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Re:Why Are There So Many Rationalist Cults? by wombatpm on Tuesday August 12, 2025 @07:20PM (#44882912)
Can’t you improve thing if you can calibrate with a known good vampire? You’d think NIST or the CDC would have one locked in a basement somewhere.
Re:Why Are There So Many Rationalist Cults? by godelski on Tuesday August 12, 2025 @08:04PM (#44883226)
IDK, probably? I'm just trying to say that iterative inference doesn't strictly mean decreasing likelihood.

I'm not a virologist or whoever designs these kinds of medical tests. I don't even know the right word to describe the profession lol. But the question is orthogonal to what's being discussed here. I'm only guessing "probably" because usually having a good example helps in experimental design. But then again, why wouldn't the original test that we're using have done that already? Wouldn't that be how you get that 95% accurate test?

I can't tell you the biology stuff, I can just answer math and ML stuff and even then only so much.

Re:Why Are There So Many Rationalist Cults? by weard_beard on Tuesday August 12, 2025 @07:50PM (#44883135)
GPT6 would come faster but we ran out of Casandra blood.
Re:Why Are There So Many Rationalist Cults? by ethbr1 on Tuesday August 12, 2025 @10:54PM (#44884213)
The thought of a BIPM Reference Vampire made me chuckle.