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Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by paulpauper on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @09:31AM (#17246983)
Regarding necessities such as healthcare and education, yes, sticker costs are rising faster than inflation and wages, but one must also take into account that:

Individuals seldom pay the stick price. A $10k/month drug does not mean one pays $10k/month out of his or her own pocket. Same for a $1,000 emergency room visit. Or college tuition, due to generous financial aid and payment deferment programs (some universities have huge discounts for low and middle-class students).

So one must adjust prices for what one actually pays, not the MSRP.

Second, although people are spending a lot on healthcare, they are getting more healthcare and better healthcare, which is the key distinction. This means cutting-edge treatments for diseases that decades ago would have been fatal (a notable example is CML, which used to be fatal within 3-6 years of diagnosis but can now be managed as a chronic condition like diabetes).

Healthcare would be very cheap if drugs were limited to Advil and Aspirin, but also very bad. People would be irate if those were their only options. Not saying the system is perfect or that drugs are not overpriced, but one must take into account quality and quantity than just the price.

Rent, however, is an example of a cost that has exceeded inflation, but where there is no notable improvement in quality, and there are no payment deferment programs. People are paying more and more for the same 2-bedroom apartment. I suspect part of the problem is due to the difficulty of evincing deadbeat renters and due to regulation, so landlords pass the costs to renters both in the form of high rents and huge, upfront, multi-month down-payments. But also, the housing bust in 2008 created a construction shortage, so people who lost their homes in 2005-2010 found themselves with no option but to rent, and this created more demand, but also due to less housing constitution. Housing starts plunged in 2008 and never really recovered: https://www.census.gov/construction/img/c20_curr.gif

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by toomuchtodo on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @09:34AM (#17247005)
I spent $9k out of pocket (hospital stay and doctors) for my son’s birth in April after insurance. My friend paid 5£ in the UK. No, I am not getting substantially better care for what was paid.

It has been proven fact that we (Americans) pay more than every other developed country for healthcare with poorer outcomes. It’s a racket, plain and simple.

https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2018/03/u-s-pays-more...

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by paulpauper on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @09:48AM (#17247100)
this figure puts it at only $3,500 http://www.slate.com/blogs/xx_factor/2013/07/01/having_a_bab...

Women with insurance pay out of pocket an average of $3,400, according to a survey by Childbirth Connection, one of the groups behind the maternity costs report. Two decades ago, women typically paid nothing other than a small fee if they opted for a private hospital room or television.

But one must take into account the risk of complications; if something were to go really wrong, would you rather be in the US hospital or the UK one? I suspect the NHS is more affordable, but does not handle complications and individual patient cases as well as the US system.

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by beat on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @10:20AM (#17247343)
Ah, the old "American exceptionalism" argument. Don't make that one, it's a bad argument.

How about this? Would you rather be in the US, or Japan, for such an emergency? Japan costs half as much as the US per capita (with even lower out of pocket costs), and beats us by every other measure. I'd rather be in the Japanese system than the American one for anything.

edit: The Japanese system, structurally, is very similar to the American system. It's not socialized, by and large. Private insurance through employers to private providers. Yet it costs half as much and works better. This points to something broken in the US system at a deeper level. Expanding on this, every civilized nation in the world has health care more or less on par with the US (fuck exceptionalism), for more or less half our cost. To the chagrin of liberals, "socialized medicine" isn't the obvious solution, because a lot of systems no more socialist than ours work well. And to the chagrin of conservatives, a lot of highly socialized systems also work better. The American system is uniquely fucked up.

Back to Japan. The key difference I can see between the two systems is that Japan has strict price controls. A government commission sets the prices for all medical products and services covered by insurance, with an eye to controlling costs while maintaining profitability. Insurers and providers have to control their costs internally, rather than jacking prices or doing many-to-many negotiations. Is this the key?

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by mjevans on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @01:35PM (#17249205)
Centralized planning and standards sound like a non-free market to me; and also exactly what an inflexible demand market for critical utility services needs.
Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by beat on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @03:00PM (#17250016)
As Peter Thiel pointed out in Zero to One, in an idealized free market, profit is impossible. Pure competition drives profit margins to zero. This can be easily observed in highly competitive industries, like groceries or gas stations. They operate on razor-thin margins. The only way to make big money in competitive markets is huge scale, which explains consolidation and the drive of money to the top. All substantial profitability comes from friction or monopoly (including localized monopoly, like not having a full range of choices for your employee-based insurance).

But I digress.

At any rate, the Japanese system clearly works, while the American system is clearly broken. One is selling the same product for half the price of the other. Assuming I'm right about the key differentiator being the Japanese price controls (I could be wrong), then it really makes me wonder why we aren't trying that. Seems like a great way to get costs under control (even shrinking), while preserving much of the complex market and avoiding radical change to almost 20% of the economy.

I think "critical utility services" touches on the importance, but doesn't go far enough. I believe a health care system that denies care purely out of poverty is immoral. A health care system that is the primary cause of bankruptcy for the middle class is immoral. A system that traps employees in jobs they hate, for fear of losing (or even changing) their insurance is both immoral and un-American - what's more American than quitting your job to get a better one, or start your own business? So our system is not just an economic failure, it's a moral failure. It's a stain on our honor and an insult to our values.

In conclusion, I do not give a fuck about "free market" here. I am not putting economic ideology ahead of moral imperatives, and I'm not choosing ideology over observable facts. If I wanted to choose ideology over economic reality, I'd be a communist.

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by toomuchtodo on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @09:54AM (#17247147)
I’d rather be in the UK one. I refuse to be held hostage by the medical industrial complex.

The hospital charges my wife for her stay, my newborn son for his “stay”, her OB charged for the procedure, and the neonatologist charged. Whatever isn’t paid by insurance automatically becomes our responsibility, with no recourse to dispute.

We are actively working to leave this country.

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by CalRobert on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @10:12AM (#17247273)
Where are you headed? Wife and I left and have been delighted; happy to chat if you like.
Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by toomuchtodo on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @06:51PM (#17251790)
Germany (EU) or Columbia (SA). Would love to chat, will send an email intro if you don’t mind.
Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by CalRobert on Thursday June 07, 2018 @03:26AM (#17253954)
Don't mind in the least! But the ball's in your court since I don't see contact info for you in your profile.

Germany is, by all accounts, amazing. It's where my wife and I holiday and we've contemplated opening a B and B there a few years down the road. If I were coming to the EU fresh I'd be looking closely at Germany, Denmark, or the Netherlands.

http://www.bluecard-eu.de/eu-blue-card-germany/ is very relevant for a skilled migrant interested in Germany.

I can't comment on Colombia though.

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by AstralStorm on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @10:03AM (#17247201)
Actually, it does. The other commenter gave credible child mortality figures, here's the other half from the reputable US CIA. Heck most EU countries rate better than the UK but USA is even further behind.

https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/...

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by paulpauper on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @10:27AM (#17247394)
I've see that figure many times. One must take into account premature births and how stillbirths are reported. And also due to the racial makeup of America. Blacks have higher rates of infant mortality than whites.
Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by FireBeyond on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @12:00PM (#17248201)
Premature births correlate directly to advanced neonatal care, that thing you were arguing the US is the best in the world at. Now you're saying "oh, you can't count that"?

> [You] must take into account ... the racial makeup of America

Oh? Are black people not really counted for the purposes of birth stats? Why? Poorer genetics? Poorer healthcare access? Again, how would poorer healthcare access jibe with your "best in world" medical care?

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by theplague42 on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @10:45AM (#17247539)
Do you think it's because of their race or socioeconomic status?
Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by bzbarsky on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @11:46AM (#17248069)
The effect is still there after controlling for SES. There may be other correlates of race that matter here, though. Diet comes to mind.

I would love to see a good study that tries to disentangle the various correlations here...

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by boomboomsubban on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @10:57AM (#17247643)
How do any of those things impact the maternal mortality rate?
Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by pjc50 on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @10:55AM (#17247632)
There's some suggestion that the US system is more dangerous to the mother, although it's hard to compare the stats: https://www.economist.com/united-states/2017/08/05/is-pregna...

Again, if you've got great health cover you can probably do better in the US. If you haven't, then you might not.

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by FireBeyond on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @11:57AM (#17248181)
> maternity costs ... complications ... if something were to go really wrong, would you rather be in the US hospital or the UK one? I suspect the NHS is more affordable, but does not handle complications and individual patient cases as well as the US system.

As someone who has lived in the UK, Australia, and the US, probably not the US?

Also, "Infant Mortality Rates of Countries, deaths per 1,000 live births[1]":

* Australia - 4.7

* United Kingdom - 4.8

* United States - 6.2

Apparently the statistics say we're not as good at "[handling] complications and individual patient cases" as you believe we are.

[1] https://www.infoplease.com/world/health-and-social-statistic...

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by s73v3r_ on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @12:58PM (#17248828)
"I suspect the NHS is more affordable, but does not handle complications and individual patient cases as well as the US system."

Provide evidence for this claim, or stop trying to disparage an entire nation's healthcare system.

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by nunya213 on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @09:57AM (#17247159)
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SH.DYN.MORT?view=map&ye.... Infant mortality is nearly 2x higher in the US. I know where I'd want to be.
Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by bzbarsky on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @11:57AM (#17248176)
The problem with infant mortality figures is that different countries measure them differently. There are cases (e.g. very premature births) that the US considers a live birth (with a high risk of mortality) while other countries consider them miscarriages and hence don't count them in infant mortality.

There have been attempts made to correct for these discrepancies. They end up accounting for a large fraction (but not all) of the difference in infant mortality rates, if I recall correctly.

Most of the rest of the effect is that premature births that everyone considers "births" have a higher prevalence in the US (for various reasons, not all of which are clear). Premature births have higher mortality, obviously.

https://uk.reuters.com/article/us-health-infants-mortality/u... is actually trying to look at an apples-to-apples comparison, and a few things jump out at me:

1) Birth defects. I wonder how much of this has to do with differences in abortion availability and again differences in definition of "birth". Many other countries count a child that dies within some number of days after birth from birth defects as a stillbirth, not an infant mortality event.

2) SUID (aka SIDS) is a huge contributor in the US. In the US this is highly concentrated in ehthnic groups that are largely missing in the comparison countries. Why that is is a good question, but makes this comparison less apples-to-apples.

To know where you'd want to be you want to know the outcomes for your specific demographic in the different countries, which is not something that gets reported very much...

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by nunya213 on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @12:57PM (#17248810)
"Infant mortality rates for full-term babies vary across the U.S., but all states are worse than many European countries, a new study suggests."

From your own source, literally doesn't help your case at all.

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by bzbarsky on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @01:15PM (#17248996)
I am aware of what the article says.

The bit you quoted does not negate my two points about the data in that article.

But just to be very clear, Connecticut is cited as having an infant mortality rate that is slightly above the comparison country rates. Note that those countries were picked for a comparison because they have the 6 lowest mortality rates in Europe. [1]

Anyway, Connecticut is maybe somewhat similar to the comparison countries in terms of ethnic group demographics (mostly negating my point (2)) and has a more expansive definition of "infant mortality" than those countries last I checked, which is part of my point (1).

Mississippi, at the other end of the spectrum, has a vastly different ethnic makeup, has much worse abortion availability (increasing the number of babies with birth defects carried to term). And still has the more expansive definition of "infant mortality".

Now I'm not saying that it's a good thing that Mississippi has higher rates of SUID/SIDS. And I'm not saying limited abortion availability for cases when the child wouldn't survive is good. But I am saying that drawing conclusions about US healthcare here, as opposed to other societal factors, requires apples-to-apples comparison. And drawing conclusions about outcomes for a specific case (specific family) requires understanding whether those societal factors apply to it.

Or to put it another way, families that are willing to do an abortion when told their child, if carried to term, would not live more than a few months will have a lower infant mortality rate than families that are not willing to do said abortion.

One other thing which _is_ mentioned in the study itself but not in the article: "survival rates among preterm infants in the US were found to be very similar to those of the same European countries". Please model that with the "the US just sucks" model.

[1] The numbers in the actual study: Connecticut has an estimated FTIMR of 1.29 with a 95% confidence interval of 1.08 - 1.53; note that they don't have an actual hard number for reasons I haven't figured out yet. The six European countries involved are Austria, Denmark, Finland, Norway, Sweden, and Switzerland. Their numbers range from 0.97 to 1.24 according to the study.

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by opencl on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @09:41AM (#17247058)
The skyrocketing sticker price of healthcare absolutely has led directly to skyrocketing insurance premiums and out of pocket costs are still high for many people depending on their insurance plans.

The vast majority of the 'generous' college financial aid is loans with partially subsidized interest rates. Default rates on these loans are high and keep rising.

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by paulpauper on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @09:52AM (#17247127)
regarding drugs, I suspect a reason why sticker prices are high because drugs are expensive to develop, and drug companies must recoup costs and make a profit before the patent expires. A couple years ago Scott Alexander did a bunch of posts about healthcare cost,s but I don;t think anyone reached a conclusions as to why prices keep rising so much. It's more like a bunch of possible factors, but no definitive pinpoint cause.
Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by thedaemon on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @10:26AM (#17247383)
Greed is not a cause to you?
Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by nunya213 on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @09:53AM (#17247139)
In response to paul's bs about drug prices.

http://www.chicagotribune.com/business/ct-drug-price-sofosbu...

Costs $1000 in the US and $4 in India.

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by stevenicr on Thursday June 07, 2018 @06:44AM (#17254716)
"Individuals seldom pay the stick price." - Sadly, many do. I have many times over the years.

On top of paying premium prices for things, I also avoid emergency care on occasion that I would rush to if I had affordable insurance.

I wonder where you find ER visits for $1,000 ? I'm pretty sure in our mid size city with 5 or so big hospitals, the cost is much higher than that. I was treated some years ago with antibiotics and pain meds, given a bill over $4,000 - and I had refused the mris and xrays the doc wanted to order.

8 weeks later I got a notice from the hospital that they knew the address of the property I owned and suggested I pay.

"$10k/month" - some meds are $10k for one day. Sometimes one of the drug companies will donate a two day supply in an emergency, however I routinely shudder at the thought of going to the ER and getting hit with a $15k bill for a day and needing meds beyond that.

College tuition has been interesting in our state, they say it's free now, but previously I found that a lottery sold to people as a method to pay for college was only available to those under 25 and whatever other stipulations. I've heard of programs for women, for minorities, etc. There was one college in town supposedly offering scholarships to white people, and they had a great program I was interested in, but it was way across town and the expenses for travel and books was enough to make it a nice thought only.

"they are getting more healthcare and better healthcare" No, I am not getting better healthcare. Certainly there are others who find paying the retail cost of doctor visits and drug prices ridiculous. Certainly I am not the only one that has had a doc or nurse practitioner suggest tests that I cant afford and deny to provide comfort in the name of stopping a possible opiod crisis.

Funny, you say "would be very cheap if drugs were limited to Advil and Aspirin" - Advil and Tylenol are the main line of defense for health issues where I am, it's relatively cheap, certainly not as effective as some prescription drugs, but the cost of the doc visit alone puts them out of reach mos weeks.

Part of the rent / housing costs problems are indeed from the slow down of building some years ago, but there are many other factors putting pressure there, many of those factors have people profiting at the pain of others in a similar way.

I think the housing thing will level out, this is something where capitalism can work. Hospitals having impenetrable territory protected by regulations and drug companies being sneaky with patents however, I don't think that's as fair of a set of guidelines for capitalism to work it magic well.

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by nunya213 on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @09:49AM (#17247112)
Americans have the worst Health outcomes while spending the most by far out of all developed nations. Your libertarian shtick can't get you out of that one.
Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by mattmcknight on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @10:44AM (#17247521)
"Asian-Americans" in the US have a greater life expectancy than Japanese in Japan. "Latinos" in the US have a greater life expectancy than Swiss in Switzerland. "Whites" in Minnesota have a greater life expectancy than Canadians in Canada. It's not that simple.

https://www.kff.org/other/state-indicator/life-expectancy-by...

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by GFischer on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @10:53AM (#17247614)
Libertarians I know are horrified by the U.S. way of handling healthcare. It's not a "free" system by any conceivable metric.

https://mises.org/wire/how-government-regulations-made-healt...

My country (Uruguay) is the total opposite, it has some nasty warts, but socialized basic medicine + the option of purchasing better healthcare if wanted seems like a much better system.

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by nunya213 on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @12:54PM (#17248782)
The downvote brigade is out in force today. Truly disgusting how the vast majority of those SV are either left wing SJW types or "da free market cures all ills" nuts. Diversity of ideas is nonexistent.
Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by s73v3r_ on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @01:02PM (#17248855)
Complaining that no one agrees with you does not mean that there is no "diversity of ideas." It means that people have decided your ideas aren't good.
Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by nunya213 on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @04:27PM (#17250819)
Yes I'm sure that's what they taught you at Vassar kiddo. Do you need a safe space now?
Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by s73v3r_ on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @05:04PM (#17251118)
I'm not the one acting like a "snowflake" because people aren't praising my ideas.
Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by paulpauper on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @10:03AM (#17247205)
The US has higher cancer survival rates than Europe

https://www.firstthings.com/blogs/firstthoughts/2009/07/most...

Also the US develops most of the drugs used by those other countries. IF Drug companies charged UK prices in America, they would not be profitable. Someone has to pay the bill for drug development. In this case, it's the US.

https://qph.fs.quoracdn.net/main-qimg-90fb34d138bbf4ebc946ca...

it's not a libertarian view, just the data.

Re:If wages are to rise, workers need more bargaining power by nunya213 on Wednesday June 06, 2018 @10:26AM (#17247388)
>The US has higher cancer survival rates than Europe

First of all that source is from a pseudo-intellectual religious journal and carries little to no weight in my opinion, even if it did they admit that those numbers are differentiated by early screening in the US and this has little to do with treatment quality, such a statement on quality would need to control for this difference in screening.

>Also the US develops most of the drugs used by those other countries. IF Drug companies charged UK prices in America, they would not be profitable. Someone has to pay the bill for drug development. In this case, it's the US.

Only 5 of the top 10 largest Pharmaceutical companies are American and 3 of the top 5 are European so this statement is just not true.

Your quaint views on Economics are obviously libertarian, in the failed American political party sense, and frankly the data is not on your side.