Like falling into a black hole; you don't notice as it happens, only looking back with more context.
Oh I see now, thank you for the helpful analogy! :)
Re:Collapse OS
by alfiedotwtf on Wednesday March 26, 2025 @10:57PM
(#43489973)
Empires that collapsed not by military conquest didn’t know that they had collapsed until years later.
Is there any Empire that collapsed without military conquest? You can argue the collapse predated the conquest, but there’s always a conquest to seal the deal.
The British Empire didn't collapse due to military conquest by the Germans, it fell due to economic conquest by the United States (see the Atlantic Charter and U.S. intervention in the Suez Crisis).
Hasn't Kunstler been predicting the imminent end of oil supplies since the 1990s?
When a professional prognosticator's prognostications continue to be falsified by actual events, year after endless year, at some point don't people stop listening to them?
Re:Collapse OS
by -__---____-ZXyw on Wednesday March 26, 2025 @10:42PM
(#43489893)
> When a professional prognosticator's prognostications continue to be falsified by actual events, year after endless year, at some point don't people stop listening to them?
Funnily enough - not whatsoever! And the benefits of this amazing fact are reaped by economists* the world over, year after year.
* And, to be fair, journalists, politicians, various flavours of youtuber, etc, etc.
"When a professional prognosticator's prognostications continue to be falsified by actual events, year after endless year, at some point don't people stop listening to them?"
Yet people still listen to Musk about when Tesla will have autonomous driving.
Re:Collapse OS
by peppers-ghost on Thursday March 27, 2025 @09:04AM
(#43493178)
we'll be terraforming mars soon I just know it!
what do you think about the idea, though?
Which means we might be living in collapse now, we just don't know it yet. "The Long Emergency" as James Howard Kunstler put it.