Now that folks aren't upgrading very often, the cost of the Windows license is starting to be a much bigger proportion of the total cost, basically creating a price floor of PCs. This sucks if you're an OEM - you have a baked-in cost you don't control (aka MS Tax). Microsoft must naturally drop the licensing price to OEMS in order for OEMs to eek out some profit.
Long run Windows OEM license fees tend to zero. It's already happening with Windows 8 upgrade pricing (Mac OS X has already started this trend) and I expect it to continue.
MSFT knows this which is the primary reason to making their Surface Tablet (and Office online, to get SaaS recurring rev). I don't believe for a minute that they are only doing this as a "reference" implementation.
This doesn't make a great deal of sense for Microsoft, what does is driving down the price of hardware. Their strategy has always been to treat the hardware as a commodity because it is in their interest to do so.