Re:China to Overtake U.S. Economy by 2032
by fragsworth on Tuesday December 26, 2017 @12:35AM
(#16007292)
Also, I wonder how much innovation will come out of China. As far as I can tell, innovation has generally come from Western countries (mostly the U.S.) and China develops internal clones after seeing what is successful. I don't know if the models are taking into account that China will be technologically lagging behind by several years. Maybe this doesn't have much impact, but I think it might.
[ Parent
| on HN ]
Re:China to Overtake U.S. Economy by 2032
by sixdimensional on Tuesday December 26, 2017 @12:58AM
(#16007364)
I don't think we can underestimate the Chinese power to innovate either - consider Shanzhai[1]. What comparable practice do western cultures have?
Sharing and mashing up IP without restriction and less regulation could be a serious challenge to competition in the traditional sense.
Re:China to Overtake U.S. Economy by 2032
by hkmurakami on Tuesday December 26, 2017 @03:19AM
(#16007712)
Imo Shenzen has shown some real supply chain innovation but... seriously you're bringing up counterfeit goods offloading IP development costs onto competitors as an example of innovation from China?
Re:China to Overtake U.S. Economy by 2032
by sixdimensional on Tuesday December 26, 2017 @11:41AM
(#16009337)
You have to look deeper into the phenomenon. I'm not talking about the illegal practices and poor quality, I'm talking about the fact that these practices often lead to lower cost and accidental innovations due to disregarding IP laws.
I think it's fascinating how certain types of products have been targeted for counterfeiting and how far they have spread. When you look at the ever downward pressure on price (and often, inadvertently quality) demanded by customers, I think it might lead to the conditions supporting these practices.
It's definitely a think outside of the box type of exercise, but, look at open source and compare for a minute. Of course there is a huge differences, but I think the things the comparison highlights are of interest to question.
Re:China to Overtake U.S. Economy by 2032
by sixdimensional on Tuesday December 26, 2017 @11:45AM
(#16009346)
For the record, my comments weren't mean to be disparaging in any way of the multitude of Chinese innovations. Clearly the Chinese power to innovate has existed for probably longer than many countries and many critical inventions and ideas arose there. For example, gunpowder, paper, compasses, etc.
Re:China to Overtake U.S. Economy by 2032
by gaius on Tuesday December 26, 2017 @03:18AM
(#16007706)
The IP has to exist before you can "mash it up"
Re:China to Overtake U.S. Economy by 2032
by acchow on Tuesday December 26, 2017 @01:02AM
(#16007373)
China doesn't need either innovation or to catch up technologically. They have 5x the population of USA. They can be lagging far behind and still have a larger economy.
Re:China to Overtake U.S. Economy by 2032
by sfifs on Tuesday December 26, 2017 @12:53AM
(#16007348)
in the digital and mobile software space and how they can transform society, i am seeing China a year and a half ahead of US and Japan (and quite a bit ahead of Europe). Same in infrastructure where it's decade ahead of the US. No one I know in the cities in China actually carries cash any more. Often I the foreigner am the only one carrying cash. Living without WeChat is pretty much impossible to the extent i have it on my phone explicitly to talk to my Chinese colleagues. If you have a reasonable Alibaba credit score, you don't need any financial paperwork to get visas etc.
Re:China to Overtake U.S. Economy by 2032
by chrisco255 on Tuesday December 26, 2017 @02:49AM
(#16007642)
Oh they also have a much more advanced surveillance state, complete with a social behavior score system.