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Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by yoyohello13 on Wednesday November 06, 2024 @03:29PM (#42068849)
There is always this uncomfortable undercurrent of misogyny in all these fertility discussions along the lines of "how do we coerce women to have more children?" or "it's a woman's duty to breed." I'd like to hope we are more enlightened than that, but the sentiment is worryingly pervasive.

The doomsayers are probably right, we are in for hard economic times as birth rates decline. But maybe that is a good thing, and we can finally come up with a system that doesn't depend on exponential population growth.

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by irrational on Wednesday November 06, 2024 @03:35PM (#42068926)
Not just misogyny, but racism as well. The overall human population is still on the rise, but that’s primarily happening in Africa.
Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by soperj on Thursday November 07, 2024 @02:55PM (#42080251)
i think it's only happening in Africa. Every other continent is experiencing a decline
Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by red016 on Wednesday November 06, 2024 @03:39PM (#42068980)
More likely birth control will filter out anti-natalists in the long term.
Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by lotsofpulp on Wednesday November 06, 2024 @03:52PM (#42069174)
“Anti natalism” is not a genetic trait that gets inherited. Any woman can look at what another woman goes through during pregnancy/childbirth/infant rearing and think they might want to avoid that. Or avoid doing it multiple times.
Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by RGamma on Wednesday November 06, 2024 @06:02PM (#42070927)
OTOH there are some with a great desire to procreate even though it might mean (temporary) hardship or doesn't fit with their socioeconomic status. I know several of those.

The ones who shall inherit the earth.

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by shiroiushi on Thursday November 07, 2024 @02:48AM (#42074500)
>Any woman can look at what another woman goes through during pregnancy/childbirth/infant rearing and think they might want to avoid that.

They can, but then in some cultures, their religious leaders will tell them they need to go through all that, many times, or else their god will be angry with them.

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by lotsofpulp on Thursday November 07, 2024 @08:29AM (#42076474)
Yes, I was alluding to that. My greatest concern for my daughter or her kids is the eventual loss of women’s rights simply due to shrinking of population of tribes that support women’s rights and proliferation of tribes that do not.
Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by shiroiushi on Monday November 11, 2024 @12:29AM (#42104764)
Yes, I don't have a daughter, but I'm also very concerned about that. It feels like there's an assumption that the tribes that don't support women's rights will adopt that cultural mindset over time, but I'm not so sure it's a good assumption.
Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by carlmr on Thursday November 07, 2024 @08:00AM (#42076261)
>“Anti natalism” is not a genetic trait that gets inherited.

Citation needed. There are many things influenced by genetic traits. So many that I think the burden of proof is that you'd have to show that there's no influence of genetic traits here. Add to this memetic influences, and it's clear evolutionary biology that those that want to produce children will have more offspring and thus at some point antinatalism should be reduced as a portion of society.

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by lotsofpulp on Thursday November 07, 2024 @08:20AM (#42076403)
It is possible for genes to influence the desire to birth more children, but it seems apparent to me that humans are capable of sufficiently complex cause and effect analysis that genetic influence would be insufficient to drive this specific decision making process, since it’s not a snap decision and there’s so many opportunities to reverse course.

Human beings are the only animal (that I am aware of) that can short circuit the process of reproduction by completely de-linking sex and pregnancy.

It is possible that evolution resulted a trait (cognitive plus physical ability to manipulate nature) that ultimately is not conducive to procreation.

And it is possible that in a million years, perhaps humans continue to exist because a tribe removes women’s ability to not become pregnant, or humans don’t exist but some other species exists with a different mechanism of reproduction, or humans figure out how to make babies in artificial wombs, or humans start living a lot longer, etc etc.

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by kelipso on Thursday November 07, 2024 @08:56AM (#42076666)
More likely social evolution will take care of it long before biological evolution. Muslims have fertility rate of 3.1, for example.
Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by lotsofpulp on Thursday November 07, 2024 @08:58AM (#42076681)
Yes, that is what I meant with

> perhaps humans continue to exist because a tribe removes women’s ability to not become pregnant

I guess technically it should be “because a tribe removes women’s ability to not become pregnant, be financially independent, and physically independent/secure”

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by kelipso on Thursday November 07, 2024 @09:14AM (#42076808)
Well more typical would be something like the tribe that survives into the future has always removed women's ability to not get pregnant while the other tribe dies off.

I guess there are two types of social evolution, or evolution in general... One is where one tribe changes its customs over time, so evolves through intra tribe competition. Another is where you have multiple tribes with different customs, so evolves through inter tribe competition. Reality would be a mix of these two models.

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by faangguyindia on Thursday November 07, 2024 @07:43PM (#42082880)
Desire to have kids is driven by mostly fear, uncertainty, death.

This is partly why poor people with little social safety net have most kids.

The more safeties exist in a country, the less kids are there.

Simple as that.

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by lotsofpulp on Thursday November 07, 2024 @09:40PM (#42083580)
Completely wrong in my experience.

Poor women have children because they often don’t have the choice not to have children. That is why every single country when women gain rights and financial independence, the total fertility rate plummets.

Lower and middle class people in developed countries have fewer kids because they want to provide a home with their kids’ own room, be in good school districts because they are afraid of what happens if their kid doesn’t get into a good college, etc. The fear of not being able to provide a certain minimum quality of life prevents many from having kids.

It actually switches back to richer women having more kids because they have more security of owning their home, affording childcare while still being able to save for retirement, having health insurance, etc.

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2024-03-12/the-ri...

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by beeflet on Saturday November 09, 2024 @08:13PM (#42097944)
I think that children inherit a lot of their values from their parents, its not all genetics
Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by lotsofpulp on Sunday November 10, 2024 @06:38AM (#42099675)
Evidently, not for this topic, since outside of a couple cult-ish tribes, total fertility rate dropped precipitously across the globe.
Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by faangguyindia on Wednesday November 06, 2024 @08:07PM (#42072120)
My developer friend in Japan who always wanted a family never received much dates and when he did not one commited.

So he married a woman from India and now they've 4 kids.

It wasn't about money, no one was willing to make this sacrifice for him.

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by shiroiushi on Wednesday November 06, 2024 @09:22PM (#42072626)
>My developer friend in Japan who always wanted a family never received much dates and when he did not one commited.

I had absolutely no trouble getting dates here when I moved here. There must have been something about your friend that just isn't attractive to Japanese women. Is he religious, overweight, or have a beard? You can't expect a person to be equally attractive to any arbitrary group; different cultures have different standards.

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by shiroiushi on Wednesday November 06, 2024 @11:58PM (#42073543)
Edit: if he put right in his dating app bios "I'm looking for a woman who wants 4 kids!" I can see why he didn't get many responses from Japanese women.
Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by carlmr on Thursday November 07, 2024 @07:55AM (#42076229)
I mean that's a lot of pressure for anybody if it's already a set number. I'd say it's better to advertise that you're open to having kids, or at most that you want to have kids.

Even if you want many kids, your potential partner might want kids, too, but feel pressured to have them right away if you say 4.

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by faangguyindia on Thursday November 07, 2024 @07:34PM (#42082816)
He only wanted 1 kid but his wife convinced him to have 4.

No one wanted kids, he's slight above average looking japanese man with good personality but whenever he tried to get commitment, he got dumped even if relationship was several years long.

He told me it's because they don't want to take risk.

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by shiroiushi on Thursday November 07, 2024 @11:40PM (#42084200)
>whenever he tried to get commitment, he got dumped even if relationship was several years long.

Interesting story, but talking about commitment and having kids is something you need to do before you're even seriously dating someone; it's not something you wait several years to bring up. What you're looking for in a relationship and what you want out of one in the future is one of the most basic compatibility factors in a relationship, so it should be discussed after a few dates or so.

I kinda feel like something's missing from this story.

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by faangguyindia on Friday November 08, 2024 @05:27AM (#42085767)
Other than this, this is not how dating works.

Most people only ask "if you are open to having kids in future"

Followed by rough estimate of timeline which may or may not materialize with the same person.

A lot of people don't really know much about themselves, change their mind later, or give the compatible answers because they don't wanna lose the anticipated benefits of being with this person.

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by ulfw on Wednesday November 06, 2024 @10:29PM (#42073072)
Make this SACRIFICE for him?

Why does he need to breed 4 children?

This reads so awful

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by SnorkelTan on Thursday November 07, 2024 @12:02AM (#42073562)
I don’t think any native English speaker would use this word choice. Probably not a native English speaker… user name implies Indian.
Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by JambalayaJimbo on Thursday November 07, 2024 @09:43AM (#42077029)
What’s the problem with the phrasing? Having kids is a sacrifice, and especially for the woman who has to go through labour.
Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by yoyohello13 on Wednesday November 06, 2024 @10:35PM (#42073107)
This comment is a perfect example of my point…
Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by faangguyindia on Thursday November 07, 2024 @07:58PM (#42083008)
Explain?
Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by pyuser583 on Wednesday November 06, 2024 @11:14PM (#42073345)
Many countries have decades of explicit anti-natalist policies, including Japan.

Was it misogyny when official opinion shapers were demanding people have fewer kids, as some are still doing?

Feminists generally supported these efforts.

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by kelipso on Thursday November 07, 2024 @08:51AM (#42076632)
This is an important point that's usually under discussed. From the 70s onwards, you had multiple governments with anti-natalist policies from Malthusian fears. You had China with the one child policy for urban dwellers, in India max two children were encouraged if you want to be in polite society, feminism encouraged anti-natalist thinking in almost all countries. It was only relatively recently, maybe last 15 years, that concerns about low fertility rates started being discussed.
Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by yongjik on Wednesday November 06, 2024 @11:35PM (#42073440)
That's not really what's happening - in Korea, there are many young people, male and female, who would be willing to have kids if life is easier. They don't because they can't afford a house, or they don't want their kids to go through the brutal education system they suffered themselves.

Or they are simply overworked and don't have time to raise kids.

So, many "pro-birth" policies are aimed at helping women at work so that they don't have to sacrifice their career. But the government isn't doing much (our current president said people should be "allowed" to work 120 hours per week if they wanted to - and somehow still got elected), and what little policy Korea has is constantly attacked by conservative young men for being "sexist" because it's "feminist propaganda" that victimizes those poor young men.

And every year Korea slides further into population collapse.

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by lumost on Thursday November 07, 2024 @08:21AM (#42076412)
How much of this is due to housing price increases? It naively seems like rising house prices trigger an arms race in education and productivity among young people to afford housing.

If the labor quota is high enough… then nothing else will happen. GDP will rise, but individuals will steadily be sacrificing family, entertainment, and joy.

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by faangguyindia on Thursday November 07, 2024 @07:41PM (#42082862)
That's completely false.

People will say they want to.

But they'll not make necessary sacrifices because it's outside their comfort zone

There are poor countries than Korea where survival is way more difficult, yet they've kids.

It's not about money or affordability, it never was.

Poor people in any culture have more kids.

Your comment is not based in reality and comes across as if "if I was millionaire I'd have kids".

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by yongjik on Thursday November 07, 2024 @08:08PM (#42083083)
In poorer nations people have more children because, while life is hard, it doesn't get much harder if you have one more kid. You don't have to put your kid to 12 years of education; you don't have to worry about college fund. If you are a subsistence farmer life may actually get easier because a kid is a free labor.

That was also reflected in past Korean society where people frequently said the cost of one more kid is just "a spoon and a pair of chopsticks."

Very different from modern, industrialized Korea, where the lifetime cost of raising one kid equals multiple years of your salary. Unless you don't care about your kids and think they'll just sustain themselves by working in the rice paddy from age six to seventy.

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by faangguyindia on Thursday November 07, 2024 @08:42PM (#42083271)
Cost of baby in Modern Korea is risk to female figure, health, risk of death.

That perceived cost is above the cost of living of a baby.

That cannot be fixed by simply offering them more money.

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by yongjik on Friday November 08, 2024 @12:30AM (#42084433)
> Cost of baby in Modern Korea is risk to female figure, health, risk of death.

Okay, now you're just making stuff up.

Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by faangguyindia on Friday November 08, 2024 @05:25AM (#42085762)
That's the most cited fear in antinatal community
Re:Japan's declining births on track to fall below 700k by nasmorn on Friday November 08, 2024 @11:26AM (#42088068)
At least at 120 hours a week you no longer need a house and can just change at the gym instead.