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Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by ajross on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @12:15AM (#15129687)
The techniques your grandfather was using would have (and likely did) leave him at a terrible competitive disadvantage when trying to compete with those megafarms growing the same crops.

It's good to remember the past, but don't sugarcoat things either. Modern techniques grow more food, more cheaply, with lower economic footprint, less land used per output, less energy spent per calorie, etc...

And sometimes they mess up and poison soybeans, which sucks. But feeding chickens eggshells isn't the fix you want.

Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by adsfqwop on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @04:54AM (#15130653)
I'm sorry but this is exactly the mentality that will drive us into a herbicide apocalypse. Farming food for the population is not a game. Stop looking at farming as some sort of equation on how to turn acres into dollars.

The measure of good farming should not be yield per acre, but nutrient density and food safety instead. It's completely upside down at the moment.

Do you think his grandfather would have cared about "competitive advantage" in favor of dropping the standard of produce quality? No. His grandfather had exactly the mentality we need in farming, which is quality before quantity.

You as a farmer are responsible for the health of the people you feed, and the health of the land and its ecosystem.

This mentality that everything has to be turned into dollars in the most efficient way, will lead farmers to sell us chemical bricks packaged as food if they just can get away with it, because..you know..it's efficient.

Think about that for a moment. When the only measure is dollars, you sacrifice everything that is important for humans and the planet in favor of profits.

Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by appleflaxen on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @09:02AM (#15131721)
Philosophically, I agree with you. But your refusal to measure utility (in dollars, because that's the unit of utility) hurts your argument.

When you make a folksy appeal to natural farming, imply that you don't have to assign utility to things, and then conclude by criticizing capitalism it... falls flat.

It's far more powerful to say that we are failing to price in the cost of monoculture farming, given the catastrophic effects it can have. But to say that you should measure yield based on nutrition per acre rather than dollars per acre? that just implies that you know better than the individuals who are making their own choices about what to consume (cheap food that you call non-nutritious, vs. expensive, organic-whatever that appeals to us emotionally).

with all due respect, I don't want someone else making my consumption choices. Let's just all agree to price it at the market.

And if you think that consumers are making the wrong choices, then the solution is to educate them. If you make your best case and fail, then you should consider whether your opinion should be changed, instead.

Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by brians on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @09:40AM (#15132032)
We know markets are bad at pricing in catastrophic very-low-probability events. That's why the lottery stays in business.

How do you price in dicamba use? It shouldn't quite be banned, but—silence isn't enough.

Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by appleflaxen on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @02:41PM (#15134764)
> That's why the lottery stays in business

and yet it's legal, and few argue for lotto prohibition

in the words of the initial reply:

> Do you think his grandfather would have cared about "competitive advantage" in favor of dropping the > standard of produce quality? No. His grandfather had exactly the mentality we need in farming, which is > quality before quantity.

...

> Think about that for a moment. When the only measure is dollars, you sacrifice everything that is > important for humans and the planet in favor of profits.

the best solution would be to internalize the costs: dicambia is going to cost the economy 5 billion dollars; therefore dicambia-based sales need to recoup that. And if they can't, then the companies should be fined if there is evidence they either knew, or fell short of their regulatory duty to look.

My point isn't that unfettered capitalism is good (it's not: it's terrible). My point is that the opposite extreme and emotional appeal is also not ideal: "when you only measure dollars..!" Well; there is nothing more appropriate to measure in. So let's just make sure everything is on the scale.

Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by frgtpsswrdlame on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @10:10AM (#15132250)
Education doesn't magically fix collective action problems.
Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by bryanlarsen on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @10:35AM (#15132422)
Modern farming practices just allowed my father in law to take in a fifty bushel per acre wheat crop on less than inch of rain during the growing season. Traditional or organic practices would likely have resulted in total crop failure.

Organic practices use tillage for weed control rather than pesticide. That would have liberated the moisture from the snow melt leaving nothing for the wheat.

A bushel of wheat is more than a month of calories, so that's 10000 of the world's 7+ billion that my father in law is feeding single handedly with his 2500 acre farm.

Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by dasil003 on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @12:32AM (#15129747)
Maybe not, but it's yet another too-big-to-fail system with the costs externalized to everyone but Big Ag. We have no mechanisms to deal with the long-term fallout of these decisions. Our current economic and political system is one where we incentivize cancerous growth with no moderation or care for our own future. I can imagine a world where sustainability plays a role in what is commonly considered progress, but politically we've been moving in the opposite direction for a few decades now and it really scares me.
Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by bencollier49 on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @02:16AM (#15130038)
I think that's rather short-sighted. All those gains come at the expense of "pests", or biodiversity, basically. All those flies and grubs would feed myriad birds and other insects, which would then feed into river ecosystems and support fish. Of course, if you want to live in a sterile world and grow old eating Soylent, then game on.
Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by lqdc13 on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @02:49AM (#15130147)
That's not true. Small farms are more efficient and productive per area. Therefore also more "green". I've read much about it but here's one link [1].

However, it is more efficient in terms of farmer-hours to have large farms and that's what really counts financially.

[1] https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/21085/1/sp06le03.pdf

Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by roel_v on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @10:26AM (#15132356)
No, that's not what that paper says. It even says "in the United States, non-family corporate farms control 1% of agricultural land and generate close to 7% of output (USDA, 2004)."

What that paper says is that 'large, corporate' farms perform worse than 'small, individual' ones. And it explicitly says "The different behavior may be understood if we recall that in our samples scale is a proxy for farm type.".

What performs better are individual-run farms, i.e. not collectives (which is pertinent in the paper because that style of farming is a holdover from Communist times) and not what is called 'corporate' farming in the paper where you have a bunch of MBA's and agronomists hiring cheap labor.

Essentially (going beyond the numbers of the paper), farms that are run by individuals who have (presumably) more 'skin in the game' and who know the land, the history and local conditions better than hired guns is what makes those farms more productive. But that also puts a cap on the maximum amount of land you can manage, hence the correlation between farm organizational type and its size.

So, to tie that back to the GP - it's true that it's not necessarily the 'megafarms' that he's at a competitive disadvantage to (depending on what market you're looking at - I mean a farm as small as that isn't competing for big Cargill contracts), but his mostly tradition-based management style (looking at the description of the ground egg shells) did put him at a disadvantage to the point that such farmers can't survive today. Today's farmers are agricultural engineers (more often than not literally - many farmers, and a growing percentage, have some sort of university education). Keeping a farm profitable today is about leveraging technology, keeping data very accurately and making the most of it. That includes local-scale sensor networks, microdosage of nutrients ('fertilizers'), very fine-grained crop rotation schemes. And in lifestock and dairy farming even more so. It's all romantic that GP's grandfather had bunch of chickens and some cows that he could milk by hand if he wanted to, but the economic reality is that no dairy farmer today can survive that way, regardless of farm size.

Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by lqdc13 on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @08:03PM (#15137140)
I think we're just talking about different things and my link wasn't very relevant.

If you actually visit the farms you can immediately tell the differences. When you visit a large farm, there is always things like tons of wasted space and water not covering some plants while others getting drowned. None of the plants are taken care of nearly as well as small farms (tomatoes usually aren't pruned for example). Overall, from what I've seen, large farms try to compensate for lack of individual plant maintenance by chemical treatments.

Here's a link to some "urban farming" that I think scales basically to other sizes: http://www.farmlandinfo.org/sites/default/files/Philadelphia...

Specifically, if you look at table 3, yield per crop area only decreases with size (1.2 for the largest farms and ~1.42 for the rest): https://seafile.entervice.com/f/175b18396c774698b6d2/

Then there is recent greenhouse indoor farming survey: http://stateofindoorfarming.agrilyst.com/

Here is comparison of revenue per square foot for large and small farms from that survey: https://seafile.entervice.com/f/c0a224916e6742ef9873/

It really depends on the crop but in this case everything but cannabis had higher yields in small farms.

Finally, if you're not convinced, here's some prose from cgiar regarding farm sizes and yields: https://wle.cgiar.org/thrive/2017/03/20/precision-agricultur...

select quote from there:

"In some ways, precision agriculture takes us back to the future. In some developing countries, very small farms tend to have marginally higher yields than somewhat larger farms. This can in part be explained by the relatively higher labor input on small farms, which can rely largely on unremunerated family labor. Under these circumstances, it is possible to check on every corner of the field on a daily basis, pull out weeds individually, and fertilizer precisely."

But here they're talking about very modern high precision farming which isn't actually taking place in many large farms. When it does take places it almost matches small farms.

Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by chillacy on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @12:26AM (#15129721)
Yet there are questions about the sustainability of some modern techniques:

> Such weeds have grown stronger and more numerous over the past 20 years — a result of herbicide overuse. By spraying so much glyphosate, farmers inadvertently caused weeds to evolve resistant traits more quickly.

Alongside rampant antibiotic use for livestock which leads to antibiotic resistance in bacteria, and monocrops leading to poor nutrients in the soil, some things which can increase output in the short run and lead to disaster in the long run.

Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by flyGuyOnTheSly on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @12:46AM (#15129785)
>>a result of herbicide overuse. By spraying so much glyphosate, farmers inadvertently caused weeds to evolve resistant traits more quickly.

That is my main concern, personally.

Why fight nature? It's futile. You can't win in the long run.

What are farmers going to do when dicamba stops working? Or it's offspring?

Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by jamesrcole on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @03:11AM (#15130224)
> Why fight nature? It's futile. You can't win in the long run.

What does that even really mean? Are modern childbirth techniques "fighting nature"? What about using soap? I challenge anyone to come up with a meaningful notion of "fighting nature".

Is it futile? Why? What's the justification for that claim?

Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by flyGuyOnTheSly on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @10:32PM (#15137765)
>What does that even really mean?

My apologies, I should have specified.

By "fighting nature" I was referring to creating the worlds most powerful herbicide (that will become powerless in a few years because nature will force it to).

I was referring to spending hundreds of millions of dollars fighting the Asian Flying Carp species that literally are decimating our waterways in terms of enjoyment.

Stuff like that.

Everybody hates weeds, and nobody likes getting their neck broken when they are on a powerboat racing down the river because a fish flew up and hit them.

But we can't really stop the weeds from growing of the fish from spreading in the long run. So why bother?

It just seems like such a wasted effort.

Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by rhizome on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @02:20AM (#15130051)
It's amazing that we as humans haven't developed a built-in argument against suppression-resistance technologies. After at least a couple of decades of race conditions in antibiotics, now we're importing it to agriculture. It has to be seen as a dead end. A profitable dead end, but a dead end nonetheless.
Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by gvd on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @12:27AM (#15129725)
But they might be pushing the actual cost of growing that food into the future.
Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by manicdee on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @12:36AM (#15129758)
About 300 years of rock phosphate left at current rates of comsumption. We need to start farming phophates in the sea, where all our water soluble nutrients eventually end up.
Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by gambiting on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @05:03AM (#15130689)
Where does the phosphate go after it's used? Surely it doesn't disappear from the environment?
Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by Spooky23 on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @08:27AM (#15131501)
In the US, much of it washes down into the Mississippi and Gulf of Mexico, where it kills the gulf and feeds algae.
Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by ajross on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @12:00PM (#15133250)
Phosphates are water-soluble, they enter the hydrology wherever it goes, which means that long term they end up in the ocean.

But this isn't quite the big deal that it's made out to be. Mineral phosphorous mining is cheaper than other sources, but phosphate isn't rare or going away. It's literally present in all biomass by definition: phosphate groups are the bonds that tie the links together in RNA and DNA, and it can be extracted from biomass trivially (i.e. composting, or even incineration), albeit at somewhat higher cost. Given that agricultural output is currently almost free, that's hardly going to break society.

Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by cucuuc on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @06:12AM (#15130942)
That's his point: It ends up at the sea. We'll have to spend muchblarger amounts of energy to recover a diluted resource.
Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by flyGuyOnTheSly on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @01:30AM (#15129905)
I think gvd was referring to herbicide resistance rather than fertilizer stocks.
Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by gumballhead on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @11:00AM (#15132649)
Commoditization and industrialization is also just not good for farmers. Why are we growing all this corn? No one seems to want it.

Farmers can't make money when corn is down at $3.50 a bushel (futures). And local prices are much, much lower because the elevators are full from back to back record crops. We have a $.60 basis in my area, which is historically very high.

What's good for farming is no longer good for farmers. Their best recent year was 2012, a 100 year drought when corn prices went north of $8. We had 120bu corn in 2012, which is $960/ac revenue. This year even at 200bu corn we'd be looking at about $600/ac revenue. Good luck with that. You're just farming for insurance payments at that point.

And I forgot to mention that about 40% of all corn use goes to gas tanks as ethanol (the rest is about 40% livestock feed and 15% exports). So even with that demand source, which is itself a dumb idea, we can't clear the market at a price farmers can live on.

Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by flyGuyOnTheSly on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @12:48AM (#15129791)
>Modern techniques grow more food, more cheaply, with lower economic footprint, less land used per output, less energy spent per calorie, etc...

Right now, that is true.

But what happens when Dicamba stops working?

What happens when the next Dicamba stops working?

We will be forced to return to the old ways of farming eventually whether we like it or not.

And by old ways I'm talking about polyculture and basically just growing what's right for your region.

Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by lqdc13 on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @02:54AM (#15130166)
> Right now that is true

It isn't though.

> lower economic footprint, less land used per output, less energy spent per calorie

Small farms are actually a lot more efficient than large farms in everything but man-hours.

Think about it like this: If you had a 10 meters by 10 meters garden vs someone who had a 1km x 1km field. You would make sure every square cm in your garden is irrigated properly, that no insects are munching on your plants and each plant has the right amount of space and correct soil treatment for maximum yield. On a large farm, you cannot possibly do that. The total yield is a lot higher but the plants are not as healthy and are not living under optimal conditions.

Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by aaron695 on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @03:00AM (#15130193)
We are not far off robots that can for instance weed fields.

We will do what we always do and adapt and continue to make the world a better place.

The past is an awful awful place why would you ever want to go back there.

Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by adrianN on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @02:13AM (#15130028)
Eventually we'll be good enough at genetic engineering to outpace evolutionary adaptions. We can't really go back to "The Old Ways". We wouldn't be able to feed everybody.
Re:A backlash against the herbicide Dicamba by pfisch on Wednesday August 30, 2017 @02:42AM (#15130124)
If that happens it will be the worst disaster in the history of humanity. Like 20x worse than Mao's great leap forward.