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Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by wmf on Sunday November 08, 2026 @08:44PM (#50419929)
The only modification I'd make is to amortize the investments over 5-6 years instead of 20 because most of the cost is GPUs not the buildings. This increases the required revenue by 4x.
Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by t-writescode on Sunday November 08, 2026 @08:56PM (#50420029)
Well, if you buy a bunch of GPUs and don't have buildings to put them in (a very real situation right now), then you're just .... holding hardware and not making a return off it and *the building (and related power infrastructure)* becomes much more important than how many GPUs you have.
Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by zardo on Sunday November 08, 2026 @09:53PM (#50420432)
There's one weird trick to preventing your GPUs from losing value. Buy all the ram.
Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by Joel_Mckay on Monday November 09, 2026 @12:30AM (#50421428)
It is called market collusion, and Jensen Wong confessed on air to "advising" SK Hynix CEO to align with his corporate projects a year before the "AI" supply chain take over.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collusion

Technically against the law, even if folks reject the fact AMD & Nvidia are Monopolistic competitive firms in the GPU markets. Thankfully the LLM crowd are rapidly moving away from the CUDA ecosystem. =3

Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by gg82 on Monday November 09, 2026 @01:05AM (#50421642)
The trouble that that idea is that there comes a point where the generated AI needs machines to test the code that is generated... and it actually puts a limit on the growth of AI.
Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by drpixie on Sunday November 08, 2026 @11:47PM (#50421174)
Another weird trick (that seems to be in play) - don't unpack them yet, so they are not yet depreciating assets! Listen to https://open.spotify.com/episode/1QjM5Ud5kjHzMIY5G7hjhW?si=o...
Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by hobofan on Monday November 09, 2026 @06:56AM (#50424374)
Compute hardware is ~50% of the cost of a datacenter. If we can assume a 5 year lifespan for the GPUs, that puts the ammortization timeframe closer to ~10 years.