"Dylan and Luke are bounty-hunters of a new breed. They have to find the long-lost twins of suspects on FBI's Most Wanted list. On this episode of Face Hunters..."
Sounds like a movie plot to me (I made a guess at one if you dig through my comment history).
As far as I remember, in the big reveal, they did make a point of saying that faceid had a much lower chance of of colliding than the fingerprintid system.
> The probability of a false match is different for twins and siblings that look like you
So that means the 1 in a 1,000,000 chance doesn't make sense here because Apple said the probability is different in regards to twins and siblings that look like you. So @gre just spouted off the statistic when OP was asking what the probability might be in regards to twins and siblings, because Apple says that it is different.