This was really obvious at the time. The economy was recovering slowly, and then the Tories got elected and induced a recession. It kinda amazes me that this wasn't obvious in advance of their actions, but whatevs.
It’s common in hindsight to say “if only labour were elected”
Also worth remembering that in 2015 the country said “we want more Tory”. The coalition wasn’t Tory enough.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2010/mar/25/alistair-da...
I have never seen something so revisionary on wikipedia. This is just left-wing propaganda.
There is zero analysis of the macroeconomic context, zero analysis of austery as an economic policy. Just an endless series of newspapers attacking the government in power for the economic consequences of a economic crisis.
One of the most egregious misrepresentations of an issue i've ever seen. Its just writing up what newspapers said; i can't believe it.
Reading that article can you answer: (1) what the economic policies called 'austerity' were? (2) what the economic aims of these polices were? (3) whether these aims were successful? (4) why were these the aims? (5) what were alternative policies?
You could not submit to an academic journal with most of your controversial claims referenced to newspapers. An enclopedia operates at a higher standard of research than academic journal articles -- it should summarise books/etc. about those articles.
This article is essentially poor-quality primary research which quotes MPs and newspapers to argue a case about austerity. That's fine for a BA sociology degree -- it's bad for a MSc, it's disqualifying at PhD level, and has zero plac e in an encylcopedia
https://www.ft.com/content/1670a3d2-880f-11e2-8e3c-00144feab...
Hindsight is wonderful, in 2010 the choice was austerity, austerity or austerity, there was no alternate voice, but that doesn’t mean it was the right move
With the exception of Germany post-WW2, has there ever been an instance where austerity was judged to be somewhat successful?
There are hundreds of examples of austerity, which could be added to the wiki page as a success?
That it didnt meet the goals given to it by opposition parties and newspapers is irrelevant.
Reduce the deficit sufficiently to promote confidence in the market for UK debt in order to deliver growth in the economy.
You claim this was overwhelmingly successful?
How? Where would we see evidence of success? Would it show up in a change in bond yield trajectories post GFC? (It doesn’t). Would we see a change in the growth rate of the economy post GFC? (We didn’t).
So how is it possible it was not just successful but overwhelmingly so when we can’t detect the proposed benefits in the observed data?
It was to reduce the increasing deficit from +12.5% GDP YoY to flat, in the middle of essentially a "deficit crisis" caused by the need to bail out the financial industry to prevent a whole-economy crisis.
Arguments can be made about how far and how fast the deficit needed to decrease; but the policy was overwhelmingly successful.
The government was able to maintain non-trivial deficits for a decade after the policy -- precisely because of it. Only people with zero understanding of the issue maintain that there was any non-austerity alternative.
Labour's policy was "less" not different. There was no non-austerity option for the UK, with such dramatic deficit increases -- ie., 25% of GDP in <2yr.
Few other countries experienced this. The US did not.
The financial crisis should've caused a depression in the UK, and a total wipeout of our economy in a whole economy crisis. The bailouts prevented this, then austerity prevented the ensuing deficit crisis.
Both policies were not about "growth" they were about preventing total economic metldown in the UK. We were the worst country in the world affected, these conditions were unique and severe.
George Osborne originally said:
>> Mr Deputy Speaker, let me now turn to the measures in the Budget designed to deliver this accelerated reduction in the structural deficit. The coalition Government believes that the bulk of the reduction must come from lower spending rather than higher taxes. The country has overspent; it has not been under-taxed. Our approach is supported by the international evidence, compiled by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, the International Monetary Fund and others, which found that consolidations delivered through lower spending are more effective at correcting deficits and boosting growth than consolidations delivered through tax increases.
>> “and boosting growth”
I’m having a hard time seeing this as anything other than intellectual dishonesty on your part.
Given this is HN, I’ll be curious instead of judgemental. Help me interpret what you said about austerity had nothing to do with growth?
> Mr Deputy Speaker, let me now turn to the measures in the Budget designed to deliver this accelerated reduction in the structural deficit.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_government_aust...
> Most macroeconomists now agree that the austerity programme pursued by the Coalition Government in its first two years was both too severe and unnecessary and set back the economic recovery which was underway in the first half of 2010. The Office of Budget Responsibility confirmed that the austerity programme reduced GDP, while the Oxford economist Simon Wren-Lewis has calculated that the Coalition Government's austerity programme cost the average household £4000 over the lifetime of the Parliament and severely damaged those public services which were not ring-fenced.