Yes. Unfortunately for majority of voters, unless it impacts them directly they won't believe it.

I hope countries (or rather, voters) around the world are waking up to just how helplessly dependent they are on a resource they do not own and have to beg and scrape from others.

The USA is a net exporter so technically if export restrictions are put up the Americans will likely be fine. The rest of the world, not so much. I live in Japan and I'm definitely worried about the rest of the year.

> technically if export restrictions are put up the Americans will likely be fine

Technically no. The oil we export isn’t a fit for the oil we refine. We’re slaved to the global market, though our exports do give us a tool. (Unfortunately, it requires taxing oil production (since we can’t tax exports [1]) to pay for, ideally, a monthly cheque to every American, and less ideally, a refiner credit to push down domestic gas prices.

[1] https://constitution.congress.gov/browse/essay/artI-S9-C5-1/...

> unless it impacts them directly they won't believe it.

They may end up believing they are being impacted, but many will still deny or argue the root cause.

Do we have evidence of polls moving in favour of renewables?

Sure.

Pakistan is a slam dunk for renewables, it's ground swell and up there given the lack of decent state level delivery infrastructure.

It's a similar story across much of the developed world, easy to build out renewables from the ground up and good deals from China for countries of interest to the Belt and Road intititives.

In Australia:

  73% support renewables and batteries as the fastest way to lower people's power bills, compared to just 16% for nuclear reactors and 8% for new coal power

and

  In 2018, 84% of Australians said the government should focus on renewables, even if we need to invest more in infrastructure to make the system more reliable.

are typical bites from leading poll agencies.

In the USofA ... dunno, that's more your sandbox - I suspect many hearts and minds have been captured by 50 years of the Koch Bros dunking on AGW and public transport leading to a broad excess of rolling coal types being mind tweakled by the Heritage Foundation and / or Taylor Sheridans Landman windmill rants, etc.

This is part of why it took over 40 years for Israel to finally find a U.S. president ignorant enough to pull something like this.

> ignorant enough

Might not be ignorance. There's still the strong possibility that "blackmail material" is floating around due to the island of one of Trumps old friends.

Also, let us never forget that the Epstein class are extremely skilled, and experienced, in making money off of things going to shit.

On the one hand, Trump's brazenness about basically everything makes it hard to see how anything could be effective blackmail.

On the other, he did deny the affair with Stormy Daniels, so perhaps he's easier to blackmail than I think he is?

Donald Trump strikes me as a man who has done a lot of things in his life that is blackmail material.

Done, yes I agree, but it only counts as blackmail if he were responsive to the threat. That responsiveness is the only place where I'm uncertain.

I'm sure he's done something he is very embarrassed about, some sexual fetish on record or something similar.

I wouldn't put it past him to go to war to protect such secrets, if he can conceivably frame it as something positive.