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Re:The End of AI Frontiers by jmull on Saturday November 07, 2026 @03:12PM (#50407618)
What makes sense is to do both.

Race down the transformer highway as fast as possible and explore other AI methods.

One need not preclude the other.

Re:The End of AI Frontiers by knollimar on Saturday November 07, 2026 @03:19PM (#50407678)
as fast as possible implies spending the resources that way.

Going close to as fast as possible while saving a stream for the other approaches makes sense as an approach, but let's not ignore that there's a compromise/tradeoff here. Might not matter in orgs with near infinite resources

Re:The End of AI Frontiers by Fordec on Saturday November 07, 2026 @05:59PM (#50408857)
Also in an exponential competition environment, the difference between 100% commitment and 98% commitment is very possibly not even the difference between a win and second place, but outright lapping by the winner and humiliation at the scale of the gap for second place.

For an example of what this looks like at a more pronounced scale just look at the discourse around European models and how far behind Minstral are perceived to be.

Re:The End of AI Frontiers by fallingbananna on Saturday November 07, 2026 @03:20PM (#50407685)
My understanding is that the resources are limited and even AI labs with all the funding in the world don't have enough hardware.
Re:The End of AI Frontiers by caminante on Saturday November 07, 2026 @03:25PM (#50407729)
Except doing both..is..so..hard when the future payoff of one is more unclear and you are faced with quarterly earnings reports.

Look at what happened to Meta where they squandered a lead, had some mixed results, and reorged to more product certainty and away from fundamental research.

Re:The End of AI Frontiers by joe_the_user on Saturday November 07, 2026 @06:13PM (#50408950)
Theoretically one need doesn't preclude the other. The OP gives a detailed argument and his own experience of one need precluding the other in practice.

Both of these approaches require quite a bit of institutional support notably.

Re:The End of AI Frontiers by lanthissa on Saturday November 07, 2026 @07:06PM (#50409265)
it literally does when gpu's are scarce.