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A comment on How (not) to forecast an election: Analysis via a hierarchical Bayesian model. Parent comment

Re:How (not) to forecast an election: Analysis via a hierarc... by dominotw on Sunday November 27, 2016 @12:38PM (#13050277)
Or you know they are simply polling people who fit their agenda

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2016/forecast/president

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Re:How (not) to forecast an election: Analysis via a hierarc... by elsherbini on Sunday November 27, 2016 @12:53PM (#13050339)
The polls Huffington Post was using weren't conducted by them [1]. They were using the same polls everyone else had access to. Their model was probably worse than 538's though.

[1]http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-general-el...

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Re:How (not) to forecast an election: Analysis via a hierarc... by dominotw on Sunday November 27, 2016 @01:03PM (#13050396)
>Their model was probably worse than 538's though.

why would that be, though?

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