Re:A confusing probability question: Red and Green Balls in ...
by russdill on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @06:38PM
(#39197570)
50%. With current knowledge N is either 100 or 99 with an equal probability.
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Re:A confusing probability question: Red and Green Balls in ...
by addandsubtract on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @07:24PM
(#39198012)
No, the chance of it being red is much higher. If there's one green ball in the jar, than all previous draws would've needed to avoid the green one. The chances of that happening are way less than 50%.
Re:A confusing probability question: Red and Green Balls in ...
by a_cardboard_box on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @07:17PM
(#39197961)
Initially there is an equal chance that there are 99 or 100 red balls.
But if there is a green ball, it is unlikely to be the last picked. So the fact that you saw 99 red balls makes it unlikely there is a green ball.