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Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by Andaith on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @02:47AM (#41043238)
It's pretty brutal here in Australia.

Higher interest rates mean companies are aggressively reducing headcount.

Insanely high immigration means statistically for every 1 job being created we're importing 1.4 workers.

Job vacancies across the economy are down 16.4% yearly change according to ABS.

Also according to ABS, Job vacancies, change from February 2020 to May 2024, for IT is an increase of just 1.8%.

In summary, jobs market is getting ugly out there, triply so for IT.

The simple solution to this & the housing crisis is to restrict immigration, but instead we have record immigration because without it we'd be in recession(our economy grew 0.1% last quarter, GDP per capita went down).

Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by nopelynopington on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @03:18AM (#41043459)
This seems like a highly politicised answer

Australia has 1/3rd the population of the UK on a literal continent.

In Ireland we also have a housing crisis, because ironically all of our young construction workers have emigrated to Australia because there's a huge construction boom there. If you restricted immigration you'd have a bigger housing crisis

Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by spacebanana7 on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @03:32AM (#41043555)
Ireland also has some of the strictest planning laws in the world.

See the case study of a housing development of 52 flats that was prohibited because it’d harm the view out of a pub garden.

https://m.independent.ie/business/irish/smithfield-eight-sto...

Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by akmarinov on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @04:01AM (#41043716)
Not only that, but Australia has about as much population as Romania (26 vs 20 million)
Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by darkwizard42 on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @02:58AM (#41043311)
The solution to a housing crisis is to limit immigration? Wouldn’t it be to build more dense housing (thereby spurring economic activity and lowering a primary expense of households)???
Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by elzbardico on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @03:01AM (#41043343)
Sorry for interrupting your religious moment. But in the real world you need capital for that. There’s absolutely no fucking reason to consider immigration a human right.
Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by mejutoco on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @04:46PM (#41050632)
The human rights declaration

https://www.un.org/en/about-us/universal-declaration-of-huma...

There are reasons, although one might disagree with them.

Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by nvy on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @05:28PM (#41051118)
Article 13 absolutely does not imply that unrestricted immigration is a human right. To do so would be to stomp on national sovereignty.

Article 13 concerns freedom of movement within one's own country, and the right of return thereto.

Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by mejutoco on Tuesday July 30, 2024 @06:58AM (#41107854)
> There’s absolutely no fucking reason to consider immigration a human right.

Many articles in that document provide hints/the spirit of reasons one _might_ consider immigration a human right. I think it is easy to entertain the idea and think of potential reasons for it.

A different matter is if that is indeed the case (your point). Still, I believe there are good reasons for it: the human rights declaration points at many of them, in many different articles.

For example, here is one reason (even for self-interested people, Milton Friedman-style): equality of opportunity might give an opportunity to somebody who is more capable (who knows who is the next Einstein). It will? not necessarily. But it might? definitely, it might. That is one reason.

I a not naive in regards to implementation. But there are reasons (like the above) for considering it.

Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by shiroiushi on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @03:00AM (#41043334)
>Wouldn’t it be to build more dense housing

No, because the NIMBYs don't want that, and if the local government has power over whether dense housing is built or not, the NIMBYs will be sure to get their local legislators to prevent it.

Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by nvy on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @03:08AM (#41043388)
Here in Canada we literally cannot build housing fast enough. The government is targeting half a million immigrants annually, and we recently set an all-time housing starts record of only about half that number.

Sometimes it actually is immigration that is causing problems.

Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by trog on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @06:52AM (#41044653)
Same in Australia. The government keeps making big noise about these 'big' housing plans and then the number is like 30,000 new houses, which is enough for a couple months. There is zero systemic approach to this problem. I feel like I am going insane.
Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by renewiltord on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @03:05AM (#41043367)
Amusingly, this is one of those cases where it’s obviously correct and people jump through all sorts of hoops to not accept it.
Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by MrSS on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @03:01AM (#41043342)
Sooo the immigrants are the problem?

Or are the immigrants now the thing you need for growth?

Do you like or hate immigrants? Are you australian native or are you also an immigrant?

What type of immigrants do you get? Are a lot of high skilled IT people immigrating to australia?

Do you personally struggle or know people who suffer because of immigrants?

What would you do with immigrants?

Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by defrost on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @03:29AM (#41043539)
To clarify the comment made by another, they're not hating on immigrants neccesarily, modern Australia is built on immigration.

The sentiment is that right now things are tough and current immigration adds to current pressures.

See Graph 1.1: https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/population/overseas...

Australia has had steady net immigration for quite some time .. that fell in a hole during the pandemic and right now the net intake is much higher than it has ever been - it's the normal intake PLUS the backlog of everybody who didn;t come during lock down.

Australia has always coped with a steady level of intake, right now it's creaking under a much higher level than normal.

Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by MrSS on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @04:34AM (#41043925)
It would be great, if we talk about a topic like this, to give more insight why they think to simplify complex problems with the word immigrants.

I'm also pretty sure that people on hn are people who generally work globally (take opportunities remotly without even immigrating anywere), travel and or consider moving around the world as they see fit.

And your statistic is really interesting (pure curiosity) but most immigrants are coming on a temp visa. How much impact have 80.000 permanent visa immigrants in a year for one specific industry?

Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by trog on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @06:34AM (#41044561)
In Australia we had over 500,000 immigrants in 2023. Much higher than usual to account for decreased numbers in prior years due to COVID.

We only have 6 cities with populations bigger than 500k. We let in a number of people greater than the population of our capital city in one year.

I am not anti-immigration (I have two people in my team I've helped arrange visas for). But this insane number has seriously changed the fabric of our society in real, tangible ways, purely from the pressure it has put on the housing market.

We are already seeing anti-immigration rhetoric from the usual suspects and its only going to get worse.

A few weeks ago there were stories about recent immigrants heading back home because the opportunities here are few and the cost of living is so high there's no way they can live here (https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-06-08/why-these-immigrants-...). (I had an Uber driver tell me he's going back to India to open a gym because he can't afford to live here in Brisbane any more.)

And now literally today we're getting early warning signs of stress in the employment market, which is going to hurt the new immigrants the most (https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-07-23/economists-warn-unemp...).

Again - not anti-immigration. We /need/ it in Australia. There are many reasons why we're in the mess we're in and not all of them are immigration. But at the end of the day our housing market is completely fucked and the flow on effects from this are dramatic. I don't think we're simplifying the problem down to "immigration" but it's simply undeniable that it is a factor in our current situation.

Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by meiraleal on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @06:50AM (#41044645)
Please, kick out all the brazilians that invaded your country. They are more skilled than the average brazilian that didnt emigrate and we sure need those here. It makes no sense to be the scapegoat of unhappy extremists in australia or any other country
Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by defrost on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @07:03AM (#41044711)
> It makes no sense to be the scapegoat of unhappy extremists

Check the tone of the comments by myself and troy above, we're a mostly friendly nation happy to meet people from across the globe, currently something like 25% of the Australian population was born overseas.

If you look at the graph I linked in a comment above you can see the current pressure - way more new people arriving than normal .. overstressing the existing means for absorbing fresh meat into the BBQ Borg collective.

The extremists we have a few but feral .. we have small pockets of bush nazis and some leafy suburbs with nervous elders who remember a distant White Australia policy. I think they're most worried about the first people moving in next door: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hu0_Hb7QRlw

Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by MrSS on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @08:56AM (#41045483)
You are growing for over a decade now. Thats crazy anyway. How is it that its now a problem?

With the graph above, australia gained in avg 200k people per year

Re:Ask HN: What do you guys think of the current job market ... by trog on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @05:35PM (#41051196)
> How is it that its now a problem?

Dealing with an average of 200k has been manageable (well, some would argue with this - we still haven't been building enough houses, but leaving that aside).

If you look at 2023 specifically the raw number of people was over 500k - more than double the average. It was a surge that the housing market - amongst other things - simply was not prepared for.

I think the job stats are starting to reflect that these people did not suddenly all become gainfully employed, as well - I have thought for a while that there might be a more serious crash if we enter a recession because of this surge.