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A comment on Horses: AI progress is steady. Human equivalence is sudden.

Re:Horses: AI progress is steady. Human equivalence is sudden by wrs on Monday December 08, 2025 @08:42PM (#46200312)
Point taken, but it's hard to take a talk seriously when it has a graph showing AI becoming 80% of GDP! What does the "P" even stand for then?
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Re:Horses: AI progress is steady. Human equivalence is sudden by baq on Tuesday December 09, 2025 @02:01AM (#46202059)
It’s called exponential growth and humans are well known to be almost comically bad at identifying and interpreting it.
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Re:Horses: AI progress is steady. Human equivalence is sudden by rogerrogerr on Tuesday December 09, 2025 @12:27PM (#46207748)
When people make forward looking statements using the term “exponential growth”, you can always replace that with “S-curve”.

Remember when we had two weeks of data, and governments acted like Covid was projected to kill everyone by next Tuesday?

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Re:Horses: AI progress is steady. Human equivalence is sudden by lostmsu on Tuesday December 09, 2025 @02:13AM (#46202135)
Pokens
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