For some context, 5% of $1.5 trillion is $75 billion. This is ~45% of the current ~$170 billion total wealth of the Walton family.

Walmart's net income was ~$14 billion/year in 2016. It pays ~$6 billion/year in taxes.

The real problem with these "tax breaks" is that the most significant breaks are highly specific and selective. This tax bill basically picks winners and losers. Worse still, the winners tend to be people with the kind of investments and lifestyle that Republican lawmakers have (e.g. the Corker kickback), and the losers tend to be professionals living in Democrat-leaning states (e.g. tech workers).

The relatively small breaks that the majority will receive are temporary, and represent a minefield of exceptions that can leave people with no break at all (e.g. the loss of exemptions). There is a reason Republicans are picking oddly specific examples of people the bill will benefit -- most people will not see much, which is not a very compelling story.

The median household in New Jersey in 2016 had an income of $76,212. (Source: https://www.census.gov/data-tools/demo/saipe/saipe.html?s_ap...)

In the highest-income county in New Jersey, Hunterdon County, the median household in 2016 had an income of $113,336.

You may wish to adjust your definition of “solidly middle class” a bit.

We are not talking about country clubs, yachts, or first class airfare here. It is not the 1%. It is between working class and upper class. What else would you call it?

There is a group of people who are not living paycheck to paycheck but who still need to work full time. That group is called the middle class.

You stated that above. I'd say your definition here is quite a bit more "loose."

https://statisticalatlas.com/state/New-Jersey/Household-Inco...

Maybe "upper middle class" but I don't see how anyone outside of the 1% can reasonably be called "very much upper class."

I don't live there, but even $200k seems solidly upper class.

"In 2012, 9.1% of New Jersey households have annual incomes of or over $200,000, and 17.5% have incomes of $100,000 or more."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_New_Jersey_locations_b...

Stop acting paying 3k is the norm.

now why is that a problem, because it favors having politicians cater to this group by creating all sorts of carve outs so they can get back some of these taxes paid usually by supporting the same politicians.

No, that can't be right. I saw that only the five richest people in America with solid gold toilets are getting a tax break, and that everyone else is going to be fed into a wood chipper. It was on TV, so it must be true.

As someone who went from earning $25K to $85K to $300K, I have near-zero empathy for the tax bills that any American family making above $200K faces... Or any of the owner class that is coming out as the big winner with the new tax bill.

Here's the thing. If you're making $400K in CA or wherever, you're not middle class. You're an upper class worker. You still need to show up to the office to do your 9-5-5, or your 6-9-6, or whatever it is you get paid for. Your interests are not aligned with those of your CEO, or even the CEO of the shitty temp sourcing company down the street, who makes half as much as you do. But you are also not, by any means, middle class.

You can drop out of this rat race in five years of frugal living, and retire far more comfortably then the poor sap filling orders at an Amazon warehouse will after 40 years of back-breaking work.

So yeah, you're not hurting, but you're not wealthy enough to retire and maintain that lifestyle.

Sure, you could "live frugally" and retire after a few years, but you'd literally have to live in a tent and then retire somewhere that isn't California. That might be ok for some, but for others it isn't.

I don't know how people making less than $200K a year live here comfortably. I mean I do know, because I know people like that. They live in a house that they inherited from their parents, they don't do anything out of the house, and they live near bad schools with high crime.

Let's do a simple budget for a $400K household. This puts you in the top 1.2% of incomes, nation-wide, by the way. Say, 40% of that goes towards income taxes (A bit of a high estimate, even, since taxes are progressive, there are deductions, your 401K isn't taxed, but whatever).

That leaves $240,000.

Two adults, so $40,000 goes to your 401K, no questions asked. It's the responsible thing to do. You're already saving as much as a median SF household takes home, but that's fine.

Two cars. You can buy a working car that will probably last you seven years for $10,000, or ten years for $20,000. Let's ammortize it at $2,000/year, with another $3,000/year in gas, insurance, oil changes, tires, etc.

That's $190,000 left over. Let's say you take two nice family vacations, for another $20,000 total. That's not living frugally, since you're spending more money on fun then what someone making your coffee makes in a year, but that's fine, you're definitely middle class.

Let's say you save another $50,000/year. Kids need braces, your car may get dented, you might want to order tex-mex every once in a while, you want to build that retirement fund.

You're left with $120,000/year in cash, to spend on food and housing.

If you can't figure out how to live on that, I hate to break it, but you're mismanaging your money. The median SF household lives on $77,000/year - that is BEFORE taxes. Half of them manage to raise at least one child on that. $400,000/year is completely out of touch with what normal middle-class people can spend. You don't need two Model Ss, Junior doesn't need to go to a top 5% elementary school, and you can probably make due without a two-week trip to Spain and another to Hawaii.

But my neighborhood is the "poor" neighborhood. Most of the folks who live here make about $200K-$300K a year.

Over in the $400K neighborhood, their houses are about 2000-2500 sq ft, and cost about $3.5M. Keep in mind the median home in the US is about 2200 sq ft, so these houses are right in line with the US median.

At $3.5M, assuming they can save a 20% down payment, they'll be paying $14,000/mo in mortgage and $3,000/mo on property tax. So that's $204,000 a year just on housing to live in a median size home with good schools.

Using your math, after taxes and 401K, that leaves $38,000 a year for everything else. Or if you skip the 401K, it's $78,000 in post tax money.

So like I said, you aren't hurting, but you aren't crazy rich either.