Not sure this implementation received all those safety guardrails.
What do you base this on?
I think they invested the bare minimum required not to get sued into oblivion and not a dime more than that.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.18837
https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.14093
https://transformer-circuits.pub/2025/introspection/index.ht...
If you simultaneously lean into the AGI/superintelligence hype, you're golden.
All in costs for a PhD student include university overheads & tuition fees. The total probably doesn't hit $150k but is 2-3x the stipend that the student is receiving.
Someone currently working in academia might have current figures to hand.
So about $75k for the bottom end? The quoted numbers sound about right in PPP terms in that case.
More so we train them on human behavior and humans have a lot of rather unstable behaviors.
Legalize recreational plutonium!
EDIT: more specifically, nuclear weapons are actually dangerous not merely theoretically. But safety with nuclear weapons is more about storage and triggering than actually being safe in "production". In storage we need to avoid accidentally letting them get too close to eachother. Safe triggers are "always/never" where every single time you command the bomb to detonate it needs to do so, and never accidentally. But once you deploy that thing to prod safety is no longer a concern. Anyway, by contrast, AI is just a fucking computer program, and at that the least unsafe kind possible--it just runs on a server converting electricity into heat. It's not controlling elements of the physical environment because it doesn't work well enough for that. The "safety" stuff is about some theoretical, hypothetical, imaginary future where... idk skynet or something? It's all bullshit. Angels on the head of a pin. Wake me up when you have successfully made it dangerous.
Right now AI can control software interfaces that control things in real life.
AI safety stuff is not some future, AI safety is now.
Your statement is about as ridiculous as saying "software security is important in some hypothetical imaginary future". Feel however you want about this, but you appear to be the one not in touch with reality.
AI safety in and if itself isn't really relevant, and whether or not you could hook AI up to something important is just as relevant as whether you could hook /dev/urandom up to the same thing.
I think your security analogy is a false equivalence, much like the nuclear weapons analogy.
At the risk of repeating myself, AI is not dangerous because it can't, inherently, do anything dangerous. Show me a successful test of an AI bomb/weapon/whatever and I'll believe you. Until then, the normal ways we evaluate software systems safety (or neglect to do so) will do.
See this is the fun thing about liability, we tend to attempt to limit scenarios were people can cause near unlimited damage when they have very limited assets in the first place. Hence why things like asymmetric warfare is so expensive to attempt to prevent.
But hey, have fun going after some teenager with 3 dollars to their name after they cause a billion dollars in damages.
Not unlike nuclear weapons, this space is fairly self-regulating in that there's very, very high financial bar to clear. To train an AI model you need to have many datacenters full of billions of dollars of equipment, thousands of people to operate it, and a crack team of the worlds leading experts running the show. Not quite the scale of the Manhattan Project, but definitely not something I'll worry about individuals doing anytime soon. And even then there's no hint of a successful test, even from all these large, staffed, funded research efforts. So before I worry about "damages" of any magnitude, let alone billions of dollars worth, I'll need to see these large research labs produce something that can do some damage.
If we get to the point where there's some tangible, nonfiction threat to worry about then it's probably time to worry about "safety". Until then, it's a pretend problem which serves only to make AI seem more capable than it actually is.
Between these models egging people on to suicide, straightforward jailbreaks, and now damage caused by what seems to be a pretty trivial set of instructions running in a loop, I have no idea what AI safety research at these companies is actually doing.
I don't think their definition of "safety" involves protecting anything but their bottom line.
The tragedy is that you won't hear from the people who are actually concerned about this and refuse to release dangerous things into the world, because they aren't raising a billion dollars.
I'm not arguing for stricter controls -- if anything I think models should be completely uncensored; the law needs to get with the times and severely punish the operators of AI for what their AI does.
What bothers me is that the push for AI safety is really just a ruse for companies like OpenAI to ID you and exercise control over what you do with their product.
If you looked at AI safety before the days of LLMs you'd have realized that AI safety is hard. Like really really hard.
>the operators of AI for what their AI does.
This is like saying that you should punish a company after it dumps plutonium in your yard ruining it for the next million years after everyone warned them it was going to leak. Being reactionary to dangerous events is not an intelligent plan of action.
Yes but in capitalist systems this is basically the only way we operate.
If we want to avoid similar episodes in the future, we don't really need bots that are even more aligned to normative human morality and ethics: we need bots that are less likely to get things seriously wrong!
Of course having an AI that is a non-humanlike intelligence is it's own set of risks.
Shit's hard :/
Regarding predicting the future (in general, but also around AI), I'm not sure why would anyone think anything is certain, or why would you trust anyone who thinks that.
Humanity is a complex system which doesn't always have predictable output given some input (like AI advancing). And here even the input is very uncertain (we may reach "AGI" in 2 years or in 100).
- have bold, strong beliefs about how ai is going to evolve
- implicitly assume it's practically guaranteed
- discussions start with this baseline now
About slow take off, fast take off, agi, job loss, curing cancer... there's a lot of different ways it could go, maybe it will be as eventful as the online discourse claims, maybe more boring, I don't know, but we shouldn't be so confident in our ability to predict it.