>Unlikely -- Tizen would be dead on arrival, being inferior in all ways to Android, including the app ecosystem.

Would it matter when "an Android phone" means a Samsung phone 9 times out of 10 in Western markets

When an average American comes to Best Buy to buy a phone, he does not deliberate over things as abstract to him as OS of a phone. He sees an Apple phone, a Samsung phone, and a random Chinese phone.

Sony and LG are well-known brands, though, even to the most backwards people.

But he/she surely wants to be able to use his/her favourite apps, right?

For the app ecosystem, I wonder if webassembly isn't going to even the game between the different OSes. You will be able to code in a single language of your choice an app with fast performance that will run on every platform, current and future. iOS allows you to pin a webapp to the desktop which then looks in every way like a native app, I presume android must have something similar.