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Re:China to begin two-child policy by laichzeit0 on Thursday October 29, 2015 @07:30AM (#10470264)
You mean like the problem of telling people they can't just drive cars or own firearms and need to meet some competence criteria first, i.e. licensing?

If so, I totally support the idea of licensing human breeding.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by kirsebaer on Thursday October 29, 2015 @07:53AM (#10470340)
Are you going to force women to abort "unlicensed" children? Force women to have birth control implants?

Up until the 1990s in Spain, many thousands of children were systematically stolen from political activists and others with the wrong politics or wrong lifestyle. Parents were told that their newborn had died. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-15335899

Re:China to begin two-child policy by adrianN on Thursday October 29, 2015 @07:59AM (#10470367)
A less severe form would be financial incentives for licensed parents. You're still free to have children if you want, but you're only supported by the state if you got a license. Pair this with free birth control implants and abortions for everyone who wants them and you get most of the effect without the use of force. You could even pay men to get a vasectomy.
Re:China to begin two-child policy by kalleboo on Thursday October 29, 2015 @09:12AM (#10470675)
> You're still free to have children if you want, but you're only supported by the state if you got a license

This will only mean the most vulnerable (who need the most support) will be unsupported. You're creating an underclass.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by adrianN on Thursday October 29, 2015 @09:15AM (#10470701)
If only certain people are encouraged to have children, you automatically have an underclass, no matter how it's implemented. I think that providing free (or more incentivized) birth control would lead to very few cases of unwanted children. IUDs and vasectomies are simple and effective.
Re:China to begin two-child policy by kalleboo on Thursday October 29, 2015 @09:23AM (#10470751)
> I think that providing free (or more incentivized) birth control would lead to very few cases of unwanted children.

You'd be surprised

Re:China to begin two-child policy by adrianN on Thursday October 29, 2015 @09:30AM (#10470808)
I don't have data at hand, so I can't contradict you with evidence, but you could also provide some numbers with your claims. I know of Project Prevention [1], which pays drug addicts for long-term birth control. The Wikipedia article doesn't provide data on effectiveness, but I guess they'd stop handing out money if it didn't work.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Prevention

Re:China to begin two-child policy by nsgi on Thursday October 29, 2015 @10:22AM (#10471158)
Effective enough to be worth the cost != effective enough to eliminate unwanted children
Re:China to begin two-child policy by ksenzee on Thursday October 29, 2015 @12:17PM (#10472189)
"You're still free to have children if you want, but you're only supported by the state if you got a license."

The traditional "license" to have children used to be marriage, and children born without such a license were called illegitimate - i.e. outside the law. It was an unjust system that hurt a lot of innocent children, and we've moved away from it for a reason.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by humanrebar on Thursday October 29, 2015 @03:23PM (#10473592)
> It was an unjust system that hurt a lot of innocent children

If the current system (where marriage and procreation are notionally separate) were found to hurt a lot of innocent children, would we call our system unjust and abandon it?

I suspect not. The current culture around marriage and parenting didn't evolve from pragmatism as much as (various takes on) ethics, morality, and self-determinism.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by mahyarm on Thursday October 29, 2015 @02:53PM (#10473365)
I would just let teenage children get free RISUG / hormonal implants and let them remove them or keep renewing them for free.

That alone will prevent many unplanned and unwanted babies in a population without any force, political, eugenics or racist overtones.

I don't know the long term effects of these implants so it's a tentative idea.

[deleted]
Re:China to begin two-child policy by throwaway_789 on Thursday October 29, 2015 @09:05AM (#10470627)
That would be eugenics. The how-to gusto and historical tone-deafness of three commenters in this chain are flabbergasting.
Re:China to begin two-child policy by bigfudge on Thursday October 29, 2015 @09:20AM (#10470736)
You're being down voted, but I don't know why. The tone of the debate is surprising to me too.
Re:China to begin two-child policy by TeMPOraL on Thursday October 29, 2015 @06:47PM (#10474954)
Maybe because "it's eugenics, and eugenics is bad, just look at the history!" appeal to 'historic tone-deafness' is not a valid argument.

Yes, Nazi Germany did some shitty stuff for ideological reasons and tarnished the "eugenics" label, but it doesn't invalidate the basic idea of influencing human reproduction and/or selecting for preferred traits and/or direct DNA interventions.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by AnimalMuppet on Thursday October 29, 2015 @07:51PM (#10475319)
That's like saying "Lenin and Stalin did some bad stuff, but it doesn't invalidate the basic idea of Marxism" (which Marxist True Believers still assert). After seeing too many examples of it working out badly and none at all of it working well, we regard the idea as invalid.

In practice, eugenics seems to move from "some genetic makeups are more fit for the current environment than others, and we should strive for those in future generations" to "some genetic makeups are better than others, and we should strive for those", to "some people are better than others, and we should strive for those", to "some people are better than others, and we should force there to not be so many of the others". There doesn't seem to be any clear point at which you can say, "No, you've gone too far", and explain to the true believer why the step they took is too far. They'll just tell you that it's logically implied by the steps that you are in agreement with.

And if you disagree with this, show me historical examples of eugenics movements that stopped at reasonable places. (I probably need to qualify that with "eugenics movements that had some influence", because if you don't have enough influence to get people to accept step 1, you don't move on to step 2. And that may be begging the question on my part, because Nazi Germany may be the only historical example where the ideas got taken seriously and actually influenced much of anything.)

Unrelated comment: Another danger of eugenics is exposed by my wording of the starting point: "some genetic makeups are more fit for the current environment than others..." That's clearly true. But the current environment is not necessarily the one that future generations will face; leaving them some genetic diversity (even if it creates some disadvantages) may be a net win. Remember sickle cell anemia.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by TeMPOraL on Friday October 30, 2015 @12:12AM (#10476117)
> That's like saying "Lenin and Stalin did some bad stuff, but it doesn't invalidate the basic idea of Marxism" (which Marxist True Believers still assert).

Because it doesn't. I will assert that even though I'm not a Marxist True Believer.

> After seeing too many examples of it working out badly and none at all of it working well, we regard the idea as invalid.

And that's just plain stupidity, which is exactly what I'm complaining about. It's "someone tried that before some time ago and it didn't work, therefore let's label this stupid and throw it away" kind of attitude. The real reason we're ignoring the entire idea is because communist propaganda has lost and US propaganda has won, and it has little to do with actual merits of the idea itself.

You could utter similar dismissals for fire before we mastered it, or for gasoline before we created ICEs, or for powered flight before Wright brothers. What I was asking for is an actual discussion of the idea - pointing out where the idea is wrong, and talking about how can we modify it to avoid its problems while reaping the rewards.

Which fortunately you did in the rest of your comment, so forgive me for the text above, but I really really disagree with the sentiment of your first paragraph.

--

> And if you disagree with this, show me historical examples of eugenics movements that stopped at reasonable places.

I don't think we had many of such examples - the only ones we label "eugenics" happened within the last 100 years, and involved powerful people with ideology doing stupid and harmful things because doing things because of an ideology is generally stupid and harmful.

> Unrelated comment: Another danger of eugenics is exposed by my wording of the starting point: "some genetic makeups are more fit for the current environment than others..." That's clearly true. But the current environment is not necessarily the one that future generations will face; leaving them some genetic diversity (even if it creates some disadvantages) may be a net win. Remember sickle cell anemia.

Yeah, that's a strong point I'm going to agree 100% with. Too strong adaptation to current environment means you'll be really out of luck when the environment changes.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by AnimalMuppet on Friday October 30, 2015 @01:55PM (#10479357)
But if it works out badly in practice (enough times, for some value of "enough"), don't you have a basis for saying that the idea doesn't seem to work in practice, no matter how good it sounds in theory?

You don't want to do that after one failed attempt. You probably don't want to do so after two or three. But after enough attempts, you probably have a basis for saying that, no matter how good the theory sounds, it won't work in practice next time either. And if each time it fails produces large amounts of human suffering, there comes a time to quit trying the same stuff that has worked out badly over and over.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by Dylan16807 on Thursday October 29, 2015 @11:49AM (#10471952)
I don't know what exactly you replied to, but the entire category of 'eugenics' should not be tainted forever.

Heritably curing the cystic fibrosis gene with an injection? That's eugenics.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by throwaway_789 on Thursday October 29, 2015 @11:31PM (#10476021)
No, eugenics really should be tainted forever. Cystic fibrosis can be heritably cured without eugenics, e.g. hopefully within a few decades via gene editing something like CRISPR. Let us not use specious arguments about curing rare Mendelian diseases as a Trojan horse to usher eugenics back into mainstream acceptability.

As a sibling comment notes, eugenics is conventionally understood to be gene selection via people selection, i.e. differential all-or-nothing biological reproduction of whole humans. And it was that sense of the idea I was critiquing.

And it is in that sense of the word that people shooting from the hip with talk of "licensing" the basic human right to reproduce are engaging in shocking historical naivety -- or worse, with facepalm-worthy apologetics like those corners of the commentariat that defend misogyny, slavery and other social aberrations that have rightfully been interred to the dustbin of history.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by Dylan16807 on Friday October 30, 2015 @07:14AM (#10477165)
So you're okay with gene editing. Are you okay with editing a bunch of genes, as long as anyone is allowed to have a child that's still fundamentally a mix between them and their partner?

Because I'm pretty sure that would satisfy 90% of the historical proponents of eugenics, even if you refuse to call it such.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by mahyarm on Thursday October 29, 2015 @02:48PM (#10473324)
That is direct genetic manipulation. Eugenics is, in many people's mind, limiting people's reproduction to breed them like they were pets.

One is unfocused and hard to target genetic manipulation via reproduction incentives and force, the other is a choice for very targeted and obvious things.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by Dylan16807 on Thursday October 29, 2015 @03:50PM (#10473782)
It's all a blurry mess. Choosing who has children vs. financial incentives for who has children vs. paying for "high quality" sperm donors.
Re:China to begin two-child policy by ZenoArrow on Thursday October 29, 2015 @07:49AM (#10470326)
> "If so, I totally support the idea of licensing human breeding."

That sort of licensing is ripe for abuse. What would happen if someone in power took that license away from you just because they didn't agree with your political views?

Re:China to begin two-child policy by jazzyk on Thursday October 29, 2015 @08:55AM (#10470579)
Not just political views.

Most people would agree that mentally ill people should not have children.

But what constitutes mentally ill? The line is fuzzy - perhaps someone is just a bit "quirky", but still could be a good parent?

In order to have a license the criteria would have to be crystal clear and added to the Constitution (sorry, US-centric). And even if in the Constitution, someone could abuse it (see: NSA, surveillance).

Re:China to begin two-child policy by ZenoArrow on Thursday October 29, 2015 @09:18AM (#10470718)
> "Not just political views."

Yes, not just political views. As you say, the mentally ill would be one targeted group, former criminals would be another, etc... The most divisive issue would probably be whether those living in poverty would be given the license.

> "In order to have a license the criteria would have to be crystal clear and added to the Constitution (sorry, US-centric). And even if in the Constitution, someone could abuse it (see: NSA, surveillance)."

At most, I could imagine the benefits of taking precautions against accidental pregnancies (vasectomies, etc...), but only as long as those measures would be reversible at any time. I could also see the need for encouraging single child families as the least draconian method of population control (should overpopulation ever become a big issue). Anything beyond that strikes me as a step too far.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by arbitrage on Thursday October 29, 2015 @09:09AM (#10470657)
> Most people would agree that mentally ill people should not have children.

It is vastly oversimplifying, and prejudicial, to say something like that.

Many more people than you seem to think have experienced, or will experience mental illness in their life.

http://www.nimh.nih.gov/health/statistics/prevalence/any-men...

Re:China to begin two-child policy by Infinitesimus on Thursday October 29, 2015 @10:59AM (#10471501)
I could be wrong but I thought that was the point parent comment was making?

> Most people would agree that mentally ill people should not have children.

Turns out the definition of mental illness covers far more than the most extreme/visible cases so it will be unclear where to draw the line since "mental illness" is too broad a set

Re:China to begin two-child policy by jazzyk on Thursday October 29, 2015 @11:06AM (#10471555)
You are correct - that was my point!
Re:China to begin two-child policy by nsxwolf on Thursday October 29, 2015 @10:56AM (#10471470)
Most people would agree that mentally ill people should not have children.

Huh? They would? Are you sure about that?

Re:China to begin two-child policy by jazzyk on Thursday October 29, 2015 @11:10AM (#10471592)
I am provoking to make my point. "Mentally ill" may mean a dangerous psychopath, or someone taking anti-depressants.

Labels: Slippery slope.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by TeMPOraL on Thursday October 29, 2015 @06:49PM (#10474963)
How about: every one gets an unconditional license for having one child. That is, pair up with someone and have two children. No need to select subgroups, but enough to stabilize the population.
Re:China to begin two-child policy by zo1 on Thursday October 29, 2015 @08:39AM (#10470516)
Then your problem isn't the license. The problem is your government.

I.e. If the license becomes a problem, it's because you've got bigger problems.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by ZenoArrow on Thursday October 29, 2015 @09:03AM (#10470620)
> "Then your problem isn't the license. The problem is your government."

The license will still be administered by someone / some group. Whether you call those with the administrative powers a 'government' or not isn't really important.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by sugarcube on Thursday October 29, 2015 @07:48AM (#10470321)
Unfortunately, that quickly leads into fashist territory (eugenics)...
Re:China to begin two-child policy by throwaway_789 on Thursday October 29, 2015 @09:09AM (#10470660)
That wouldn't lead to eugenics, it would very much already be eugenics.
Re:China to begin two-child policy by ZenoArrow on Thursday October 29, 2015 @09:24AM (#10470752)
Eugenics is about altering genetics by controlling breeding. Licensing decisions could be based on a broader range of criteria than just genetics. Genetics might not even come into it.
Re:China to begin two-child policy by throwaway_789 on Thursday October 29, 2015 @09:43AM (#10470891)
Unlikely. The perceived benefits of eugenics would be too tantalizing for those social engineers in control of "licensing" the right to reproduce. Robust markets for DNA sequencing and clinical already exist. It'd be a vanishingly small step to pivot those platforms for eugenics.

The licensing proposal is odious even if we were to (naively) discount conventional eugenics. Licenses would likely be tied to "merit", which is rather inextricably linked to socioeconomic class.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by ZenoArrow on Thursday October 29, 2015 @09:55AM (#10470962)
> "Unlikely. The perceived benefits of eugenics would be too tantalizing for those social engineers in control of "licensing" the right to reproduce."

What if the priorities of the eugenicists and other life licensers clash? For example, what if a known criminal was also the holder of some rare genes that would link up well with someone from the ruling class?

> "Licenses would likely be tied to "merit", which is rather inextricably linked to socioeconomic class."

So someone who is poor is of less "merit"?

Re:China to begin two-child policy by Dylan16807 on Thursday October 29, 2015 @11:53AM (#10471991)
>So someone who is poor is of less "merit"?

With the word in quotes like that? Absolutely yes.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by ZenoArrow on Thursday October 29, 2015 @12:55PM (#10472462)
Can you explain what you mean by that?
Re:China to begin two-child policy by Dylan16807 on Thursday October 29, 2015 @01:51PM (#10472922)
Poor people are, in general, treated as if they have less merit.

So they have merit in an absolute sense, but not in a societal opinion sense.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by TeMPOraL on Thursday October 29, 2015 @06:51PM (#10474973)
Explain to us what exactly is bad about eugenics in general, that is not related to Nazis doing their Nazi things because of their Nazi ideology?
Re:China to begin two-child policy by throwaway_789 on Thursday October 29, 2015 @11:05PM (#10475941)
Eugenics has an unacceptably high -- and excruciatingly documented -- risk of mutating into a demographic weapon wielded by racial groups that have attained dominance by historical coincidence against other racial groups. It is a long-dormant existential threat to large populations. The fact that this cluster of comments is discussing "licensing" the fundamental right of humans to reproduce is in itself a triumph of dystopian rhetoric.

Also, excluding Nazis from arguments against eugenics is like excluding Bolsheviks from arguments against communism. Spare me your precious Godwin's Law, Nazism is eminently relevant here.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by TeMPOraL on Thursday October 29, 2015 @11:37PM (#10476033)
> The fact that this cluster of comments is discussing "licensing" the fundamental right of humans to reproduce is in itself a triumph of dystopian rhetoric.

We're discussing limits on reproduction because this "fundamental right" is most likely going to fuck up the planet. Don't confuse basic capability with a "right".

> Also, excluding Nazis from arguments against eugenics is like excluding Bolsheviks from arguments against communism. Spare me your precious Godwin's Law, Nazism is eminently relevant here.

Yeah, I'd like to exclude Bolsheviks from arguments against communism too. It's not about Godwin's Law, but about having an actual argument other than "somebody tried that before once and it didn't work". How about exploring why it didn't work and how we can avoid that particular failure mode while reaping the rewards, without throwing the entire concept out?

Nazis are

Re:China to begin two-child policy by throwaway_789 on Friday October 30, 2015 @12:20AM (#10476144)
> reproduction ... is most likely going to fuck up the planet

Malthusian fallacy. The idea of a "population bomb" has been indoctrinated into the modern mind of certain political orthodoxies since the late 1960's. It has yet to pass, because it is wrong. The jeremiads of Malthus and Ehrlich are myopic and dangerously lacking in imagination.

We will engineer ways to feed ourselves, generate potable water, control our climate, clean our air, and thrive -- all with a human population that monotonically grows over long periods of time.

> Don't confuse basic capability with a "right".

What does that even mean?

The fact that the same people who fight for esoteric rights of privacy and free speech disproportionately flip their semantic switch to cast the most fundamental human right in scare quotes is difficult to fathom.

> It's not about Godwin's Law, but about having an actual argument other than "somebody tried that before once and it didn't work". How about exploring why it didn't work and how we can avoid that particular failure mode while reaping the rewards, without throwing the entire concept out?

Here's an "actual argument": modern history. Read https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_eugenics. Arguments that an idea is grievously misguided based on broad appeals to disastrous periods in recent history brought about by that idea are valid in matters of social policy debate, which this is.

We throw the entire concept out because it is intellectually rancid. The taboo is justified. We should not touch eugenics, just like we should not touch proposals for disenfranchising women or chattel slavery.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by TeMPOraL on Friday October 30, 2015 @02:49AM (#10476440)
> Malthusian fallacy

You're doing this again. Malthus was wrong with his prediction, but he wasn't wrong with noticing obvious limits to growth. It takes special effort to consciously stop noticing it.

> We will engineer ways to feed ourselves, generate potable water, control our climate, clean our air, and thrive -- all with a human population that monotonically grows over long periods of time.

You say that like you had any proof for it. Taken at face value, Malthus sounds much more probable than your "don't worry, future generations will somehow fix it".

> What does that even mean?

It means: just because you can, doesn't mean you should.

> The fact that the same people who fight for esoteric rights of privacy and free speech disproportionately flip their semantic switch to cast the most fundamental human right in scare quotes is difficult to fathom.

I don't flip any switch because I personally don't fight for privacy. I see the current levels of it as a historical anomaly, and generally something we need to outgrow as a society in order to progress.

> We throw the entire concept out because it is intellectually rancid. The taboo is justified. We should not touch eugenics, just like we should not touch proposals for disenfranchising women or chattel slavery.

No, this is dangerously irrational way of thinking. A hundred years ago you would taboo women voting. Two hundred years earlier you would taboo the concept of freedom of black men. What you're doing is just selectively tabooing your cherished belief out of fear your rejection may be wrong. If the belief is valid, it can stand on its own strength, it does not need protection from being discussed.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by throwaway_789 on Friday October 30, 2015 @08:54AM (#10477474)
> Malthus was wrong with his prediction, but he wasn't wrong with noticing obvious limits to growth. It takes special effort to consciously stop noticing it.

Malthus premised his hypothesis on an assertion that there were obvious limits to growth. Both the premise of obvious limits to growth and the conclusion of catastrophic resource scarcity due to population growth were wrong.

Our food supply is an obvious limit to population growth like an unlocked door is an obvious limit to leaving a room. Yes, if you do nothing, then you will be limited. That should not instill hand-wringing, existential dread.

> Malthus sounds much more probable than your "don't worry, future generations will somehow fix it".

History has proven Malthus and his modern incarnation Ehrlich to be wrong time and time again, which doesn't bode well for that probability of yours.

Again, "don't worry, future generations will somehow fix it" is a strawman. Pithy, but vapid. Firstly, I said we will engineer ways to overcome limitations. Our current generation is, and will continue to, engineer ways to feed ourselves, generate potable water, control our climate, clean our air, thrive, and grow our population.

Do I have proof that the engineers of future generations won't all squander their life and do nothing more than optimize sales funnels and click-through-rates? No. But I think it is much more probable that our society will continue to produce some engineers that have not only the talent but the focus we need to break through our current brittle limitations to population growth -- just like their parents, grandparents, and every generation before them did.

Re:China to begin two-child policy by fsloth on Thursday October 29, 2015 @11:18AM (#10471692)
"If so, I totally support the idea of licensing human breeding."

In the context of America this was already tried

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eugenics_in_the_United_States#...

Sterilization and licensing are the exactly same mechanism - the state holds veto right over who gets to procreate.