They will, the question that really matters is will developers. Is the case for DIY that compelling amongst European companies? I think it will cost companies more to rebuild their own walled garden then what it's worth. I suspect we're not going to see much change, and that most will stick with what they have. There doesn't seem to be any financial incentive to leave at this point.

You know these rules were drafted in cooperation with the EU right? Vestager was at Apple's HQ 2 weeks ago, and the EU spends millions to keep a regulator presence in Silicon Valley.

The commission knows they really don't have much to stand on, if they go any farther they know other EU countries are going to step in again (these rules are not very popular anymore after GDPR and now that the EU is falling even farther behind the USA economically).

The EU commission is a lot less powerful than a lot of terminally online Americans like to believe. EU courts constantly rule against them for overstepping their bounds and they have been caught submitting fake evidence before (see: Qualcomm case)

Apple didn't make this up 2 weeks ago.

One interesting switch up could be the EU elections this year.

Right, Far-right and EU-sceptic parties are predicted to become much stronger.

So their stance might change on some topics

I wouldn't expect so

The european far right are hardly fans of large American tech companies

now, if they were domestic, that would be entirely different

> Right, Far-right and EU-sceptic parties are predicted to become much stronger.

Those parties are running predominantly on nationalism and populism. If anything they will be happy to screw US tech companies even more.

The parliament is hardly relevant though, it's pretty much a joke. The non directly elected commission and council control EU's policy.

Not true at all.

No law like the DMA passes without the approval of parliament and the council of member states. In fact, all the details are hashed out between these two bodies with little to no say from the commission.

BTW: The way the commission is selected is one step removed from the voters but this principle is not too uncommon in European parliamentary democracies. For example the German or Austrian Chancellors or the prime ministers of Italy ,Spain, Sweden, Denmark, Poland are elected in a similar fashion.

> Right, Far-right and EU-sceptic parties are predicted to become much stronger.

Do they have a much more favorable attitude towards American tech giants than whoever is in power now?

If anything they’re in Putin’s pocket, not in Big Tech’s pocket.

And if that's the case, I'd expect them to be more hostile to American tech companies than European social democrats, because those companies are instruments of American power.