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Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by tomohawk on Monday November 12, 2018 @05:56PM (#18436774)
The thing about war is that at some point, the conditions line up where it becomes seen as a solution (if not the only solution), and its not easy to see the point at which that will occur ahead of time.

Will China's big sea grab start a war? So far, they've been able to smother any of their neighbor's push back, and have just ignored any international rulings against them.

What about when they invade Taiwan, which they've said they will do? What about when they take over some of Japan's islands, which they said they would do?

They seem to be going down this path where they think if they just push a calculated amount each time, it won't cause a big problem. It's exactly that kind of thinking that is the problem, though.

And China's not the only aggressive, belligerent country out there. There's also Russia (Crimea/Ukraine, Syria) and Iran (Iraq, Yemen, Syria, Lebanon), for example. At what point do their aggressions spill over into a larger conflict?

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by qsdevacc on Monday November 12, 2018 @08:06PM (#18437511)
I find it laughable that you completely disregarded USA as one of the other "aggressive, belligerent" countries out there...
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by ekianjo on Monday November 12, 2018 @09:33PM (#18437963)
Actually this is debatable. The USA has the first military power in the whole world and could go and invade a bunch of countries if they wanted to and nobody would oppose them. Since they are not doing so, its hard to call them belligerent. The British Empire was way worse than the USA all things considered.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by crispinb on Monday November 12, 2018 @10:43PM (#18438371)
You're setting a high bar for belligerence. The US is diplomatically & militarily sophisticated enough that it frequently exercises rational restraint. It also is an admirably open society, undergoing strategic policy shifts as internal arguments get won and lost.

But no-one (for other than ideological purposes) ever mistook the US for a fundamentally peaceable nation (internally or externally).

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by fsloth on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @01:41AM (#18439125)
Further more, US is so scary they often don't need to do anything. The fact that they make their will known suffices to further their political goals.

War is an extension of politics.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by _eht on Monday November 12, 2018 @10:55PM (#18438442)
Well said.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by baursak on Monday November 12, 2018 @09:46PM (#18438041)
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by puranjay on Monday November 12, 2018 @11:47PM (#18438666)
> nobody would oppose them

Except the local militias that would inevitably form, and would cause considerable losses on the US side, leading to poor public appetite for war

See: Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by hef19898 on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @12:45AM (#18438899)
Different times, back during the higjt of the british empire war and colonization have been normal things to do. Even the British were quite aggrez, but still not out of the norm. This whole land grabbing kind of war ended to be a thing with WW 2. So you can still be as aggressive as the British back then, it just manifests itself in different ways. Also, nowadays it is a lot easoer to control countries by economic means alone.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by kamaal on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @01:53AM (#18439170)
>>Different times, back during the higjt of the british empire war and colonization have been normal things to do.

Indian here. Colonization is just a placeholder term to describe resource grab. There is no real chance England could have annexed India.

Why do all this annexation business, and offer the other country free citizenships? All you have to do is militarily control the country while you can take their resources and ship to your homeland.

>>This whole land grabbing kind of war ended to be a thing with WW 2.

Territorial control often has further ulterior motives. Like grabbing useful land, or creating buffer zones etc.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by elboru on Monday November 12, 2018 @10:00PM (#18438109)
Well they've done it, remember when they took half Mexico?
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by Latteland on Monday November 12, 2018 @11:02PM (#18438483)
Yeah, the us invaded mexico in the 1800s and 1900s, and murdered millions of native americans, and uncountable lynching against black people.

Mexico came a long time ago, we aren't doing stuff like that anymore. Except when we invade small countries like panama, that we still do.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by kevin_thibedeau on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @12:23AM (#18438796)
> we aren't doing stuff like that anymore.

The US still does it via corporate resource extraction and puppet regimes.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by dvtrn on Monday November 12, 2018 @09:42PM (#18438006)
Since they are not doing so, its hard to call them belligerent

I wonder what kinds of things history will be saying about the United States in 200 years, a nation who probably didn't take the brutish British approach to invasion, but has tripwire forces-I mean "installations" dotted all over everyone else's back yards instead.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by raprp on Monday November 12, 2018 @09:55PM (#18438084)
Considering how NATO, The Gulf Countries, China and Russia are behaving, seems that in 200 years we will be still learning how to build the wheel again. If were are lucky.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by factsaresacred on Monday November 12, 2018 @11:35PM (#18438621)
Gratitude, I hope.

Without the US, the world would be a sh*tshow. The tripwire bases prevent the likes of Russia putting its paws on Eastern Europe or China snatching more islands they claim as there own.

Back when the Serbs were genociding their Muslim citizens, Europe was inept while the US saved the day, as usual.

The US enjoys the status quo - most military interventions are to maintain it.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by umichguy on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @03:03AM (#18439427)
I am not a big fan of current US policy, but definitely agree that our presence is a stabilizing factor in the world geo politics. Take the US out of the equation and there would like be a huge imbalance. The UK and other European countries are but a shadow of their past... At least militarily.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by raprp on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @03:41AM (#18439573)
The USA should never be out of the equation. Nor should Europe, China or Russia.

All the actors are needed for a multi-polar world.

What everyone needs is for all of them to stop waging proxy wars, grabbing international waters and deploying nukes around each other.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by masonic on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @07:22AM (#18440411)

  US saved the day
I suspect that the Croats and Bosnians would consider that an exaggeration.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by chillwaves on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @12:10AM (#18438760)
The US has no problem arming and training SA who is committing genocide in Yemen as we speak.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by swarnie_ on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @05:05AM (#18439894)
> The USA has the first military power in the whole world and could go and invade a bunch of countries if they wanted to

We'll ignore Vietnam, Afghanistan and Iraq (twice) for the sake of this comment?

Also lets ignore all those south american Coup d'états because it helps the narrative.

[dead]
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by swarnie_ on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @09:25AM (#18441123)
A letter out of place doesn't change the point.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by liftbigweights on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @12:04AM (#18438730)
> The USA has the first military power in the whole world and could go and invade a bunch of countries if they wanted to and nobody would oppose them.

This is false. Have you heard of the korean war or the vietnam war? Or the afghanistan/iraqi war? There are ( and have been ) powers that opposed the US ( sometimes successfully ). Look at current day syria.

> Since they are not doing so, its hard to call them belligerent.

What? We have been in a state of perpetual aggressive war ever since ww2 ( frankly since the american revolution war if we are being honest ).

> The British Empire was way worse than the USA all things considered.

It may or may not have been worse. But being belligerent isn't a relative matter of comparison. It's a matter of state. It's like being pregnant. You are pregnant or you are not.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by chillwaves on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @12:07AM (#18438748)
because we don't have to. USA enjoys global hegemony and the methods have evolved. Still brutal, just less so.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by crispinb on Monday November 12, 2018 @07:34PM (#18437312)
> At what point do their aggressions spill over into a larger conflict?

When perceived benefits outweigh costs. The US's multiple invasions of, and coup plots against, other countries didn't 'spill over into a larger conflict' because the US's power & ruthlessness have been well-understood by the world. The costs of resisting US militaristic aggression have just been too high. The same has applied to Russia, and perhaps will in China's case if it makes good on its threats (though it would have to fight on multiple fronts for decades to even approach US levels of aggression).

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by raprp on Monday November 12, 2018 @07:55PM (#18437447)
USA's bombing list for the last 20 years alone speaks for itself:

    Sudan 1998
    Afghanistan 1998
    Yugoslavia 1999
    Yemen 2002
    Iraq 1991-2003 (US/UK on regular basis)
    Iraq 2003-2015
    Afghanistan 2001-2015
    Pakistan 2007-2015
    Somalia 2007-8, 2011
    Yemen 2009, 2011
    Libya 2011, 2015
    Syria 2014-2016
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by VonGuard on Monday November 12, 2018 @11:05PM (#18438493)
Go back further and the US has been involved in overseas conflicts every year save for one year in the 1800's when we had a major steel strike, here.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by senorjazz on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @08:06AM (#18440618)
Panama 1989 - Operation Just Cause (gotta love the operational names)
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by senorjazz on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @08:06AM (#18440620)
oops morning coffee fail, that is 30 not 20
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by factsaresacred on Monday November 12, 2018 @11:29PM (#18438602)
Tell us, what territory was the US annexing in these attacks?

And while they were saving Muslims from genocide in the Balkans, what islands did they steal?

Not all acts of war are the same.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by yongjik on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @12:03AM (#18438729)
US is not annexing Iraq because then US will have to grant US citizenship to Iraqis and they will be free to move to mainland US. Nobody wants that, so instead US bombs the shit out of Iraq, honors its "independence" by erecting a pro-American puppet government, and acts surprised when shit falls apart.

So yeah, not all wars are the same, but people suffer all the same.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by poof131 on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @01:42AM (#18439126)
A puppet government? Hardly. We simply replaced Sunni for Shiite and slightly shifted things in a millennial old civil war. It was naive optimism of the Potomac chess players that we could reshape a country by invading it.[1] Others have mentioned the US supporting heinous countries like Saudi Arabia. This is sadly true and should stop, despite what the referenced article says about “staying engaged”. Ceasing support of tyrants and ending overtly militaristic policies is not disengaging, but reevaluating failed policies.

But the US also acts through a democracy, while the countries mentioned above do not. I can criticize the stupid policies of the US in a public forum. The citizens of the countries listed above can not. Democracy is not the equivalent of an oligarchy or tyranny. The people of a country are different from the government that represents them. Unelected governments are illegitimate and a danger to the free world despite what their minions of propaganda post.

1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Imperial_Life_in_the_Emerald_C...

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by raprp on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @04:00AM (#18439646)
> A puppet government? Hardly. We simply replaced Sunni for Shiite and slightly shifted things in a millennial old civil war.

When I read these type of comments I get truly scared on how the lives of non-western people don't really mean anything to lots of people.

There wasn't as slight shift in a conflict but an all out invasion causing hundreds of thousands of deaths in a few years. Millions if you consider the last 20 years.

> But the US also acts through a democracy, while the countries mentioned above do not.

Crimes committed by a democracy, a theocracy or a dictatorship are crimes all the same. That is how the rest of the world sees it and it's time for the west to start seeing it too.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by senorjazz on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @08:11AM (#18440651)
> > But the US also acts through a democracy, while the countries mentioned above do not.

I guess the innocent men, women and children feel better having died at the hands of a democracy.

But, your comment did bring a smile to my face, especially as what is happening right now [0]

Democracy? Iraq War pt II. Led by Bush, declared illegal by many, unwanted by more. Led by Bush, democracy. How did he get installed again? Ahh yes, the Florida "recount". Where the governor was his brother and the partisan SCOTUS decided along partisan lines rather than recount.

------ [0] POTUS stating the current recount in Florida should be stopped, even though is mandated by state law. Democracy?

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by e_proxus on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @08:41AM (#18440830)
That the US is a proper democracy can be discussed: https://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-echochambers-27074746
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by chillwaves on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @12:06AM (#18438737)
The US occupied Iraq for a decade and is still in Afghanistan. While we did not overtly annex, it is clear that the US attempted to control these countries. You would do better to make your point without the moralizing.

The fact is that the US is a global aggressor just as much as the other countries on the list.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by Bendingo on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @12:44AM (#18438898)
> they were saving Muslims from genocide in the Balkans

If you're referring to the NATO bombing of Serbia, then you are incorrect -- there was no genocide in Kosovo.

The justification for the Western intervention (100,000's of people murdered by Serbia) was a lie [1] [2], and Milosevic (the "Butcher of the Balkans") was exonerated of the charges of war crimes, twice [3] [4].

[1] https://www.newstatesman.com/europe/2008/08/pilger-kosovo-wa...

[2] https://www.newstatesman.com/node/151946

[3] https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2007/feb/28/warcri...

[4] https://www.globalresearch.ca/the-hague-tribunal-exonerates-...

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by ctchocula on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @01:02AM (#18438960)
[3] is an opinion piece, [4] says that he was exonorated. However, the wikipedia page says: "After Milošević's death, the International Court of Justice (ICJ) concluded separately in the Bosnian Genocide Case that there was no evidence linking him to genocide committed by Bosnian Serb forces during the Bosnian War. However, the Court did find that Milošević and others in Serbia had committed a breach of the Genocide Convention by failing to prevent the genocide from occurring and for not cooperating with the ICTY in punishing the perpetrators of the genocide, in particular General Ratko Mladić, and for violating its obligation to comply with the provisional measures ordered by the Court."

Just because he was personally exonerated does not imply no genocide happened.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Srebrenica_massacre

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by acqq on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @02:45AM (#18439370)
Note that the parent didn't make argument about Bosnia at all.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by vertline3 on Monday November 12, 2018 @09:18PM (#18437899)
So what it is speaking to me is

It seems there is a war against Radical religious terrorists which is stateless and more regional, and stopping dictators.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by zanny on Monday November 12, 2018 @09:33PM (#18437964)
As long as Saudi Arabia is one of Americas "greatest" allies there is no leg to stand on arguing any aspect of US foreign policy involves a moral war against totalitarianism.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by vertline3 on Monday November 12, 2018 @09:42PM (#18438005)
Unlike software, the world is not binary.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by Jerry2 on Monday November 12, 2018 @09:26PM (#18437931)
>and stopping dictators

If the US cared about stopping "dictators", why are there so many dictators allies of the US?

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by azinman2 on Monday November 12, 2018 @09:29PM (#18437946)
Because politics and circumstance.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by andrepd on Monday November 12, 2018 @09:47PM (#18438049)
Which implies that they do not care about "dictatorships".
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by azinman2 on Monday November 12, 2018 @10:24PM (#18438248)
I think that there are strong tendencies and actions towards democracies where convienent and possible.

Unfortunately the world is a messy place — ideological purity gets you no where.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by lucisferre on Monday November 12, 2018 @10:38PM (#18438339)
> ideological purity gets you no where.

While I also disagree with the parent, these facts are not in evidence.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by lucisferre on Monday November 12, 2018 @10:36PM (#18438329)
That is a bit of a simplistic conclusion.

The hypocrisy is clear, but hypocrisy is not sufficient to prove that one does not care at all.

What is pretty clear is that the USA takes a strategic and occasionally very partisan view when making their choices of alliances as well as their use of power and force. I'm not sure they are very unique in this respect though.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by ekianjo on Monday November 12, 2018 @09:31PM (#18437955)
Even if they genuinely cared about it, 90 percents of regimes worldwide are dictatorships or authoritarian regimes. So you can not work with anyone if you have very strong principles.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by raprp on Monday November 12, 2018 @09:36PM (#18437979)
You mean war against radical religious terrorists and dictators that are not allies like Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Jordan and etc?

Countries which support the Al-Nusra front, which was affiliated to Al-Qaeda, which masterminded 9/11 an event which 90% of the terrorists were from Saudi Arabia or other gulf countries and 0 from Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria or Iran.

The concept of righteous crusades has been around forever and it's stunning that it still works.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by wpietri on Monday November 12, 2018 @07:33PM (#18437306)
And I'd add that it need only be a solution to the person who can start the war. Authoritarian leaders find fights with external enemies extremely useful to quash dissent. Given the global drift toward authoritarianism and nationalism, and especially given how the world's largest military is in the hands of an authoritarian, I think the risk for war is disturbingly high.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by tomohawk on Monday November 12, 2018 @07:55PM (#18437452)
Was Obama an authoritarian? What about Bush? What about Clinton (Bill)?

The previous few presidents got the US involved in lots of stupid wars. This president has expressly said he doesn't want to do that and has avoided it.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by Latteland on Monday November 12, 2018 @11:04PM (#18438489)
Obama was not an authoritarian. Bush 2 was maybe a little bit (remember after 9/11 and the spokesman said don't question the president). But trump is far far past all recent presidents in being an authoritarian. He lives for that, and sucks up to leaders like that in other countries. He says he doesn't want to get us in a war, but he seems willing to do anything to divert public attention (like his recent completely racist tv commercial he was pushing before the election).
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by senorjazz on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @08:13AM (#18440659)
> Bush 2 was maybe a little bit

"With us or with the terrorists" definitely had a authoritarian bent to it

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by raprp on Monday November 12, 2018 @08:17PM (#18437574)
With John Bolton around don't keep your hopes up. Iran's humanitarian invasion is just around the corner.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by kasey_junk on Monday November 12, 2018 @08:54PM (#18437769)
https://www.google.com/amp/s/news.vice.com/amp/en_us/article...

They are ramping up ‘engagements’ in Africa not lowering them.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by ejstronge on Monday November 12, 2018 @08:07PM (#18437519)
> Was Obama an authoritarian? What about Bush? What about Clinton (Bill)?

> The previous few presidents got the US involved in lots of stupid wars. This president has expressly said he doesn't want to do that and has avoided it.

I'm not sure how you can find fault with Obama and Clinton but absolve Trump. What do you make of his continuation of the many wars we are involved in? Or his bombings in Syria?

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by diydsp on Monday November 12, 2018 @10:11PM (#18438176)
>has avoided it.

While explicit declarations of war don't exist, airstrikes and threats do.

Trump has accelerated bombing rates over the Obama administration: https://foreignpolicy.com/2017/08/09/donald-trump-is-droppin...

Trump has threatened Iran: https://fox8.com/2018/07/23/trump-tweets-explosive-threat-to...

Trump has threatened North Korea: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/trump-un-north-...

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by wpietri on Monday November 12, 2018 @10:47PM (#18438402)
I'm going to ignore the whataboutism and skip to your apparent core point, that Trump saying he doesn't want to get involved in war means something. Trump has made 5000 false or misleading statements so far: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2018/09/13/president...

Trump has an extraordinary ability to do and say whatever is to his momentary perceived advantage. He's excellent at creating scary distractions; note how the sinister migrant caravan, so dangerous as to require thousands of US troops on the border, became a non-issue as soon as the election was over.

There are many who have made the case that Trump is a clear authoritarian. Today there's a great thread from David Neiwart on the topic: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1062018162500153344.html

And authoritarians definitely love external threats, creating them as necessary, just as Trump did with the migrant caravan.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by NotAmazin on Monday November 12, 2018 @07:09PM (#18437174)
You forgot to mention Israel's aggression on adjacent countries Lebanon and Palestine. Would Israel's constant belligerence start a war?
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by tomohawk on Monday November 12, 2018 @08:06PM (#18437504)
I'm not aware of Israel making it a matter of national policy to annihilate Iran or any other country. However, that is Iran's stated policy, and what they've said they'll do when they get nukes.

https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2018/04/21/Iranian-g...

Iran is training proxies in Syria, Lebanon, and Palestine to attack Israel. And that's what they're doing. They just launched a missile barrage, the largest ever, at Israel.

It seems that Israel is just defending its existence.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by raprp on Monday November 12, 2018 @08:45PM (#18437722)
Hamas is bombing Israel, not the Syrian Army.

Hamas chose Saudi Arabia's and Qatar's side on the Syrian conflict and that lead to Assad breaking relations with them.

Syria took it as a betrayal so I doubt they would do anything to help Hamas.

Israel is not bombing Syria to defend itself. Syria never had and nor will have the capability to do anything to Israel.

The reason Israel have been bombing Syria is the same reason Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey, USA, UK, France, Australia and the rest of the coalition are doing it too: regime change.

They want to replace Assad with a puppet, like Hariri in Lebanon, so they can all push their own agendas in the region.

And on the other side Russia, Iran and Hezbollah jumped in Assad's rescue to counter that move.

They are ALL pushing their own interests at the expense of Syrian lives so please drop this outrageous "defending itself" narrative and admit all actors of both sides are war criminals with blood on their hands.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by sxyuan on Monday November 12, 2018 @10:48PM (#18438416)
> Israel is not bombing Syria to defend itself. Syria never had and nor will have the capability to do anything to Israel.

You're forgetting about the Six-Day War [1] and the Yom Kippur War [2]. Yes, there are controversies around those too, and Israel came out on top in the end - but let's not pretend that Israel the modern nation-state hasn't been on guard against being obliterated by its neighbors since Day 1.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Six-Day_War

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yom_Kippur_War

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by raprp on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @03:30AM (#18439533)
Nobody denied those conflicts and the need of Israel to defend itself.

But sometime seems that only Israel has the right to defend itself, even when its not on the defense but actively bombing countries with far inferior armies / allies and they have to just accept being bombed because of events 50 years ago.

Can Iraq or Syria use the recent invasions as excuse to do whatever they want for the next 50 years too?

The concept of preemptive war has always been an excuse to actually start wars.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by PavlovsCat on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @06:24AM (#18440189)
> You're forgetting about the Six-Day War [1] and the Yom Kippur War [2].

You using something to deflect from something else doesn't mean anyone else isn't aware of the thing you use to deflect.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by senorjazz on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @08:19AM (#18440697)
> [to annihilate Israel] However, that is Iran's stated policy

This is not strictly true. Words were twisted and misconstrued and reported falsely in western media of what was actually said (which I think was still reprehensible, but Iranian policy is not the annihilation of Israel)

> and what they've said they'll do when they get nukes.

Absolutely not true. For one, they would never state they are trying to build a nuclear weapon, two they know Iran would cease to exist on the map if they did.

Unless you are perhaps referring to just a random person stating as such, if so, you could can find many more examples of Israeli and US persons saying the same of Iran, but that does not make it policy of Israel and US

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by igivanov on Monday November 12, 2018 @09:44PM (#18438025)
What do you expect from a country that Israel has been demonizing for the last 20+ years calling for bombing it and spreading lies about its non-existent nuclear arms programs? A love poem?

>Iran is training proxies in Syria, Lebanon, and Palestine to attack Israel.

while Israel helps ISIS in Syria to destroy the country, bombed Lebanon, annexed the Golans and areas in the West Bank... you really shouldn't be digging up that dead high horse.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by colordrops on Monday November 12, 2018 @08:16PM (#18437565)
> I'm not aware of Israel making it a matter of national policy to annihilate Iran

You jest. That's the centerpiece of their foreign policy.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by GauntletWizard on Monday November 12, 2018 @08:21PM (#18437593)
Asking the world to dethrone and delegitimize a country - even without the context of Iran's posture towards them - is different from genocide, which is Iran's posture, yes.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by colordrops on Monday November 12, 2018 @09:21PM (#18437907)
That is not Iran's posture.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by baursak on Monday November 12, 2018 @09:49PM (#18438054)
That is nowhere near Iran's posture or policy.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by jcranmer on Monday November 12, 2018 @09:08PM (#18437851)
No, it wouldn't start anything more than a regional conflict à la the Seven Days' War or any of the other several Arab-Israeli conflicts of the past 70 years.

World War I did not start because Austria had a legitimate grievance against Serbia that it was determined to settle with military force. It started because France, Germany, and Russia were all willing, maybe even eager, to go to war and the putative Third Balkan War in as many years was an opportunity to do so. When the leaders of Germany and Russia started getting cold feet and asked about partial mobilization as an alternative option, the military commands were shocked and worked assiduously to convince them that there was no alternative to complete war. In stark contrast stands the Cuban Missile Crisis, where Kennedy and Khrushchev both ignored their military commands' pleas for war and sought to find alternatives to war.

The ingredients for global war are international disputes irreconcilable except for war; a conflict that can serve as a flashpoint to rapidly bring in these wide international disputes; and you need leaders who can continue to escalate the war, knowing all the consequences it might entail. The Middle East simply lacks strategic importance to make two major power blocs go to global war in support of their local allies in a localized conflict.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by azernik on Monday November 12, 2018 @07:40PM (#18437358)
I think Israel (and, unlike GP, also Iran) are too small-time to start real global war. They're more the potential Bosnias or Serbias - small, belligerent countries that could drag their patrons into conflict.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by nerpderp83 on Monday November 12, 2018 @07:45PM (#18437387)
Israel has "the bomb", they definitely could start a global war.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by brandonmenc on Monday November 12, 2018 @09:29PM (#18437943)
Or, Israel having nukes has made their neighbors wary of another attempt at annihilating them, which could trigger a large war.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by foobarian on Monday November 12, 2018 @09:03PM (#18437822)
What series of bombings might start a global war? I doubt bombing Iran would be enough.
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by caf on Tuesday November 13, 2018 @01:31AM (#18439074)
The nuclear bombing of Iran by a state would almost certainly be enough to precipitate the complete collapse of the NPT, which is already wobbly (the latest Review Conference ended in acrimony).

Subsequent nuclear weapons projects in erstwhile NPT NNWS could easily trigger a few regional wars, and from there the escalation to a global conflict is certainly possible.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by raprp on Monday November 12, 2018 @08:06PM (#18437505)
According to Colin Powell they have 200 of them.

More than enough to bring the Fallout series to life.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by ImprovedSilence on Monday November 12, 2018 @08:49PM (#18437742)
yeah.... but isn't that how big wars get started... coughBosniacoughwar that ended 100ys ago almost to the day...
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by mjevans on Monday November 12, 2018 @07:44PM (#18437376)
Probably because, like myself, the OP isn't informed enough to make a judgement on that case.

There are aggressive factors on all sides of that conflict and there's no clear-cut good or bad guy; only unfortunate things happening to real people who'd all be better off if religion stayed inside the walls of one's dwelling and temple of worship.

Also if in cases of contested buildings listed above, everyone had equal access to the area administered by a neutral outside party.

Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by chokolad on Monday November 12, 2018 @06:58PM (#18437111)
Can you please elaborate on Russia's aggression in Syria? Did they annex something there? Tried to depose a government maybe ?
Re:Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ by ImprovedSilence on Monday November 12, 2018 @08:54PM (#18437770)
>> Tried to depose a government maybe

I think quite the opposite, I believe they wanted the current leadership to stay, consequences and means of enforcement and human rights be damned. (it's also contrary to the US's wishes, for right or wrong). They want the status quo, cuz it's their only navy base on the Mediterranean. source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_involvement_in_the_Syr...