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Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by triceratops on Monday October 13, 2025 @02:01PM (#45571437)
> It seems like your assumption is that a stock buyback is a short term gain.

My argument is a stock buyback isn't a gain for a long-term, buy-and-hold investor. Unless

a) they sell some of the stock or

b) it pays dividends

they don't see the benefit of a higher stock price or reduced share count.

Qualified dividends and long term capital gains are taxed at the same rate. So anyone who says "buybacks are more tax-advantaged" is leaving out the second part: "because you can borrow against a higher stock price without paying taxes". Since most (non-rich) people don't do that stock buybacks have the same tax (dis)advantage as dividends. If you know of a way to get tax-free money out of a higher stock price other than borrowing on margin, please tell me. I'd love to learn.

> decreasing that amount will “artificially” raise the stock price

It isn't "artificial". There are fewer shares in circulation/more demand for the shares. That legitimately translates into a higher price. But stock options and grants are generally given to employees and especially executives. So a reduced share count and higher share price is particularly good for them.

> One of your arguments is that the strike price for options is set based on a certain amount of stock in circulation

My argument was more that when employees are paid a significant portion of their compensation in stock they tend to sell much of it upon vest (sensibly) in order to diversify or even just to pay their bills. Ergo, being frequent sellers, they benefit from the higher stock price more than they would from regular dividend payments. A higher stock price directly translates into higher compensation. Wouldn't this be a powerful incentive for company management to prefer buybacks over dividends?

> I suppose the other part of the argument could be that R&D is good for the stock in the long term

I didn't say anything about R&D spending. A company should return as much profit to shareholders as it sees fit.

I was rebutting the common, I believe simple-minded, argument that buybacks and dividends are completely equivalent. Even though the company spends the same amount of money, I think they are different in some very significant ways.

Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by nyeah on Monday October 13, 2025 @02:38PM (#45571831)
I think I'm mostly agreeing. Anyway here's my story.

Buybacks can be good or bad for shareholders, depending on the buyback price.

Example. I take $1000 and securitize it as 1000 shares. The company sells the shares for $1 each. This is a no-fee closed fund, whatever. I'm the "CEO". I personally buy 1 share.

Anyway, one day the stock trades at $0.90 and the company buys back 500 shares at that price. (How $0.90? Maybe the largest shareholder was distressed and needed cash, maybe somebody didn't read the SEC filings. Maybe "the ticker tells the whole story" and the ticker told $0.90 for a few days. It doesn't matter.) Now the company holds $550 and has 500 shares outstanding. Each share owns $1.10 of USD. Expenses are zero. I kindly volunteer my services as CEO and sole employee.

Pretty soon the stock might trade around $1.10. (Why $1.10? wHo knows?) The people who sold for $0.90 might regret that decision now. Continuing shareholders make money if they sell now. Was this "good for shareholders"? Depends on which shareholder.

Now I (the CEO) decide the company will do a buyback. The company offers $2 a share. I sell my own share for $2. To make it simple, say the company buys back 275 shares at $2. Now it's broke. The remaining shares trade for ... whatever. Somewhere between $3 and $0? ($3 because growth rate!)

I personally doubled my investment. Anybody who sold at $2 also did well.

Buybacks can be good or bad for shareholders.

Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by nradov on Monday October 13, 2025 @02:46PM (#45571927)
That's not a valid example of things that can happen in the market. You're making up ridiculously unrealistic numbers and clearly don't understand the basics of how the process works.

Share buybacks are always executed at the current market price. The company doesn't offer a higher price. A large buyback order might move the share price up a tiny bit but triggering an increase from $1 to $2 is impossible for any company traded on a major US exchange.

Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by nyeah on Monday October 13, 2025 @02:48PM (#45571947)
Pardon my bluntness, but you apparently don't understand how the process works.

I'm not claiming the price jumped from $1.10 to $2 without hitting any intermediate prices. That's your idea.

Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by nradov on Monday October 13, 2025 @02:58PM (#45572053)
Well there you go again, lying and making things up. No stock buyback has ever caused a doubling in share prices. Going through intermediate prices is irrelevant.
Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by nyeah on Monday October 13, 2025 @03:01PM (#45572072)
Yes, it was a made-up example. I feel that was obvious.

If your point [about share price jumping suddenly] was irrelevant, then maybe you shouldn't have mentioned it. How is this my problem?

I see that you edited your previous comment before replying. Very clever. Now (12:03 Pacific) you have a company worth $1000 trading on a major stock exchange. Ok.

Maybe you can make a spreadsheet similar to what I described in words, but using more believable numbers. If so, you can see the kind of effects I'm talking about. Buybacks are good for some shareholders and bad for others. Buybacks can be used to reward management, though others will be affected (+ or -) at the same time.

Or maybe you won't/can't make that spreadsheet. Again not my problem.

Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by nradov on Monday October 13, 2025 @03:15PM (#45572218)
Well there you go again, lying and making things up. I didn't edit my previous comment in the way you claimed. Perhaps you are hallucinating.
Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by terminalshort on Monday October 13, 2025 @03:49PM (#45572580)
This is a nonsensical example because companies aren't just barrels of cash, stock buybacks do not occur above market price, and companies never spend themselves broke to buyback shares because that would be retarded. You might try learning how corporate finance actually works before posting like you are an expert on it.
Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by nyeah on Monday October 13, 2025 @03:52PM (#45572606)
If you can't follow a simple textbook example, good luck with the real thing.

Be well.

Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by terminalshort on Monday October 13, 2025 @04:43PM (#45573148)
I worked in finance for years before I went into SWE and studied it in university before that. Your example would be found in no textbook (because it is complete idiocy) and you would know it if you ever cracked one, which you obviously haven't. You are just another bitter loser peddling conspiracy theories of how the financial system is rigged against you because you are envious of the money that people who actually understand it make.
Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by nyeah on Monday October 13, 2025 @05:09PM (#45573354)
Fine. You're well-versed in finance. For ... reasons ... you're doing a very good impression of someone missing the simple point of a very vanilla toy example.

And, yes. I admit it. I'm a fanatical believer in the conspiracy theory that buybacks can be either good or bad for a given shareholder, and that this depends on the price paid for the shares, and on when each shareholder buys and sells. The system is rigged, I tell you! Rigged! .... but, er, ... sometimes it's rigged one way ... and ... sometimes, um, it's rigged the other way. You have to run the numbers. But it's RIGGED!

We good?

Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by dang on Wednesday October 15, 2025 @12:40PM (#45595163)
You've been crossing repeatedly into personal attack. We ban accounts that do that. I don't want to ban you, so please don't do that.

If you know more than someone else, that's great, and if you want to share some of what you know so the rest of us can learn, so much the better. But please be careful to do it without putting others down, no matter how ignorant they are or you feel they are.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by dang on Wednesday October 15, 2025 @12:43PM (#45595217)
You've been crossing repeatedly into personal attack. We ban accounts that do that. I don't want to ban you, so please don't do that.

If you know more than someone else, that's great, and if you want to share some of what you know so the rest of us can learn, so much the better. But please be careful to do it without putting others down, no matter how ignorant they are or you feel they are.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by overrun11 on Monday October 13, 2025 @04:43PM (#45573146)
Buybacks in theory do not cause share price to rise like your example though. Investors already price in that cash will be either reinvested at a high rate or returned to shareholders. You are reducing share count of a company that now has less cash which nets out in share price.
Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by nyeah on Monday October 13, 2025 @04:51PM (#45573217)
Demand tends to push price up. Investors don't really know who's buying until later.

But yes, of course it's a toy example. I should probably have made the buybacks drive the price from $1.10 to $1.20 or something, with a much smaller reward for the founder & CEO. I got bored and kept it simple. (Or I got greedy for that $1 profit, maybe.)

All the working parts of the example are on display. You can make other examples that seem better to you.

Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by nradov on Monday October 13, 2025 @10:20PM (#45575578)
Well there you go again, lying and making things up. The trades are executed in compliance with Rule 10b-18. If you want anyone to take you seriously then at least come up with a realistic example.
Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by nyeah on Tuesday October 14, 2025 @09:18AM (#45579670)
I'm talking about how equity works at the most basic level, in a vehicle worth 1000 USD. It's an ice cream stand, capisce?

You may well be offended because we were rude to each other. That's fair. But you're not telling me to stop being a dick. You're telling me my ice cream stand has to be listed on a major US stock exchange. That's not a strong argument, and it's not really on topic.

Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by astrange on Tuesday October 14, 2025 @12:57AM (#45576403)
> they don't see the benefit of a higher stock price or reduced share count.

If they're continually investing/rebalancing then it benefits them the same way a dividend does, but with fewer tax consequences.

Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by matwood on Tuesday October 14, 2025 @05:47AM (#45578066)
> My argument is a stock buyback isn't a gain for a long-term, buy-and-hold investor.

It's better for me as a long term investor because I can better control my tax liability. It also allows for long term growth without a tax drag until I'm ready to switch out of my accumulation phase.

Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by robotresearcher on Tuesday October 14, 2025 @12:25PM (#45581952)
If a buyback gives stockholders the choice of selling or holding, realizing the gain now or later, and a dividend does not, why not prefer the buyback?
Re:No Science, No Startups: The Innovation Engine We're Swit... by triceratops on Wednesday October 15, 2025 @11:47AM (#45594375)
Why should the company reward shareholders who are selling over shareholders who hold?