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Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by poof131 on Monday September 03, 2018 @11:47PM (#17906494)
As a former F-18 pilot, I don’t think v2 of the Tomcat is what we need. Unmanned missile trucks are the future. The Joint Strike Turd should be the last manned fighter. The services are bankrupting the country with the current crop of do-it-all aircraft. Other countries are on a better track adding the latest tech to older airframes and accepting their expendability. Carriers themselves should be phased out for smaller more expendable ships that can launch and recover the missile trucks.
Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by latch on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @12:49AM (#17906730)
> The services are bankrupting the country

Superficially, it feels like the crux of the problem is that "supporting the troops" has been subverted to mean not questioning civilian-driven military policy. This has given them carte-blanche lest anyone be accused of not supporting our boys.

(It's possible to be against a war (and the policies and politicians that set that course) while still honoring/supporting soldiers and their family.)

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by FighterMafia on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @01:20AM (#17906815)
Military policy isn't civilian driven. The Pentagon drives the policy, as well as the weapons decisions. The surprise is when the civilians actually do exert some control--such as in preventing the USAF from scrapping the A-10, fighting the USAF on cancelling the the JSTARs recap, or when they force extra Littoral Combat Ships on the navy against their will :)
Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by toomanybeersies on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @03:51AM (#17907333)
> Military policy isn't civilian driven

Except when a congressman from Ohio decides that they need more tanks so that he can keep his voters employed [1], despite the army saying they have plenty and don't know what to do with them. They have literally thousands of tanks sitting in storage in the desert, and they're rolling tanks straight off the production line into storage.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lima_Army_Tank_Plant

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by toyg on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @06:04AM (#17907878)
You say that now, but you'll have to eat your words when Canada finally goes mad at your lack of universal healthcare and invades.
Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by sbmthakur on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @06:41AM (#17908023)
I followed the link and came down to 2010s where I couldn't understand the following sentence:

The army did not convince Congress that it did not need more tanks in 2011, so in 2013, Congress funded an additional tanks to be built at a cost of ~$270M.

Usually, the military provides requirement and the civilian administration provides the funds. How can the Congress order the Army to make more tanks when they don't need it? I am not an American, so probably I am missing the entire context here.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by _delirium on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @06:51AM (#17908062)
This is reasonably common in the US. The military does have requests, but Congress also has opinions, and they can deviate from the military's request in either direction. Sometimes they decide not to fund something the military requests, but other times they might mandate something the military doesn't actually want. This could be driven by a difference of opinion over strategy (ultimately such decisions are supposed to be under civilian control, even if informed by general's requests), or it could be caused by more questionable considerations like the presence of factories in a Congressperson's district that don't want to lose business.

This at least sometimes happens in Europe too... defense procurement is big business and very political, and sometimes European militaries end up in programs (esp. multinational ones) they aren't that enthusiastic about. Another example is conscription. The Swedish military wanted conscription to be abolished for years before it actually happened, but until the civilian government decided to do so, in the meantime the military had to keep taking in and training conscripts they didn't actually want.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by burfog on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @02:06PM (#17911358)
One of the troubles is that congress can't trust the army to admit the truth. Congress must guess.

You see, the army is controlled by the president. The president may be from a different political party or even be following his own personal agenda. The army must strictly obey orders according to the chain of command, and the president is at the top.

If the president dislikes tanks, he can order the army to place tanks into storage and claim that the tanks are not wanted. Congress is left wondering if the people in the army are stating their true expert opinions or just following orders.

Here is a real case that leaked out:

https://www.military.com/dodbuzz/2015/01/16/general-praising... https://www.military.com/daily-news/2015/01/26/generals-a10-...

So yes, the military being ordered to lie to congress is a real thing.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by snowwrestler on Wednesday September 05, 2018 @05:52PM (#17922216)
What? No. In case anyone wants an update on this case from 2015, that general was fired. He was not implementing some sort of secret presidential policy with his remarks.

The A10 is an example of Congress imposing civilian priorities on the military. Despite its declining military utility, it's a popular plane, so Congress won't let the military sunset it. It has nothing to do with the president ordering the military to lie to Congress.

You're not even legally correct... while the president is the commander in chief, Congress has oversight of military spending under Article I, Section 8. An order to lie to Congress about spending would be an illegal order, and military personnel are not compelled to follow illegal orders.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by burfog on Wednesday September 05, 2018 @06:16PM (#17922357)
He was fired, though that isn't proof he got in trouble for what he was doing or that he wasn't ordered to do that. He did things in a ham-handed way and it leaked, causing a PR disaster.

The F22 looks to be a similar case. Here we don't have a crude effort getting leaked, but that doesn't mean the situation was any more legitimate. It very much seems that Obama was pushing to kill the F22 and the military marched to his orders.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by xemdetia on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @10:01AM (#17909062)
If you are unfamiliar with the American procurement process it is:

1. demand is generated by the military

2. bid out contract

3. selected a bidder (bidders are defense contractors)

4. deliver contracted goods and also maintain inventory parts and tooling for sometimes up to 25 years

5. local economy becomes dependent on this manufacturing income, bidder lobbies their local congressperson directly or indirectly

6. congressperson does these wacky ass requisition appropriations

7. the factory keeps production at the same level and with same employment

8. military gets delivery for goods they never wanted so they go into storage, because what else are you supposed to do with these things? You can't resell them because it contains military secrets, you can't scrap them from both an optics level and the general military logic that having a spare is generally fine.

This happens even moreso when it is navy vessels that are much larger cost investments (submarines and destroyers) as just making one will take years potentially and there are legitimate concerns for stopping the means of production but it really just turns into a jobs/national pride story.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by toomanybeersies on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @10:50AM (#17909428)
Navy vessels are slightly different though, because you really have to think 10 years ahead when building them. It takes a long time to build and commission a ship.

As an example, the HMS Queen Elizabeth, the Royal Navy's new carrier, was ordered in 20089 and laid down in 2014, it was commissioned only last year, and is still undergoing sea trials and isn't operational (they also have no planes to fly off it). It's planned to be in service in 2020, 6 years after being laid down and 12 years after it was ordered.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by xemdetia on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @03:40PM (#17912144)
I agree with this in entirety there is a whole set of production steps that take it from a skeleton to seaworthy to battle ready. The issue from the American perspective is that those shipwrights, technicians, and other workers do not have a job past the conclusion of their phase. After primary construction is done you just don't need as many welders. If the ship has been wired properly to completion you don't need as many electricians, and so on and so forth. This especially holds true because after acceptance by the military most of the maintenance roles will be taken over by enlisted personnel or contractors separate to the production staff. The problem is it turns into 'if we don't order a new ship we're down 5,000 high wage jobs.' So while Ship A is being polished for deployment the original company has a bunch of staff that they don't have any work for. The next contract that comes in provides money to cover those 5,000 jobs to do that primary construction over again to build Ship B.

I'm also not sure in the comparison between foreign governments and US defense contractors but US defense contractors generally only sell to the military markets (domestic or international) so it's not like their facilities are designed to be able to build ordinary commercial goods side by side with the military spec hardware.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by toomanybeersies on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @06:52AM (#17908071)
Building tanks creates jobs, injecting money into the local economy and making you more likely to be reelected. Nobody wants to be the politician that let the tank factory close, killing hundreds or thousands of jobs.

They're literally making tanks and driving them straight into storage because the army doesn't have anything to use them for or anybody to drive them.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by latch on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @02:31AM (#17907034)
Civilians decide the budget (for the DoD and other agencies such as the VA) and when/where to go to war, right?

But you're right and I was wrong. The problem isn't only that politicians / civilians have usurped "supporting the troops" as a shield (as I said), but really any decisions (whether it be made by the military or civilians) cannot be criticized / questioned without a high risk of being labeled unpatriotic.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by jacobolus on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @02:18AM (#17906984)
The weapons producers are where a huge amount of the money goes. From outside, it seems like policy is plenty often decided by what is best for the factory in some influential congressperson’s district (or perhaps to some influential congressperson’s key donor CEOs).
Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by throwawayperson on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @02:26AM (#17907013)
That's what baffles me so much, the US keeps buying those billion dallar war machines like cheap candy, yet has no money to build decent modern infrastructure back home, and the war bills seem won't stop hiking any time soon.
Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by dmoy on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @01:47AM (#17906905)
> Carriers themselves should be phased out for smaller more expendable ships

Good luck prying those out of the Navy's cold, dead hands. Just look how long it took to finally get rid of battleships.

You'd think that after the complete shitshow that was mc02 they would have started to see the light. But I think instead they're just burying their heads in the sand a bit farther.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by twic on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @02:25AM (#17907007)
> Just look how long it took to finally get rid of battleships.

The last time the US Navy built a battleship was in 1941. It was decommissioned in 1958 - the last of its kind. If you take World War II as the proof that carriers had eclipsed battleships, that doesn't seem like long at all.

The battleships were recomissioned in the '80s by Reagan as a bizarre act of cold war willy-waving. And once you've paid the money to get them working and put some missiles on them, you might as well keep using them until they fall apart.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by dmoy on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @11:54AM (#17909907)
> The last time the US Navy built a battleship was in 1941. It was decommissioned in 1958 - the last of its kind. If you take World War II as the proof that carriers had eclipsed battleships, that doesn't seem like long at all.

WW2 was definitely un-ignorable proof that battleships were done. Imo though, given the essentially complete lack of actual success wrought by battleships in ww1, someone should have seen the light in the interwar period.

I guess I shouldn't be too harsh, at least we aren't building much else new that's bigger than a destroyer (except carriers).

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by jabl on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @02:44PM (#17911680)
There's been inflation. A modern destroyer is, in terms of tonnage, more like a cruiser.
Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by twic on Wednesday September 05, 2018 @05:00PM (#17921866)
Reminds me of how the Soviets had ships called "aircraft carrying cruisers" that were actually aircraft carriers, so that they could sail them between the Mediterranean and the Black Sea:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Montreux_Convention_Regarding_...

And the Royal Navy had "through-deck cruisers" that were actually (tiny) aircraft carriers, so that they could get them built under a government which wanted to keep defence spending under control:

http://www.godfreydykes.info/THE%20PROMISED%20TWO%20NEW%20AI...

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by twic on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @03:08AM (#17907161)
Readers may enjoy this old-school semi-crank page about the idea of reactivating the battleships yet again:

http://www.g2mil.com/battleships.htm

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by toomanybeersies on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @04:03AM (#17907394)
Aircraft carriers are more than just a floating airport though. They symbolise American might, a physical manifestation of big stick diplomacy.

There's no surer way to get a tinpot dictatorship to start dancing to your fiddle than to park a carrier battle group outside their territorial waters.

As Bill Clinton said:

> When word of a crisis breaks out in Washington, it's no accident that the first question that comes to everyone's lips is 'Where's the nearest carrier?'

Most of the time, a submarine or destroyer with Tomahawk cruise missiles will get the job done. But parking a nuclear submarine off the coast doesn't have the same diplomatic effect.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by TheForumTroll on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @04:23AM (#17907476)
The problem is that in a real war (as in not a war with jets versus people in caves) the carriers will be lost in days. Look how easy targets they are to even old diesel subs. They get sunk in pretty much all realistic training against any foe with a sub. Otherwise it only takes one ballistic anti-ship missile per carrier. They need to go the way of the battleships.
Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by manigandham on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @01:06PM (#17910675)
Would they? Why do people think carriers are so easy to sink? They are massive nuclear powered machines with entire fleets protecting them. I doubt any submarine would get close enough to launch anything without being obliterated.
Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by carrier_hmmm on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @04:41PM (#17912589)
Reasonable survey of the criticism and vulnerabilities:

https://warisboring.com/the-u-s-navy-s-big-mistake-building-...

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by dmoy on Friday September 07, 2018 @04:06PM (#17937254)
Late reply so you might not see, but in all the realistic simulations, carriers get completely destroyed in the early hours of any actual conflict. (All the big boats do, but carriers are especially juicy targets)

See, for example, MC02.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by foldr on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @06:30AM (#17907978)
I don't think that's necessarily inevitable. None of the British carriers was sunk during the Falklands war, despite the Argentines having diesel subs and exocet missiles.
Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by gaius on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @06:36AM (#17908001)
None of the British carriers was sunk during the Falklands war

Yes and no. The Atlantic Conveyor, a makeshift helicopter carrier, was sunk, taking the UK’s Chinooks with it, leading to the famous “yomp” across the island. But you are right that both of the Harrier carriers were OK.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by foldr on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @06:42AM (#17908026)
Ah, yes, fair enough, but of course the Atlantic Conveyor neither didn't have the defenses of a modern carrier, and wouldn't have been as much of a defense priority.
Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by daddylonglegs on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @08:30AM (#17908536)
Note that the Argentinians started the war with only five air-launched Exocet missiles in stock and with those they took out an air defence destroyer and a very important supply ship.

The Argentinians deployed two submarines. The Royal Navy caught the WWII surplus Santa Fe. The more up to date San Luis evaded the RN and it's attacks were only foiled by poor maintenance of it's weapon systems.

The British submarines drove the Argentinian surface ships (including their carrier) into port.

The RN of the time was as good as any at anti-submarine warfare and had quite modern air defences. I think the Falklands war showed how effective air-launched missiles and submarines were (are).

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by kposehn on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @12:23AM (#17906629)
Can you please elaborate? Why is the JSF really the JST? Why and what are unmanned mussel trucks to you? Why should carriers be phased out?

I’m not saying you’re wrong - to the contrary, since you are a former pilot I’m actually quite interested in your opinion.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by poof131 on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @12:42AM (#17906707)
There’s a military quote that says, "Amateurs talk about tactics, but professionals study logistics."[1] I feel our current military leaders took this too far and forgot about the stupidity of putting all your eggs in one basket. The JSF is down to one engine, which if redlined, will down the whole fleet. If one of our adversaries finds a weakness, then the the whole fleet is vulnerable. Not to mention the crap with development: not getting the launch bar right [2], not getting the hook location right [3], the electronics being a mess. How do you screw up the launch bar, it’s not like carriers have changed. The JSF is going in the wrong direction. We should have aircraft focused on different roles: air-to-air, strike, close-air-support. We should be moving toward unmanned missile trucks for air-to-air and strike. We should focus on cheaper aircraft that can be updated with the latest tech.

Unmanned missile trucks are drones that carry missiles that can be guided by other platforms. After the drone launches its missiles, who cares if it blows up. Trying to make drones defensible like expensive fighters is just as stupid as the JSF. Some stealth and defense is good, but expendable and cheap is more important.

Carriers are too vulnerable to missiles. Missiles are the future. You can’t defeat something going mach 6 that pulls 25 g’s in the end game. 'The Future of War' does a great job describing the evolution of weapons platforms and how aging ones are depicted by ever increasing costs on defensive measures which are then defeated by new, cheaper weapons. [4] Carriers and fighter jets are becoming the modern battleships which is a bit ironic.

1. https://www.military-quotes.com/forum/logistics-quotes-t511....

2. https://news.usni.org/2017/03/23/f-35c-tests-offer-proposed-...

3. https://theaviationist.com/2012/01/09/f-35c-hook-problems/

4. https://www.amazon.com/Future-War-History-Lawrence-Freedman/...

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by throwawayjava on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @01:13AM (#17906802)
Wouldn't those drones have to be completely autonomous -- not merely unmanned -- in any conflict with a real peer (e.g., Russia or China)?

And if so, are we there yet, technologically speaking? I.e., not just peacetime autonomy but actually dealing with a combat situation -- possibly with friendlies in the skies -- completely autonomously? My impression the last time I talked with a uniform about this was that the answer is still no.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by alins on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @01:20AM (#17906818)
The drones do not need to be fully autonomous. See https://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2014/11/05/is_a_mi...
Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by burfog on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @02:38PM (#17911622)
I think that "the stupidity of putting all your eggs in one basket" applies well to "moving toward unmanned missile trucks for air-to-air and strike". In a serious war, there will be no radio communication and there will be no satellites. Each piece of equipment is on its own, and we aren't about to trust AI with that.

You can "defeat something going mach 6 that pulls 25 g’s in the end game", not that this exists. The easy answer is directed energy, such as lasers. Also, simply forcing it to maneuver at 25 g will quickly put an end to flying at mach 6. Each turn costs energy, and bypassing the laws of physics is not an option.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by gaius on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @06:18AM (#17907943)
The JSF is down to one engine, which if redlined, will down the whole fleet

Not to mention that for UK and Europe, pork-barrel politics means those engines can only be serviced by one country that is increasingly distancing itself from the rest of NATO. All F35s can be trivially rendered useless by denying them access to the single maintenance facility for their engine.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by tim333 on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @09:28AM (#17908859)
Guess you mean Turkey - had to google that. I think if we fell out they'd go to the US to be serviced currently.
Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by gaius on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @10:19AM (#17909203)
Yep, Turkey buying an S400 system from Russia.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-41237812

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by phnk on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @03:31PM (#17912076)
> Why and what are unmanned mussel trucks to you?

The autocorrect feature (on your mobile phone, I presume) made my day: I love the idea of an unmanned mussel truck.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by dforrestwilson on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @12:22AM (#17906623)
100% agree.

We have 2 problems which I think are compounding each other:

1. The classic problem of defense: Fighting the Last War 2. An extremely strong defense industry lobby.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by influx on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @12:50AM (#17906733)
3. It's cool (and promotable!) to be a fighter pilot, and not cool to fly drones remotely or to program automated drones.
Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by golergka on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @07:14AM (#17908152)
Wouldn't that incentivize the high command to abolish figher pilots? It's much easier to manage uncool, replacable and easily trainable drones than expensive rockstars.
Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by thrill on Wednesday September 05, 2018 @02:20PM (#17920596)
Seeing as the US military has been crying out (for 20 years now) of their shortage of fighter pilots, then this could generally be considered as happening.

It's a situation that could have been far more easily handled in the late 90's, but is now being "handled" by attempting to reduce the training latency (not viable and quite unwise, IMO, but happening regardless) and by reducing the staff billets demanding fighter pilot backgrounds.

Technology will indeed replace (and has been) much of the need to put a highly trained human on the bleeding edge. That doesn't obviate the current significant under-staffing.

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by cinquemb on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @12:32AM (#17906658)
I don't think #2 is a big problem (well from a natsec perspective, deff a problem from keeping down costs perspective), assuming you can get top pentagon officials to push modernization initiative with key industry partnerships. Question is, which DoD brass can see the writing on the wall and push the initiative with the highest probability of success?
Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by liotier on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @03:33AM (#17907268)
> As a former F-18 pilot, I don’t think v2 of the Tomcat is what we need. Unmanned missile trucks are the future.

"Tomcat v2" and "unmanned missile trucks" are mutually compatible assertions, considering that standoff use of AN/AWG-9 + Phoenix to cover the outer air defense zone is what the F-14 was all about. A networked mix of active & passive sensor platforms and missile carriers is Tomcat v2 !

Re:Why the Navy Misses the Old F-14 Tomcat, Despite All of t... by cryptonector on Tuesday September 04, 2018 @01:10PM (#17910721)
Unmanned everything. We need unmanned, armed aircraft, we need unmmaned tanks, we need unmanned attack subs. We also need manned aircraft, tanks, and ships, to host controllers close to the action, but not so close that they are vulnerable to attack.