures" that lead to you consulting? Where do I find out about these "gigs" to string together? Does this activity go through recruiters just like a regular job hunt?

Which contacts help you find these gigs? I don't have that many--what do you do when you've talked to them all? Most of my contacts from previous companies are individual contributor rank-and-file employees and probably are not involved with hiring contractors, plus they work for companies I quit and don't want to work for anymore!

I wish there was more of a HOWTO besides:

1. Nebulously Prepare

2. ???

3. You're a consultant with multiple gigs!

Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by randomacct3847 on Saturday December 29, 2018 @07:06AM (#18783252)
I’m aiming to save enough to be able to retire by 35...not that I want to but I want the optionality.
Re:Over half of older US workers are pushed out of longtime ... by akudha on Saturday December 29, 2018 @10:17AM (#18783930)
In a true capitalist fashion, there should be some "course" and some "workshop" that teaches how to do this...