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Re:Women Who Code Closing by atleastoptimal on Thursday April 18, 2024 @09:02PM (#40082418)
Apprentice plumbers get paid because they do economically valuable work. As someone learning to code you're not doing anything valuable so you don't get paid.

The reason why coding pays so well is because it's IQ-gated in a way that plumbing isn't. An 80 IQ person can be a competent plumber but couldn't do well in most coding jobs.

Re:Women Who Code Closing by strix_varius on Thursday April 18, 2024 @09:43PM (#40082672)
"IQ-gated?" Please, let's not be so self congratulatory.

The plumber who works on my house is easily as smart as I am. A successful software engineering career has brought me financial independence but I'm not particularly brilliant. Most of the folks I've worked with in FAANG aren't either. We're just normal people making a living during a very lucky period for a specific type of nerd.

Re:Women Who Code Closing by atleastoptimal on Thursday April 18, 2024 @10:20PM (#40082861)
Most people who work in engineering and science tend to be more intelligent than those who work in blue-collar jobs. Exceptions do not invalidate this general trend. The fact that most tech job interviews are questions that are as close as possible to a live IQ-test further supports this premise. There is a premium on abstract reasoning that limits the number of people who can be successful software engineers, especially at places that pay a lot (FAANG, etc.) To ignore this fact is nice sounding but generally wishful thinking.
Re:Women Who Code Closing by nunez on Thursday April 18, 2024 @10:35PM (#40082929)
That is definitely not true. The trades are hard as shit and dealing with the "standards" vs reality situations that they deal with day in day out is exhausting just to read.
Re:Women Who Code Closing by atleastoptimal on Thursday April 18, 2024 @10:41PM (#40082968)
They are hard and there are many smart people working in the trades. I am not disagreeing with this premise. It is still difficult to outright deny the general intelligence gap between those who work in manual labor/trades jobs and those who work in STEM professions. Of course there are different types of intelligence.

There are figures starting on page 80 in this document that support this claim: https://gwern.net/doc/iq/ses/2002-hauser.pdf

Re:Women Who Code Closing by strix_varius on Friday April 19, 2024 @09:12AM (#40086395)
You're using data from 1944, based on fixed-pay government jobs, to support a claim that private sector software engineering is well-paid, in 2024, due to "IQ gating." The irony is hard to miss.
Re:Women Who Code Closing by atleastoptimal on Friday April 19, 2024 @04:55PM (#40091794)
1. it’s a good study because they gave the army intelligence test to everyone who came in, so little selection bias

2. a job doesn’t necessarily pay well just because it does require a high IQ. Scientists in a research lab, professorships, academic research all likely have more intelligent people on average yet don’t pay as well as software engineering.

3. The study still shows a routine and reliable difference in average IQ between those who work in manual jobs/trades and those who work in science/engineering

Software engineering in the US is well paid, yes, partially due to economic effects and impact of software in and of itself, but it is, especially in FAANG, a profession with a very high concentration of people near the higher end of normal and above in the IQ spectrum, which leads to implicit selection criteria regarding intellectual capacities in employment.

Re:Women Who Code Closing by nwiswell on Friday April 19, 2024 @05:03PM (#40091861)
#2 actually undercuts your argument about "IQ gating". Pay for software engineers is the product of supply and demand, and the absurd salaries clearly have much more to do with the demand side of the equation because of explosive growth in tech; if it really had to do with supply due to "IQ gating", then research scientists, professors, etc would make more.

In any event there is more recent data (1992-4) that confirms that the differential is still present. This is maybe unpleasant to confront because it's self-congratulatory and has obvious class implications, but it's also pretty obviously true.

See page 89 / figure 12:

https://users.ssc.wisc.edu/~hauser/merit_01_081502_complete....

Re:Women Who Code Closing by justinclift on Thursday April 18, 2024 @11:16PM (#40083127)
Perhaps it's the smart tradies that like a job where they can knock off at the end of the day, and not have to think about it at all until the next day?

And not be called in the middle of the night to fix broken stuff?

That last item might not apply so well to plumbers specifically ("my shitter broke!"), but it does to most other trades. :)

Re:Women Who Code Closing by Turing_Machine on Friday April 19, 2024 @12:18AM (#40083387)
> An 80 IQ person can be a competent plumber

That is wildly incorrect.

This kind of snobbery toward the skilled trades needs to stop.

Edit:

https://quizlet.com/test/journeymans-plumbing-practice-test-...

A person with an IQ of 80 is not going to pass that test. He might get a job as a gofer, cleaner, general dogsbody, and "dude who has to carry all the heavy shit" for a plumbing contractor, but that doesn't make him a plumber.

Re:Women Who Code Closing by atleastoptimal on Friday April 19, 2024 @03:32AM (#40084261)
https://gwern.net/doc/iq/ses/2002-hauser.pdf

Look at the chart on page 85

An IQ of around 80 or a little more is around the 25th percentile for a large portion of trades jobs.

Re:Women Who Code Closing by Turing_Machine on Friday April 19, 2024 @05:22PM (#40092055)
You mean what they call "crafts occupations"?

There again, you (and they) are making the mistake of lumping all of "those people" together.

Someone with an IQ of 80 could probably be a decent drywaller or roofer, maybe a mediocre framing carpenter or painter.

A good plumber or good electrician?

Not a chance in hell.

Re:Women Who Code Closing by beezlebroxxxxxx on Thursday April 18, 2024 @09:26PM (#40082556)
> The reason why coding pays so well is because it's IQ-gated in a way that plumbing isn't.

Uh, what? I was with you until that part. Coding pays so well because the operating costs are low and the returns/profits are enormous for companies. Tech companies are "cheap" in a way other companies can't be. IQ doesn't really have much to do with it. I know plumbers who are technically brilliant and I know very well paid coders who regularly say things that make me question their intelligence.

Re:Women Who Code Closing by nwiswell on Thursday April 18, 2024 @09:46PM (#40082688)
> Coding pays so well because the operating costs are low and the returns/profits are enormous for companies.

Unrelated. Coding pays well because of the tight labor supply compared to the demand. Companies NEVER direct excess value to labor. Extracting surplus value from labor is sorta the whole deal with capitalism.

> I know plumbers who are technically brilliant

Also not relevant. The argument is that it isn't necessary to be brilliant in order to be a competent plumber, not that it would actually preclude you.

> I know very well paid coders who regularly say things that make me question their intelligence.

Do you think that's actually a good measure of intelligence? How are you normalizing it against the population, people you don't work with, and/or plumbers generally?

The question to ask is, "taking a random sample of persons having 80 IQ, half of whom intend to pursue a career in software and half who intend to pursue a career in plumbing, what is the relative success rate (for some reasonable measure of 'success')?"

Re:Women Who Code Closing by never_inline on Thursday April 18, 2024 @10:36PM (#40082938)
> The reason why coding pays so well is because it's IQ-gated in a way that plumbing isn't. An 80 IQ person can be a competent plumber but couldn't do well in most coding jobs.

Most of the work we do is mundane. Lets not be dishonest.

Re:Women Who Code Closing by atleastoptimal on Thursday April 18, 2024 @10:42PM (#40082976)
I agree, but that's true for every job.
Re:Women Who Code Closing by rufus_foreman on Friday April 19, 2024 @01:19AM (#40083660)
I hope you someday live somewhere where the plumber has an IQ of 80.

You will be in a world of shit.

Re:Women Who Code Closing by atleastoptimal on Friday April 19, 2024 @03:34AM (#40084270)
I feel people implicitly massively underestimate the capabilities of someone with an IQ of 80. 10 percent of the population has an IQ of around 80 or lower. Are 10 percent of the population really so fundamentally incapable of being even a plumber with extensive training?
Re:Women Who Code Closing by sokoloff on Friday April 19, 2024 @07:21AM (#40085412)
I think you might be over-estimating the skills of the bottom 10% (or under-estimating the skills needed to be a plumber).

The US Army currently rejects applicants who score lower than 31 on the ASVAB (roughly 92 on the IQ scale, about 30th percentile). I’m pretty sure there are Army jobs that can be done with less need for intellect than that needed to be a plumber.

I don’t think that the lowest 10% of the population is generally capable of being a plumber. They are capable of doing some of the work done by plumbing companies, but the plumbing code is lengthy, in large part because people’s lives are literally at stake and the actual plumber (the license-holder) has to keep that straight in their head, apply the relevant parts to the varied job site requirements, turn blueprints into working plumbing systems, etc.

Plumbing is a lot more than remembering “shit flows downhill, don’t lick your fingers, Friday is payday.”

Sample plumber exam: https://www.tests.com/practice/plumbing-practice-test

Re:Women Who Code Closing by elktown on Friday April 19, 2024 @08:02AM (#40085719)
> The reason why coding pays so well is because it's IQ-gated in a way that plumbing isn't.

Pretty rich by someone with a comment history littered with AI delusions:

> AI will largely replace software developers very soon, along with most professions.*

That doesn't strike me as a very intelligent take.

* https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=39822358

Re:Women Who Code Closing by atleastoptimal on Friday April 19, 2024 @05:00PM (#40091836)
people are losing their jobs at a rapid rate now due to AI. People who can’t see the trends and think AI will simply stop improving, or that humans have some intractable capacity that no machine could ever replicate is very wishful thinking.

My opinion is also shared by a lot of intelligent researchers (like Hinton). Is he deluded, as you put it?

Re:Women Who Code Closing by elktown on Saturday April 20, 2024 @09:11AM (#40097121)
> people are losing their jobs at a rapid rate now due to AI

No, they aren't.

> Is he deluded, as you put it?

I don't know what each for your apostles has said. But anyone who claims that with just a hyped up LLM behind them is.