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Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by speedplane on Monday July 30, 2018 @02:04AM (#17642392)
The simple feature of reducing settlements from days into seconds is by itself a great use-case. However, there is a lot of structural incentives against it. If you're a big bank and make nice transaction fees because your clients trust you to make a secure, legal, and successful transaction, you probably don't want blockchain, because it's a threat to your business model. That's certainly one of the major reasons it's taking so long to be accepted by mainstream banks.

But long term, banks will need to accept faster transaction times. Blockchain or not, it's ridiculous you need to wait days to transfer money when you can send email in milliseconds.

Rather than accept Bitcoin, it's far more likely big-banks will get together and form their own crypto coin, which will enable faster transfers, but keep them in control. They'll get regulations passed that will make Bitcoin and most other crypto currencies illegal or legally risky, whereas their system will be blessed by regulators.

Under this scenario (I think the likeliest), the existing power hegemony stays this same, crypto-currency's idealistic roots become viewed as naive and antiquated, and consumers get slightly faster transfers through their same old banks with marginally lower transaction fees.

Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by grey-area on Monday July 30, 2018 @05:24AM (#17643159)
The simple feature of reducing settlements from days into seconds is by itself a great use-case. However, there is a lot of structural incentives against it. If you're a big bank and make nice transaction fees because your clients trust you to make a secure, legal, and successful transaction, you probably don't want blockchain

A centralised system with trusted nodes is far better for transaction times - this is the worst use-case for a distributed ledger. Blockchains try to avoid trusted nodes, and thus their transactions are slower, because they are multi-node, by design.

Banks already provide transfers in seconds (perhaps not in your country).

Banks make money because clients trust them, they are insured, provide reversible transactions etc, not because their transactions are slow.

Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by vkou on Monday July 30, 2018 @02:28AM (#17642456)
> The simple feature of reducing settlements from days into seconds is by itself a great use-case.

The reasons for why settlements take days, and not seconds, is procedural, not technical. If the financial world wanted instant settlements, we would have had them decades ago.

The financial world optimizes for intent and compliance, not speed. This is why settlements take days, and why cryptocoins aren't very interesting to it.

Transferring money from one account to another account is as simple as updating two rows in a database. That the database is not a distributed proof-of-work ledger has nothing to do with it taking days.

Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by pjc50 on Monday July 30, 2018 @06:11AM (#17643366)
As others have pointed out, plenty of other countries have this. The United States doesn't because it's "not a country": there isn't a single financial services regulatory jurisdiction, there's 50 different ones, and enough people are opposed to the federal government on "principle" (?) that there's no support for useful coordination efforts.
Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by chosenbreed on Monday July 30, 2018 @09:14AM (#17644170)
Good point. A lot of comments here about relative settlement times. But it occurs to me that most of these are in the context of transfers/settlements within a jurisdiction. What is the story on moving money between countries? At the moment I'm have to pay significant premiums to accomplish this (and it is not usually instant). Am I missing something?
Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by aiCeivi9 on Monday July 30, 2018 @04:50AM (#17643032)
> If the financial world wanted instant settlements, we would have had them decades ago.

As a confirmation - they wanted it and they have it: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Single_Euro_Payments_Area#SEPA...

Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by TheSpiceIsLife on Monday July 30, 2018 @05:15AM (#17643140)
Australia also has instant transfers between banks, see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Payments_Platform
Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by jmknoll on Monday July 30, 2018 @03:31AM (#17642680)
Can you expand on this a little more? Why does the financial sector want settlements to take longer?
Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by tialaramex on Monday July 30, 2018 @05:07AM (#17643115)
Invariably for some fraction of transactions you'll later find out the settlement shouldn't have been executed. It doesn't matter whose "fault" that is, either way somebody will get screwed when this happens. If you wait longer, you may detect this before settlement completes and nobody gets screwed.

In my country there's a scam where people find out you're buying a house through a particular solicitor with a large cash transfer, then they send you an email or even a physical letter saying there's a problem, the solicitor just found out their firm got a new bank, or whatever, please transfer the house money to the new account. Of course it's a lot of money so most people will want to check this is right - they provide their phone number on the message. This number, of course, is part of the scam and a "secretary" will answer saying your solicitor is busy right now, but yes, they're very sorry, the message is genuine and please use the new account details.

The large sums involved mean this scam is very lucrative even if it doesn't work on say, 99% of potential victims.

If the victim realises they've been scammed ten minutes after the transfer, chances are good the bank can fix it, because settlements aren't really instant. If they realise the next day, or two, or three days later, the money is gone. It went to a mule, who has already forwarded it, the police might arrest the mule if they can find them, but the mule doesn't have your money, they're just another sucker.

Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by handsomechad on Monday July 30, 2018 @03:55AM (#17642787)
presumably for time to detect and prevent fraud or illegal transactions.
Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by new_guy on Monday July 30, 2018 @05:09AM (#17643123)
They also get the interest on your money before passing it onto the next party, multiply that by everyone and it's a not insubstantial sum.
Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by piva00 on Monday July 30, 2018 @05:09AM (#17643122)
Risk aversion (against fraud, criminal activities, etc.) and also because a bank earns money as long as it can hold that money, every day that money is accruing interests so if you can hold on that money for longer it makes you more money without any downsides.
Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by bartread on Monday July 30, 2018 @08:45AM (#17644019)
Doesn't that become a zero-sum game, or close to, when you take into account the aggregate effect of all money transfers?
Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by zaarn on Monday July 30, 2018 @05:09AM (#17643119)
>But long term, banks will need to accept faster transaction times. Blockchain or not, it's ridiculous you need to wait days to transfer money when you can send email in milliseconds.

Already happening.

SEPA Instant is either being released or in trial phases. My bank is trialing it, a <10 second transaction costs 1€ fee flat, normal SEPA is still free.

And banks offer me more in terms of personal security. If I lose my debit card, I get all damages reimbursed. If the bank gets hacked, there is insurance.

Unless I fuck it up myself, I'm going to be saved by the bank.

On the other hand, on Bitcoin I can fuck it up myself but if someone else fucks me up then I'm SOL and can go eat ham for all that Bitcoin cares.

For the average users the question of using Bitcoin has become irrelevant with SEPA Inst. Banks are faster with it and offer more features.

Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by puranjay on Monday July 30, 2018 @05:32AM (#17643191)
I don't understand this thing about slow financial transactions. Does it really take days to send money from one account to another in the US?

Here in India, we have a thing called IMPS. You can send money instantly from one account to another. Transaction cost is a flat Rs. 5 (less than $0.10) for any transaction size.

There are other newer protocols as well such as UPI which I haven't really used because IMPS serves my needs perfectly.

Sending money to another account is basically a non-issue here.

Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by zaarn on Monday July 30, 2018 @05:48AM (#17643271)
From my understanding, US transactions can take a week if you're unlike and the banks need to shovel around a bit.

And tbh, the banking situation in the US is just amazingly bad. Horrifyingly bad if I believe the more out-there stories I hear from people.

The only time I got charged a fee was for a transaction into the US (the fee was currency exchange fee and nothing else). And the fee was seperate so the transaction amount was unchanged.

Yet in the US it seems possible that banks will take a piece of a transaction for themselves.

---

In search of a solution to a problem nobody but the US had, we have blockchain now.

Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by kalleboo on Monday July 30, 2018 @06:40AM (#17643464)
> the banking situation in the US is just amazingly bad

At one time I used to get paid from a US employer's Bank of America account. I also had an account in the same bank, but transferring the money between our accounts in the same bank took 3 days. I presume due to some split between business/personal banking, but still absolutely ridiculous. We switched to sending the payments to my European account through SWIFT, and those payments happened same-day.

Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by TylerE on Monday July 30, 2018 @10:27AM (#17644576)
No, it's not slow (for the most part) because "reasons", it's slow because they are legally allowed to be slow and they can finagle a bit more profit that way.
Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by kalleboo on Monday July 30, 2018 @01:23PM (#17646187)
How does Bank of America profit off of making transfers between Bank of America accounts slower than making transfers to other banks?
Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by TylerE on Monday July 30, 2018 @04:39PM (#17647813)
Because then they can float the money and put it in things that earn them interest...

E.g. debit from Bob's account on Monday, put in <money market/whatever> from Monday until Thursday, and then put it Alice's account on Friday.

Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by kalleboo on Tuesday July 31, 2018 @09:19PM (#17658876)
But they invest money that's sitting in a checking account already, there's no difference between it sitting in an account and it being "in transit"
Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by reitanqild on Saturday August 04, 2018 @02:01PM (#17687819)
I guess they don't pay interest to neither the sender or the receiver while it is "in transit"?
Re:The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next? by ForHackernews on Monday July 30, 2018 @07:52AM (#17643785)
> it's ridiculous you need to wait days to transfer money when you can send email in milliseconds.

This is only a problem in the USA. By contrast, in Britain, the Faster Payments Service (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Faster_Payments_Service) has provided transfers within a few minutes for more than 10 years now.

You manifestly do not need a "blockchain" to solve that problem.