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Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by bobthepanda on Monday March 19, 2018 @01:56PM (#16621017)
Indeed. This is why many cities are reducing speed limits.

In fact, self-driving cars may actually improve the situation if cars actually start complying with speed limits en masse.

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by Johnny555 on Monday March 19, 2018 @02:01PM (#16621086)
Good point -- there's a 4% chance of fatality when struck by a 15mph car versus 20% at 30mph.

There's a 30mph city street near me where cars routinely go 45mph -- the fatality rate jumps up to 60% at that speed. So just having cars follow the speed limit would go a long way toward reducing fatalities.

https://www.propublica.org/article/unsafe-at-many-speeds

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by kortex on Monday March 19, 2018 @04:54PM (#16623057)
I'm greatly in favor of a slower-moving but more efficient automotive network. How many human inconveniences are caused by what boils down to impatience? See: gridlock, people entering intersections they cannot leave, and jamitons.

(IMHO) jamitons would dissolve if people would leave a flexible buffer between them and the car in front of them and focusing on minimizing braking, rather than driving up to their bumper, brake, wait for moving, accelerate, brake, repeat. The lag due to reaction time and ac/deceleration exacerbates the "viscosity" of traffic flow. If most drivers focused on "staying fluid" rather than hurry-up-and-wait, traffic ought to improve. Like fluidized beds.

https://math.mit.edu/projects/traffic/

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by mhb on Monday March 19, 2018 @02:02PM (#16621095)
Indeed what? It's obvious that slower cars will kill fewer people. That's meaningless without saying what the cost of driving slower is.
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by bobthepanda on Monday March 19, 2018 @02:13PM (#16621289)
I'd like to think that the economic cost of regularly killing people on the streets is higher than getting to a place ten minutes faster. American traffic fatalities per year are basically equivalent to killing off a large town.

No one is saying reduce speeds everywhere. But in an urban context with lots of pedestrians, these speeds matter, and urban traffic is generally so stop-and-go and congested that drivers rarely sustain the top speed, and reducing it doesn't actually affect travel time by all that much.

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by jerf on Monday March 19, 2018 @02:21PM (#16621405)
"I'd like to think that the economic cost of regularly killing people on the streets is higher than getting to a place ten minutes faster."

However comforting that logic may be, it is unusable in the real world. If you value lives infinitely, then you will never ever do anything that risks your or somebody else's life in order to gain on any other need. You routinely engage in things that are not the safest possible option in order to fulfill other needs, ranging from food or water acquisition through mere entertainment. Therefore you place a finite value on your life. Don't feel bad, so does everybody else. It is possible to determine the value placed on life, I believe there are studies that show the value is more stable than you might think, and balance things appropriately.

It may be uncomfortable thinking, but, again, unless you literally never take even the smallest risk in the pursuit of other goals, you are already thinking this way. You just haven't lifted it up to the conscious level yet.

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by jessaustin on Monday March 19, 2018 @02:50PM (#16621770)
No one is asking for infinite value. A cursory glance at causes of death rates in USA reveals that far too many people are dying in automobile collisions. There is nothing about our world that requires that level of carnage. Future generations will find our customs ghastly.
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by jerf on Monday March 19, 2018 @04:27PM (#16622782)
As in the famous Churchhill quote, once you agree it's not infinite, now we're just dickering about price.

I'd say you're almost right about nobody asking for infinite value, but I'd say it's more like nobody who has pulled this up to the conscious level is asking for infinite value. People who have not examined the belief are quite prone to speaking as if life's value is infinite... but their own actions inevitably belie that claim. Once examined, it becomes rationally obvious that life is not infinitely valuable (including your own), but, well, if humans automatically accepted and believed all rational things they examine without emotional consequence the world would be a very different place.

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by jessaustin on Monday March 19, 2018 @04:41PM (#16622937)
Agreed, your parent post was strawmanning. Is there a name for this second-order sort of meta-strawmanning, in which we imagine people's unconscious inclinations, rather than merely imagining their arguments?
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by supertrope on Monday March 19, 2018 @05:39PM (#16623474)
The United States government led by the Obama administration came up with values from 6-9 million dollars when weighing marginal costs of safety regulations.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/17/business/economy/17regulat...

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by Maybestring on Monday March 19, 2018 @02:52PM (#16621802)
>It is possible to determine the value placed on life, I believe there are studies that show the value is more stable than you might think, and balance things appropriately.

For evaluating safety regulations relative to the cost of inplementation, NHTSA values the risk of loss of human life in relation to the market value of risk reducing products, and the safety they provide.

They extrapolate from the take rate of airbags and their cost and effectivity, to how much value the average American places on their own life. IIRC on the order of $5 million.

FYI, juries do not look kindly on companies that implement this in liability suits. The data is that if a corporation writes down a $-figure for a (statistical) human life, it anchors punitive fines at a higher level.

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by davrosthedalek on Monday March 19, 2018 @06:40PM (#16623988)
Well, you do waste minutes of peoples lives. Let's see: 100 mio people driving 250 days/year, losing 10 min each way (so 20/day). That's about 12k lives of 80 years. It's actually worse, because you are wasting "awake time", so add 30%. It seems America isn't /that/ far of from the optimum. Maybe better driver education or better roads would be more effective?
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by mhb on Monday March 19, 2018 @02:16PM (#16621332)
Regardless of what you'd like to think, actual costs and benefits of driving speeds would make a more compelling argument.
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by rocqua on Monday March 19, 2018 @03:51PM (#16622430)
The real issue with driving slower is enforcement. Enough people don't take into account the speed limit that changing the speed limit without changing the roads leads to unsafe mixed speeds.

Universally adhered to lower speed limits in urban environments would be great.

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by supertrope on Monday March 19, 2018 @05:43PM (#16623509)
Certainty of enforcement. People are careful to obey a rule punished 100% of the time with a $1 fine. They brush off a 10^-5 probability of a $100,000 loss by thinking "It won't happen to me."
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by rikkus on Monday March 19, 2018 @04:03PM (#16622559)
Correct. I often walk down a road with a 20mph 'limit' where most cars are doing around 40 - and some appear to be doing more like 50. There's simply no economically viable way to enforce it, so it will continue like this until there have been a couple of fatalities.
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by mhb on Monday March 19, 2018 @04:32PM (#16622816)
There's simply no economically viable way to enforce it

Conduent offers a turnkey solution for this. They provide and manage speed cameras: https://www.conduent.com/solution/transportation-solutions/r...

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by jakeogh on Monday March 19, 2018 @05:04PM (#16623155)
Not a chance. And that is a good thing. This knee jerk towards "lets just monitor everyone, everywhere and automate the law" is antithetical to a free society. Most people know that, which is why speed camera votes always send that company (RedFlex or whoever) packing.
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by j3097736 on Monday March 19, 2018 @07:19PM (#16624319)
I don't know about the US, but where I live speed camera are relatively large bright colored boxes with reflective stripes on the side of the road, with mandatory "speed camera ahead" warnings.

Most of them are empty but people unfamliar with the place will usually slow down.

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by jakeogh on Monday March 19, 2018 @08:19PM (#16624763)
The laws are state and local. In AZ it's a city or township, then the people put it on the ballot and it gets shut down. Tucson voted 65% no cameras, and later we got a state wide ban on highways, so it's a still a work in progress. The tickets are civil law, so you can throw it out, frame it, or make a coffee table book if you get enough:)
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by CydeWeys on Tuesday March 20, 2018 @12:18AM (#16626027)
You can lower speeds quite drastically with better street design, no enforcement needed. Make the road narrower and curvier instead of wide open and straight. You can even add bumps.
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by jessaustin on Monday March 19, 2018 @02:06PM (#16621165)
You'll have to leave earlier for your important appointment!
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by mhb on Monday March 19, 2018 @02:13PM (#16621291)
I suppose you're suggesting there's a distinction between someone losing x hours of life due to travel time vs. someone being killed and losing y hours of life. I'm sure you can see why someone attempting to create a reasonable policy might avoid making that distinction.
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by jessaustin on Monday March 19, 2018 @02:35PM (#16621568)
I thought you were asking about "the cost of driving slower"? I'm perfectly serious in my answer. Any transportation goal (with the possible exception of ambulance service?) that may be accomplished at high speed, also can be accomplished at lower speed, with sufficient planning.
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by PurpleBoxDragon on Monday March 19, 2018 @03:49PM (#16622415)
>also can be accomplished at lower speed

But what about an even lower speed? If 15 mph is good, then 5 mph is better. And if 5 mph is better, 1 mph is superior once more.

I think we can agree there is a point where slow becomes too slow and the 'sufficient planning' becomes an unreasonable burden. So given we aren't operating off the notion that slower is inherently better, then there is some equation giving us our optimal point. What if that point is 45 mph instead of 15 mph?

In short, how do we argue that 15 mph is better than 45 mph that can't also be applied to speeds lower than 15 mph?

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by bobthepanda on Monday March 19, 2018 @05:01PM (#16623120)
It's easy - you have diminishing improvements in pedestrian survival rates. 40MPH+ is associated with a fatality rate of over 50%, whereas you get to 30MPH and you have 7%, and 20MPH is essentially zero: https://nacto.org/docs/usdg/relationship_between_speed_risk_...
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by PurpleBoxDragon on Tuesday March 20, 2018 @11:13AM (#16629224)
Even if it is close to zero, how do we decide if the lives saved from going from a .1% fatality rate to a .09% fatality rate is worth the speed reduction or not?
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by mhb on Monday March 19, 2018 @02:46PM (#16621727)
jerf addressed this above. What you're saying isn't accurate. Doing things more quickly avoids wasting hours of life. That's a benefit. The cost is measured in hours of life of people killed and injured as a result of doing things at a chosen speed.
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by jessaustin on Monday March 19, 2018 @02:57PM (#16621865)
What activity are you talking about, that is feasible at 40mph in an urban environment but not at e.g. 25mph? Can you not imagine a different way of conducting that activity?

There is a fundamental inequity between the operator of dangerous equipment comparing hours and years of life, and the pedestrian who suffers the consequence of that comparison. The USA auto industry is built on this inequity, which is why no one ever talks about it.

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by mhb on Monday March 19, 2018 @03:15PM (#16622081)
Any activity which requires things to be moved. Meeting a friend, making a delivery,

Lives, dollars, wasted time are all fungible.

Your new, inequity point adds externalities to the discussion. That's fine, but those are also measured in lives, dollars, wasted time.

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by jessaustin on Monday March 19, 2018 @03:34PM (#16622260)
Many people meet friends and make deliveries e.g. via bicycle. Those motorized vehicles that are set aside specifically for deliveries often travel more slowly than other motorized vehicles.

But I shouldn't pick nits; you were speaking in generalities! So when I said "any transportation goal" and you disagreed, you hadn't actually thought of a particular exception to my universal statement. And you still haven't thought of one. Are your contributions to this discussion offered in good faith?

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by mhb on Monday March 19, 2018 @04:28PM (#16622792)
1. I want to visit a friend. He lives an hour away by car. New speed limit changes it to two hours. I lose an hour of life in the car.

2. Auto plant needs radiators. Truck delivering them takes longer to get them there. Costs $x more. Car costs more. Car buyer has to work longer to buy car. Car buyer wastes y hours of life.

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by Johnny555 on Monday March 19, 2018 @09:47PM (#16625301)
Or maybe you don't visit your friend so often. Or you decide that 90 minutes on the train is better than driving, or maybe your friend gets tired of making a 2 hour trip to the city, so he moves closer.

There are lots of alternatives that don't involve you spending more time driving.

While it's true that goods will cost more to transport if it takes longer, that higher charge is amortized across many products in the truck, so is a very small portion of the finished product.

So if a radiator fits in a box 16x24x6" or 1.3ft^3 and a 40ft truck holds 2400 ft^3 (subtract 20% since it won't be a perfect fix, so 2000 ft^3, so you can fit 1500 of them in the truck.

If a truck+driver costs $100/hour, that means each radiator will cost 13 cents more.

Or, another way at looking at it -- all of the parts that make up a car aren't going to be bigger than a car (sure, some space is lost to packaging, but there's a lot of empty space in a car), and 6 - 10 cars can fit on a car carrier truck, so each car will end up costing around $25 more.

Though since we're talking about urban speed limits, and there aren't many urban car manufacturers, slow urban speed limits won't affect the price of cars.

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by jessaustin on Monday March 19, 2018 @08:02PM (#16624644)
I suppose this subthread is complete, because you have now completely agreed with my original statement: you'll have to leave earlier for your trip to visit your friend, and delivery trucks will have to allocate more time (routes, trucks, drivers, etc.) for their deliveries. Alternatively, freight trucks might make fewer mostly-empty trips. Note that these two examples clearly match the characterization I provided: both may be accomplished at lower speed, with sufficient planning. This will be the "cost" of safe driving.
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by mhb on Tuesday March 20, 2018 @03:41PM (#16631851)
You don't seem to understand that leaving earlier to do something is different than leaving later to do the thing.
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by TheSpiceIsLife on Monday March 19, 2018 @02:22PM (#16621413)
And not even necessarily that.

Often speeding just gets you to the next intersection, or red lighter, quicker, where you then have to wait longer for traffic, or a green light.

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by YSFEJ4SWJUVU6 on Monday March 19, 2018 @06:10PM (#16623721)
How often? How often you'd manage to go through the intersection before the lights change, and gain even more?

(edit: just to be clear, I'm not in support of speeding, however I do value good logic.)

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by smileysteve on Monday March 19, 2018 @06:39PM (#16623972)
I can't find it, but I remember reading that an aggressive driver saves on average 20 seconds on what is on average a 10 minute trip.
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by megy on Monday March 19, 2018 @06:24PM (#16623846)
What cost do you put on your own life? Lets start from there?
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by dsfyu404ed on Monday March 19, 2018 @03:05PM (#16621975)
>Indeed. This is why many cities are reducing speed limits. In fact, self-driving cars may actually improve the situation if cars actually start complying with speed limits en masse.

The vast majority of people just go however fast they feel comfortable (considering conditions, etc) regardless of the speed limit.

Mixed traffic speeds decrease safety.

Raising speed limits so that you don't have the % of people who comply with the letter of the law traveling slower than the people who go however fast they're comfortable usually improves safety.

Unless your goal is to increase ticket revenue or appease the "think of the children crowd" there's no point to lowering speed limits. It doesn't do much to affect traffic speed. To do that you have to modify the road or do something to change the traffic flow.

Self driving cars will improve safety because they'll result in political pressure to raise speed limits to match reality and they'll make dynamic speed limits more practical.

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by breischl on Monday March 19, 2018 @05:01PM (#16623122)
>Mixed traffic speeds decrease safety.

Sure, but city streets are already mixed traffic. There are pedestrians, bikes, vehicles parking or turning, etc. It's not reasonable to raise the limit to what people want to drive and just ignore all the other users of the street.

Also, the optical narrowing mentioned in a sibling comment is quite effective. They've done that on a few streets near me via things like sidewalk bulb-outs at intersections, and swapping the parking lane & bike lane (so it goes curb-bike-parking-drive, rather than curb-parking-bike-drive). Everyone drives more slowly on those streets now - myself included.

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by crote on Monday March 19, 2018 @05:51PM (#16623564)
It does work when the roads are designed properly. No, posting a random speed sign isn't going to slow down traffic. But speed bumps, chicanes, turns, smaller lanes, etc. will naturally slow down traffic, making it impossible to drive dangerously fast.

For more, see https://www.vox.com/the-big-idea/2016/11/30/13784520/roads-d...

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by rocqua on Monday March 19, 2018 @03:46PM (#16622380)
This is why a lot of people advocate 'optical narrowing' and other methods. These are supposed to make people actually want to go the speed limit.

The trick is to make people feel like driving fast is unsafe, without actually making driving any unsafer.

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by Steltek on Monday March 19, 2018 @04:37PM (#16622895)
"Mixed traffic speeds" is a concept for 4-lane highways, not 1 or 2 lane city streets. It would not take many law abiding vehicles to bring a one or two lane road down to the speed limit.
Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by megy on Monday March 19, 2018 @06:24PM (#16623841)
> Mixed traffic speeds decrease safety

Exactly. That is why we should ban all cars anywhere there is people, and they should be limited to highways. Because safety is most important, right? Right???

Re:Self-driving Uber car kills Arizona woman crossing street by kuschku on Monday March 19, 2018 @06:43PM (#16624008)
> Unless your goal is to increase ticket revenue or appease the "think of the children crowd" there's no point to lowering speed limits. It doesn't do much to affect traffic speed. To do that you have to modify the road or do something to change the traffic flow.

It’s very simple, put speed cameras on every corner, and fine in terms of day wages. E.g., one week of your income as fine for going x% above.

Several countries are doing parts of this already, or moving towards it.