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Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by marvin on Monday December 03, 2018 @02:20AM (#18586940)
That type of taxation of externalities is really a no-brainer in the West too, but there’s just not democratic majority for implementing it. A tragedy. Tragedy of the commons, really, on a spectacular scale.

A general CO2 tax wouldn’t be hard to implement if we were a dictatorship.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by ams6110 on Monday December 03, 2018 @08:05AM (#18588434)
Taxes are hard to implement in many countries, including the USA, because people have seen that the tax money is not spent on what proponents say it will be spent on.

You'd have a hard time getting a CO2 tax passed because it would just end up going into the general fund and get spent on pet projects, not on anything that really addressed CO2 emissions, or helped with the cost of alternative fuels or vehicles.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by nothrabannosir on Monday December 03, 2018 @02:05PM (#18591807)
A carbon tax is a pigovian tax, which works purely to internalise negative externalities into the price of the good. Any purported bonus that could be achieved by directing that money, somehow, is just that: a bonus. It would still work without it.

A carbon tax would work if you burned the money. Bonus points if you captured the CO2 from the fire :)

A carbon tax serves to connect our intuition to our logic. We logically know that, somehow, the sum of all our disparate little actions is responsible for global warming. But the feedback loop is notoriously long, and complex. And humans are no-to-ri-ous-ly bad at properly valuing that. We couldn't do it to save our lives, or that of our species.

Furthermore, it helps break free from the tragedy of the commons, where every independent agent makes a game theoretically optimal move, to the detriment of the global system. No amount of proselytising or appealing to humane sensibilities, no amount of ecological lucidity or sudden flashes of intuitive insight into that awful feedback loop, would ever solve that problem.

No weapon works better against overfishing than quotas. Not necessarily a tax, but leveraging the market similarly.

No weapon works better against carbon emissions than a carbon tax.

Pigovian taxes are powerful weapons in a market oriented society. Very, very powerful. This is why vested interests will do absolutely anything to prevent them.

Doing something useful with the money is just a tiny cherry on top of large cake of success.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by Gibbon1 on Monday December 03, 2018 @03:20PM (#18592520)
> A carbon tax would work if you burned the money.

This is very under appreciated. A lot of potential taxes aren't actually collected because people alter behavior to avoid them. For a carbon tax that's the point.

I'll also say the behavior you want to alter is not 'buying carbon based fuels'. The behavior you want to stop is people buying gasoline powered cars and natural gas fired furnaces. Which means what you want is a excise tax on those things not the fuel itself. Because when someone buys a gas powered car they commit then and there to emit 100 tons of CO2. So make the pain point then and there, not in the nebulous future.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by 794CD01 on Monday December 03, 2018 @09:11AM (#18588829)
Even more good could be done if the money were spent well, but the fact that the tax must be paid at all serves as the incentive that pushes behavior in a more environmentally friendly direction.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by kodablah on Monday December 03, 2018 @10:35AM (#18589502)
There are less regressive ways to incentivize change. Taking money from people hurts the people that rely on money more. Rather, investment and encouragement of particular industries is less punitive, but again goes back to valuable spending of public funds.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by mbostleman on Monday December 03, 2018 @01:29PM (#18591444)
It would be great if someday those who want to "make a change" or "progress" society understood that succeeding at actually changing their neighbors' minds is more effective than succeeding at getting laws passed that confiscate their neighbors' wealth so that some government program may or may not end up being effective at getting to their end goal. The effort to defend political tribes is so high - imagine if it was used to help create a natural demand in various markets to achieve a given outcome.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by mlinksva on Monday December 03, 2018 @01:48PM (#18591642)
That's the genius of a carbon tax that returns 100% of the collections as a citizen dividend, like the bipartisan bill recently introduced https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_Innovation_and_Carbon_D...
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by davedx on Monday December 03, 2018 @03:16AM (#18587172)
In the Netherlands they’ve just reversed subsidies for electric vehicles, increasing bijtelling for them which makes them a lot more expensive for business purchases and leases. It’s a step backwards.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by rapnie on Monday December 03, 2018 @03:35AM (#18587243)
Yes, it is very frustrating. The Dutch are exceptionally good at talking the talk, when it comes to renewable energy transition, having years-long talk about the opportunity to become the best, most innovative player (e.g. in solar), and then not walking the walk. Suddenly stopping subsidies because of 'unprecedented success' is the norm, leaving all businesses who had invested out in the cold.

Netherlands is now a laggard in sustainable energy in the EU. I guess we have 'pro-business' liberal-democratic ruling party (VVD) and greenwashing-only companies such as Shell to thank for that. They prefer 'lobbycracy' above democracy.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by avar on Monday December 03, 2018 @05:20AM (#18587675)
Electric vehicles are excempt from the road tax in The Netherlands. E.g. in Nord-Holland you'd pay 1400 EUR/yr just in road tolls for a Tesla Model S (according to my searching around 2,250 kg), but you pay 0 EUR because it's an EV under the current policy.

Over a period of some years this easily adds up to what other countries such as the US have been paying out in EV subsidies, add to that that fossil fuels are much more expensive than say the US and it's a very significant subsidy.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by CalRobert on Monday December 03, 2018 @05:28AM (#18587713)
Given that the thought of the Netherlands conjures images of happy families in bakfiets {and jealousy on my part) I was startled to learn their per capita greenhouse gas emissions are among the worst in the EU.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by ovi256 on Monday December 03, 2018 @07:51AM (#18588327)
They're an almost completely urban population with a high standard of living. Of course that needs energy and greenshouse emissions to make happen.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by MagnumOpus on Monday December 03, 2018 @09:45AM (#18589100)
An urban population should emit less GHG than the same population being spread out. And standard of living is not that much different from Denmark (20% less) or the UK (30% less).
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by ovi256 on Monday December 03, 2018 @10:08AM (#18589298)
You're right for the Netherlands and the developped countries, of course. I confused this rural pop with developping countries' rural pop, which of course is a lot less energy intensive.

As for the standard of living differences, are those numbers similar to the energy-per-capita differences between the same countries ?

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by isostatic on Monday December 03, 2018 @09:09AM (#18588807)
Urburnites claim that city living is cleaner (co2 wise) that living in the country
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by CalRobert on Monday December 03, 2018 @12:16PM (#18590497)
Living near the people and things you need, walking, cycling, and taking electrified public transport to said things, and multi-family dwellings allowing the use of district heating (or heat pumps powered by renewable energy) can drastically reduce your carbon footprint compared to living in the burbs and driving to everything.

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2009/mar/23/city-dwe...

Of course, you _can_ have a low carbon footprint in the country, but it's really hard, because those places are hostile to cycling and walking.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by mcv on Tuesday December 04, 2018 @06:20AM (#18598384)
Our many consecutive right-wing governments aren't very eager to meet our CO2 reduction targets. Bad for business, they think. Some tax reduction for electric vehicles and green electricity is the best we got, and they're constantly looking for an excuse to end those.

A big incentive for electric cars comes from cities, though: in Amsterdam, if you get an electric car, you get an electric charging spot in front of your house, which is effectively a private parking spot if you're the only one with an electric car. With the constant shortage of parking spots, this is huge.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by evandijk70 on Tuesday December 04, 2018 @08:17AM (#18599131)
The reversal is only for cars priced over 50 000 euro (~ 57000 usd). Even for those cars, you can still get the subsidy for the amount up to 50 000 euro.

The subsidy mostly helped people get a Tesla Model S as a company car. And it is still subsidized for about 17% of 50k, which is 8000 euro a year. While the Tesla Model S is more environmentally friendly than a similar sized gasoline car, buying of smaller electric cars (like the volkswagen e-golf, tesla model 3, etc) should be encouraged more. I don't think it was a bad idea to cap the subsidy at 50 000 euro.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by davedx on Sunday December 09, 2018 @06:14AM (#18640329)
Fair point, I forgot about the cap. The Model 3 is arriving just in time for Tesla sales.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by cmrdporcupine on Monday December 03, 2018 @08:39AM (#18588623)
Same in Ontario, our generous EV subsidy was killed by the new right-wing-populist provincial gov't, cap'n'trade eliminated (leaving a $3b hole in the budget), and various green programmes turfed.

Then they had the gall to turn around and promote the fact that Ontario has dropped its CO2 emissions by 25% in the last 10 years. All due to the actions of the previous government that they railed against with "lock her up" type chants.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by antaviana on Monday December 03, 2018 @05:28AM (#18587717)
This. Just see the "Yellow Vests" riots in France because of the tax raise on fuel.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by RugnirViking on Monday December 03, 2018 @06:33AM (#18587973)
Worth mentioning that while that is indeed how that movement started, its difficult to say that it's about just that nowadays. More a general culture war between cosmopolitan and rural/less fortunate france if I understand correctly
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by mschuster91 on Monday December 03, 2018 @07:27AM (#18588209)
> Just see the "Yellow Vests" riots in France because of the tax raise on fuel.

Problem with the French protests is that the fuel tax raise didn't take care of poor-ish people.

Most "eco" politics doesn't care about these people either - no matter the country - and that's the reason why Trump and other right-wingers can hate so successfully against anything environmentally-friendly.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by dsfyu404ed on Monday December 03, 2018 @08:53AM (#18588711)
The problem is that getting off of fossil fuels (or solving pretty much any other large politically charged problem) will cost a lot of money and in society it's always the people who have the least power and influence who are left with the bill so until the middle and upper classes can figure out how to stop screwing poor people at every turn there will always be opportunity for populist leaders to gain power by promising to actually solve people's problems, drain the swamp, etc, etc.

It's not a left vs right thing. It's a the people calling the shots are out of touch with what the day to day problems of the masses are thing.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by mschuster91 on Wednesday December 05, 2018 @06:17AM (#18607308)
> It's not a left vs right thing.

It very much is. Take a look at ANY right-wing political party and look who gets screwed over: always the lowest class people first. Women, PoC, migrants, poor persons.

The right-wing strategy is to distract the masses with "it's the fault of the foreigners/the Muslims/Deep State/Swamp" while at the same time enacting policies that benefit only the ultra rich.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by dmurray on Monday December 03, 2018 @04:58AM (#18587591)
Lots of Western countries have heavy tax on gasoline. This passes the cost for the externality on to the taxi owner instead of the customer, but comes to pretty much the same thing.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by adrianN on Monday December 03, 2018 @06:12AM (#18587896)
The taxes for gasoline are way below the cost of pulling the CO2 back from the atmosphere, so they don't pass the full cost of the externality on the owner.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by mcv on Tuesday December 04, 2018 @06:24AM (#18598411)
I wouldn't mind if we had a slowly increasing tax on all fossil fuels, that grew slowly to the full cost of pulling the CO2 out of the atmosphere. Then use the revenues from that tax to pull CO2 out of the atmosphere.

That creates a tax incentive as well as a new industry to fix the problem. Grow slowly so not to immediately cripple the industry, but long before the tax reaches 100% of the cost, will most people have switched to something cleaner.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by Tepix on Monday December 03, 2018 @05:14AM (#18587651)
Yet none (?) have a tax on kerosine. Which is arguably worse for the environment for multiple reasons. Airplanes are a lot less efficient than buses, ships or trains. Also airplanes release their exhausts up in the atmosphere which is worse for global warming.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by pjc50 on Monday December 03, 2018 @05:35AM (#18587744)
There's a problem in that it's effectively banned by international treaty as part of the ICAO. I believe people are working on changing this but it will be slow going.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by gonvaled on Monday December 03, 2018 @07:00AM (#18588091)
It requires full international cooperation, otherwise carries will tend to tank where taxes are lower. Not that that is always possible: if you land in Frankfurt and your deposit is empty, you will still need to tank in Frankfurt.

But, without international cooperation, fly routes could become distorted because of kerosine tax effects.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by mcv on Tuesday December 04, 2018 @06:25AM (#18598416)
Doing it just on internal EU flights would already make a big difference.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by benj111 on Monday December 03, 2018 @05:46AM (#18587792)
The UK has the Air Passenger Duty. Which is kind of similar (you are charged more for flying a farther distance). So there are ways of structuring it legally.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by isostatic on Monday December 03, 2018 @09:08AM (#18588796)
Not great, as it's passenger based there's no incentive to fly on a cleaner plane, or on a busier plane. A 747 that's only 25% full will cost the same as a 787 that's 99% full.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by dmurray on Monday December 03, 2018 @05:27AM (#18587707)
There are lots of taxes (and subsidies) on air transport, and no real alternative to fossil fuels for powering planes. Adding a kerosene tax - instead of, say, a "landing tax" or a grant of land to build an airport - would just slosh the money around a bit, it wouldn't create an incentive for people to take electric planes.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by hamilyon2 on Monday December 03, 2018 @01:14PM (#18591257)
Some alternatives are skyping, VR and bullet trains.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by njarboe on Monday December 03, 2018 @02:48AM (#18587064)
It might be if your most powerful general owned the national oil company.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by jacobush on Monday December 03, 2018 @03:14AM (#18587165)
You mean like in the US? Oh wait...
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by moduspol on Monday December 03, 2018 @08:10AM (#18588461)
Why stop at a CO2 tax? All kinds of problems could be solved with a dictatorship.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by cmrdporcupine on Monday December 03, 2018 @08:42AM (#18588644)
It's not having a dictatorship -- it's having a national economic strategy and a popular will to make decisions without letting very particular selfish interests get in the way.

It does not require an authoritarian central leadership.

But it does require stopping and rolling back the capture of political bodies and the public sphere generally by private interests.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by moduspol on Monday December 03, 2018 @09:00AM (#18588746)
Respectfully, it's a pipe dream.

If gas, energy, or home heating prices double, whoever's in power is going to be voted out. It's not the capture of political bodies that drives that--it's normal people. It'll take a suspension of democracy or a long time to make a measurable impact on climate change.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by MagnumOpus on Monday December 03, 2018 @09:54AM (#18589203)
Not if the tax revenues get distributed back as a carbon dividend - then the only people against it are heavy polluters who lose out.

(And since emissions are not distributed linearly, the losers from a cost-neutral carbon-tax with per-capita-dividend will always be a minority.)

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by moduspol on Monday December 03, 2018 @10:10AM (#18589314)
Maybe I'm misunderstanding, but:

From what I'm being told, fundamental changes need to occur in our consumption to have a measurable impact on climate change. That won't happen with normal people continuing to consume at the same rates they have.

Could a carbon tax be designed such that normal people are effectively reimbursed and heavy emitters pay more? Yes. But you're not going to measurably impact climate change without somehow incentivizing people to use less. At some point, people need to use less, and when you force them to (through taxes or restrictions), it won't be popular politically.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by razorunreal on Monday December 03, 2018 @01:11PM (#18591229)
Redistributing money from people who use more to people who use less is an incentive to use less. It can be an arbirarily large incentive depending on how much you decide to redistribute. It's not like the money is destroyed or something.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by thinkcontext on Monday December 03, 2018 @10:36AM (#18589511)
Its not impossible, vehicle fuel prices in Europe are over twice what they are in the US because of taxes.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by moduspol on Monday December 03, 2018 @10:47AM (#18589594)
People don't use nearly as much vehicle fuel in Europe as they do in the US.

More clearly stated, my point is that what's really needed is people to adjust their consumption downward dramatically, but the taxes necessary to cause that will be politically infeasible.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by thinkcontext on Monday December 03, 2018 @11:14AM (#18589869)
> People don't use nearly as much vehicle fuel in Europe as they do in the US.

And you don't think the difference in prices has anything to do with that?

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by moduspol on Monday December 03, 2018 @11:25AM (#18589977)
I'm sure it contributes, but I think the key reason it's more politically feasible is because it doesn't hit as many (especially poorer) Europeans as hard (EDIT: I meant to imply here there are a lot fewer miles driven).

Looking up the statistics on miles driven, the gap isn't as big as I expected, though, so I'm probably not giving the tax as much credit as it deserves.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by twblalock on Monday December 03, 2018 @12:16PM (#18590498)
Increasing fuel prices will only incentivize people to drive less if there are alternative means of transportation. Those are absent in most parts of the US.

You could double the price of gas in the US and driving would not change much, because people would have no other way to get to work and get their kids to school. The most you could hope for is that people would buy more efficient cars.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by chillacy on Tuesday December 04, 2018 @03:24AM (#18597447)
Maybe a similar situation is traffic in large cities, if time = money then there's an increased cost to driving during rush hour. Yet most people clearly chose to pay this price rather than trying to structure their life around cheaper (less time consuming) hours.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by vixen99 on Monday December 03, 2018 @05:21AM (#18587681)
There seems to be an 'if only' tone to your stating the obvious.
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by mtgx on Monday December 03, 2018 @03:20AM (#18587189)
So do you think Saudi Arabia will introduce a carbon tax anytime soon?
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by starbeast on Monday December 03, 2018 @04:07AM (#18587358)
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by ctdonath on Monday December 03, 2018 @06:30AM (#18587958)
A general CO2 tax wouldn’t be hard to implement if we were a dictatorship.

It's ideas like this why Americans are heavily armed. Nobody can explain how a "co2 tax" would actually do good, yet you implicitly advocate killing people to enact it.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by adrianN on Monday December 03, 2018 @08:54AM (#18588712)
A CO2 tax would do good because it would reduce demand for goods and services that cause the release of CO2, proportional to how much they release, while also providing the funds necessary to clean CO2 from the atmosphere.

Not that hard to explain.

Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by mijamo on Monday December 03, 2018 @11:38AM (#18590105)
I don't see how heavily armed Americans change anything. Personnal weapons would not change a dictatorship. If anything it would just justify killing opponents for armed rebellion/terrorism. It's not like your gun will stop tanks...
Re:China ‘Is the Only One in the Race’ to Make Electric Buse... by francisofascii on Monday December 03, 2018 @09:00AM (#18588752)
A CO2 tax would reduce the following: pollution, resource depletion, suburban sprawl, commute times, obesity, loneliness, traffic related deaths. So there will be less people killed with a C02 tax.