Re:Resigning from the Haskell Platform
by seanmcdirmid on Tuesday October 13, 2015 @08:50AM
(#10380010)
Deep learning wasn't advancing at a 2X rate/year 30 years ago. Past performance does not indicate future performance.
But it does give a strong hint. I personally don't prophesise somethings demise in a shorter timespan into the future than it has existed for. I find that to be a good rule of thumb.
High-level programming has been around for 50ish years, so we probably won't get rid of it for at least another 50.
Re:Resigning from the Haskell Platform
by seanmcdirmid on Wednesday October 14, 2015 @04:28AM
(#10385531)
It is a heuristic that assumes no disruption. If someone figured out how to approach human-level intelligence in the next 30 years, then programming will die then. Are we certain? No. But it is a definite possibility. There is also a possibility of a cybernetic hybrid between programming and machine learning that also doesn't really resemble today or yesterday's HLLs.
Yes. People will probably still even be writing in C and C++ in 30 years. The same predictions were made about "4GLs" 30 years ago and have not come to pass.