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Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by atourgates on Wednesday January 24, 2024 @03:13PM (#39122053)
Most of it is much more opportunistic than that example.

> "But over the course of the task force’s existence, which lasted nearly a year, only 34 of the roughly 700 people arrested or cited for stealing from trains were part of these organized crews. Many more were just passers-by or unhoused people living near the tracks in R.V.s or makeshift structures who just happened to pick up fallen boxes."

It's just one datapoint, but under 5% of the thefts this specific taskforce identified were perpretrated by organized groups. Most were essentially opportunistic thefts by individuals on the margins of society.

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by spenczar5 on Wednesday January 24, 2024 @03:20PM (#39122142)
Careful, there: 5% of the people arrested or cited. That is not the same as 5% of the thefts (one would expect the professionals do more than their share of the thieving) or even 5% of the thieves (one might believe that pros are less likely to get caught).
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by ysavir on Wednesday January 24, 2024 @05:14PM (#39123309)
It's also not representative of the quantity of stolen cargo. Even if it's 5% of thefts, that 5% could be responsible for 60% of stolen cargo.
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by dotancohen on Thursday January 25, 2024 @03:17AM (#39127377)
This is such a great example of lying with statistics. I know that it was not deliberate, which is why the lie is so effective. Even the teller believes it to be true.
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by HenryBemis on Thursday January 25, 2024 @03:45AM (#39127521)
> I know that it was not deliberate

Although I never underestimate human stupidity or laziness for misrepresentation of numbers/statistics/etc, it's usually some poor SME that writes the report, and then the Manager sees the "60%", freaks out, asks the SME to rewrite making it softer, and thus the truth is (given a serious effort to be hidden).

I've been writing audit, security, and other reports a big part of my life. I tend to write numbers in the form of "5 out of 100 X (5%) examined, regarding the Y process, failed due to..". It freaks out anyone who reads my reports, but, hey, they pay me for accuracy and truth. Once I send it (and it's 'untouched' on my Sent Items), they can do whatever they want with it, as long as they put THEIR names & signatures in the bottom if they change a single word (sorry for the cynicism but there exists no corporate hill that I want to die on) - also you never know when a regulator will come back 6.5 years later and ask about THAT job scheduler that was transferring £€$5bn per day between X-system and Y-system.

I cannot recount the AMOUNT of times my report has 'softer' writing in the end, and it's their prerogative. But "it's not deliberate"????? No way in hell!!! Manager --> Director --> C-suite --> Audit Committee --> Regulator. EVERYONE will change a couple of words, and instead of a dumpster fire (Red) it will end up being Yellow.

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by Chris2048 on Thursday January 25, 2024 @06:12AM (#39128332)
Maybe there should be official guidelines for stats communication that require a certain level of legalise-like specify. No more "there is no evidence for.." of the sci world.
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by Chris2048 on Thursday January 25, 2024 @06:11AM (#39128327)
The phrase "who just happened to pick up fallen boxes" suggests the boxes had already left the train at that point? Not the same as entering the train.
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by pooper on Thursday January 25, 2024 @07:18AM (#39128739)
This just sounds like the police not doing its job. Or rather doing busy work to avoid doing its job.

Previously on reddit https://old.reddit.com/r/facepalm/comments/ree4ef/this_huge_...

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by RecycledEle on Thursday January 25, 2024 @08:44AM (#39129477)
I expect members of organize gangs do want to not admit to being members of such gangs. I would expect to hear a slurred version of "I just wanted something and I saw a box. I'm homeless. I don't have a name. They never told me when I was born. I didn't grow up like you did."
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by dragonwriter on Wednesday January 24, 2024 @03:40PM (#39122367)
> It's just one datapoint, but under 5% of the thefts this specific taskforce identified were perpretrated by organized groups.

5% of the people arrested, not 5% of the thefts.

“Less sophisticated thieves are more likely to be arrested” isn’t a surprising result.

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by pixl97 on Wednesday January 24, 2024 @06:29PM (#39124079)
Yep, much harder to get caught if you have a team monitoring for police activity and a ready get away car and they know where to hit with the highest response times.
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by gorlilla on Thursday January 25, 2024 @06:57AM (#39128576)
It's still accurate in the sense of proximate cause. Each theft event is a singular event composed of one or possibly multiple items being stolen.
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by dragonwriter on Thursday January 25, 2024 @10:37AM (#39130628)
> It's still accurate in the sense of proximate cause

Its not, though.

> Each theft event is a singular event composed of one or possibly multiple items being stolen.

Even if you ignore that the arrest rate likely isn't consistent between the two groups, that doesn't make the arrest proportion “accurate in the sense of oroxinate cause” unless you assume also that the organized vs. disorganized arrested parties are responsible for the same number of theft events per individual.

All the proportion of individuals arrested in the theft ring vs. not actually tells you is the proportion if individuals areested. It doesn't tell you the proportion of “theft events” or the proportion of $ valie of theft or anything else.

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by londons_explore on Wednesday January 24, 2024 @05:41PM (#39123583)
> who just happened to pick up fallen boxes

I wonder if any of those 'fallen' boxes were deliberately dropped in an area covered by CCTV just to catch opportunistic thieves?

It would certainly be a good way to catch one type of thief while entirely missing the biggest heists.

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by 0cf8612b2e1e on Wednesday January 24, 2024 @06:22PM (#39124024)
If you pick up a box off the road, are you a thief?
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by sandworm101 on Wednesday January 24, 2024 @06:27PM (#39124070)
Yes. The fact that property is unguarded doesn't render it free to any random person. You can legitimately safeguard something, such as moving it off the road, but once you open the box or take the box home, you are a thief. And if the box is sitting on railroad property, you are likely guilty of attempted theft as soon as you pick it up. Also trespassing.
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by pi-e-sigma on Wednesday January 24, 2024 @06:50PM (#39124264)
What you say is not true in the slightest. In a lot of the US jurisdictions you can keep what you found provided you report it to the authorities and nobody claims it in some time frame. In other cases you can take what you found if you found it on your land etc. Lots of various laws apply, depending where you live and what exactly you found. If it was likely to be intentionally left where you found it to be later picked up again, or if it was intentionally abandoned etc. You can even take legal ownership of land that you and the authorities know is not yours provided you use it long enough (adverse possession) and you think a random box left by the side of the road is somehow untouchable?
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by sandworm101 on Wednesday January 24, 2024 @07:28PM (#39124609)
Not for amazon boxes that fall off trucks.
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by londons_explore on Wednesday January 24, 2024 @09:30PM (#39125561)
Amazon isn't gonna go to the police station to claim their lost box... So actually, this would probably work to legally claim an amazon box.
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by NoZebra120vClip on Thursday January 25, 2024 @12:37AM (#39126536)
How would that work?

If you find an object with no obvious owner, you either leave it where it lies, or you report it by turning it in somewhere. To the business where you found it, or the Lost & Found department of the transit authority, or the police if all else fails.

I don't see anyone calling up the police to say, "Hi, I found <item> and I'll keep it until someone comes over here to claim it!" because the only people coming over will be the police themselves.

Every place with a Lost & Found service, and the police, regularly liquidate the unclaimed property. You can find lists and auctions on your civic website if they're selling the stuff. They may also donate it to charity or destroy it.

The police or anyone else are not going to stick a tag on a box with your name and number so you can come to claim it after the grace period elapses. That's not how claiming stuff works.

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by avar on Thursday January 25, 2024 @07:28AM (#39128828)
Yes, why wouldn't it work like that?

If a package falls off a truck in front of your house you can pick it up and inform the authorities, who'll in turn inform the owner.

If the police or owner care enough to pick it up they can have it, but presumably there's cases where they can't be bothered, then it becomes abandoned property and you can keep it.

Just because you find abandoned property you don't need to go out of your way to mail it to the owner, just inform them and they can come to you.

The "why not just leave it?" aspect of this is easily defended, if the package e.g. contains electronics they'd be damaged by exposure to the elements.

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by dagw on Thursday January 25, 2024 @08:50AM (#39129518)
The police or anyone else are not going to stick a tag on a box with your name and number so you can come to claim it after the grace period elapses

This of course varies a lot by jurisdiction, but yes, in many places that is exactly what the police will do.

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by lupusreal on Thursday January 25, 2024 @05:34AM (#39128119)
We shouldn't even be humoring the premise of boxes falling off trains without thieves deliberately breaking into the trains in the first place.
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by pooper on Thursday January 25, 2024 @07:25AM (#39128798)
I don't think it is so clear cut.

One hypothetical scenario:

1. Thieves stop a train somehow, spill containers for distraction, run away with valuables.

2. Idiots see stuff lying on the ground and go pick it up causing chaos and confusion.

3. Police arrest some of the idiots. Win win. Thieves go away free and police can claim they arrested some people. This also pads their numbers. Politicians can pretend they were not asleep at the wheel with organized crime under their nose because look only 5% of arrests were organized crime. All we needed to do is arrest more homeless people.

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by solatic on Thursday January 25, 2024 @01:49AM (#39126930)
> nobody claims it in some time frame

You have some nerve to equivocate between an anonymous object bearing no clues as to its ownership and a box with an address label on it signifying exactly to whom the parcel belongs. How do you blame an owner who likely lives hundreds if not thousands of miles away for not contacting every police precinct along the shipping path instead of expecting someone who finds the parcel to simply return it to the shipping company so that they can finish the job?

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by Mordisquitos on Thursday January 25, 2024 @03:14AM (#39127367)
A more generous quote of GP comment provides the answer:

> provided you report it to the authorities and nobody claims it in some time frame

One would expect that "report it to the authorities" covers that problem. The authorities will take care of either contacting the shipping company and letting them know, instructing you on how to do it yourself, or even take possession of the package to return it themselves.

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by Chris2048 on Thursday January 25, 2024 @06:15AM (#39128344)
In that case you'd maybe leave the parcel where it is?
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by neilkk on Thursday January 25, 2024 @03:30AM (#39127445)
The package in transit belongs to Amazon not to the addressee.
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by Chris2048 on Thursday January 25, 2024 @06:18AM (#39128364)
Not sure if this is same in US, but where I am the railway tracks and a fair bit of land alongside it it the property of the railway and usually appropriately fenced and signposted. A dropped or fallen parcel is highly likely to be located on that land and thus not public.

I'd say an anonymous parcel on private land is the concern of the landowner, even with a right-of-way.

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by sandworm101 on Thursday January 25, 2024 @10:56AM (#39130889)
Amazon boxes are not anonymous. Even without a lable, it is clear to whome it belongs.
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by pixl97 on Wednesday January 24, 2024 @06:30PM (#39124098)
The difference in the road and a train track is one of public and private property. The train track is not public property and even walking down it can lead to an arrest for trespassing, much less picking up boxes and carrying them off.
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by Terr_ on Thursday January 25, 2024 @12:30AM (#39126501)
That particular distinction doesn't really matter: If I drop my wallet in the street and someone finds it and takes all my cash, that's theft regardless of whether it landed on the public road or a short distance away on a private driveway. (Also, I don't think anyone would consider it "finders keepers" if the thief started using the credit-cards!)

So it's theft either way, but the private-ness of the zone may mean additional crimes are getting committed, such as trespassing and/or burglary. (Or worse variations of the same crime, depending on how the laws are written.)

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by ttt11199907 on Thursday January 25, 2024 @12:55AM (#39126619)
Would it still be theft if the money in your wallet was money that you found on the street the day before?
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by Terr_ on Thursday January 25, 2024 @02:18AM (#39127074)
Huh? Thieving from a thief is still theft, the same way that raping a rapist is still rape.

(Also even when a wily Sicilian complains that "You're trying to kidnap what I've rightfully stolen".)

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by pi-e-sigma on Thursday January 25, 2024 @06:27AM (#39128420)
You are wrong. In most jurisdictions theft is defined as taking something away from the legal owner. If what you said was true then taking away your own property from the thief who stole it would also be a theft.
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by Terr_ on Thursday January 25, 2024 @12:35PM (#39132169)
No, that's now the scenario the parent poster gave: They never even suggested that the Wallet-Taker was somehow the true legal owner of the cash!

All they said is that the other person, Wallet-Dropper, is something less than the prima facie legal owner. This permits several possibilities, but in every case Wallet-Taker still seems to be doing something wrong:

1. If Wallet-Dropper is a thief, then Wallet-Taker is just a thief stealing from a thief.

2. If Wallet-Dropper is the well-meaning temporary custodian of unclaimed property that they cannot (yet) claim as their own, then Wallet-Taker is a thief, taking to deprive the legal owner (wherever they are) of their property.

3. If Wallet-Dropper is the new legal owner of the discovered cash, that's theft by Wallet-Taker no matter how much you think Wallet-Dropper "didn't really earn it."

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by pixl97 on Thursday January 25, 2024 @10:21AM (#39130447)
There are two sides of the law.

What is written in the books.

What is practiced by law enforcement and the judicial system.

So while dropping your wallet in the street may technically be a crime, the idea that law enforcement is going to go about seeking justice for the infraction is pretty much laughable in the vast majority of situations unless there is a large amount of corroborating evidence.

>(Also, I don't think anyone would consider it "finders keepers" if the thief started using the credit-cards!)

I mean, that is its own separate crime, and the only one likely to be punished as there is a direct evidence chain where you're accessing an account without permission and performing the act of theft.

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by londons_explore on Wednesday January 24, 2024 @06:28PM (#39124078)
In my moral view, yes you are if you do not make at least a minimal effort to locate the properties true owner. For example, calling the phone number written on the outside of the box.
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by Terr_ on Thursday January 25, 2024 @12:28AM (#39126484)
In the legal view too. (At least in the US.)
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by jdietrich on Wednesday January 24, 2024 @09:59PM (#39125759)
If that box is sealed, it has someone else's address on it and you make no effort to return it to them, then you are inarguably a thief. It's no different to taking a parcel from someone's porch.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Theft_by_finding

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by lupusreal on Thursday January 25, 2024 @05:31AM (#39128099)
> who just happened to pick up fallen boxes.

Anybody who believes this is being foolish. Packages don't just "fall off" of boxcars. Those cars aren't open topped, the cardboard packages would be ruined by the weather if they were. The only way for a package to fall off a train is if somebody deliberately breaks into the train cars with those packages, and probably starts throwing the packages off the train.

The fact that they couldn't charge most people with that only highlights the inadequacy of their enforcement.

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by usrusr on Thursday January 25, 2024 @07:18AM (#39128735)
They catch the vultures who arrive at the scene when the lions who did the hunting are gone.

Perhaps some of what is happening is truly done by opportunistic amateurs, but the observation voted would also be perfectly consistent with a ground truth where every single case was done by an organized group.

Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by infecto on Thursday January 25, 2024 @08:30AM (#39129348)
Wrong interpretation. Others already pointed out the volume of items stolen but it I don't think that statistic points out who perpetrated the original crime. It makes sense, only a handful of individuals would be the ones break the train, anyone else around would certainly jump in the action.
Re:Train Robbery for Amazon Packages? More Common Than You T... by rdtsc on Thursday January 25, 2024 @09:58AM (#39130202)
> were part of these organized groups

I could also see that people performing the crime might be unhoused, what are they going to do with 20 blenders they just stole? They will go to some organized group and sell the loot for some cash.

So on paper it doesn’t appear organized in practice it’s sort of is. If there is no one buying the 20 blenders, it’s not worth bothering jumping on a train for them.