News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:India's surprise baby bust is a warning to the world by trumpdong on Friday June 05, 2026 @07:00PM (#48419453)
Fortunately this exponential decay is very unlikely to continue forever. The present structure of society will not survive a 90% reduction in population. Abundant resources (especially housing) and insufficient humans to run a tight bureaucracy will probably lead back to people having unprotected sex for fun again, and human population will stabilise.
Re:India's surprise baby bust is a warning to the world by Qem on Friday June 05, 2026 @09:45PM (#48420561)
> Abundant resources (especially housing) and insufficient humans to run a tight bureaucracy will probably lead back to people having babies

If well managed I think this is possible. But it's not given. Another scenario is houses in the countryside, small towns and far suburbs getting empty and soon uninhabitable due to lack of maintenance/infrastructure degradation, and remaining people packing close to core areas that remain high cost.

Re:India's surprise baby bust is a warning to the world by bombcar on Friday June 05, 2026 @11:53PM (#48421228)
Small towns survived for millennia before industrialization; and they could likely survive again, if anyone wanted that life.
Re:India's surprise baby bust is a warning to the world by antasvara on Saturday June 06, 2026 @08:36AM (#48424461)
The Venn diagram of "people that want traditional small town life" and "people that currently live in a small town" has a smaller overlap than you'd think.

The small towns in my area are desirable not just because they're small, but because they're small and have the same amenities as a bigger town. These towns are also increasingly relying on debt to fund decades of deferred maintenance just to keep the amenities they already have alive.

This would become dire if (for example) property values fell, as residential real estate taxes make up the majority of tax revenue. This might happen if demand for the town fell (perhaps due to fewer people), which would quickly become a catastrophic cycle (revenues fall, roads and schools deteriorate, which makes the town less desirable, repeat ad infinitum).

Re:India's surprise baby bust is a warning to the world by bombcar on Saturday June 06, 2026 @03:26PM (#48428108)
This is oft repeated, though examining the small town budget (though perhaps I'm not in a "small" town at 10k residents) shows that the vast majority of the property tax goes to the schools, roads et al are a rounding error.

In a future with few or no kids, schools won't be needed.

Re:India's surprise baby bust is a warning to the world by dpark on Saturday June 06, 2026 @06:36PM (#48429720)
I bet the set of people seeking out “small town life” are more likely to have children than the average city dweller. If so, the funding problem gets worse over time for small towns. More kids with fewer adults funding schools.
Re:India's surprise baby bust is a warning to the world by antasvara on Wednesday June 10, 2026 @06:23PM (#48483577)
The balance here is that good schools are one of the amenities that keep property values high and they have pretty high fixed costs.

So you lose some economy of scale when enrollment drops, you have to cut school funding, which makes the schools worse, which makes the town less desirable, which drops real estate prices, etc.

Re:India's surprise baby bust is a warning to the world by spullara on Sunday June 07, 2026 @01:24PM (#48436881)
This is already happening in Japan where they are garbage collecting and consolidating them.