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Re:The Next Moon Landing Is Near, Thanks to Pioneering Engin... by olivaw_daneel on Saturday August 12, 2017 @11:28PM (#15001335)
The moon is certainly more accessible, but the purpose of having a base there is more less clear from both a practical and a scientific perspective.

The scientific/engineering (and cultural/sociological) gains from a human return to the moon would be tiny compared to a Mars mission, and any funding (think tens of billions) allocated to such a mission will necessarily push a Mars mission back by a decade or more.

First, the science -- while the robotic mission to Mars have yielded many insights about the early history and present state of the planet, a human geologist could do more in a day or two than all of the rovers have done thus far. A small group of human scientists could completely rewrite the textbooks in a short stay on Mars. Can the same be said about a moon mission?

Second, living on the moon would be much more difficult (temperatures, micrometeorites, lack of ISRU, etc. etc.), and involve very different challenges than living on Mars. Most of what we learn on the moon will simply not translate to Mars--it will certainly not be a lot easier to live on Mars once a moon base is established, we would nearly be starting from scratch.

This is a perennial debate in the human spaceflight program, and I understand the desire to do something given decades of inaction. However, we must be honest about what we stand to lose if we shift our focus to a return to the moon. There is precious little gain from both a science and engineering perspective.

Re:The Next Moon Landing Is Near, Thanks to Pioneering Engin... by WalterBright on Sunday August 13, 2017 @12:15AM (#15001442)
The purpose of being on the moon is having it as a massive manufacturing place for building things to move outward in the solar system. Lifting things out of the earth's gravity well is just too expensive.

Compare the size of the Saturn 5 rocket to get to the moon with the size of the rocket needed to come back.

I do not see the challenges of building a habitat on the moon that much different from Mars. You have (essentially) zero atmosphere, lots of radiation, the same problems with building a pressure dome, etc.

Landing men on Mars is certainly romantic, but it will be so expensive and time consuming that it cannot have much practical value.

Re:The Next Moon Landing Is Near, Thanks to Pioneering Engin... by olivaw_daneel on Sunday August 13, 2017 @12:28AM (#15001483)
The purpose of being on the moon is having it as a massive manufacturing place for building things to move outward in the solar system. Lifting things out of the earth's gravity well is just too expensive.

The cost of shipping factories (and many raw materials) in pieces from the Earth to the Moon and then assembling them there should certainly outweigh just building and launching from Earth, especially as private companies perfect reusable rockets.

I do not see the challenges of building a habitat on the moon that much different from Mars. You have (essentially) zero atmosphere, lots of radiation, the same problems with building a pressure dome, etc.

Beyond just the gravity difference and the scarcity of any resources for in-situ utilization on the Moon, temperatures will vary from <-100 degrees at night to > 100 degrees (celcius) during the day. This is a vastly different regime than Mars, which has a much more temperate day-night gradient.

Landing men on Mars is certainly romantic, but it will be so expensive and time consuming that it cannot have much practical value.

It will be both expensive and time-consuming, but just imagine the science a few geologists could do on Mars, and what they will reveal about not just the red planet but also about our own.

Re:The Next Moon Landing Is Near, Thanks to Pioneering Engin... by WalterBright on Sunday August 13, 2017 @12:32AM (#15001497)
> scarcity of any resources

All we know about that is from a few bags of rocks. Nobody knows what the real situation is there, not even close. It might be like the proverbial caveman freezing to death sitting on a coal deposit.

Re:The Next Moon Landing Is Near, Thanks to Pioneering Engin... by gus_massa on Sunday August 13, 2017 @11:17AM (#15003234)
There are also a lot of information get by various type of spectrometers in satellites. For example, you can read: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lunar_Prospector#Scientific_ex...

> The Lunar Prospector GRS produced the first global measurements of gamma-ray spectra from the lunar surface, from which are derived the first "direct" measurements of the chemical composition for the entire lunar surface. This data effectively maps the distribution of various important elements across the Moon. For example, the Lunar Prospector GRS has identified several regions with high iron concentrations.

Re:The Next Moon Landing Is Near, Thanks to Pioneering Engin... by WalterBright on Sunday August 13, 2017 @03:19PM (#15004426)
That says nothing at all about what is under the topsoil.
Re:The Next Moon Landing Is Near, Thanks to Pioneering Engin... by WalterBright on Sunday August 13, 2017 @12:35AM (#15001506)
> shipping factories

The idea is to ship the factories that build the factories that build the factories that build the factories that can build large ships in large quantities.

Re:The Next Moon Landing Is Near, Thanks to Pioneering Engin... by olivaw_daneel on Sunday August 13, 2017 @12:44AM (#15001537)
If only life were an RTS game :)

If we are talking about taking advantage of resources not available on Earth, the untold riches of the Asteroid Belt are eminently more accessible from Mars.

Re:The Next Moon Landing Is Near, Thanks to Pioneering Engin... by wiz21c on Sunday August 13, 2017 @03:19AM (#15001906)
What resources are we missing on earth ? I mean resources that we miss because they're in too low quantities for useful applications (not resources that are scarce and useless or resources whose scarcity is the result of politics)
Re:The Next Moon Landing Is Near, Thanks to Pioneering Engin... by ginko on Sunday August 13, 2017 @06:52AM (#15002408)
One element I can think of would be platinum. It's high price is one of the reasons why fuel cells aren't cost effective at the moment.
Re:The Next Moon Landing Is Near, Thanks to Pioneering Engin... by jacobush on Sunday August 13, 2017 @07:13AM (#15002454)
Gold for radiation shielding?
Re:The Next Moon Landing Is Near, Thanks to Pioneering Engin... by WalterBright on Sunday August 13, 2017 @12:48AM (#15001557)
Asteroids present other major difficulties, such as being much, much farther away, and having no gravity.
Re:The Next Moon Landing Is Near, Thanks to Pioneering Engin... by airza on Sunday August 13, 2017 @05:07AM (#15002182)
I'm not sure how true that is, gravity wells being what they are
Re:The Next Moon Landing Is Near, Thanks to Pioneering Engin... by avian on Sunday August 13, 2017 @01:57AM (#15001723)
> Compare the size of the Saturn 5 rocket to get to the moon with the size of the rocket needed to come back.

That is not fair comparisson. Saturn V needed to also lift the rocket that came back.

Re:The Next Moon Landing Is Near, Thanks to Pioneering Engin... by mkl on Sunday August 13, 2017 @02:45AM (#15001820)
So did the rocket that came back. Quite a bit of mass did get left behind though.
Re:The Next Moon Landing Is Near, Thanks to Pioneering Engin... by WOOKIE_pizza on Saturday August 12, 2017 @11:48PM (#15001378)
Good points on both sides of the debate. Why not do both? Imagine the "we" is really 7.4 billion people (~195 countries) so it would seem that surely we could support each others' efforts to reach both destinations. What an achievement for humanity that would be!
Re:The Next Moon Landing Is Near, Thanks to Pioneering Engin... by olivaw_daneel on Saturday August 12, 2017 @11:58PM (#15001405)
It's a nice sentiment, but if you pool all the money NASA devote to human spaceflight there's barely enough to maintain R&D for a Mars mission with landing in the next 15-20 years, any split in funding between Mars and a manned Moon program, you're seeing a Mars landing easily past 2050.

It's really a zero-sum game, unfortunately.

Re:The Next Moon Landing Is Near, Thanks to Pioneering Engin... by irishasaurus on Sunday August 13, 2017 @12:13AM (#15001439)
I believe WOOKIE_pizza was referencing an international effort.