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Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by tabeth on Thursday January 12, 2017 @11:10AM (#13383350)
Has there been any attempt to orchestrate an income based repayment program? This could be implemented in a variety of ways, the most popular of which is taking a percentage of your income after graduating.

Some advantages I can think of:

1. Educational quality is more tied to student success.

2. The burden of "payment" is shifted from the student to the school, as the school now must make sure their students are capable of getting good jobs if they want to be paid themselves.

3. Education and corporate "curricula" are more coupled. This could also be a disadvantage, depending on how you think about it.

Some diadvantages:

1. This hurts liberal arts, where the value is more opaque.

2. Research based, or generally any profession that's intellectually difficult, but pays low will be discouraged, implicitly through this.

3. Makes the point of education a bit more professional and practical, which may have longer term effects (people who think outside of the box generally aren't the ones who are paid well, initially).

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by ChuckMcM on Thursday January 12, 2017 @03:04PM (#13385614)
At one level all loans are "income based repayment programs" as they depend on income of the recipient to repay. But I don't think it is the "program" that is the problem.

If you step back and take in the wider view, you can see there is a business model for enslaving people without enough money. It works like this, you offer to give them money for something they want, even though they can't really afford it, and then you can add penalties and interest to garnish their future income until they die.

This is the business model of payday loans, you offer a loan until pay day, but they never have enough money so you "roll over" the loan and you're always owed interest. You create a situation where not only will the person never be able to pay you back you can milk them for anywhere from 5 - 50% of any money they manage to acquire. You have effectively enslaved them.

That was the same model used in the sub-prime mortgage crisis except there are two problems with sub-prime mortgages, one was they are usually no-recourse so you can just hand over the keys to the house and "pay them off" and they are dischargable in bankruptcy while the primary residence is protected.

So these leeches have turned to student "loans." Not dischargable in bankruptcy, you pay until you die. Check. At risk population that feels they have to have a college degree? Check. A set of 'for profit' schools willing to set aside any sort of moral principle so that they can transfer money to themselves? Check.

The predatory lenders stepped right into that ideal environment and have been convincing people left and right that things will be so much better and all they need is "education" and its easily within reach because they can "finance it."

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by toomuchtodo on Thursday January 12, 2017 @03:34PM (#13385843)
Great comment Chuck! Just wanted to add, as someone who is an avid armchair debt/creditor law junkie, that private student loans can not garnish/attach to social security, but federal loans can.

That's a very important distinction, because in a lot of states, social security and other government support benefits are verboten from garnishment. The only two federal garnishments against social security that can occur are for federal taxes, and federal student loans.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by ChuckMcM on Thursday January 12, 2017 @04:26PM (#13386257)
Gawd, that is just plain evil. Loan grandma $2,500 to go to my MOOC class, suck $3,000 back out of her SSI.
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by RVuRnvbM2e on Thursday January 12, 2017 @04:01PM (#13386068)
Yes. Australia has had this for a long time. The rates last FY were:

  Below $54,126 	Nil
  $54,126–$60,292 	4%
  $60,293–$66,456 	4.5%
  $66,457–$69,949 	5%
  $69,950–$75,190 	5.5%
  $75,191–$81,432 	6%
  $81,433 - $85,718 	6.5%
  $85,719–$94,331 	7%
  $94,332–$100,519 	7.5%
  $100,520 and above 	8%
  
The progressive structure helps address the disadvantages, I think. Also debt has no interest, but it's indexed to CPI.
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by NeutronBoy on Friday January 13, 2017 @01:04AM (#13388774)
Just a note that it's not actually progressive brackets - e.g. if you earn $90,000, you pay 7% of the $90,000, not just the portion over $85,719. It's not like the rest of the tax brackets which actually are progressive.

But yes, I really like the Australian system. The fact that's its integrated with the tax system means there's no other monthly payments to worry about, it sorts itself out at the end of the financial year.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by lettergram on Thursday January 12, 2017 @11:42AM (#13383698)
Currently, I use part of my student loan payments to shield against higher taxes. AKA I can write off the interest payments on my tax return. I can then use the money I write off to invest in the stock market, buy groceries, etc. This is better for the economy long term, but also for myself. That's why there have been discussions around the topic, but not much action in the U.S.

Here are some issues it would have caused:

(a) Reduced my chances of getting an education at a top rate university (because I would be considered "at risk" for not succeeding, at least on paper). So I would have ended up at a less prestigious school, made less money, etc.

(b) If I had say 10% of my income siphoned off to a private company (which is a scary thought), I wouldn't have the opportunity to choose how to spend my money. For example, I have chosen to skip paying a loan payment to pay rent. I called and asked if this was alright, they told me it was fine. It kept me from being homeless for a month while I handled a cashflow issue.

(c) Because of the tax benefits, I have zero incentive to pay off my loan quicker. If 10% of my income went to some loan agency I'd pay it off quicker than I am now, and thus have less interest to write off. Further, I make money quicker than I lose it due to loan interest on the stock market, so I can actually pay back my loan faster by investing, then paying down the loan. This also helps spur the economy along, and at scale this is a massive reason it's not in anyone's best interest to implement a plan like this.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by purplecpa on Thursday January 12, 2017 @12:04PM (#13383938)
But why spend a dollar to save ten cents? If you paid off your loans quicker the savings in interest will far exceed the savings in tax deductions and depending on your rate of return in the market could even trump those gains.
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by dublinben on Thursday January 12, 2017 @12:18PM (#13384092)
If your loans are only at 3.5%, but you can earn 7% on the stock market, you're throwing money away by paying over your minimums.
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by JumpCrisscross on Thursday January 12, 2017 @12:25PM (#13384173)
> loans are only at 3.5%, but you can earn 7% on the stock market

This isn't prudent asset-liability matching. If your loan is 3.5% and you can find investment-grade bonds that (a) yield more and (b) compensate you, in the spread, for your risk and hassle, then that might work.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by sirakov on Thursday January 12, 2017 @03:36PM (#13385881)
These comments are proof we've been in a bull market far too long
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by willholloway on Thursday January 12, 2017 @04:51PM (#13386452)
Agreed, and a completely federal reserve fueled one at that.

I remember how, with great fanfare, DOW 10,000 was ushered in. I was in 8th grade and it was 1998 or 1999, I remember how ten years later the DOW hit about 6,000.

We do not know how capitalism will respond to competent robotics and AI, and a population bust.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by lettergram on Thursday January 12, 2017 @01:15PM (#13384628)
Exactly right!

My highest loan is 10% interest (private loan), average between all of them is 5.2%. My annual return on the stock market is always well above 10% YoY... sooo it's basically never worth it.

Which is my point, the whole "we'll make you an indentured servant until you pay us back", seems stupid.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by mywittyname on Thursday January 12, 2017 @03:35PM (#13385853)
What happens when another 1999 happens with three straight years of 20-30% declines? Or a 2008 where there's a nearly 40% decline? It takes several years of double digit gains to recover from these declines, and both of those happened within a decade (and we are not even a decade out from 2008).

Point is, investing v. paying off debt is not a simple matter of average expected growth compared to interest paid on loans. Investments often lose large portions of their value in the short-term while paying off debt is always a guaranteed return. So, for short loans (<15 years), it's probably not wise to use average expected return, instead use a wide range of +15%pa and -30%pa.

I'd argue the fact that you've beaten the average expected yearly return for so long suggests that a correction is imminent and paying off debt has a better expected return than investing. This goes doubly because so many people have forgotten the lessons taught by past recessions and believe that 10%+ annual returns are the norm.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by lettergram on Thursday January 12, 2017 @06:37PM (#13387156)
> I'd argue the fact that you've beaten the average expected yearly return for so long suggests that a correction is imminent and paying off debt has a better expected return than investing.

I wont even disagree, but my point is that it should be an option to do, versus money just being taken out of my pay check to pay a loan.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by bogomipz on Thursday January 12, 2017 @03:40PM (#13385904)
>"My annual return on the stock market is always well above 10% YoY"

That would make you one of world's most elite money managers. I'm sorry but that sounds to good to be true. Bernie Madoff was getting his clients 10% year over year and that turned out to be too good to be true as well.

Could you share some details on this investment strategy you have?

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by lettergram on Thursday January 12, 2017 @06:50PM (#13387250)
First, I hold all my investments for a year then dump them (occasionally, I'll rebalance before a year). I've been doing this for 5 years, averaging 35% returns. I said 10% a year, because I'm assuming one down year I will "lose" significantly.

I always do this in March, after my tax return, because that's my "play money". All the money I made from the prior years investments + tax return I usually dump into other investments that hold up over time i.e. gold, real estate, etc. or invest in my business.

Here's this years, which has been unusually good:

http://imgur.com/a/j8YWR

I pick the high movers using a method I'm not going to describe at the moment. However, I am making a website which will help others invest as I do. It'll be a paid service, but I'm not going to charge outrageously. You can follow on my blog, I plan to release it sometime in late spring:

http://austingwalters.com/

Feel free to follow me, and I'll send out an update when I'm ready to release the stuff.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by bogomipz on Thursday January 12, 2017 @08:48PM (#13387787)
You mentioned earlier:

>"I use part of my student loan payments to shield against higher taxes. AKA I can write off the interest payments on my tax return."

and then:

>"All the money I made from the prior years investments + tax return I usually dump into other investments that hold up over time i.e. gold, real estate"

I am sorry but that kind of sounds like you are gaming the system. I don't think the intention of the student loan tax deduction was to allow people to buy gold and real estate but rather to help people to make ends meet. You don't actually need that deduction it sounds like.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by toomuchtodo on Thursday January 12, 2017 @10:51PM (#13388286)
> I am sorry but that kind of sounds like you are gaming the system.

Story time.

A side hustle I'm working on is creating a site that matches investors with solar projects. Due to how solar tax incentives are structured, if I can properly estimate your tax liability, I can create a partnership vehicle where instead of your tax liability going to the US federal government, its all invested in solar generation projects.

You still have to pay taxes, but because of a legislative and tax code hack, you can fund renewable energy deployment instead of federal tax receipts.

This is gaming the system, but I'd rather my money go to clean energy and not bombing innocent brown people and another carrier group. Economics 101 is incentives matter. If you set a system up, be prepared for people to poke at it to find its weaknesses.

EDIT: @bogomipz

Regarding your comment:

"So that Federal Government was OK when it came to you getting a student loan for an education but it's somehow not OK when it comes to paying your fair share to fund it? I don't like paying taxes as much as the next guy but I do it and I understand why I need to."

I'm a high school dropout, and the services I care about (Social Security and Medicare) are funded out of my payroll taxes, which I'm fine with (I've paid $73k into Social Security, and $21k into Medicare, not including the exact matches my employers have paid in). I pay for the things that should be paid for (social services), and avoid paying for things that are unjust (the us military).

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by bogomipz on Thursday January 12, 2017 @11:27PM (#13388381)
>"if I can properly estimate your tax liability, I can create a partnership vehicle where instead of your tax liability going to the US federal government,"

So that Federal Government was OK when it came to you getting a student loan for an education but it's somehow not OK when it comes to paying your fair share to fund it?

I don't like paying taxes as much as the next guy but I do it and I understand why I need to.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by lettergram on Thursday January 12, 2017 @09:39PM (#13388001)
You are on hacker news, I'm pretty sure hacking the system is part of what this site is about
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by aianus on Thursday January 12, 2017 @02:38PM (#13385363)
Can't you refinance the 10% one? My unsecured personal line of credit that's fully dischargeable in bankruptcy only charges 6%. 10% is a massive ripoff.

I'm only a couple of years out of school so don't think I'm rich or own property or anything.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by oculusthrift on Thursday January 12, 2017 @01:20PM (#13384669)
averaging 10 pct YoY? For how long? Goldman sachs might want to hire you.
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by planteen on Thursday January 12, 2017 @01:36PM (#13384849)
Looking at Dow returns since 1975, you have about a 40% chance any given year of getting < 5% return.
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by hahla on Thursday January 12, 2017 @12:07PM (#13383971)
Student loan interest is an adjustment ("deduction") to gross income not a credit. 2016 - $2,500 for the year max deduction, so based on your tax rate you can compute how much your real "savings" are. I wouldn't necessarily think of this as a shield against higher taxes.. the amount is marginal based on the tax bracket your in.
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by planteen on Thursday January 12, 2017 @01:22PM (#13384696)
I thought the same thing. My strategy was just to pay down loans as quickly as possible before putting money in stocks outside of retirement accounts. A flat year in the market doesn't make the OP's strategy worth it, not to mention a decline. Even in a really good year, $2500 isn't a huge amount to offset gains.
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by lettergram on Thursday January 12, 2017 @01:17PM (#13384655)
Totally agree $2500 isn't much, but when you couple it with the fact I make more money on my investments than I do from paying down my loan (plus interest), it would actually cost me a lot more potential earnings paying down my loan.
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by mgkimsal on Thursday January 12, 2017 @12:06PM (#13383960)
> I wouldn't have the opportunity to choose how to spend my money

But you did have a choice. You spent it before you had it, by borrowing from someone else. That was your choice.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by richthegeek on Thursday January 12, 2017 @11:18AM (#13383426)
This system, in a way, exists in the UK. We have a single (govt sponsored) source of student loans and repayment is taken out of paychecks automatically. In the pre-2012 scheme it's 9% of everything over £20k (roughly), where the median salary outside of London is ~£25k.

For me, my student loans were about £20k overall (including living costs) and I'm paying back about £2.5k/year from it. Most of my friends are never going to pay it back.

However, it's not really put much burden on universities as they get the money immediately and then the losses from non-repayment are absorbed by the government.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by pricechild on Thursday January 12, 2017 @11:35AM (#13383616)
> Most of my friends are never going to pay it back.

It scares me that people are taking on these loans with that assumption, spurred on by people like Martin Lewis.

The government has changed the rules before... they may change them again.

To be fair to Mr Lewis, he apparently put his money where his mouth is and engaged lawyers to challenge the recent changes, but I haven't heard of any results... http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/borrowing... Does anyone know if it was just posturing for the press at the time, hoping we'd forget about it? Was there ever a ruling or result?

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by iaskwhy on Thursday January 12, 2017 @11:38AM (#13383651)
What happens if you take a loan to study but can't pay it back? I'm thinking it makes it impossible to eventually get any other credit like a mortgage?
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by gambiting on Thursday January 12, 2017 @12:14PM (#13384038)
It doesn't work like a normal loan. So if you make below 20k a year, then you don't pay anything. But you are not "missing" payments or anything like that, it's just that you make less than 20k, so literally nothing is due. If the balance after 40 years(or whatever it is) is still not zero, then the remainder is forgiven by the government. Paying off the student loan has no effect on your credit score as it doesn't even show on credit checks.

My student loan for getting a BSc and MSc in Computer Science at one of the top universities in the UK is about ~12k total. But it's reassuring to know that if I lost my job tomorrow, I wouldn't have any payments to make until I found another job.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by mjevans on Monday January 23, 2017 @04:05PM (#13466019)
I suppose the economic theory here is that they enriched the population and hopefully kept someone in a line of employment that's beneficial to society instead of nose-diving in to drugs, crime, or some other 'drain on society'?
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by kelnage on Thursday January 12, 2017 @11:40AM (#13383666)
Nothing - under the current rules the Government writes off the debt after a number of years (either when you turn 65, after 25, 30 or 35 years, depending on when you got the loan and where in the UK you went to Uni). Also, having a student loan has little to no effect on obtaining bank loans or mortgages.
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by pricechild on Thursday January 12, 2017 @11:42AM (#13383702)
> if you started higher education between 1998 and 2011 your "post-98"-type of loan does not show up on credit reference agencies.

https://www.theguardian.com/money/2012/sep/24/student-loan-a...

(I don't believe it's changed since)

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by ProAm on Thursday January 12, 2017 @11:58AM (#13383868)
> Has there been any attempt to orchestrate an income based repayment program?

This wouldnt prevent students from going after useless degrees like they do today.

> 2. The burden of "payment" is shifted from the student to the school, as the school now must make sure their students are capable of getting good jobs if they want to be paid themselves.

It's usually not the schools loaning the money, they don't care what you do as long as you pay tuition, its banks and the federal government that loan the money, and they don't care because interest keeps accruing on your loan and you cant get rid of it.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by alistairSH on Thursday January 12, 2017 @12:56PM (#13384465)
they don't care because interest keeps accruing on your loan and you cant get rid of it.

I often wonder if the easy answer is to make student-loan debt dischargeable on bankruptcy. Yes, some banks would stop making the loans. But, would they all? I have to assume there would still be a market for student loans.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by pmiller2 on Thursday January 12, 2017 @01:01PM (#13384515)
Rates would need to skyrocket to compensate.
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by aianus on Thursday January 12, 2017 @02:40PM (#13385389)
Realistically the middle class would have their parents co-sign and poor people just wouldn't be able to go to school anymore. Not a great idea.
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by thmsths on Thursday January 12, 2017 @08:57PM (#13387829)
This is basically the french system, the bank does not even look at your credit history/revenue stream if your parents makes a decent amount of money and cosign, however getting a loan without a cosigner is almost impossible.
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by Meegul on Thursday January 12, 2017 @11:38AM (#13383655)
My school, Purdue University, has been making a big push towards IBR. The biggest issue with it I can see, is that, as far as I can tell, there's no cap on the money collected. That is to say, if they take 15% of your income, and you end up making lots of money, they will continue collecting their share past the actual cost of college. It honestly makes me feel like they see me as an indentured servant, not a student.
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by whorleater on Thursday January 12, 2017 @11:53AM (#13383831)
On the other hand, if the cost of a college is "flexible" as in a % of your income, doesn't it just end up in a situation in which higher-paid graduates subsidize the cost of college for lower-paid graduates?
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by Meegul on Thursday January 12, 2017 @12:12PM (#13384006)
I believe that's the entire idea of it. That and then the college could selectively decide how many majors of a certain type they need, financially speaking. A college will then be punished financially for pushing out tons of gender studies grads rather than engineers.
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by mywittyname on Thursday January 12, 2017 @03:41PM (#13385913)
Or water down their engineering program in order to push out more graduates.
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by thmsths on Thursday January 12, 2017 @09:05PM (#13387868)
But since education is a market this would lower the reputation of the college thus attracting less candidates and if they lower the requirements too much they may even loose their accreditations.
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by pricechild on Thursday January 12, 2017 @11:50AM (#13383789)
Surely this can't be true?

It isn't because the minimum repayments are so low they never come close to the large interested accrued?

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by Meegul on Thursday January 12, 2017 @12:10PM (#13383995)
Here's some more reading on it: https://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/09/business/dealbook/getting...

Mitch Daniels, the president of Purdue, has been pushing for this as a sort of solution to student loans, but it just ends up with the higher-income students subsidizing the education of the lower-income students, where 'income' refers to post-graduation job income.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by dragonwriter on Thursday January 12, 2017 @05:01PM (#13386542)
> Mitch Daniels, the president of Purdue, has been pushing for this as a sort of solution to student loans, but it just ends up with the higher-income students subsidizing the education of the lower-income students, where 'income' refers to post-graduation job income.

You know what else does that? Having government guaranteed loans in the first place.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by pmiller2 on Thursday January 12, 2017 @12:59PM (#13384492)
You are free to choose a level repayment plan if it would be a lower monthly amount than IBR. I do exactly that.
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by dragonwriter on Thursday January 12, 2017 @01:11PM (#13384594)
> Has there been any attempt to orchestrate an income based repayment program?

Such an option has been available for many years, though the main loan servicer has been accused of directing people into temporary deferments instead.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/state-prosecutors-navien...

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by closeparen on Thursday January 12, 2017 @05:12PM (#13386635)
> Has there been any attempt to orchestrate an income based repayment program?

Yes, this is available for most federal student loan programs today.

[0] https://studentaid.ed.gov/sa/repay-loans/understand/plans/in...

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by matheweis on Thursday January 12, 2017 @11:19AM (#13383433)
IBR already exists in the US in the sense that your payments can be capped at a percentage of your income.

Unfortunately interest keeps doing its thing so many people will see their loan amounts increase once on IBR.

This leaves their only likely out as forgiveness by making 120 payments and working for a gov/education institution for 10 years.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by bradleyjg on Thursday January 12, 2017 @11:23AM (#13383477)
There's a second out of forgiveness after 240 payments, though last I check it is unclear exactly what the tax consequences are for that type of forgiveness (public service forgiveness does not incur a tax liability).
Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by rhino369 on Thursday January 12, 2017 @11:40AM (#13383672)
>it is unclear exactly what the tax consequences are for that type of forgiveness

It's treated as taxable income unless you are insolvent, which you might be if you owe a lot of money.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by Kalium on Thursday January 12, 2017 @07:10PM (#13387353)
> Has there been any attempt to orchestrate an income based repayment program? This could be implemented in a variety of ways, the most popular of which is taking a percentage of your income after graduating.

Yes. In the US, this was reasonably common before student loans.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by bsder on Thursday January 12, 2017 @04:13PM (#13386172)
> Has there been any attempt to orchestrate an income based repayment program?

Yes, it's called filing bankruptcy, and they removed the ability for people to do that for student loans.

Re:The Number of Older Student Loan Borrowers Is Rising by peter303 on Thursday January 12, 2017 @04:30PM (#13386289)
Both Bush and Obama offered income capped programs. Obama revision was more generous. I live they only apply to government loans, not private.