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Re:Puffins are in trouble by mattigames on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @10:44AM (#17868556)
Maybe the presence of 7,646,237,844 people in the world has something to do with it; at the end of the day for as sad as it seems the best thing it could happen to wildlife is a plague that only affects humans (perhaps a plague that sterilizes us would suffice)
Re:Puffins are in trouble by dang on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @12:30PM (#17869544)
Maybe it does, maybe it doesn't, but please don't post shallow provocations to Hacker News. Those lead to off-topic and frankly dumb subthreads.
Re:Puffins are in trouble by NeedMoreTea on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @12:57PM (#17869773)
Seems like a productive topic considering the feature article concludes the cause is climate. Global population is a significant factor in most climate discussions.
Re:Puffins are in trouble by dang on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @02:42PM (#17870574)
The problem is that the smaller, curious topics—like puffins—tend to get sucked into the nearest black hole, i.e. the nearest large generic controversy. If we allow this, then the site will consist of the same few comments about the same few topics over and over. That's bad for intellectual curiosity. It also causes the site to burst into flames—not good for curiosity either.

I called this 'dumb' above because you can reliably see such threads deteriorate as you read down and to the right.

Re:Puffins are in trouble by mattigames on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @12:44PM (#17869663)
I find the discussions about american lifestyle and how much it matters and how much consumption would be acceptable fascinating, and how countries laws would need to affect birthrates and all that as well; but if dang says its off-topic and dumb, well what can I do.
Re:Puffins are in trouble by dahart on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @01:24PM (#17870007)
> if dang says its off-topic and dumb, well what can I do.

One option would be to listen & learn rather than expressing incredulity, assume that dang knows what he's doing and that you're getting downvoted by others for a legitimate reason.

The topic of American consumption is fascinating and important, but this article is about Puffins in Iceland. @dang didn't say it's dumb, he said it leads to dumb. But he did say it was off-topic, because it is. Don't assume that off-topic means dumb, don't take it personally.

FWIW, I think there are relevant on-topic ways to introduce topics of overpopulation and American consumption into this thread. Those are related to both the climate change and to the tourism and Puffin hunting that is affecting the Puffin populations in Iceland.

If you had tied your comment to something the article said specifically, it would have helped. And, of course, you really could have done without the apocalyptic suggestion for a mass human extinction event.

Re:Puffins are in trouble by dang on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @02:43PM (#17870583)
I definitely didn't mean to pick on you personally and am sorry if I came across that way. For more explanation see https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17870574.
Re:Puffins are in trouble by lisper on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @10:52AM (#17868615)
Or we could just, you know, decide to have fewer kids.
Re:Puffins are in trouble by avip on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:04AM (#17868751)
Alternatively, we could decide to eat more puffins.
Re:Puffins are in trouble by dsfyu404ed on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @12:03PM (#17869276)
If anything this article makes me wonder if they're good to eat. Generally speaking sea birds are to poultry as coons, possum and skunk are to meat.
Re:Puffins are in trouble by fcbrooklyn on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @12:09PM (#17869332)
They're delicious, but you have to like game. Kind of like a really strong tasting duck, but hard to describe. Maybe a cross between duck breast and liver?

That said, they should probably slow down on the hunting until they've worked out what's going on.

Re:Puffins are in trouble by throwaway5752 on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:25AM (#17868932)
Seems like a pretty inappropriate topic to joke about, honestly. Species-level extinction and/or extirpation is a pretty grave matter, and is accelerating.

Based on my interests and background, I have very little faith that humanity appreciates the scale of the problem, how intractable it is to short term resolution, and potentially how many people globally could die as a result of it. For example, I think there's a really substantial probability that all people could die within 50 years, because of 1) where climate change is likely to hit worst 2) the desperate nature of famine 3) the number of nuclear armed states in those areas 4) the number of automated counterstrike mechanisms out there.

So, get your cheap laughs in about the puffins while you can.

edit: To support my negativity, I will just say look at https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17857964 to see how complicated something as trivial as building a house is... now, I cannot tell you how to avert global warming, but I can tell you that I have almost no faith at all any given poster here knows what is actually needed to successfully do a climate intervention or durable carbon sequestration program (materials, supply chain, technology, poltical coordination, etc). Another post on here notes we can't even agree to have fewer kids. It's very dire, and very few people seem to appreciate it. For example, the elected leader of the world's largest economy has already reversed policies that reduce CO2 emission and plans on reducing more, and has severely limited research on the subject.

Re:Puffins are in trouble by tim333 on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:42AM (#17869081)
[dead]
Re:Puffins are in trouble by lisper on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:16AM (#17868841)
> You first.

I am 54, married (just celebrated our 23rd anniversary), and childless by choice.

Your move.

Re:Puffins are in trouble by mattigames on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @10:54AM (#17868637)
If there is one thing humans can't clearly do is agree on something; so I'm afraid that is not an option, specially since the desire to have kids is one of the most hard-wired desires in sexual organisms.
Re:Puffins are in trouble by icebraining on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:07AM (#17868785)
the desire to have kids is one of the most hard-wired desires in sexual organisms.

And yet, Europe and Japan have plenty of childless people.

Re:Puffins are in trouble by lisper on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:02AM (#17868727)
If ever there was a self-fulfilling prophecy, that's it. There's a first time for everything. And in fact, there's a proven way to make people decide to have fewer kids: make them rich. People in more affluent societies generally choose to have fewer kids, to the point where the fertility rate in some places (Japan, Italy) is below the replacement rate. So it clearly can be done.
Re:Puffins are in trouble by Nib9fith on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:08AM (#17868787)
Wealth is just a proxy. What lowers the reproduction rate is higher living standards. And having all humans on current industrialized nation living standards with current methods of production certainly would not make things more sustainable.

If you want sustainability you either need fewer humans or clean up the entire supply chain. And the latter might just suffer from jevon's paradox.

Re:Puffins are in trouble by lisper on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:11AM (#17868811)
I didn't say it would be easy to get from A to B. But it's not impossible.
Re:Puffins are in trouble by Nib9fith on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:46AM (#17869117)
It's also possible that someone discovers a way to build a cheap commercial fusion power plant tomorrow. But we generally don't rely on these kinds of remote possibilities.
Re:Puffins are in trouble by jeandejean on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:01AM (#17868719)
That's just not true, people tend to desire less and less kids, a lot of people deliberately chose to have no kids, something that was unthinkable several decades ago.
[dead]
Re:Puffins are in trouble by NeedMoreTea on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:06AM (#17868771)
We are already overwhelming the earth by just about every measure. We're already using more than one planet's worth of resources, sustainability overshoot comes ever earlier each year. As seen by the sheer number of disparate stories about earth and species' inability to cope.

"Population growth has been slowing"

Which of course means it is still growing. How many decades ago should it have started to fall in order to avoid catastrophic climate change or the incessant stream of environmental bad news and loss of species?

No one should feel obligated to sacrifice themselves. They should feel obligated to replicate less if they want their own children to inhabit somewhere worth living.

Re:Puffins are in trouble by soperj on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @12:03PM (#17869273)
Vast majority population of the world hasn't even really contributed to climate change until the last couple decades. It's not the number of people that are doing it, it's the american lifestyle.
Re:Puffins are in trouble by NeedMoreTea on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @12:38PM (#17869602)
It's both. Numbers and our model of what "developed" is.

If only 10,000 people were living an American lifestyle the planet would cope just fine. When it's 1bn it seems like it's clearly becoming problematic. What of when it's 3bn?

If, as seems to be the case, there are 7bn who want, or are advertised at to want, a throwaway Western lifestyle, we're screwed. All 7bn. We can't pretend the numbers are not there or that most are going to happily remain with subsistence lives for all future generations.

It's probably more feasible to make larger families unfashionable or nudge them via the tax system than simply "fixing" climate change globally, habit and species loss.

Re:Puffins are in trouble by overcast on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:43AM (#17869091)
What's less? What is your approved number of children for each couple? If someone remarries, does that x number of children carry over from their previous?
Re:Puffins are in trouble by dmritard96 on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:17AM (#17868860)
"Population growth has been slowing since the late 60's, it peaked in 1968."

Misleading phrasing...

"World population projected to reach 9.7 billion by 2050. The current world population of 7.3 billion is expected to reach 8.5 billion by 2030, 9.7 billion in 2050 and 11.2 billion in 2100, according to a new UN DESA report, “World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision”, launched today."

http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/news/population/2015-r...

Re:Puffins are in trouble by throwaway5752 on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:36AM (#17869038)
Yeah, comp sci 101 alone is sufficient to know that logarithmic growth's second derivative is negative for all x > 0, and ln(x) is still unbounded. "Growth is slowing" can be a very effective sleight of hand.
Re:Puffins are in trouble by overcast on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:35AM (#17869025)
Slowing does not equal stopped.
Re:Puffins are in trouble by Retric on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:40AM (#17869071)
It also does not mean it's going to stay under a limit making it a poor yardstick. As throwaway5752 said, the limit of log(x) -> infinity is still infinity even if it starts growing really slowly.

Really though we don't need to kill / sterilize all humans, getting off the planet could work just fine.

Re:Puffins are in trouble by overcast on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:42AM (#17869080)
Sorry, when did anyone talk about a limit? If the slowing growth continues, then eventually it will cross zero into the negative. Look at the relative growth, by 2100 it's predicted to get close.
Re:Puffins are in trouble by Retric on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:44AM (#17869103)
> If the slowing growth continues, then eventually it will cross zero into the negative.

Err, no. The growth of log(x) is always decreasing and yet it always stays positive. This is true for a huge range of functions and one of the reasons limits are important.

Now, you can argue that the way human growth is slowing suggests it might possibly go negative at some point. But, that's less obvious.

Re:Puffins are in trouble by overcast on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:51AM (#17869156)
You're trying to impress us with the maths. I already took all of the statistics, and differential equation classes twenty years ago. I get it. However, there are already countries experiencing negative population growth, and the trend is continuing in other Western countries.
Re:Puffins are in trouble by Retric on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @12:19PM (#17869431)
I am not trying to impress with high school math, I defending someone that got down voted for an accurate statement.

At best we are predicting a peak human population 30+ years from now and those kind of predictions are never very accurate. Further, even if that's one peak it says very little about human population 100's or 1,000's of years from now.

Re:Puffins are in trouble by drharby on Wednesday August 29, 2018 @11:07AM (#17868780)
THE GREATER GOOD