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A comment on Tech Unicorns Are Going Public at Near-Record Pace. Parent comment

Re:Tech Unicorns Are Going Public at Near-Record Pace by jklein11 on Wednesday December 19, 2018 @03:07PM (#18719034)
A model isn't a crystal ball, it is a way of formally describing something using mathematics. A model could tell you that a specific set of conditions that preceded a recession have occurred again. One example of this would be an inverted yield curve.[1]

A recession is when an economy declines for at least six months.[2] I guess the best predictor of a recession is 5.5 months of negative growth.

1. https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-12-03/u-s-yi... 2. https://www.thebalance.com/what-is-a-recession-3306019

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Re:Tech Unicorns Are Going Public at Near-Record Pace by amelius on Thursday December 20, 2018 @08:01AM (#18724517)
You probably missed the word "obvious" in my comment. I was just saying that if economists don't predict a recession, then the chances are pretty low that parent-poster could successfully predict one based on intuition only.
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