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Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by visarga on Sunday July 14, 2024 @02:12PM (#40962366)
> Whether "just curve fitting" is enough to produce something "intelligent" is, IMO, currently unanswered

Continual "curve fitting" to the real world can create intelligence. What is missing is not something inside the model. It's missing a mechanism to explore, search and expand its experience.

Our current crop of LLMs ride on human experience, they have not largely participated in creating their own experiences. That's why people call it imitation learning or parroting. But once models become more agentic they can start creating useful experiences on their own. AlphaZero did it.

Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by elijahbenizzy on Sunday July 14, 2024 @03:48PM (#40962791)
There are a whole bunch of assumptions here. But sure, if you view the world as a closed system, then you have a decision as a function of inputs:

1. The world around you 2. The experiences within your (really, the past view of the world around you) 3. Innateness of you (sure, this could be 2 but I think it's also something else) 4. The experience you find + the way you change yourself to impact (1), (2), and (3)

If you think of intelligence as all of these, then you're making the assumption that all that's required for (2), (3), and (4) is "agentic systems", which I think skips a few steps (as the author of an agent framework myself...). All this is to say that "what makes intelligence" is largely unsolved, and nobody really knows, because we actually don't understand this ourselves.

Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by soist on Sunday July 14, 2024 @02:28PM (#40962450)
AlphaZero did not create any experiences. AlphaZero was software written by people to play board games and that's all it ever did.
Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by visarga on Sunday July 14, 2024 @04:25PM (#40963022)
AZ trained in self-play mode for millions of games, over multiple generations of a player pool.
Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by soist on Sunday July 14, 2024 @04:48PM (#40963120)
I am familiar with the literature on reinforcement learning.
Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by pharrington on Sunday July 14, 2024 @05:42PM (#40963404)
They're saying the board games AlphaZero played with itself are experiences.
Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by soist on Sunday July 14, 2024 @08:08PM (#40964234)
And I am saying they are confused because they are attributing personal characteristics to computers and software. By spelling out what computers are doing it becomes very obvious that there is nothing that can be aware of any experiences in computers as it is all simply a sequence of arithmetic operations. If you can explain which sequence of arithmetic operations corresponds to "experiences" in computers then you might be less confused than all the people who keep claiming computers can think and feel.
Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by nyssos on Sunday July 14, 2024 @10:04PM (#40964729)
> By spelling out what computers are doing it becomes very obvious that there is nothing that can be aware of any experiences in computers as it is all simply a sequence of arithmetic operations.

By spelling out what brains are doing it becomes very obvious that it's all simply a sequence of chemical reactions - and yet here we are, having experiences. Software will never have a human experience - but neither will a chimp, or an octopus, or a Zeta-Reticulan.

Mammalian neurons are not the only possible substrate for intelligence; if they're the only possible substrate for consciousness, then the fact that we're conscious is an inexplicable miracle.

Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by godelski on Sunday July 14, 2024 @11:22PM (#40965022)
If an algorithmic process is an experience and a collection of experiences is intelligence then we get some pretty wild conclusions that I don't think most people would be attempting to claim as it'd make them sound like a lunatic (or a hippy).

Consider the (algorithmic) mechanical process of screwing in a screw into a board. This screw has an "experience" and therefore intelligence. So... The screw is intelligent? Very low intelligence, but intelligent according to this definition.

But we have an even bigger problem. There's the metaset of experiences, that's the collection of several screws (or the screw, board, and screwdriver together). So we now have a meta intelligence! And we have several because there's the different operations on these sets to perform.

You might be okay with this or maybe you're saying it needs memory. If the later you hopefully quickly realize this means a classic computer is intelligent but due to the many ways information can be stored it does not solve our above conundrum.

So we must then come to the conclusion that all things AND any set of things have intelligence. Which kinda makes the whole discussion meaningless. Or, we must need a more refined definition of intelligence which more closely reflects what people actually are trying to convey when they use this word.

Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by nyssos on Monday July 15, 2024 @01:29AM (#40965492)
> If an algorithmic process is an experience and a collection of experiences is intelligence

Neither, what I'm saying is that the observable correlates of experience are the observable correlates of intelligence - saying that "humans are X therefore humans are Y, software is X but software is not Y" is special pleading. The most defensible positions here are illusionism about consciousness altogether (humans aren't Y) or a sort of soft panpsychism (X really does imply Y). Personally I favor the latter. Some sort of threshold model where the lights turn on at a certain point seems pretty sketchy to me, but I guess isn't ruled out. But GP, as I understand them, is claiming that biology doesn't even supervene on physics, which is a wild claim.

> Or, we must need a more refined definition of intelligence which more closely reflects what people actually are trying to convey when they use this word.

Well that's the thing, I don't think people are trying to convey any particular thing. I think they're trying to find some line - any line - which allows them to write off non-animal complex systems as philsophically uninteresting. Same deal as people a hundred years ago trying to find a way to strictly separate humans from nonhuman animals.

Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by gowld on Monday July 15, 2024 @04:19PM (#40971141)
Continuing this reductio ad abusrdum, you might reach the fallactious conclusion, as some famous cranks in the past did, that intelligence is even found in plants, animals, women, and even the uncivilized savages of the new continent.

Intelligence appears in gradients, not a simple binary.

Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by godelski on Monday July 15, 2024 @07:31PM (#40972393)
> Intelligence appears in gradients, not a simple binary.

Sure, I'm in no way countering such a notion and your snarky comment is a gross mischaracterization of my comment. So far off I have a difficult time believing it isn't intentional.

The "surprise" is not that plants, animals, or even women turn out to be intelligent under the definition of "collection of experiences" but that rocks have intelligence, atom, photons, and even more confusingly groups of photons, the set of all doors, the set of all doors that such that only one door per city exists in the same set. Or any number of meta collections. This is the controversial part, not women being intelligent. Plants are still up for debate, but I'm very open to a broad definition of intelligence.

But the issue is that I, and the general fields of cognitive science, neuroscience, psychology, and essentially everyone except for a subset of computer scientists, agree that intelligence is more than a collection of experiences (including if that collection has memory). In other words, it is more than a Turing Machine. What that more is, is debated but it is still generally agreed upon that intelligence requires abstraction, planning, online learning, and creativity. But all these themselves have complicated nuanced definitions that are much more than what the average person thinks they mean. But that's a classic issue where academics use the same words normal people do but have far more restrictions on their meaning. Which often confuses the average person when they are unwilling to accept this fact that words can have different meanings under different contexts (despite that we all do this quite frequently and such a concept exists in both our comments).

Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by sebastiennight on Tuesday July 23, 2024 @07:30AM (#41044867)
You seem to use the word intelligence to mean `consciousness` (if you replaced the first with the latter I would agree with your argument).

I would define "intelligence" as (1) the ability to learn or understand or to deal with new or trying situations and (2) the ability to apply knowledge to manipulate one's environment.

It turns out that this is also the Merriam-Webster definition [0]. By that definition, yes AlphaZero was learning and understanding how to deal with situations and is intelligent, and yes most machine-learning systems and many other systems that have a specific goal and manipulate data/the environment to optimize for that goal, are intelligent.

By this definition, a non-living, non-conscious entity can be intelligent.

And intelligence has nothing to do with "experiences" (which seem to belong in the "consciousness" debate).

[0]: https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/intelligence

Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by soist on Sunday July 14, 2024 @10:11PM (#40964760)
This is a common retort. You can read my other comments if you want to understand why you're not really addressing my points because I have already addressed how reductionism does not apply to living organisms but it does apply to computers.
Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by Dylan16807 on Monday July 15, 2024 @01:54AM (#40965586)
The comments where you demand an instruction set for the brain, or else you'll dismiss any argument saying its actions can be computed? Even after people explained that lots of computers don't even have instruction sets?

And where you decide to assume that non-computable physics happens in the brain based on no evidence?

What a waste of time. You "addressed" it in a completely meaningless way.

Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by rocqua on Sunday July 14, 2024 @07:43PM (#40964094)
Are you launching into a semantic argument about the word 'experience'? If so, it might help to state what essential properties alphago was missing that makes it 'not having an experience'.

Otherwise this can quickly devolve into the common useless semantic discussion.

Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by soist on Sunday July 14, 2024 @08:08PM (#40964231)
Just making sure no one is confused by common computationalist sophistry and how they attribute personal characteristics to computers and software. People can have and can create experiences, computers can only execute their programmed instructions.
Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by HeatrayEnjoyer on Sunday July 14, 2024 @09:51PM (#40964678)
On what priors are you making that statement?
Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by soist on Sunday July 14, 2024 @10:03PM (#40964725)
Rephrase your question. I don't know what you're asking.
Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by nertirs on Monday July 15, 2024 @03:28AM (#40965904)
I think he meant to ask, what is the difference between an experience and a predefined instruction?
Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by gowld on Monday July 15, 2024 @04:16PM (#40971117)
Username `soist is an abbreviation for `solipsist, then?
Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by godelski on Sunday July 14, 2024 @10:53PM (#40964918)
> Continual "curve fitting" to the real world can create intelligence.

I'm going to need a citation on this bold claim. And by that I mean in the same vein as what Carl Sagan would say

  Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence
Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by Grimblewald on Monday July 15, 2024 @06:17PM (#40971935)
I'd simply argue what we do is precisley that, so either we are intelligent, or we are not, however we might define that intelligence.
Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by kgeist on Monday July 15, 2024 @02:01AM (#40965609)
>It's missing a mechanism to explore, search and expand its experience.

Can't we create an agent system which can search the internet and choose what data to train itself with?

Re:Fitting an Elephant with Four Non-Zero Parameters by Xcode23 on Monday July 15, 2024 @03:18AM (#40965869)
you need to define what the utility function of the agent is so it can know what to actually use to train itself. If we knew that this whole debate about human intelligence in computers would either be solved already or well on its way to being solved.